Tattico Serie A Matchday 12: captain picks, best buys

Tattico Fantasy Serie A Matchday 12 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Tattico Fantasy Serie A Matchday 12 lands after the international break, with the first games on Saturday 21 November. That gives you two weeks to plan, and the plan should cover three matchdays, not one. Juventus and Napoli carry the best clean-sheet runs in the game across Matchdays 12-14, Inter have the strongest attacking program, and Lazio and Como have big home fixtures in Matchday 12 that fade straight afterwards. This preview covers who to buy, who to captain, the cheaper picks that win mini-leagues, and who to sell. All numbers are the model's projected points; check the live Tattico player picks before the deadline, because lineups move over a break.

The programs: whose next three Matchdays are worth owning

Rank teams on Matchdays 12, 13 and 14 together. Inter's run of [A]ATA → [H]GEN → [A]FRC is the best attacking program in the game at 6.42 expected goals, and Inter have been the league's top attack so far at 2.64 xG per game. The Atalanta trip is the hardest part, but Genoa and Frosinone follow. Juventus ([H]VEN → [A]COM → [H]UDI) and Napoli ([H]TOR → [A]SAS → [H]LEC) share the best defensive outlook at 1.35 expected clean sheets each. Juventus also allow the lowest xG in Serie A, just 0.57 per game. Milan ([H]FRC → [A]CGL → [H]PAR) and Roma ([A]PAR → [H]MON → [A]BOL) are close behind on both measures.

Lazio ([H]LEC → [A]TOR → [H]ATA) and Como ([H]CGL → [H]JUV → [A]MON) are this round's sell-into teams. Both get a 70%+ home win in Matchday 12, and both programs drop off after it. Their attackers top the Matchday 12 table, so owning them now is fine. Just plan the exit before Matchday 13. At the other end, Parma ([H]ROM → [A]FRC → [A]MIL), Lecce ([A]LAZ → [H]ATA → [A]NAP) and Cagliari ([A]COM → [H]MIL → [A]FIO) have the weakest three-round runs. Avoid their defenders. Every club plays in each of the three rounds, so there are no blanks to plan around. Kick-off times are on the Tattico schedule.

Win probability, expected goals and clean sheet are for Matchday 12. The 3-round columns add up Matchdays 12-14; 3-round CS is expected clean sheets out of three games.

Best goalkeepers for Tattico Matchday 12

Guglielmo Vicario (6.1m, JUV) is the keeper to own. His program is [H]VEN → [A]COM → [H]UDI and his points run 4.9 → 4.0 → 5.2, which adds up to 14.1 over three Matchdays, the most of any goalkeeper. Juventus have a 47% clean-sheet chance against Venezia, the best of the round. The Como away game is the one to plan around, and the Udinese home game makes up for it.

For a cheaper option, Alex Meret (5.1m, NAP) ([H]TOR → [A]SAS → [H]LEC) projects 4.8 → 4.0 → 4.7, for 13.5. That is only 0.6 behind Vicario for a full million less. Pierluigi Gollini (4.6m, ROM) is the cheapest keeper with a top Matchday 12 score: 4.9 at Parma, where Roma have a 45% clean-sheet chance. His program then fades, 4.9 → 4.0 → 3.6, so treat him as a Matchday 12 pick. This is where the rankings split. Gollini, Jean Butez (Como) and Vicario are level on Matchday 12, but Vicario is clearly ahead over three rounds. If you are buying one keeper to keep, buy Vicario.

Best defenders for Tattico Matchday 12

Gleison Bremer (6.9m, JUV) is the top defender over the next three: [H]VEN → [A]COM → [H]UDI, 5.6 → 4.1 → 5.7, for 15.4. He is also the second-best captain option this round and the best in Matchday 14, so he is worth buying now rather than later. Pierre Kalulu (6.1m, JUV) follows the same curve (5.3 → 4.1 → 5.5) for 0.8m less. The budget way into this defence is Jhon Lucumi (4.6m, JUV): 4.8 → 3.7 → 5.0, for 13.5 over three rounds, the best three-round total of any defender at 5.0m or less. Remember the three-per-club cap. A Juventus keeper plus two Juventus defenders is the most you can pair, and it is a good pairing because they all score from the same clean sheet.

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (5.6m, NAP) is the strongest defender outside Turin. His program is [H]TOR → [A]SAS → [H]LEC, 5.2 → 4.5 → 5.4, for 15.1. That is the second-best three-round total in the position and the steadiest, with no round below 4.5. Rafa Marin (4.6m, NAP) plays the same program for 13.1 (4.5 → 3.9 → 4.7) and is the other good budget defender.

If you want an attacking defender, Carlos Augusto (6.1m, INT) ([A]ATA → [H]GEN → [A]FRC) projects 4.5 → 4.9 → 4.3, and he stays between 4.3 and 4.9 all the way to Matchday 17. That flat line means you can buy him and stop thinking about him. He has 1.68 xG and 1.73 xA in 535 Serie A minutes this season — 0.57 xG plus xA per 90. Strahinja Pavlovic (7.0m, MIL) ([H]FRC → [A]CGL → [H]PAR) rises to 5.5 in Matchday 14 and totals 14.7. He is the premium choice if you have the money.

The cheapest defender worth a slot is Radu Dragusin (3.8m, FIO). His program is [A]MON → [A]UDI → [H]CGL and his points rise 3.7 → 3.9 → 4.2. The trend is the point: he gets better as Fiorentina's fixtures ease. Romano Floriani (4.7m, LAZ) scores 5.3 at home to Lecce but drops to 4.0 and 3.8 after that, so he is a one-round pick only.

Best midfielders for Tattico Matchday 12

Tijjani Noslin (6.3m, LAZ) projects 5.7, the highest score of anyone in Matchday 12. His program is [H]LEC → [A]TOR → [H]ATA, 5.7 → 3.8 → 4.1, and his 13.6 three-round total is still the best of any midfielder. He has 4 goals and 3 assists so far (2.15 xG, 0.42 xA in 578 minutes). The drop after Matchday 12 is real, but at 6.3m he is still the best midfielder to buy and keep.

Matias Soulé (8.2m, ROM) is the premium midfielder whose program holds up best: [A]PAR → [H]MON → [A]BOL, 5.0 → 4.2 → 3.9, for 13.1. He has 2.63 xG and 2.11 xA in 673 minutes, or 0.63 xG plus xA per 90, so the points come from both goals and assists. Scott McTominay (8.6m, NAP) ([H]TOR → [A]SAS → [H]LEC, 4.7 → 3.7 → 4.1) is Napoli's penalty taker and the steadier alternative at a similar price.

The midfielder to buy before his points rise is Franco Mastantuono (6.6m, FIO). His program is [A]MON → [A]UDI → [H]CGL and his points climb 3.9 → 4.4 → 4.4, for 12.7. That puts him third among midfielders over three rounds while ranking far lower for Matchday 12. He has 4 goals from 3.21 xG this season. On a budget, his teammate Alieu Njie (4.5m, FIO) plays the same program for 3.8 → 3.7 → 3.7. That is 11.2 for a near-minimum price, with 0.51 xG plus xA per 90 behind it.

Nico Paz (10.8m, COM) is the hold-then-sell. [H]CGL gives him 5.5 in Matchday 12, the third-best score of the round, but [H]JUV → [A]MON follows and he drops to 3.1 and 3.5. If you own him, keep him for Matchday 12 and sell him before Matchday 13. If you do not own him, there is no reason to spend a transfer on one fixture. Davide Frattesi (4.9m, LAZ) is the cheap version of the same one-round trade: 4.7 → 3.1 → 3.3.

Best forwards for Tattico Matchday 12

Goncalo Ramos (8.2m, MIL) is the forward to buy now. His program is [H]FRC → [A]CGL → [H]PAR, and he scores 5.1 in Matchday 12, the most of any forward, then 3.8 and 4.4, for 13.3. Milan's run starts this round, so buy before it starts, not halfway through. He has 3.94 xG in 890 minutes but only 2 goals, so the chances are coming and the finishing has not caught up yet.

Marcus Thuram (10.8m, INT) is the long hold: [A]ATA → [H]GEN → [A]FRC, 4.6 → 4.3 → 4.6, for 13.5, the most of any forward over three rounds. He keeps that level through Matchday 17 ([H]TOR → [A]LEC → [H]SAS). He has 5 goals and 2 assists, with 0.69 xG plus xA per 90 this season. The two rankings disagree here. Ramos wins Matchday 12 by 0.5, while Thuram wins three rounds by 0.2 and his schedule stays good after that. If you only have room for one, Ramos is better value. If you can afford both, own both.

Randal Kolo Muani (7.1m, JUV) ([H]VEN → [A]COM → [H]UDI, 4.8 → 3.0 → 4.1) is the best mid-priced option, and his points follow the same Juventus curve as Bremer's. Mateo Pellegrino (5.9m, FIO) ([A]MON → [A]UDI → [H]CGL, 3.9 → 3.4 → 3.3) is the cheap forward with a starting role. Anastasios Douvikas (8.4m, COM) scores 4.9 at home to Cagliari but then drops to 3.0, so leave him out.

Best captain picks for Tattico Matchday 12

The captain scores double. Tijjani Noslin (6.3m, LAZ) is the top pick at 5.7 against Lecce ([H]LEC → [A]TOR → [H]ATA). Lazio have a 70% win probability, and he has 4 goals and 3 assists this season. Gleison Bremer (6.9m, JUV) is right behind at 5.6 ([H]VEN → [A]COM → [H]UDI), and he is the safer floor, because Juventus's 47% clean-sheet chance is the best of the round. Nico Paz (5.5) is the third option if you already own him.

Look ahead before you decide who to buy. Matchday 13's top projections are Inter defenders at home to Genoa: Alessandro Bastoni and Carlos Augusto, both at 4.9. Matchday 14 brings Bremer back to the top at 5.7 against Udinese, with Pavlovic and Kalulu at 5.5. So Bremer is a captain option in two of the next three rounds, and that is the strongest reason to buy him now.

Who to sell before Tattico Matchday 12

Lautaro Martinez (11.2m, INT) is the clearest sale. He is flagged unavailable with a listed return of 17 November, and the model projects only 1.3 → 1.3 → 1.5 for him over [A]ATA → [H]GEN → [A]FRC, still under 2 per round through Matchday 17. Inter's program is the best in the game, but Thuram is the Inter attacker who scores those points. Why now: his projection does not recover inside the planning window, so waiting gives you nothing.

Rasmus Højlund (9.4m, NAP) is the next sale, and it is not about Napoli's fixtures. [H]TOR → [A]SAS → [H]LEC is a good program. His problem is minutes. He is projected for about 60, which gives 3.8 → 3.0 → 3.3, while Ramos costs 1.2m less and projects 5.1 → 3.8 → 4.4. Why now: Milan's run starts in Matchday 12, so this round is the moment to swap.

Nick Woltemade (9.0m, JUV) plays behind Kolo Muani on the same [H]VEN → [A]COM → [H]UDI program. Even at home to Venezia he projects only 3.5, then 2.3 and 2.9. Why now: if he cannot score well against Venezia, the rounds after are worse, and Kolo Muani does the job for 1.9m less. Paulo Dybala (8.6m, ROM) has a strong rate when he plays, with 1.04 xG plus xA per 90, but he is projected for only about 40 minutes and falls 3.6 → 2.4 → 1.6. Soulé is the cheaper Roma player, and he scores more in every one of the three rounds.

Hidden gems and differentials for Matchday 12

Ownership data is not available for this game, so these are picks most managers will overlook because of price or because their points come later. Radu Dragusin (3.8m, FIO) ([A]MON → [A]UDI → [H]CGL) and Alieu Njie (4.5m, FIO) both improve as Fiorentina's fixtures ease. Franco Mastantuono is the mid-priced version, at 4.4 in both Matchday 13 and 14. Rafa Marin gets Napoli's 1.35 expected clean sheets at a budget price. Carlos Augusto is the defender most likely to score through attacking returns. The live optimal teams for Tattico show how these fit around the premiums, and the predicted Serie A lineups are worth checking once the squads come back from the break. Match odds behind the projections are on the market probabilities page.

Last round's picks are in the Tattico Matchday 11 preview, every round is collected in our Tattico preview hub, and our fantasy football guides cover the strategy behind the numbers.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Tattico Serie A Matchday 12?

Tijjani Noslin is the top captain pick at 5.7 projected points at home to Lecce, where Lazio have a 70% win probability. Gleison Bremer (5.6, home to Venezia) is the safer alternative and also tops Matchday 14.

Which budget defenders are best for Tattico Matchday 12?

Jhon Lucumi (4.6m, Juventus) projects 13.5 over Matchdays 12-14. Rafa Marin (4.6m, Napoli) projects 13.1. Radu Dragusin (3.8m, Fiorentina) is the cheapest defender worth a slot, and his points rise 3.7 → 3.9 → 4.2.

Should I sell Lautaro Martinez before Matchday 12?

Yes. Lautaro Martinez projects only 1.3 → 1.3 → 1.5 over Matchdays 12-14 and stays under 2 per round through Matchday 17. Marcus Thuram is the Inter forward to own, at 13.5 over the same three rounds.

Best differentials for Tattico Fantasy Serie A Matchday 12?

Franco Mastantuono (6.6m) and Alieu Njie (4.5m) from Fiorentina both improve over the next three rounds as the fixtures ease. Carlos Augusto (6.1m, Inter) is the attacking defender with a flat 4.3-4.9 projection all the way to Matchday 17.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.