Arsenal team news — injuries, predicted line-up and fixtures
Arsenal play away to Brighton & Hove Albion on Sat 19 Sep, 16:00. 3 players are currently unavailable, with our expected return date for each below. Our model gives Arsenal a 57% chance of winning that match and a 36% chance of a clean sheet.
Availability comes from our injury and suspension feeds; everything else on this page is a projection, recomputed through the day as odds, team news and line-ups land. The predicted eleven is the model's most likely starting XI, not a confirmed team sheet.
Arsenal injury news and expected return dates
3 players are currently unavailable for Arsenal. Cristhian Mosquera is expected back first, around Sat 19 Sep and William Saliba is the longest absentee, around Sat 21 Nov. An expected return is an estimate and moves with the club's own updates.
| Player | Pos | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Cristhian Mosquera | DEF | Sat 19 Sep |
| Ben White | DEF | Mon 28 Sep |
| William Saliba | DEF | Sat 21 Nov |
Arsenal predicted line-up — away to Brighton & Hove Albion
Our model's most likely starting eleven for Gameweek 5, ranked by how likely each player is to start. 10 of the eleven are 90% or better to start, and Bruno Guimaraes is the least certain. These are projections, not a confirmed team sheet — they move as team news and press conferences land.
| Player | Pos | Chance of starting | Projected minutes |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | GK | 99% | 89 |
| Gabriel | DEF | 99% | 89 |
| Ezri Konsa | DEF | 99% | 89 |
| Bukayo Saka | MID | 99% | 87 |
| Kai Havertz | FWD | 99% | 86 |
| Declan Rice | MID | 99% | 83 |
| Riccardo Calafiori | DEF | 99% | 82 |
| Martin Ødegaard | MID | 99% | 79 |
| Christos Tzolis | MID | 98% | 76 |
| Jurrien Timber | DEF | 94% | 75 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | MID | 60% | 45 |
Arsenal fixtures and how hard they look
The next 5 matches across every competition, with what our model makes of each: the chance Arsenal win, the chance the opponent wins, the goals we expect Arsenal to score and the chance of a clean sheet. The kindest of them looks at home to Lille at 75% to win; the hardest looks away to Bayern München at 34%. These come from the betting market and our own team model, and they move as odds do.
| Competition | Date | Opponent | Win | Opp win | Expected goals | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PL 5 | Sat 19 Sep, 16:00 | at Brighton & Hove Albion | 57% | 19% | 1.88 | 36% |
| PL 6 | Sat 10 Oct, 13:30 | vs Leeds United | 73% | 9% | 2.23 | 52% |
| UCL 2 | Tue 13 Oct, 21:00 | vs Lille | 75% | 8% | 2.39 | 52% |
| PL 7 | Sun 18 Oct, 17:30 | at Nottingham Forest | 57% | 17% | 1.64 | 46% |
| UCL 3 | Wed 21 Oct, 21:00 | at Bayern München | 34% | 41% | 1.51 | 19% |
Best Arsenal picks in FPL for Gameweek 5
Bukayo Saka is Arsenal's highest projected scorer for the coming round at 5.5 points, 1.0 clear of Gabriel. Predicted points come from expected goals, expected assists, projected minutes and clean-sheet probability converted into Fantasy Premier League 2026/2027 scoring.
| Player | Pos | Price | Predicted points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka | MID | 9.5 | 5.5 |
| Gabriel | DEF | 8.0 | 4.5 |
| Kai Havertz | FWD | 7.6 | 4.4 |
| Ezri Konsa | DEF | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Riccardo Calafiori | DEF | 5.8 | 4.2 |
| Declan Rice | MID | 7.4 | 4.1 |
Arsenal price changes tonight
Our projection for which Arsenal players change price at the next update, from live net-transfer data. It moves through the day.
- Ødegaard (MID, 6.7) — 97% chance of a price rise tonight
- Konsa (DEF, 4.5) — 88% chance of a price rise tonight
- Raya (GKP, 6.0) — 79% chance of a price rise tonight
- Calafiori (DEF, 5.8) — 70% chance of a price rise tonight
- Saka (MID, 9.5) — 56% chance of a price rise tonight
- Lewis-Skelly (MID, 5.5) — 78% chance of a price fall tonight
- Gyökeres (FWD, 7.2) — 75% chance of a price fall tonight
- Hincapie (DEF, 5.3) — 73% chance of a price fall tonight
- Gabriel (DEF, 8.0) — 72% chance of a price fall tonight
- Eze (MID, 6.3) — 58% chance of a price fall tonight
Frequently asked questions
Who is injured for Arsenal?
Cristhian Mosquera, Ben White, William Saliba are currently unavailable. Cristhian Mosquera is expected back around Sat 19 Sep.
What is Arsenal's predicted line-up?
Our model's most likely XI is led by David Raya, Gabriel, Ezri Konsa, Bukayo Saka, Kai Havertz. Every player above carries the model's own probability that he starts, which is the honest version of a predicted team sheet — it moves as team news lands.
Who do Arsenal play next?
Away to Brighton & Hove Albion on Sat 19 Sep, 16:00. Our model gives them a 57% chance of winning and a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet.