Sofascore PL Gameweek 10: captain picks and best buys
Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 10 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 10 is followed by a two-week gap, and that shapes every move you make this week. After the Friday 6 November opener, Everton - Coventry City, Gameweek 11 does not start until 21 November. So whatever you bring in now has to justify itself over Gameweeks 10, 11 and 12, not just over one weekend. The previews below rank every pick on that three-round program first and on this round second. You can compare every number in our Sofascore PL player picks.
The short version: Arsenal own the best run in the game. Manchester City's midfield holds the best buy nobody owns. And three popular players are worth selling before Gameweek 11.
Gameweek 10 to 12 programs: whose next three gameweeks are worth owning
Arsenal have the best three-gameweek program in the game: [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI is worth 6.03 expected goals and 1.34 expected clean sheets. No other team reaches 1.0 expected clean sheets over the same three gameweeks. The Hull game is the strongest fixture of the round by a distance (82% win probability, 2.65 expected goals, 58% clean sheet chance). The Manchester City week in Gameweek 12 is the one to plan around, not a reason to avoid them.
Brighton are second on 5.82 expected goals with [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, and their best fixture is the trip to Hull in Gameweek 11 rather than this round. That is why Brighton players rise rather than fall over the window. Liverpool ([A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE) and Manchester City ([A]NFO → [H]FUL → [A]ARS) follow. City have the stronger long run: over Gameweeks 10 to 15 their 11.46 expected goals is the highest of any team. At the bottom, Hull's [A]ARS → [H]BHA → [A]CRY adds up to just 2.47 expected goals and 0.35 expected clean sheets.
| Team | GW10 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (GW10-12) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARS | [H]HUL | 82% | 2.65 | 58% | [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI | 6.03 | 1.34 |
| BHA | [H]BRE | 49% | 1.83 | 28% | [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW | 5.82 | 0.96 |
| LIV | [A]CRY | 55% | 1.98 | 31% | [A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE | 5.49 | 0.91 |
| MCI | [A]NFO | 57% | 1.96 | 33% | [A]NFO → [H]FUL → [A]ARS | 5.32 | 0.92 |
| BOU | [A]IPS | 49% | 1.75 | 30% | [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL | 4.85 | 0.86 |
| CHE | [A]SUN | 44% | 1.58 | 28% | [A]SUN → [H]LEE → [A]NFO | 4.82 | 0.85 |
| MUN | [H]AVL | 44% | 1.72 | 24% | [H]AVL → [A]LIV → [H]BRE | 4.75 | 0.64 |
| TOT | [A]LEE | 36% | 1.33 | 26% | [A]LEE → [H]IPS → [A]SUN | 4.47 | 0.96 |
| EVE | [H]COV | 56% | 1.83 | 36% | [H]COV → [A]BRE → [H]LIV | 4.09 | 0.77 |
| HUL | [A]ARS | 5% | 0.55 | 7% | [A]ARS → [H]BHA → [A]CRY | 2.47 | 0.35 |
All ten Gameweek 10 fixtures are in the data and every club plays once. The full fixture list is on the Sofascore PL schedule, and the bookmaker numbers behind the win and clean sheet figures are on the market probabilities page.
Best Gameweek 10 goalkeepers
David Raya (6.9m, ARS) is the best goalkeeper in the game this round and over the next three: [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI. He projects 5.5 → 4.9 → 4.6, which makes 15.0 over three gameweeks. The 58% clean sheet chance against Hull is the highest of the round. 29.8% of managers already own him, so he protects your rank more than he wins it.
Bart Verbruggen (5.9m, BHA) is the alternative for anyone without Raya. His program, [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, peaks in Gameweek 11: 4.5 → 5.0 → 4.5, for 14.0 over three at 9.5% ownership. Here the round ranking and the three-round ranking disagree. Jordan Pickford matches Verbruggen's 4.5 this week, but Pickford falls to 3.8 for [A]BRE and [H]LIV, and Verbruggen is 1.9 points ahead over the three. If you are buying one keeper to keep, buy Verbruggen.
The value pick is James Trafford (4.8m, LEE): [H]TOT → [A]CHE → [H]COV, projecting 4.3 → 3.9 → 4.8. That is 13.0 over three at 4.8m, and he has the best points-per-million of any goalkeeper over a six-gameweek weighted horizon. [H]IPS in Gameweek 14 (4.7) keeps the run going after that.
Best Gameweek 10 defenders
James Tarkowski (7.4m, EVE) is the highest projected player of the round at 7.6, and he is also the best defender over three gameweeks. His program is [H]COV → [A]BRE → [H]LIV and he projects 7.6 → 6.0 → 6.0, which is 19.6 in total. Everton's clean sheet numbers are only mid-table (0.77 expected over three). So his projection holding at 6.0 even for the Liverpool game says his points do not depend on clean sheets. Only 10.5% own him.
Luka Vuskovic (6.3m, BHA) is the defender whose trajectory rises: 6.4 → 6.9 → 6.1 across [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, which is 19.4 in total. He is the top projected defender of Gameweek 11 and the top projected player of Gameweek 12. He is the buy that has to be in before Brighton's best week, which is why the transfer belongs in this round.
Gabriel (8.1m, ARS) is the premium centre-back: 7.4 → 6.1 → 5.5 across Arsenal's [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI, which is 19.0 over three, plus a 0.15 goal threat this week. He is already in 22.2% of squads. With Raya and an Arsenal midfielder in mind, think of the three-per-club cap before you double up at the back.
Arsenal's other centre-back is the clearest case where this round's ranking misleads. Ezri Konsa (6.6m, ARS) projects 6.2 against Hull, but then 4.6 and 4.2 for [A]NEW and [H]MCI. That makes him a one-gameweek buy whose only reason is the Hull clean sheet. Treat him as a Gameweek 10 rotation pick to sell again for Gameweek 11, and prefer Vuskovic if you want one defender to hold.
Two cheaper defenders deserve a look. Jérémy Jacquet (5.7m, LIV) has a near-flat projection: 5.8 → 5.4 → 5.4 over [A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE and 5.8 again for [H]SUN in Gameweek 13. He is the best points-per-million defender under 6.0m over a six-gameweek weighted horizon, and the kind of pick you can stop thinking about. James Hill (6.4m, BOU) is the differential at 3.9% owned: [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL brings 6.3 → 5.9 → 5.4 (17.6), and [H]HUL in Gameweek 14 lifts him back to 6.4.
For the cheapest slot, Ethan Pinnock (4.7m, COV) is owned by 0.5% and projects 4.8 → 4.8 → 4.1 across [A]EVE → [H]CRY → [A]LEE, then 5.3 for [H]IPS in Gameweek 13. Antonio Silva (5.1m, BOU) is the slightly dearer budget option on Bournemouth's [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL, projecting 5.5 → 5.0 → 4.5.
Best Gameweek 10 midfielders
Jérémy Doku (8.3m, MCI) is the best midfield buy in the game, and 4.0% ownership makes him the biggest differential among the top picks. Over [A]NFO → [H]FUL → [A]ARS he projects 6.7 → 7.5 → 5.4, which is 19.6 over three and the highest of any midfielder. His Gameweek 11 score against Fulham is the best projection of that round for any player. Over six weighted gameweeks he scores 23.4, also first among all midfielders. The 71 projected minutes are the one risk to weigh.
Martin Ødegaard (8.1m, ARS) is the top midfielder of this round only. He projects 6.8 against Hull, then 5.4 and 5.0 for [A]NEW and [H]MCI, which is 17.2 over three. The two rankings disagree here: Ødegaard wins Gameweek 10 by 0.1, but Doku is 2.4 points ahead over the three gameweeks and has the better captain week after the break. If you are buying one and keeping him, buy Doku.
Chelsea's pair stay on a solid run with [A]SUN → [H]LEE → [A]NFO. Cole Palmer (8.4m, CHE) is Chelsea's penalty taker and projects 5.9 → 5.5 → 5.2 (16.6). Morgan Rogers (8.1m, CHE) is close behind at 5.8 → 5.3 → 5.4 (16.5). Both are held, not bought, at 19.5% and 21.6% ownership, and both drop below 5 from Gameweek 14 when [H]LIV and [A]MCI arrive.
The value end is where the round is won. Pascal Gross (6.1m, BHA), Brighton's penalty taker, projects 5.4 → 5.4 → 5.0 across [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, for 15.8 over three. Marcus Tavernier (5.8m, BOU) projects 5.6 → 4.9 → 4.5 on [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL and comes back to 5.4 for [H]HUL in Gameweek 14. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (6.9m, EVE) is a hidden gem at 4.5% owned with 6.2 for [H]COV. He falls to 4.7 for [A]BRE and [H]LIV, so he is better as a one-gameweek pick than as a hold.
For a cheap midfield slot, Diego Gomez (5.2m, BHA) is owned by 1.0% and projects 4.8 → 5.1 → 4.8 on the same Brighton run. The cheapest useful starter is Shea Charles (4.6m, FUL) at 0.3%: 4.7 → 4.4 → 4.2 over [H]NEW → [A]MCI → [H]BOU, with the best weighted points-per-million of any midfielder.
Best Gameweek 10 forwards
Erling Haaland (12.0m, MCI) is in 78.0% of squads, and that is not changing. He projects 6.3 → 6.5 → 4.3 over [A]NFO → [H]FUL → [A]ARS and is Manchester City's penalty taker. The Arsenal away dip in Gameweek 12 is the one week to plan your captaincy around. Hold him. The decisions that matter are the other two forward slots.
Alexander Isak (8.3m, LIV) is the best non-Haaland forward over three gameweeks: 5.2 → 4.9 → 4.3 on [A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE, which is 14.4. He carries a 0.49 goal threat this week. Evanilson (6.2m, BOU) is the mid-price option at 4.9 → 4.6 → 4.4 (13.9) over Bournemouth's [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL, and [H]HUL in Gameweek 14 puts him back up to 5.1.
The value forward is Charalampos Kostoulas (5.1m, BHA). He projects 4.7 → 4.7 → 4.4 across [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, which is 13.8 over three. That is within 0.1 of Evanilson for 1.1m less, and he is owned by only 5.1%. He has the best weighted points-per-million of any forward. Kai Havertz scores 5.1 this week against Hull but drops to 3.7 and 3.5 afterwards, so he only makes sense as a one-gameweek pick.
Who to captain in Gameweek 10
The model's top captain this round is James Tarkowski (7.4m, EVE) at 7.6 for [H]COV, with Gabriel (8.1m, ARS) just behind at 7.4 for [H]HUL. Gabriel has the safer floor (58% clean sheet chance against 36%) and the bigger goal threat, so the two are close to a coin flip. Martin Ødegaard (8.1m, ARS) at 6.8 is the best attacking captain, and Doku is at 6.7. Haaland at 6.3 is the template choice: captaining him protects you against the 78% who own him, but he sits outside the model's top five this round.
Plan the captaincy across the next rounds. In Gameweek 11 the top projection is Doku at 7.5 against Fulham, ahead of Vuskovic at 6.9 and Haaland at 6.5. In Gameweek 12, Vuskovic leads at 6.1 against Newcastle. Owning Doku and Vuskovic now gives you a strong captain option in each of the next three gameweeks without another transfer. That is a big part of their buy case.
Who to sell before Gameweek 10
Bruno Fernandes (10.5m, MUN) is the sell, and this is the round to do it. [H]AVL is a fair fixture and 5.3 is a respectable return, so this is not a bad week for him. But [A]LIV follows and he drops to 4.0, and his 13.8 over three trails both Doku (19.6) and Ødegaard (17.2) for over 2m less. Selling now lets you sell into a decent score instead of out of a poor one after the break. 39.4% of managers own him, so this is also where a rank gain is available.
Rayan Cherki (9.3m, MCI) is owned by 23.4% and projects only 3.5 → 3.3 → 3.4 on the same City program that has Doku at 19.6 over three. The issue is minutes, not fixtures: Cherki projects 33 minutes in Gameweek 10. The why-now is the swap itself. Doku is 1.0m cheaper, at the same club, so the move is cash-positive and doesn't change your club count.
Emiliano Martinez (5.8m, CHE) is flagged unavailable with a return date of 8 November, and the model has Mike Penders in goal. Martinez projects 0.4 this week and stays under 2.0 every gameweek through Gameweek 15. Owned by 17.5%, he is a dead slot for the whole horizon, so there is no later round worth waiting for.
Gonzalo Garcia (5.7m, FUL) is owned by 11.5% and projects 3.8 for [H]NEW, a perfectly decent fixture. But [A]MCI follows at 3.0, and over three gameweeks he totals 10.0 against Kostoulas's 13.8 for 0.6m less. Sell into the Newcastle game rather than after it.
One popular player is a hold, not a sell. Joao Pedro (8.2m, CHE), owned by 26.9%, is flagged out for Gameweek 10 with a return date of 21 November. The model has him back at 3.9 for [H]LEE and 5.4 for [A]NFO. If your transfer is better spent on Doku or Vuskovic, you can wait a round on this one.
Gameweek 10 transfer plan
If you have one move, Bruno Fernandes or Cherki to Doku is the strongest transfer this preview finds over the next three gameweeks. With a second move, the target is a Brighton defender, Vuskovic, ahead of the Hull trip in Gameweek 11. Check team news on the Sofascore PL predicted lineups before the deadline. The Sofascore PL optimal teams solver shows the best squad for this round. For the round before, read the Sofascore PL Gameweek 9 preview, and find every round in our Sofascore Premier League preview hub.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 10?
James Tarkowski has the highest projection of the round at 7.6 for Everton's home game against Coventry, with Gabriel just behind at 7.4 against Hull and a 58% clean sheet chance. Martin Ødegaard (6.8) is the best attacking captain, and Haaland (6.3) is the template choice.
Who are the best buys for Sofascore PL Gameweek 10?
Jérémy Doku is the best buy, with 19.6 projected points over Gameweeks 10 to 12 ([A]NFO → [H]FUL → [A]ARS) at 4.0% ownership. Luka Vuskovic (19.4) and James Tarkowski (19.6) are the top defenders, and David Raya is the top goalkeeper.
Should I sell Bruno Fernandes before Gameweek 10?
Yes, this is the round to sell Bruno Fernandes. [H]AVL is a fair fixture at 5.3, but he drops to 4.0 at Liverpool in Gameweek 11 and his 13.8 over three gameweeks trails cheaper midfielders like Doku and Ødegaard.
Which budget defenders are best for Sofascore PL Gameweek 10?
Jérémy Jacquet (5.7m) has the best value over the horizon with a flat 5.8 → 5.4 → 5.4. Ethan Pinnock (4.7m, 4.8 → 4.8 → 4.1) and Antonio Silva (5.1m, 5.5 → 5.0 → 4.5) are the cheapest starters worth owning.
What are the best differentials for Sofascore PL Gameweek 10?
Doku (4.0% owned) is the standout differential. James Hill (3.9%, 17.6 over three), Diego Gomez (1.0%) and Charalampos Kostoulas (5.1%, 13.8 over three) are the low-owned picks with strong Gameweek 10 to 12 programs.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.