Sofascore PL Gameweek 11: captain picks and best buys

Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 11 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Sofascore PL Gameweek 11 is the first gameweek after the international break, and it runs from Saturday 21 to Monday 23 November. All 20 clubs play once, so there are no blanks to plan around. The big game is Liverpool - Manchester United on Sunday. The break gives you two weeks to plan, and the plan should be built on the next three gameweeks, not this one: Liverpool, Manchester City, Brighton and Chelsea own the best attacking runs, Arsenal and Tottenham the best defensive ones, and several of the most popular players in the game project well under a full match.

Every number below comes from our model as of Saturday 7 November, two weeks before the deadline, so team news from the break will still move them. The full projections sit on the Sofascore PL player picks page, the expected starting XIs on the Sofascore PL predicted lineups page, and the Sofascore PL optimal teams page solves the best squad live. Last week's picks are in the Sofascore PL Gameweek 10 preview.

Gameweeks 11 to 13: which programs are worth owning

Liverpool's [H]MUN → [A]EVE → [H]SUN is the best three-gameweek attacking run in the game at 5.55 expected goals, and Manchester City's [H]FUL → [A]ARS → [H]LEE is right behind at 5.51. City carry the strongest single fixture of the week: 68% win probability and 2.36 expected goals at home to Fulham. The Arsenal away game in Gameweek 12 is the one to plan around, not a reason to avoid City, because Leeds at home follows straight after it.

Brighton's [A]HUL → [H]NEW → [A]BOU (5.48) and Chelsea's [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY (5.45) complete the attacking targets. Brighton also have the best clean-sheet chance of the gameweek, 40% at Hull. For defenders, Arsenal's [A]NEW → [H]MCI → [A]BRE gives 1.15 expected clean sheets, the most of any team, and Tottenham's [H]IPS → [A]SUN → [H]FUL is next at 1.05.

At the bottom, Hull's [H]BHA → [A]CRY → [H]NFO totals just 2.93 expected goals and 0.50 expected clean sheets, the weakest program in the game. Sunderland's [A]AVL → [H]TOT → [A]LIV (3.05) and Fulham's [A]MCI → [H]BOU → [A]TOT (3.40) are not far behind. Newcastle are the trap: [H]ARS → [A]BHA → [H]MUN gives them 0.47 expected clean sheets, the fewest of any defence. Kick-off times and the rest of the run are on the Sofascore PL schedule.

Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 11

Bart Verbruggen (6.1m, BHA) is the goalkeeper to buy. Brighton's 40% clean-sheet chance at Hull is the best of the week, and [A]HUL → [H]NEW → [A]BOU gives him 5.3 → 4.9 → 4.6, for 14.8 over three gameweeks, the top total among goalkeepers. His projection falls slightly after this week, so he is a buy now, not next week.

Zion Suzuki (5.8m, AVL) is the flat line: 5.0 → 4.8 → 4.8 over [H]SUN → [A]IPS → [H]EVE, for 14.6. Three fixtures against weaker sides mean you can buy him and stop thinking about the position. David Raya (7.0m, ARS) is the template at 29.9% ownership and projects 4.8 → 4.7 → 4.9 over [A]NEW → [H]MCI → [A]BRE. Arsenal's 1.15 expected clean sheets is the best defensive run in the game, so keep him if you have him, but at 1.2m more than Suzuki he does not out-project him.

For value, Antonin Kinsky (4.7m, TOT) is the cheapest route into Tottenham's 38% clean-sheet chance against Ipswich, with 4.0 → 3.7 → 3.8 over [H]IPS → [A]SUN → [H]FUL and 0.85 points per million this week.

Best defenders for Gameweek 11

Jan Paul van Hecke (7.0m, TOT) has the best three-gameweek total of any defender, 6.9 → 6.1 → 6.2 over [H]IPS → [A]SUN → [H]FUL for 19.2. He has goal threat for a centre-back and Tottenham's clean-sheet run behind him. Luka Vuskovic (6.5m, BHA) is the top defender this gameweek at 7.0 and goes 7.0 → 6.4 → 5.6 over [A]HUL → [H]NEW → [A]BOU, for 19.0. His floor comes from defensive work, around nine clearances, blocks, interceptions and tackles a game, so he scores even without a clean sheet. These two are the clearest defender buys over the break.

This is the position where the Gameweek 11 ranking and the three-gameweek ranking disagree most. James Tarkowski (7.4m, EVE) is only sixth among defenders this week at 5.7, but he climbs 5.7 → 5.9 → 6.0 → 6.5 over [A]BRE → [H]LIV → [A]AVL → [H]FUL, and his 17.6 over three gameweeks is third. Everton's program is weak, but he is projected for close to ten defensive actions a game, so his floor barely depends on the fixture. If you are buying one defender to keep until Christmas, Tarkowski holds up better than the Brighton players behind Vuskovic. Maxim De Cuyper (7.0m, BHA) is the opposite case: 6.6 this week, then 5.9 and 4.7 over the rest of [A]HUL → [H]NEW → [A]BOU. He is a hold for current owners, not a buy.

For Liverpool's run, Jérémy Jacquet (5.8m, LIV) is the hidden gem. He projects 5.5 → 5.4 → 6.0 over [H]MUN → [A]EVE → [H]SUN, for 16.9, almost the same as Virgil van Dijk (7.0m, LIV) at 17.1, for 1.2m less, and only 7.6% own him. James Hill (6.5m, BOU) is the other volume defender worth a look: 5.9 → 5.6 → 5.4 over [H]NFO → [A]FUL → [H]BHA and 6.5 against Hull in Gameweek 14, at 4.3% ownership. Gabriel (8.2m, ARS) is the premium route into Arsenal's clean-sheet run, with 5.9 → 5.6 → 5.6 over [A]NEW → [H]MCI → [A]BRE: steady but expensive.

On a budget, Ethan Pinnock (4.8m, COV) is a volume defender too, with over ten defensive actions projected a game. He projects 5.1 → 4.4 → 5.5 over [H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS, 15.0 over three gameweeks at 1.06 points per million, and almost nobody owns him. Antonio Silva (5.1m, BOU) is the alternative at 5.3 → 4.9 → 4.6 over [H]NFO → [A]FUL → [H]BHA, for 14.8.

Best midfielders for Gameweek 11

Jérémy Doku (8.4m, MCI) is the biggest differential in the game. He has the highest projection of any player this week at 8.0 at home to Fulham, and 8.0 → 5.8 → 6.7 over [H]FUL → [A]ARS → [H]LEE gives him 20.5 over three gameweeks, the most of anyone. Only 4.8% own him. The Arsenal week drops him to 5.8, but Leeds at home follows, and his assist threat is as high as his goal threat. He is the buy of the break.

Chelsea's run makes Cole Palmer (8.6m, CHE) and Morgan Rogers (8.2m, CHE) both worth owning. Palmer goes 6.4 → 5.7 → 6.8 over [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY, for 18.9, and he is Chelsea's penalty taker. Rogers is the steadier line at 6.2 → 6.0 → 6.4, for 18.6, and adds more defensive work than Palmer. If you only have room for one, Palmer has the higher ceiling, Rogers the higher floor. Pedro Neto (6.8m, CHE) is the cheaper Chelsea option at 5.4 → 5.3 → 5.9 over the same [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY, with 4.9% ownership.

Bruno Fernandes (10.3m, MUN) is the other case where one week and three weeks disagree. Anfield holds him to 5.5 this week, but [A]LIV → [H]BRE → [A]NEW climbs to 6.5 and 6.4, and he projects 7.5 at home to Coventry in Gameweek 14. That is a hold for the 38.5% who own him, and a buy for Gameweek 12 rather than now for anyone who does not.

Mohammed Kudus (6.5m, TOT) is the value differential: 6.8 at home to Ipswich, the fifth-best projection of the week, and Tottenham's first-choice penalty taker, at 2.0% ownership. Over [H]IPS → [A]SUN → [H]FUL he goes 6.8 → 5.1 → 5.2, for 17.1. His projected minutes fall from 73 to 65 over the three, so treat him as a strong two-gameweek buy rather than a long hold.

Cheaper, Marcus Tavernier (6.0m, BOU) goes 5.4 → 5.2 → 5.1 over [H]NFO → [A]FUL → [H]BHA and 6.0 against Hull after that, a steady line for the price. Jack Rudoni (4.7m, COV) is the budget pick at 5.0 → 4.2 → 5.1 over [H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS, 1.06 points per million this week, and Diego Gomez (5.2m, BHA) gives you Brighton's run for little money at 5.0 → 4.9 → 4.3, backed by close to eight defensive actions a game. Pascal Gross (6.0m, BHA) projects 5.7 this week but falls to 4.9 and 4.3, so Gomez is the better hold.

Best forwards for Gameweek 11

Erling Haaland (12.0m, MCI) is owned by 78.1% and should stay that way. He goes 7.6 → 5.2 → 7.1 over [H]FUL → [A]ARS → [H]LEE, for 19.9, and he is City's penalty taker with by far the most expected goals of any forward this week. Owning him protects rank; it does not gain you any.

The decision is the second and third forward slot. Alexander Isak (8.4m, LIV) is the way into Liverpool's run: 5.4 → 4.8 → 5.3 over [H]MUN → [A]EVE → [H]SUN, for 15.5, the best total behind Haaland. Nicolas Jackson (6.0m, AVL) is the value pick at 5.3 → 4.9 → 4.7 over [H]SUN → [A]IPS → [H]EVE, 14.9 for 2.4m less than Isak. Evanilson (6.3m, BOU) is close behind at 14.5 over [H]NFO → [A]FUL → [H]BHA, and rises to 5.5 against Hull in Gameweek 14.

Charalampos Kostoulas (5.0m, BHA) is the budget forward: 4.8 → 4.8 → 4.2 over [A]HUL → [H]NEW → [A]BOU, at 0.96 points per million this week and 5.1% ownership. Omar Marmoush (7.0m, TOT) projects 5.4 against Ipswich but drops to 4.1 for the next two, so he is a one-week pick at best.

Captain picks for Gameweek 11

The captain scores double in Sofascore Fantasy, and two Manchester City players lead the gameweek against Fulham. Jérémy Doku (8.4m, MCI) is the top projection at 8.0, and with [H]FUL → [A]ARS → [H]LEE ahead he captains well again in Gameweek 13. That makes him the highest-ceiling captain and a genuine differential with 4.8% ownership. Erling Haaland (12.0m, MCI) is right behind at 7.6 on the same [H]FUL → [A]ARS → [H]LEE run and is the safe choice: with 78.1% ownership, captaining him keeps pace with the field. Luka Vuskovic (7.0) and Jan Paul van Hecke (6.9) are the best non-City options, and Mohammed Kudus (6.8) is the outside pick.

Plan the next two captaincies now. In Gameweek 12, Bruno Fernandes at home to Brentford is the top projection at 6.5, ahead of Vuskovic at 6.4. In Gameweek 13, Haaland at home to Leeds leads at 7.1, with Palmer at 6.8 and Doku at 6.7. That is one more reason to own City attack through the break: they provide the captain in two of the next three gameweeks.

Who to sell before Gameweek 11

Joao Pedro (8.1m, CHE) is the clearest sale, owned by 24.5%. Chelsea's [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY is a good program, so this is not about the fixtures: he is listed as unavailable until around the deadline, and the model has him at 44 → 28 → 40 projected minutes and 4.3 → 2.7 → 3.7 points over the three. Why now: the best Chelsea run in weeks starts in Gameweek 11, and Palmer, Rogers or Neto give you all of it.

Rayan Cherki (9.2m, MCI), owned by 23.3%, is the same story at Manchester City. City's [H]FUL → [A]ARS → [H]LEE is the second-best run in the game, and he projects only 3.7 in it on 30 minutes, then 3.4 and 4.6. Why now: Fulham at home is exactly the game you want a City attacker for, and swapping Cherki for Doku keeps your City count the same while adding more than four points this week alone.

Bukayo Saka (9.2m, ARS) is out until early December, owned by 17.4%, and over Arsenal's [A]NEW → [H]MCI → [A]BRE he projects nothing in Gameweeks 11 and 12 and 39 minutes in Gameweek 13. Why now: those are two empty weeks in a row, and the break gives you time to use the transfer. Dominik Szoboszlai (7.6m, LIV), owned by 15.0%, projects 48 minutes a game and 3.6 → 3.1 → 3.4 over [H]MUN → [A]EVE → [H]SUN. Liverpool's run is the best in the game, which is exactly why the slot should go to Isak, van Dijk or Jacquet instead.

Emiliano Martinez (5.8m, CHE) is owned by 16.7%, but the model has Mike Penders in Chelsea's goal for all of [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY and Martinez on 1 → 4 → 14 minutes. Unless that changes before the deadline, he is a sale. Jordan Pickford (5.9m, EVE) is the slow one: 24.9% own him, and [A]BRE → [H]LIV → [A]AVL gives him 3.7 → 3.8 → 3.9, about three points fewer than Verbruggen or Suzuki over the three. Nothing gets worse after this week, so you can wait a round on this one if a bigger move comes first.

Manchester City's defenders are a hold, not a sale. Josko Gvardiol (6.8m, MCI) projects 5.5 against Fulham, a fine score, but drops to 3.2 at Arsenal. Keep him for Fulham and plan that move for Gameweek 12.

More Sofascore analysis is on the Sofascore PL preview hub, and the Sofascore PL market probabilities page shows the bookmaker-based numbers behind every fixture.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 11?

Jérémy Doku has the highest projection of the gameweek at 8.0 at home to Fulham, with Erling Haaland right behind at 7.6. Doku is the differential captain at 4.8% ownership; Haaland, owned by 78.1%, is the safe choice.

Should I sell Joao Pedro before Gameweek 11?

Yes. He is listed as unavailable until around the deadline and projects only 44, 28 and 40 minutes over Gameweeks 11 to 13. Chelsea's [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY is a strong run, so move the money to Cole Palmer, Morgan Rogers or Pedro Neto.

Which budget defenders are best for Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 11?

Ethan Pinnock (4.8m, COV) projects 15.0 over the next three gameweeks and Antonio Silva (5.1m, BOU) 14.8. Jérémy Jacquet (5.8m, LIV) gives you Liverpool's run for 16.9, almost the same as Virgil van Dijk for 1.2m less.

Best differentials for Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 11?

Jérémy Doku (4.8% owned) has the highest three-gameweek total in the game at 20.5. Mohammed Kudus (2.0%) projects 6.8 against Ipswich, and Jérémy Jacquet (7.6%) and James Hill (4.3%) are the low-owned defenders.

Is Bukayo Saka worth keeping for Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 11?

No. He is out until early December and projects nothing in Gameweeks 11 and 12. Use the international break to move him on.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.