Bundes Manager Runde 9: captain picks and best buys
Bundes Manager Runde 9 preview: best buys, differentials and who to sell
Bundes Manager Runde 9 is the last round before the international break. Runde 9 is played 6-8 November and Runde 10 does not start until 20 November, so whatever you buy now sits in your team for two weeks before the next round. That makes this a round to buy programs, not single fixtures. Bayern München and VfB Stuttgart have the best attacking runs over Runde 9-11, Borussia Dortmund have the best defensive one, and Freiburg are the value team of the round. RB Leipzig are the trap: a good home game now, then two away trips that pull their players down hard.
All numbers below come from our model's projections. The full list is on the Bundes Manager player picks page, and last round's analysis is in the Bundes Manager Runde 8 preview.
Bundes Manager Runde 9 programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning
Bayern have the strongest three-round run in the game: [A]Mainz 05 → [H]1. FC Köln → [A]Hamburger SV adds up to 7.55 expected goals. Stuttgart are close behind at 7.14 with [H]Werder Bremen → [A]Schalke 04 → [H]Eintracht Frankfurt, and they also carry 1.05 expected clean sheets. Dortmund top the defensive column with 1.11 expected clean sheets from [H]Elversberg → [A]Borussia Mönchengladbach → [H]Bayer Leverkusen. Their Elversberg game is the best single fixture of the round, with a 76% win probability and a 38% clean sheet chance.
| Team | Runde 9 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (Runde 9-11) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | [A]M05 | 66% | 2.82 | 24% | [A]M05 → [H]KOE → [A]HSV | 7.55 | 0.96 |
| VfB Stuttgart | [H]WER | 64% | 2.51 | 28% | [H]WER → [A]S04 → [H]FRA | 7.14 | 1.05 |
| Borussia Dortmund | [H]ELV | 76% | 2.87 | 38% | [H]ELV → [A]BMG → [H]B04 | 6.72 | 1.11 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | [A]KOE | 58% | 2.25 | 27% | [A]KOE → [H]SCP → [A]BVB | 6.41 | 0.97 |
| Freiburg | [H]FCU | 64% | 2.19 | 38% | [H]FCU → [A]ELV → [H]RBL | 5.61 | 1.04 |
| Hoffenheim | [H]S04 | 58% | 2.17 | 30% | [H]S04 → [A]FRA → [H]FCA | 5.47 | 0.76 |
| RB Leipzig | [H]FCA | 66% | 2.67 | 27% | [H]FCA → [A]FCU → [A]SCF | 5.35 | 0.72 |
| Werder Bremen | [A]STU | 17% | 1.28 | 8% | [A]STU → [H]HSV → [H]BMG | 5.06 | 0.82 |
Freiburg are the quiet one. [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig is worth 5.61 goals and 1.04 clean sheets, and their players are cheap. Leverkusen's [A]1. FC Köln → [H]Paderborn → [A]Borussia Dortmund is two good weeks and one hard one. Plan to own their attackers for Runde 9 and 10 and reassess before the Dortmund trip.
Leipzig look strong on paper this round: [H]Augsburg carries a 66% win probability. But [A]Union Berlin → [A]Freiburg follows, and their 3-round total of 5.35 goals is mid-table. That is the definition of a sell-into team. Every club has three fixtures in the window, so there are no blanks to plan around. At the bottom, Elversberg ([A]Dortmund → [H]Freiburg → [A]Köln, 2.90 goals), Schalke 04 (2.95) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (3.18) have the weakest programs. Avoid their players for now. You can check every team's run on the Bundes Manager fixture schedule.
Best goalkeepers for Bundes Manager Runde 9
Gregor Kobel (5.8m, Dortmund) is the top keeper this round and over three: 87k → 92k → 56k for [H]Elversberg → [A]Borussia Mönchengladbach → [H]Bayer Leverkusen, 235k in total. The Leverkusen week is the weak one. Two strong fixtures in front of the break are what make him the buy, and Dortmund are back at 102k in Runde 12. About 10% of managers own him.
Mio Backhaus (4.4m, Freiburg) is the value pick. His program is [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig at 77k → 78k → 56k, with a 38% clean sheet chance this round. He stays above 50k in every one of the next six rounds, so he is a keeper you can buy and stop thinking about.
Dennis Seimen (4.6m, Stuttgart) is the differential at 1.7% ownership. His program is [H]Werder Bremen → [A]Schalke 04 → [H]Eintracht Frankfurt at 69k → 97k → 56k, so the Runde 10 trip to Schalke is his big week. Over three rounds he scores 222k, more than Backhaus. Bayern's Jonas Urbig projects 79k this round while Manuel Neuer is out, but he drops to 14k in Runde 10. He is a one-round option at best.
Best defenders for Bundes Manager Runde 9
Matthias Ginter (4.0m, Freiburg) is the best defender in the game this round and over the next three. He projects 103k → 94k → 66k for [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig, 263k in total. He is also Freiburg's penalty taker, which is rare for a centre-back and explains why his ceiling is so much higher than his teammates'. At 25.6k per million he is the best-value defender in the pool, and only 5.9% own him.
Nathaniel Brown (5.2m, Bayern) is owned by 33% and deserves to be. His program is [A]Mainz 05 → [H]1. FC Köln → [A]Hamburger SV at 91k → 95k → 68k for 254k, and Runde 12 at home to Paderborn is his best week of all at 143k. He is a hold, not a sale, for anyone who has him.
The Dortmund defence is the clean sheet stack. Daniel Svensson (4.7m, Dortmund) projects 87k → 86k → 45k for [H]Elversberg → [A]Borussia Mönchengladbach → [H]Bayer Leverkusen. Julian Ryerson (6.0m, Dortmund) is slightly higher on the same program at 92k → 88k → 45k but costs 1.3m more. Ryerson out-scores Brown this round, 92k against 91k, but Brown has 28k more over three rounds. If you are buying one defender to keep, buy Brown. Pairing Kobel with a Dortmund defender doubles up on the same clean sheet, which is the right kind of risk when the fixtures are this good.
Miguel Gutiérrez (4.7m, Leverkusen) is the Runde 10 play. His program reads [A]1. FC Köln → [H]Paderborn → [A]Borussia Dortmund at 80k → 106k → 39k. If you want him, buy him now: the Paderborn game comes straight after the break.
On a budget, Lukas Kübler (3.2m, Freiburg) gives you 76k → 69k → 43k for [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig at 0.7% ownership. That is 23.9k per million, and his fee is only about 32k. Bundes Manager allows four players per club, so Kübler fits next to Ginter and Backhaus.
Best midfielders for Bundes Manager Runde 9
Michael Olise (10.7m, Bayern) is in nearly half of all teams, and he holds his value: 150k → 146k → 103k over [A]Mainz 05 → [H]1. FC Köln → [A]Hamburger SV, then 216k in Runde 12. He is not where you gain ground on the field, but he is not a sale either.
Felix Nmecha (4.6m, Dortmund) is the best mid-priced buy. He projects 113k → 101k → 57k for [H]Elversberg → [A]Borussia Mönchengladbach → [H]Bayer Leverkusen, and at 24.8k per million he gives you three-quarters of Olise's Runde 9 projection for well under half the price. He drops in Runde 11 against Leverkusen, then returns to 95k in Runde 12, so he is a hold through the break.
Leverkusen's two attacking midfielders are the best Runde 10 buys. Ibrahim Maza (4.6m, Leverkusen) goes 95k → 117k → 44k and Afonso Moreira (3.8m, Leverkusen) goes 96k → 115k → 42k for [A]1. FC Köln → [H]Paderborn → [A]Borussia Dortmund. The Dortmund trip is the dip. Both are back above 120k in Runde 12, so this is a hold rather than a two-round rental.
Derry Scherhant (3.6m, Freiburg) has the best points per million of any midfielder at 26.4k. His program is [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig at 96k → 86k → 61k. That is three decent fixtures for a cheap price, the most durable kind of pick there is.
Two hidden gems are owned by fewer than 2% of managers. Andrej Kramaric (6.8m, Hoffenheim) projects 126k this round, the sixth-highest of any player, and 299k over [H]Schalke 04 → [A]Eintracht Frankfurt → [H]Augsburg. Only 1.1% own him. Jan-Niklas Beste (3.7m, Freiburg) is the budget version on [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig at 90k → 81k → 53k and 1.4% ownership. Bayern's Ismael Saibari has 304k over three rounds, but the model gives him only 56 minutes this round. That is too much rotation risk for 7.3m.
Best forwards for Bundes Manager Runde 9
Harry Kane is the obvious one at 58.6% ownership, and he leads every forward over three rounds with 457k. The differentiators sit behind him.
Serhou Guirassy (8.8m, Dortmund) projects 175k this round, only 3k behind Kane, for 6.5m less. His program is [H]Elversberg → [A]Borussia Mönchengladbach → [H]Bayer Leverkusen at 175k → 151k → 90k, and he is back at 178k in Runde 12. Only 14.8% own him.
Deniz Undav (8.1m, Stuttgart) is the rising pick. He goes 144k → 159k → 101k over [H]Werder Bremen → [A]Schalke 04 → [H]Eintracht Frankfurt, 403k in total, with 6.5% ownership. Patrik Schick (8.2m, Leverkusen) has the highest Runde 10 projection of any player at 167k, on [A]1. FC Köln → [H]Paderborn → [A]Borussia Dortmund (135k → 167k → 61k). He is also Leverkusen's penalty taker. His 61k at Dortmund in Runde 11 is why Undav is the better three-round hold. If you are planning only to Runde 10, Schick is the pick.
The cheap forward of the round is Lucas Höler (3.1m, Freiburg): 91k → 80k → 56k for [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig, at 29.7k per million. That is the best value of any forward in the game, and 0.6% own him. His teammate Yuito Suzuki (4.3m, Freiburg) has the same program and almost the same projections (91k → 82k → 55k) but is owned by 11.1%. Hold Werder's Niclas Füllkrug if you have him: he goes 52k → 73k → 122k as Bremen move from Stuttgart away to two home games.
Bundes Manager Runde 9 captain picks
The captain scores double in Bundes Manager. Harry Kane (15.2m, Bayern) is the pick at 178k, so 356k with the armband, for [A]Mainz 05 → [H]1. FC Köln → [A]Hamburger SV. He is Bayern's penalty taker and has the highest weighted six-round projection in the game. Your captaincy plan should run through him for a while.
Serhou Guirassy (8.8m, Dortmund) at 175k is the differential captain on [H]Elversberg → [A]Borussia Mönchengladbach → [H]Bayer Leverkusen. Bayern are away and Dortmund are at home to Elversberg, who have the weakest program in the league, so the gap is only 3k. Michael Olise (150k) and Deniz Undav (144k) complete the top four. For Runde 10, Patrik Schick (167k) and Undav (159k) lead, and Kane is third at 153k. That is a strong argument for owning one of those two next to Kane.
Who to sell before Bundes Manager Runde 9
Luis Diaz (9.1m, Bayern) is owned by 15.2% and is out injured until 28 November. That covers Runde 9 and Runde 10, and the model has him at -5k in both, with Bayern's [A]Mainz 05 → [H]1. FC Köln → [A]Hamburger SV going to waste. Sell now: he is your most expensive dead slot until Runde 12, where he projects 165k against Paderborn. He is worth buying back then.
Tidiam Gomis (3.4m, Leipzig) is owned by 34.4% but projects only 24 minutes this round. His program reads [H]Augsburg → [A]Union Berlin → [A]Freiburg at 44k → 25k → 25k. Runde 9 is the best of those three, and it is still poor. There is no reason to wait. Scherhant or Beste are better midfielders at the same price.
Antonio Nusa (5.4m, Leipzig) is the sell-into case. [H]Augsburg is a genuinely good fixture, and his 106k is a fine score, so keep him for Runde 9. After that, [A]Union Berlin → [A]Freiburg drops him to 52k and 44k. With 23.8% ownership, this is the round to plan his sale, and he should not be in your team for Runde 10. Nmecha or Maza are the natural replacements.
Anthony Caci (3.5m, Mainz 05) is in 29.1% of teams and projects 13k against Bayern. The following [A]Augsburg → [H]Union Berlin is better at 40k and 47k, but the whole run is worth 99k. Kübler gives you 189k for less money. Sell him now, before the Bayern game.
For a full squad built from these projections, see the Bundes Manager optimal teams. Check the predicted lineups before the deadline, because minutes for Saibari, Gomis and the Bayern midfield can still change. The market probabilities show the odds behind every fixture. More rounds are in the Bundes Manager preview hub, and general strategy is in our holdet.dk manager strategy guide.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Bundes Manager Runde 9?
Harry Kane is the captain pick with 178k projected, 356k with the armband, for Bayern's trip to Mainz 05. Serhou Guirassy is the differential choice at 175k against Elversberg, and only 14.8% of managers own him.
Who are the best budget buys for Bundes Manager Runde 9?
Freiburg's Lucas Höler (3.1m, 91k), Derry Scherhant (3.6m, 96k) and Lukas Kübler (3.2m, 76k) give the best value. All three have [H]Union Berlin → [A]Elversberg → [H]RB Leipzig ahead of them.
Should I sell Luis Diaz before Bundes Manager Runde 9?
Yes. Luis Diaz is out until 28 November, which covers Runde 9 and Runde 10. Sell him now and consider buying him back for Runde 12, where he projects 165k.
What are the best differentials for Bundes Manager Runde 9?
Andrej Kramaric (1.1% owned, 126k), Deniz Undav (6.5%, 144k rising to 159k) and Matthias Ginter (5.9%, 103k and Freiburg's penalty taker) are the strongest low-ownership picks.
Which team has the best fixtures in Bundes Manager Runde 9-11?
Bayern München have the best attacking run with 7.55 expected goals over [A]Mainz 05 → [H]1. FC Köln → [A]Hamburger SV. Borussia Dortmund have the best defensive run with 1.11 expected clean sheets.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.