Chelsea team news — injuries, predicted line-up and fixtures
Chelsea play away to Brentford on Fri 18 Sep, 21:00. 4 players are currently unavailable, with our expected return date for each below. Our model gives Chelsea a 40% chance of winning that match and a 20% chance of a clean sheet.
Availability comes from our injury and suspension feeds; everything else on this page is a projection, recomputed through the day as odds, team news and line-ups land. The predicted eleven is the model's most likely starting XI, not a confirmed team sheet.
Chelsea injury news and expected return dates
4 players are currently unavailable for Chelsea. Emanuel Emegha is expected back first, around Fri 18 Sep and Jordan Henderson is the longest absentee, around Sat 19 Sep. An expected return is an estimate and moves with the club's own updates.
| Player | Pos | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Emegha | FWD | Fri 18 Sep |
| Marco Palestra | DEF | Fri 18 Sep |
| Moisés Caicedo | MID | Fri 18 Sep |
| Jordan Henderson | MID | Sat 19 Sep |
Chelsea predicted line-up — away to Brentford
Our model's most likely starting eleven for Gameweek 5, ranked by how likely each player is to start. 6 of the eleven are 90% or better to start, and Danny Welbeck, Valentin Barco are the least certain. These are projections, not a confirmed team sheet — they move as team news and press conferences land.
| Player | Pos | Chance of starting | Projected minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Martinez | GK | 99% | 89 |
| Cole Palmer | MID | 99% | 89 |
| Morgan Rogers | MID | 99% | 88 |
| Pedro Neto | MID | 99% | 81 |
| Romeo Lavia | MID | 99% | 66 |
| Levi Colwill | DEF | 97% | 89 |
| Maxence Lacroix | DEF | 89% | 80 |
| Wesley Fofana | DEF | 87% | 74 |
| Pep Chavarria | DEF | 70% | 70 |
| Danny Welbeck | FWD | 62% | 60 |
| Valentin Barco | MID | 44% | 33 |
Chelsea fixtures and how hard they look
The next 5 matches across every competition, with what our model makes of each: the chance Chelsea win, the chance the opponent wins, the goals we expect Chelsea to score and the chance of a clean sheet. The kindest of them looks at home to AFC Bournemouth at 53% to win; the hardest looks away to Brentford at 40%. These come from the betting market and our own team model, and they move as odds do.
| Competition | Date | Opponent | Win | Opp win | Expected goals | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL 5 | Fri 18 Sep, 21:00 | at Brentford | 40% | 36% | 1.73 | 20% |
| PL 6 | Sat 10 Oct, 16:00 | vs AFC Bournemouth | 53% | 24% | 2.06 | 26% |
| PL 7 | Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 | at Everton | 42% | 31% | 1.56 | 27% |
| PL 8 | Sat 24 Oct, 18:30 | vs Tottenham Hotspur | 50% | 25% | 1.78 | 30% |
| PL 9 | Sat 31 Oct, 13:30 | vs Manchester United | 43% | 32% | 1.78 | 22% |
Best Chelsea picks in FPL for Gameweek 5
Cole Palmer is Chelsea's highest projected scorer for the coming round at 5.5 points, 0.9 clear of Morgan Rogers. Predicted points come from expected goals, expected assists, projected minutes and clean-sheet probability converted into Fantasy Premier League 2026/2027 scoring.
| Player | Pos | Price | Predicted points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Palmer | MID | 9.7 | 5.5 |
| Morgan Rogers | MID | 7.7 | 4.6 |
| Pedro Neto | MID | 6.5 | 3.8 |
| Maxence Lacroix | DEF | 6.0 | 3.3 |
| Emiliano Martinez | GK | 5.0 | 3.2 |
| Romeo Lavia | MID | 5.0 | 3.0 |
Chelsea price changes tonight
Our projection for which Chelsea players change price at the next update, from live net-transfer data. It moves through the day.
- Palmer (MID, 9.7) — 31% chance of a price rise tonight
- Hato (DEF, 4.5) — 16% chance of a price rise tonight
- Martinez (GKP, 5.0) — 6% chance of a price rise tonight
- Lavia (MID, 5.0) — 5% chance of a price rise tonight
- Fofana (DEF, 5.0) — 4% chance of a price rise tonight
- Lacroix (DEF, 6.0) — 97% chance of a price fall tonight
- Gittens (MID, 5.9) — 90% chance of a price fall tonight
- Colwill (DEF, 4.9) — 76% chance of a price fall tonight
- Gusto (DEF, 5.0) — 72% chance of a price fall tonight
- Emegha (FWD, 5.0) — 62% chance of a price fall tonight
Frequently asked questions
Who is injured for Chelsea?
Emanuel Emegha, Marco Palestra, Moisés Caicedo, Jordan Henderson are currently unavailable. Emanuel Emegha is expected back around Fri 18 Sep.
What is Chelsea's predicted line-up?
Our model's most likely XI is led by Emiliano Martinez, Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers, Pedro Neto, Romeo Lavia. Every player above carries the model's own probability that he starts, which is the honest version of a predicted team sheet — it moves as team news lands.
Who do Chelsea play next?
Away to Brentford on Fri 18 Sep, 21:00. Our model gives them a 40% chance of winning and a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet.