Leeds United team news — injuries, predicted line-up and fixtures
Leeds United play at home to Crystal Palace on Sun 20 Sep, 15:00. 3 players are currently unavailable, with our expected return date for each below. Our model gives Leeds United a 54% chance of winning that match and a 34% chance of a clean sheet.
Availability comes from our injury and suspension feeds; everything else on this page is a projection, recomputed through the day as odds, team news and line-ups land. The predicted eleven is the model's most likely starting XI, not a confirmed team sheet.
Leeds United injury news and expected return dates
3 players are currently unavailable for Leeds United. Ilia Gruev is expected back first, around Sat 19 Sep and Mateo Joseph is the longest absentee, around Sat 30 Jan. An expected return is an estimate and moves with the club's own updates.
| Player | Pos | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Ilia Gruev | MID | Sat 19 Sep |
| Joe Rodon | DEF | Sat 21 Nov |
| Mateo Joseph | FWD | Sat 30 Jan |
Leeds United predicted line-up — home to Crystal Palace
Our model's most likely starting eleven for Gameweek 5, ranked by how likely each player is to start. 11 of the eleven are 90% or better to start. These are projections, not a confirmed team sheet — they move as team news and press conferences land.
| Player | Pos | Chance of starting | Projected minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Trafford | GK | 99% | 89 |
| James Justin | DEF | 99% | 88 |
| Nico Elvedi | DEF | 99% | 88 |
| Tarik Muharemovic | DEF | 99% | 88 |
| Anton Stach | MID | 99% | 85 |
| Ethan Ampadu | MID | 99% | 85 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | FWD | 99% | 79 |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | DEF | 99% | 78 |
| Jayden Bogle | DEF | 99% | 75 |
| Noah Okafor | MID | 97% | 68 |
| Ao Tanaka | MID | 95% | 71 |
Leeds United fixtures and how hard they look
The next 5 matches across every competition, with what our model makes of each: the chance Leeds United win, the chance the opponent wins, the goals we expect Leeds United to score and the chance of a clean sheet. The kindest of them looks at home to Crystal Palace at 54% to win; the hardest looks away to Arsenal at 9%. These come from the betting market and our own team model, and they move as odds do.
| Competition | Date | Opponent | Win | Opp win | Expected goals | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL 5 | Sun 20 Sep, 15:00 | vs Crystal Palace | 54% | 21% | 1.84 | 34% |
| PL 6 | Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 | at Arsenal | 9% | 73% | 0.65 | 11% |
| PL 7 | Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 | vs Manchester United | 32% | 41% | 1.36 | 21% |
| PL 8 | Sun 25 Oct, 17:30 | at Sunderland | 36% | 34% | 1.26 | 30% |
| PL 9 | Sat 31 Oct, 16:00 | at AFC Bournemouth | 29% | 45% | 1.25 | 20% |
Best Leeds United picks in FPL for Gameweek 5
Anton Stach is Leeds United's highest projected scorer for the coming round at 5.2 points, 0.2 clear of Tarik Muharemovic. Predicted points come from expected goals, expected assists, projected minutes and clean-sheet probability converted into Fantasy Premier League 2026/2027 scoring.
| Player | Pos | Price | Predicted points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Stach | MID | 6.0 | 5.2 |
| Tarik Muharemovic | DEF | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| James Justin | DEF | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Noah Okafor | MID | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | FWD | 6.0 | 4.7 |
| Nico Elvedi | DEF | 4.5 | 4.7 |
Leeds United price changes tonight
Our projection for which Leeds United players change price at the next update, from live net-transfer data. It moves through the day.
- Bogle (DEF, 4.5) — 97% chance of a price rise tonight
- Trafford (GKP, 5.0) — 27% chance of a price rise tonight
- Muharemović (DEF, 5.0) — 26% chance of a price rise tonight
- Stach (MID, 6.0) — 20% chance of a price rise tonight
- Justin (DEF, 4.5) — 16% chance of a price rise tonight
- Wilson (MID, 6.3) — 97% chance of a price fall tonight
- Rodon (DEF, 4.4) — 71% chance of a price fall tonight
- Aaronson (MID, 5.4) — 62% chance of a price fall tonight
- Gruev (MID, 5.0) — 52% chance of a price fall tonight
- Longstaff (MID, 4.9) — 43% chance of a price fall tonight
Frequently asked questions
Who is injured for Leeds United?
Ilia Gruev, Joe Rodon, Mateo Joseph are currently unavailable. Ilia Gruev is expected back around Sat 19 Sep.
What is Leeds United's predicted line-up?
Our model's most likely XI is led by James Trafford, James Justin, Nico Elvedi, Tarik Muharemovic, Anton Stach. Every player above carries the model's own probability that he starts, which is the honest version of a predicted team sheet — it moves as team news lands.
Who do Leeds United play next?
At home to Crystal Palace on Sun 20 Sep, 15:00. Our model gives them a 54% chance of winning and a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet.