Bundes Manager Runde 10: captain picks and best buys

Bundes Manager Runde 10 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Bundes Manager Runde 10 opens on Friday 20 November with Bayern München - 1. FC Köln, the first round after the international break. The break gives you two weeks to plan, and Runde 10 is the right moment to set up the next three rounds. Bayern host Köln and Paderborn either side of a trip to Hamburg. Leverkusen have the same shape with Paderborn and Gladbach around a visit to Dortmund. Werder Bremen get two home games before their run turns hard. Every pick below comes with its next-three program, because that is what makes a transfer worth its fee.

The numbers come from our model's projections. Compare them with the full Bundes Manager player picks, and check the predicted lineups before the deadline. Last round's analysis is in the Bundes Manager Runde 9 preview.

Bundes Manager Runde 10 programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning

Bayern's [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP is the best three-round run in the game by a distance: 9.54 expected goals and 1.37 expected clean sheets. Köln get a 3% win probability on Friday, and Paderborn get 2% in Runde 12. Hamburg away is the round to plan around, not to avoid, because Bayern still project 2.04 goals there.

Leverkusen's [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG is the second-best program (7.12 expected goals, 1.02 clean sheets). Leverkusen have a 41% clean-sheet chance this round and 42% against Gladbach in Runde 12, so two very good home games make up for the Dortmund week. Dortmund are the program to buy into a round late. Their [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04 holds 1.09 expected clean sheets, and the 54% clean-sheet chance at Schalke in Runde 12 is the highest of any team in the three rounds.

Werder Bremen are a two-round story. [H]HSV → [H]BMG is two home games with 30% and 41% clean-sheet chances. After that comes [A]FRA → [H]B04 → [A]FCB, so any Bremen player you buy now should already have a sell-again date of Runde 12. Mainz work the same way one round later: [A]FCA is average, while [H]FCU in Runde 11 carries a 51% clean-sheet chance and 2.31 expected goals.

At the bottom of the 3-round table are Union Berlin ([H]RBL → [A]M05 → [H]HSV, 2.72 expected goals), Schalke ([H]STU → [A]SCP → [H]BVB, 2.92) and Gladbach ([H]BVB → [A]WER → [A]B04, 2.96 goals and just 0.29 expected clean sheets). Gladbach have the weakest defensive program in the game. All nine fixtures per round are in the Bundes Manager schedule, and the bookmaker view is on market probabilities.

One limit shapes every squad this round: Bundes Manager allows at most four players from one club. With Harry Kane and Michael Olise already on most teams, that leaves room for two more Bayern players. Choosing those two is one of the biggest decisions of Runde 10.

Goalkeepers for Runde 10

Manuel Neuer (5.88m, FCB) is the top keeper over the horizon: 103k → 65k → 100k on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP, 268k in total. Bayern have a 49% clean-sheet chance on Friday and 53% against Paderborn. Only 5.9% of managers own him. He does use one of your four Bayern spots, though, and Kane, Olise and Lennart Karl all compete for those.

Mark Flekken (4.93m, B04) is the pick if your Bayern spots are full: 91k → 49k → 92k on [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG, 232k over three. Gregor Kobel (5.89m, BVB) also projects 232k over the same three rounds, but his comes late (74k → 55k → 102k). If you are buying one keeper now and holding him, Flekken gets his points earlier and costs 0.96m less. Kobel is the keeper to buy for Runde 12 at Schalke.

The value pick is Karl Hein (3.62m, WER) at 66k → 80k → 46k on [H]HSV → [H]BMG → [A]FRA. This is a two-round buy. Runde 11 against Gladbach is his best week, and Bremen's run after that ([A]FRA → [H]B04 → [A]FCB) makes Runde 12 the round to sell him again.

Defenders for Runde 10

Nathaniel Brown (5.18m, FCB) leads all defenders over three rounds with 143k → 78k → 137k (358k) on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP. He has 0.27 expected goals and 0.19 expected assists against Köln. At 35.9% ownership he is the template defender, so owning him protects your rank rather than winning you ground.

The differential is Josip Stanisic (4.36m, FCB), who is owned by 1.6%: 116k → 65k → 113k on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP, 294k in total, with 80 projected minutes on Friday. Jonathan Tah (4.31m, FCB) is close behind at 110k → 60k → 104k. With a four-player cap at Bayern, think of these as competing for one slot, and Stanisic has the higher three-round total.

