FPL Differentials Gameweek 7: Best Low-Owned Picks
Our model's best FPL differential for Gameweek 7 is David Affengruber (Fulham), at home to Hull City: 5.3 predicted points at 0.6% ownership.
A differential here is any FPL player owned by fewer than 10% of managers. Below are the 10 with the most predicted points for Gameweek 7, then the best five in each position. Ownership tells you how many rivals you gain on if he returns; start chance and minutes tell you how likely he is to play. The predictions are recomputed through the day as odds and team news land, and the page always shows the current gameweek.
Best FPL differentials for Gameweek 7 (under 10% owned)
| # | Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Affengruber | DEF | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 5.3 | 99% | 87 | 0.6% |
| 2 | Gonzalo Garcia | FWD | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 5.2 | 99% | 81 | 7.2% |
| 3 | Anton Stach | MID | Leeds United | Manchester United (H) | 5.0 | 99% | 84 | 2.3% |
| 4 | Jan Paul van Hecke | DEF | Tottenham Hotspur | Coventry City (H) | 5.0 | 99% | 88 | 6.4% |
| 5 | Marcus Tavernier | MID | AFC Bournemouth | Sunderland (H) | 4.9 | 99% | 79 | 7.3% |
| 6 | Ryan Sessegnon | DEF | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 4.9 | 97% | 81 | 0.3% |
| 7 | Matheus Nunes | DEF | Manchester City | Ipswich Town (H) | 4.7 | 96% | 83 | 1.0% |
| 8 | Savinho | MID | Tottenham Hotspur | Coventry City (H) | 4.7 | 98% | 77 | 0.7% |
| 9 | Thiago Rodrigues | FWD | Brentford | Liverpool (H) | 4.7 | 99% | 83 | 9.2% |
| 10 | Antonio Silva | DEF | AFC Bournemouth | Sunderland (H) | 4.6 | 99% | 86 | 0.6% |
pP = predicted points for Gameweek 7. Start % = our probability he starts; pMins = projected minutes; Owned = share of FPL managers who own him.
Projections last updated 2026-10-15 22:06 UTC.
Differential goalkeepers
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | GK | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 3.9 | 99% | 89 | 4.1% |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | GK | Manchester City | Ipswich Town (H) | 3.9 | 99% | 89 | 7.6% |
| Djordje Petrovic | GK | AFC Bournemouth | Sunderland (H) | 3.7 | 99% | 89 | 2.9% |
| Lukas Hornicek | GK | Newcastle United | Aston Villa (H) | 3.5 | 99% | 89 | 1.4% |
| Caoimhin Kelleher | GK | Brentford | Liverpool (H) | 3.4 | 99% | 89 | 6.1% |
Differential defenders
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Affengruber | DEF | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 5.3 | 99% | 87 | 0.6% |
| Jan Paul van Hecke | DEF | Tottenham Hotspur | Coventry City (H) | 5.0 | 99% | 88 | 6.4% |
| Ryan Sessegnon | DEF | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 4.9 | 97% | 81 | 0.3% |
| Matheus Nunes | DEF | Manchester City | Ipswich Town (H) | 4.7 | 96% | 83 | 1.0% |
| Antonio Silva | DEF | AFC Bournemouth | Sunderland (H) | 4.6 | 99% | 86 | 0.6% |
Differential midfielders
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Stach | MID | Leeds United | Manchester United (H) | 5.0 | 99% | 84 | 2.3% |
| Marcus Tavernier | MID | AFC Bournemouth | Sunderland (H) | 4.9 | 99% | 79 | 7.3% |
| Savinho | MID | Tottenham Hotspur | Coventry City (H) | 4.7 | 98% | 77 | 0.7% |
| Joshua King | MID | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 4.6 | 99% | 80 | 4.7% |
| Elliot Anderson | MID | Manchester City | Ipswich Town (H) | 4.5 | 98% | 82 | 3.9% |
Differential forwards
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Garcia | FWD | Fulham | Hull City (H) | 5.2 | 99% | 81 | 7.2% |
| Thiago Rodrigues | FWD | Brentford | Liverpool (H) | 4.7 | 99% | 83 | 9.2% |
| Dominic Solanke | FWD | Tottenham Hotspur | Coventry City (H) | 4.5 | 99% | 76 | 1.1% |
| Evanilson | FWD | AFC Bournemouth | Sunderland (H) | 3.9 | 99% | 79 | 3.6% |
| Nicolas Jackson | FWD | Aston Villa | Newcastle United (A) | 3.9 | 99% | 75 | 2.9% |
Frequently asked questions
Who are the best FPL differentials for Gameweek 7?
By predicted points among players owned by fewer than 10% of managers: David Affengruber (5.3 pts, 0.6% owned), Gonzalo Garcia (5.2 pts, 7.2% owned), Anton Stach (5.0 pts, 2.3% owned).
What is a differential in FPL?
A player few of your rivals own - on this page, under 10% ownership. When he scores you gain on almost everyone; when the popular pick scores instead, you lose ground. That makes differentials most useful when you are chasing.
When is the FPL Gameweek 7 deadline?
The Gameweek 7 deadline is Saturday 17 October, 11:00 UK time (Saturday 17 October, 10:00 UTC).
How often is this list updated?
Continuously - predicted points and ownership are refreshed through the day. The last update was 15 Oct 2026, 22:06 UTC.