Super Manager Runde 9: best buys and captain picks
Super Manager Efterår 2026 Runde 9 preview: captain picks, best buys and hidden gems
Runde 9 of Super Manager Efterår 2026 is a full round: all six Superliga matches sit inside the window, so every one of the twelve clubs plays exactly once. That makes this a pure fixture-quality round, and the model separates the slate sharply. Lyngby host Silkeborg with the highest projected goal output of the round, AGF travel to AC Horsens with the best clean-sheet probability, and the Brøndby IF - FC København derby is close to a coin flip that the numbers do not want you to lean on.
The obvious names are on most teams already. What decides Runde 9 is the six or seven squad spots after them, and this round those spots are unusually cheap, because the two best short-term programmes belong to low-priced players. Everything below comes from the same data pull as our Super Manager player picks, taken on 14 September 2026.
Runde 9 fixtures: where the points are
Six matches, twelve teams, no blanks. One row per team, with the model's own projections:
| Team | Fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyngby | [H]Silkeborg | 55% | 2.05 | 28% |
| FC Midtjylland | [A]OB | 54% | 1.94 | 31% |
| AGF | [A]AC Horsens | 51% | 1.72 | 33% |
| Nordsjælland | [A]Viborg | 41% | 1.69 | 22% |
| Randers FC | [A]Sønderjyske | 41% | 1.52 | 27% |
| Brøndby IF | [H]FC København | 37% | 1.51 | 22% |
Lyngby at home to Silkeborg is the standout. 2.05 expected goals is the highest team total of the round, and Silkeborg are projected for just 1.28 with a 13% clean-sheet chance, the weakest defensive projection on the slate. AGF away at AC Horsens is the other one to target: 33% is the best clean-sheet probability in the round, and AC Horsens are given only 1.11 expected goals.
The catch, and it changes how you buy: neither run lasts. Lyngby go [H]Silkeborg → [A]Brøndby IF → [H]Nordsjælland → [A]FC Midtjylland, and their win probability falls from 55% to 17% by Runde 12. AGF are strong for two rounds, [A]AC Horsens then [H]Sønderjyske at 64%, before [A]FC København in Runde 11 flattens them. Check the full programme on the Super Manager schedule page before you commit to either block.
The sustained run belongs to Nordsjælland and FC København. Nordsjælland play [A]Viborg → [H]OB → [A]Lyngby → [A]Silkeborg with no genuinely hard fixture in it, and FC København's programme improves every round after the derby: [A]FC Midtjylland, then [H]AGF, then [H]OB at 64%.
Best buys for Runde 9 by position
Goalkeeper in Runde 9
Elias Olafsson (5.5m, FC Midtjylland) is the model's top keeper for Runde 9 at 73k, on a 31% clean-sheet projection away at OB, who are given 1.18 expected goals. He is the safe premium option and 27.7% of managers already own him.
The better value is Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.6m, AGF) at 72k: one point behind Elias Olafsson, almost a m cheaper, and on the highest clean-sheet probability of any keeper in the round at 33%. He is owned by 1.0%. Across Runde 9 to 14 he also tops every keeper in the game on a decay-weighted score of 240k, ahead of Elias Olafsson on 220k.
Budget: Diego Kochen (2.8m, Lyngby) at 64k is the cheapest keeper with a real clean sheet in front of him, 28% against a Silkeborg side projected for 1.28 goals. That is 22.9k per m, the best points-per-million of any keeper this round, and his fee is only 28k. It is a one-round buy, because Lyngby's programme turns immediately, but at that price the round pays for the transfer several times over.
Defenders for Runde 9
Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.2m, Nordsjælland) is the number one defender in the game and it is not close. 77k for Runde 9, and a decay-weighted 283k across Runde 9 to 14, which is 43% clear of the next defender. He projects 81 minutes, 0.18 expected goals and 0.13 expected assists from defence, an involvement rate most midfielders do not reach. At 38.0% ownership he is template, but template for a reason: leaving him out is the risk, not owning him.
Rasmus Carstensen (4.2m, AGF) at 67k is the second-best defender of the round and the cleanest way into the AGF clean sheet. Same price as Runar Robinsønn Norheim, 2.8% owned. Treat him as a two-round buy: 67k then 73k, before AGF's Runde 11 trip to FC København drops him to 30k.
Budget defenders are where this round is won. Renzo Tytens (2.3m, Lyngby) projects 59k, which is 25.7k per m and the best points-per-million of any defender in Runde 9, on 78 projected minutes and a 23% clean sheet. The fee to bring him in is 23k. Martin André Sjølstad (2.7m, Randers FC) is the better hold at the same kind of price: 59k this round and a weighted 198k, with attacking numbers (0.11 expected goals, 0.12 expected assists) that most cheap defenders do not have. Mikkel Fischer (2.7m, Lyngby) is the pure clean-sheet route into the same fixture, on 90 projected minutes, a 28% clean sheet, 58k, and 0.4% ownership.
One more worth naming: Magnus Jensen (3.3m, FC Midtjylland) at 62k is a registered penalty taker who plays in defence. That is a rare combination and a genuine ceiling-raiser on a 24% clean-sheet fixture at OB.
Midfielders for Runde 9
Simon Colyn (3.1m, Lyngby) is the highest-projected player in the entire game for Runde 9 at 106k, from any position, at any price. 82 projected minutes, 0.37 expected goals, 0.17 expected assists and a 28% clean-sheet share, in the round's best attacking fixture. He is owned by 7.9%. At 3.1m that is 34.2k per m, and nothing else in the pool is close. The transfer fee is 31k.
Be honest about what he is: a one-round buy. Simon Colyn goes 106k → 29k → 40k → 31k as Lyngby's fixtures turn. Buy him for Runde 9, pay the 31k fee, move on afterwards. At that price the trade is comfortably worth making.
Prince Junior (5.2m, Nordsjælland) at 90k is the premium midfielder to actually hold: 90k, then 96k, then 78k, a weighted 299k, and no hard fixture in the window. Kristian Arnstad (6.8m, AGF) is 87k and takes AGF's penalties on a 0.93 share, with a 29% clean-sheet share on top. His Runde 10 projection of 108k is the single highest number any AGF player carries in the next six rounds.
The hidden gem of the round is Sebastian Jørgensen (3.7m, AGF). 80k for Runde 9 and 92k for Runde 10, on 78 projected minutes, owned by 1.2%. He is the eighth-highest projected player in the game this round at roughly half the price of the names above him. If you want the AGF fixture without paying premium prices, this is the pick.
Two more cheap midfielders that stand up: Gustav Fraulo (3.3m, Lyngby) at 76k, 1.0% owned, 86 projected minutes in the round's best fixture; and Lauge Sandgrav (2.6m, Lyngby) at 69k, which is 26.5k per m for a 26k fee. For managers who want a hold rather than a one-round flip, Lucas Riisgaard (2.9m, Silkeborg) carries a weighted 231k over six rounds and Rami Al Hajj (2.7m, Silkeborg) 216k. Both are under 3m, and both come from a side whose own fixtures improve sharply from Runde 10 onwards.
Forwards for Runde 9
Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson (4.1m, Lyngby) is the top forward of the round at 101k. His 0.42 expected goals is tied for the highest in the game, he takes Lyngby's penalties on a 0.81 share, and he plays in the fixture with the most projected goals. 7.2% owned, 24.6k per m.
Alexander Lind (6.5m, Nordsjælland) is one point behind at 100k, and he is the better asset: a decay-weighted 338k is the highest score of any player in Super Manager Efterår 2026, in any position. 100k → 96k → 91k → 100k across four rounds, with the same 0.42 expected goals and a 0.71 penalty share. If you are buying one forward and keeping him, buy this one.
Janni Serra (4.4m, AGF) at 85k and 2.2% ownership is the differential forward: 0.31 expected goals in the round's best clean-sheet fixture, and 95k again in Runde 10, a two-round 180k from a player almost nobody has. Kasper Junker (3.8m, Randers FC) at 83k is the cheapest route to a genuine 80k-plus forward projection, though his 56 projected minutes mean you are buying rate rather than volume.
Captain picks for Runde 9
The captain scores double in Super Manager Efterår 2026, so this is the single biggest decision of the round. The model's top five, ranked:
| # | Player | Team | Price | Runde 9 xP | Case |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Colyn | Lyngby | 3.1m | 106k | Highest projection in the game, best fixture |
| 2 | Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson | Lyngby | 4.1m | 101k | Same fixture, on penalties, highest expected goals |
| 3 | Alexander Lind | Nordsjælland | 6.5m | 100k | Safest floor, captainable again in Runde 10 to 12 |
| 4 | Prince Junior | Nordsjælland | 5.2m | 90k | 96k in Runde 10, the better armband next round |
| 5 | Kristian Arnstad | AGF | 6.8m | 87k | Penalties plus a 29% clean-sheet share |
Simon Colyn is the captain on the numbers. 106k is the highest projection in the pool and he is in the round's best fixture. If you prefer a goalscorer's ceiling to a midfielder's, the armband on Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson costs you five projected points and buys you the penalties and the higher expected goals. The two are close enough that either is defensible.
Alexander Lind is the pick if you want the captaincy to be a plan rather than a one-round call. He is captainable in Runde 9, 10, 11 and 12 on 100k, 96k, 91k and 100k, so one buy covers four armbands. Captaining a Lyngby player means committing to a fixture you will then have to transfer out of. Cross-check any of these against our optimal Super Manager teams, which solve the full squad live against these same projections.
Hidden gems and differentials for Runde 9
Ownership figures below are from the live Super Manager pool, so these are genuine differentials rather than merely cheap players.
- Sebastian Jørgensen (3.7m, AGF), 1.2% owned. 80k this round, 92k next. The highest-projected player in the game under 4m that almost nobody owns.
- Janni Serra (4.4m, AGF), 2.2% owned. 85k, then 95k. A two-round 180k forward at a mid-table price.
- Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.6m, AGF), 1.0% owned. The best clean-sheet probability of any keeper in the round, and top of the six-round weighted keeper table.
- Gustav Fraulo (3.3m, Lyngby), 1.0% owned. 76k on 86 projected minutes, in the round's best attacking fixture.
- Mikkel Fischer (2.7m, Lyngby), 0.4% owned. 90 projected minutes and a 28% clean sheet for under 3m.
- Renzo Tytens (2.3m, Lyngby), 1.7% owned. The best points-per-million defender of the round at 25.7k per m.
Three of those six are AGF or Lyngby players, which is the round in one sentence: the two best fixtures belong to clubs whose squads are barely owned. You can field up to four players from one club, so an AGF or Lyngby block is legal. Just remember both blocks have an expiry date, AGF in Runde 11 and Lyngby immediately after this round. Confirm the starters on our Super Manager predicted lineups before the deadline.
Who to sell before Runde 9
Friday Etim (5.9m, FC Midtjylland) is the clearest sell in the game. He is owned by 44.9% of managers, and the model has him at 62k for Runde 9 on a 0.56 starter factor and 54 projected minutes. His six-round weighted score of 166k is the lowest of any well-owned forward, below players at half his price. FC Midtjylland's fixture is good; his share of it is not.
Dorian Hanza (4.6m, Viborg) at 28.8% ownership projects 61k, and Viborg's programme is the problem: [H]Nordsjælland → [A]Randers FC → [H]FC Midtjylland → [A]AGF. There is no round in the next four where the model likes them. Kasper Kiilerich (3.6m, Viborg) is the same story in goal: 19.8% owned, 46k, an 18% clean sheet, and the weakest projection of any keeper owned by more than 10% of managers.
A sideways move worth making: if you own Juho Laehteenmaeki (3.5m, Nordsjælland), as 29.2% do, rather than Runar Robinsønn Norheim, you are holding the wrong Nordsjælland defender. 49k against 77k this round, and 177k against 283k weighted, for 0.7m more. The combined fee on the swap is around 77k and the first round alone returns it.
One player who is not a sell despite a soft round: Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.5m, FC København), owned by 54.9%. 74k in the derby is his weakest projection of the next six rounds, but his weighted 337k is the best of any midfielder in the game, and he goes 93k, 87k, 118k, 119k from Runde 10 onwards. Hold him, just do not captain him this round. The same applies to Robert (6.2m, FC København) at 67k and a weighted 313k.
Transfer summary for Runde 9
A 31k fee on Simon Colyn or a 23k fee on Renzo Tytens is trivial against an 80k to 106k projection, while moving a premium costs real money. Prioritise in this order:
- Get one Lyngby attacker in. Simon Colyn first, Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson if you want the penalties. Cheap fee, best fixture, biggest number.
- Get one AGF asset in for two rounds. Sebastian Jørgensen at 1.2% ownership is the differential, Rasmus Carstensen or Mads Hedenstad Christiansen the defensive route.
- Move Friday Etim on. High ownership, low minutes, worst weighted score among owned forwards.
- If you are building beyond Runde 9, Alexander Lind and Runar Robinsønn Norheim are the two players the model rates highest across the whole window, and neither needs replacing for a month.
More rounds and the full archive sit in the Super Manager preview hub, and you can compare last week's calls in our Super Manager Runde 8 preview. Fixture odds and win probabilities are on the market probabilities page, and every projection above is live on player picks.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Super Manager Runde 9?
Simon Colyn (Lyngby) is the model's captain pick for Runde 9 at 106k, the highest projection of any player in the game. It comes from a home fixture against Silkeborg that carries the round's highest expected goals at 2.05. Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson (101k, same fixture, on penalties) and Alexander Lind (100k) are the alternatives, and Alexander Lind is the better choice if you want one captain to cover several rounds.
Which budget players are best for Super Manager Runde 9?
Simon Colyn at 3.1m is the best value in the game this round at 34.2k per m. In defence, Renzo Tytens (2.3m, 59k) leads on points-per-million at 25.7k per m, with Martin André Sjølstad (2.7m, 59k) the better long-term hold. Lauge Sandgrav (2.6m, 69k) and Diego Kochen (2.8m, 64k in goal) round out the sub-3m picks, each with a transfer fee under 30k.
Should I sell Friday Etim before Runde 9?
Yes. He is owned by 44.9% of managers but the model projects just 62k for Runde 9 on 54 minutes and a 0.56 starter factor, and his six-round weighted score of 166k is the lowest of any widely owned forward. Janni Serra at 4.4m or Kasper Junker at 3.8m both project higher for less money.
Best differentials for Super Manager Runde 9?
Sebastian Jørgensen (AGF, 3.7m) is the standout at 1.2% ownership and 80k, the eighth-highest projection in the game this round. Janni Serra (2.2% owned, 85k) and Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (1.0% owned, on the round's best clean-sheet probability at 33%) complete the AGF differential set ahead of their trip to AC Horsens.
Does any team not play in Super Manager Runde 9?
No. Runde 9 holds all six Superliga matches, so every one of the twelve clubs plays exactly once. There are no blanks and no double rounds, which is why the round comes down purely to fixture quality rather than fixture count.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.