From Leverkusen, Miguel Gutiérrez (4.70m, B04) projects 95k → 39k → 98k on [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG (232k). The budget version is Facundo Medina (3.46m, B04) at 82k → 32k → 82k on the same [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG. His 23.7k per million this round is the best defender value outside Bayern. Both dip at Dortmund in Runde 11, then return to full value against Gladbach.

Matthias Ginter (4.04m, SCF) is the hold-and-forget option: 86k → 67k → 65k on [A]ELV → [H]RBL → [H]HOF, then 58k and 69k in the two rounds after. He is Freiburg's penalty taker and projects 84 minutes every week, so his score barely depends on the fixture. If you own Anthony Caci (3.46m, M05, 19.5% owned), keep him through Runde 11. On [A]FCA → [H]FCU → [A]RBL he projects 56k → 97k → 37k, so the Union Berlin home game is his week. Dortmund's Nico Schlotterbeck and Daniel Svensson (76k → 50k → 104k) can wait a round, since the 104k at Schalke in Runde 12 is what makes them worth buying.

Midfielders for Runde 10

Michael Olise (10.77m, FCB) is on 47.4% of teams and projects 246k → 121k → 234k. Telling you to own him is not useful advice. The midfield spots that move ranks are the ones after him.

Lennart Karl (5.87m, FCB) is the hidden gem of the round. He projects 157k → 80k → 150k on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP, 387k over three, and at 26.7k per million he is the best midfield value in the game this round. Only 6.4% own him. If you have one Bayern slot left after Kane and Olise, he is the strongest use of it.

Felix Nmecha (4.57m, BVB) has the best non-Bayern midfield program: 102k → 66k → 118k on [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04, 287k in total, and 79 projected minutes this round. Ibrahim Maza (4.74m, B04) is the Leverkusen equivalent at 110k → 45k → 109k on [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG (264k). Nadiem Amiri (6.18m, M05) projects 259k over the three rounds, almost the same as Maza, and he is Mainz's penalty taker. But his total comes from one week (84k → 122k → 54k). Maza is the better buy for Runde 10, while Amiri is a Runde 11 option if you want the Union Berlin game.

The budget midfielder is Chuki (3.37m, WER) at 80k → 99k → 44k on [H]HSV → [H]BMG → [A]FRA, owned by 1.0%. He is a clear two-round buy with a 34k fee, and Runde 12 is the round to sell him. Konstantinos Karetsas (3.34m, BVB) is already on 25.8% of teams and projects 79k → 47k → 90k, which is a hold, not a buy.

One to plan for: Said El Mala (5.99m, KOE) projects only 10k at Bayern this round, then 128k against Elversberg in Runde 11 and 73k → 78k after it. Do not buy him now. He is a buy for Runde 11, once the Bayern game is behind him.

Forwards for Runde 10

Harry Kane (15.27m, FCB) is the highest-projected player in all three rounds: 259k → 145k → 244k (649k) on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP. He takes Bayern's penalties and has 1.02 expected goals on Friday. At 58.2% ownership, not owning him is a big risk.

Patrik Schick (8.33m, B04) is the second premium forward: 203k → 83k → 191k on [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG, 477k over three. He is Leverkusen's penalty taker and has 0.84 expected goals against Paderborn. At 24.3k per million he is better value than Kane this round, and he is on only 17.2% of teams.

Fabio Silva (4.74m, BVB) is the value forward: 114k → 71k → 122k on [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04, 307k, with 73 projected minutes as Dortmund's starter. Deniz Undav (8.24m, STU) is where this round and the horizon disagree. Niclas Füllkrug (5.58m, WER) out-scores him on Friday (116k to 111k), but Undav projects 111k → 105k → 123k → 155k on [A]S04 → [H]FRA → [A]ELV → [H]FCU. That is 339k over three, against Füllkrug's 303k, and Undav's best round is still to come. If you are buying one forward to keep, buy Undav.

The cheap forward is Marco Grüll (3.85m, WER): 97k → 115k → 53k on [H]HSV → [H]BMG → [A]FRA, at 25.1k per million this round. Like Chuki and Hein, he is a two-round Bremen pick to sell before Runde 12. Sheraldo Becker (4.67m, M05) at 90k → 128k → 57k is the Mainz version, with Union Berlin at home in Runde 11.

Runde 10 captain picks

Bundes Manager doubles your captain's points. Harry Kane (15.27m, FCB) is the clear choice at 259k against Köln, with 1.02 expected goals plus Bayern's penalties, and his program ([H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP) keeps him the top option for all three rounds. Michael Olise is a close second at 246k, with 0.78 expected goals and 0.47 expected assists. Pick him if you want to split from the most popular captain without leaving the Bayern game. Patrik Schick at 203k against Paderborn is the real differential captain.

Looking ahead, Kane is still the top captain in Runde 11 (145k at Hamburg, ahead of Becker and El Mala at 128k) and in Runde 12 (244k against Paderborn, with Olise on 234k). No other premium offers a captain option across all three rounds, which is the main reason to keep Kane through the whole program. Compare captain options and full squads on the Bundes Manager optimal teams page.

Who to sell before Runde 10

Luis Diaz (9.11m, FCB) is the clearest sale. He is unavailable and projects nothing in Runde 10 on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP. The model then has him at only 50k at Hamburg and 85k against Paderborn as he returns. Sell him now: the absence covers this round, and the 9.11m buys Lennart Karl with money to spare. Karl projects 257k more than Diaz over the next three rounds.

Antonio Nusa (5.77m, RBL) is owned by 25.2% and projects 22k → 26k → 34k on [A]FCU → [A]SCF → [H]M05, with only 17 projected minutes in Runde 10. No round in his next five goes above 35k, so there is nothing to wait for.

Serhou Guirassy (8.91m, BVB) has a fine fixture this round. Dortmund project 2.14 goals at Gladbach, but Guirassy is projected for 23 minutes because Fabio Silva starts. That gives him 59k → 57k → 109k on [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04, against Silva's 114k → 71k → 122k, at almost twice the price. The reason to sell is his role, not the fixture, and that is true from this round on. The same goes for Younes Ebnoutalib (4.11m, FRA), owned by 22.2%. Frankfurt's [H]HOF is a decent game, but he projects 26 minutes and 39k → 32k → 43k on [H]HOF → [A]STU → [H]WER. Jonathan Burkardt (6.61m, FRA) is the Frankfurt forward who scores the points.

Two popular picks can wait a round. Tidiam Gomis (3.43m, RBL), owned by 35.9%, projects a solid 91k at Union Berlin. Then Leipzig go [A]SCF → [H]M05 and he drops to 43k and 57k. Keep him for Runde 10 and make him your sale for Runde 11. Niclas Füllkrug (5.58m, WER), owned by 20.9%, has 116k → 122k from the two Bremen home games. After that he falls to 65k → 67k → 33k on [A]FRA → [H]B04 → [A]FCB. Hold him for two rounds and sell him before Runde 12.

More Bundes Manager analysis is in our Bundes Manager preview hub.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Bundes Manager Runde 10?

Harry Kane is the best captain in Bundes Manager Runde 10, with 259k projected at home to Köln before doubling. Michael Olise (246k) is the closest alternative, and Patrik Schick (203k against Paderborn) is the differential choice.

Who are the best Bundes Manager differentials for Runde 10?

Lennart Karl (5.87m, 6.4% owned) is the best differential, projecting 387k over Runde 10-12. Josip Stanisic (4.36m, 1.6%) and Chuki (3.37m, 1.0%) are the cheaper low-ownership picks.

Should I sell Luis Diaz before Bundes Manager Runde 10?

Yes. Luis Diaz is unavailable and projects nothing in Runde 10, then only 50k and 85k in the next two rounds. Lennart Karl costs less and projects 257k more over the same three rounds.

Which budget defenders are best for Bundes Manager Runde 10?

Facundo Medina (3.46m, Leverkusen) is the best budget defender, with 82k projected against Paderborn and 82k again against Gladbach in Runde 12. Matthias Ginter (4.04m, Freiburg) is the steadier option at 86k → 67k → 65k.

Which teams have the best Bundes Manager fixtures after the international break?

Bayern have the best next-three program ([H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP, 9.54 expected goals), followed by Leverkusen ([H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG). Werder Bremen have two home games before their run turns hard.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.