Super Manager Runde 10: captain picks and best buys
Super Manager Runde 10 preview: captain picks, best buys and who to sell
Super Manager Runde 10 opens with Nordsjælland - OB on Friday, and all twelve Superliga clubs play exactly once this round, so nobody blanks (the fixture set was re-checked against the current schedule when this preview was refreshed). The round is shaped by Nordsjælland: the four highest projections of the round all belong to them. The decision is not whether to own Nordsjælland, it is which four, because Super Manager caps you at four players per club, and whether their [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF run is worth paying for beyond Friday. Behind them, FC København's [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB is the program that builds, and it is the one that decides your captain for Runde 11 and 12.
Use this preview together with the full Super Manager player picks, which ranks every player for every round, and the live optimal teams for Super Manager, which solves the best squad for any window you choose.
The programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning
Nordsjælland have the best three-round run in the game: [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF adds up to 5.72 expected goals and 0.86 expected clean sheets. That matches their season so far. Across nine Superliga matches they have created 2.31 xG per game, the most in the league, with a non-penalty xG difference of +1.0 per game. The catch is shape: Friday's home game against OB is by far the best of the three, and the two away trips behind it are good rather than great.
FC København are second on 5.56 expected goals, and their run gets better as it goes. [A]FCM is the hard one, then AGF and OB at home, the latter at a 63% win probability and 2.32 expected goals in Runde 12. FC København have also allowed only 1.06 xG per game this season, joint-lowest in the league with FC Midtjylland. AGF's [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF gives them two very good home games around a trip to FC København, which is enough to buy into on the fixture ladder.
At the bottom, Lyngby's [A]BIF → [H]FCN → [A]FCM is the weakest program in the game at 3.27 expected goals, and AC Horsens's [A]SIF → [H]RAN → [H]SØN (3.79) and OB's [A]FCN → [H]BIF → [A]FCK (3.80) are close behind. OB are worth remembering, though: from Runde 13 they play SIF and VFF at home, and that is where their attackers turn into buys (see the end of this preview). Check kickoff times on the Super Manager schedule.
| Team | Runde 10 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (Runde 10-12) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordsjælland | [H]OB | 63% | 2.34 | 32% | [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF | 5.72 | 0.86 |
| FC København | [A]FCM | 37% | 1.46 | 23% | [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB | 5.56 | 0.84 |
| AGF | [H]SØN | 59% | 2.14 | 31% | [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF | 5.37 | 0.80 |
| FC Midtjylland | [H]FCK | 37% | 1.47 | 23% | [H]FCK → [A]VFF → [H]LYN | 5.18 | 0.79 |
| Brøndby IF | [H]LYN | 54% | 1.93 | 31% | [H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN | 4.95 | 0.79 |
| Silkeborg | [H]ACH | 43% | 1.54 | 29% | [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN | 4.71 | 0.59 |
| Sønderjyske | [A]AGF | 19% | 1.16 | 12% | [A]AGF → [H]SIF → [A]ACH | 4.54 | 0.54 |
| Viborg | [A]RAN | 45% | 1.69 | 27% | [A]RAN → [H]FCM → [A]AGF | 4.54 | 0.58 |
| Randers FC | [H]VFF | 29% | 1.31 | 18% | [H]VFF → [A]ACH → [H]BIF | 3.97 | 0.77 |
| OB | [A]FCN | 17% | 1.16 | 10% | [A]FCN → [H]BIF → [A]FCK | 3.80 | 0.39 |
| AC Horsens | [A]SIF | 30% | 1.23 | 22% | [A]SIF → [H]RAN → [H]SØN | 3.79 | 0.71 |
| Lyngby | [A]BIF | 22% | 1.18 | 14% | [A]BIF → [H]FCN → [A]FCM | 3.27 | 0.50 |
Win probability, expected goals and clean sheet are for Runde 10. The three right-hand columns sum Runde 10, 11 and 12. 3-round CS is the expected number of clean sheets over the three games, not a percentage. Every team has exactly three fixtures in the window.
Goalkeepers
Andreas Hansen (5.2m, FCN) is the best three-round keeper: 75k → 68k → 61k, 204k in total, on a [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF program that holds the most expected clean sheets in the game. He is owned by 17.7% and is the obvious goalkeeper half of a Nordsjælland stack, but remember that he costs one of your four Nordsjælland slots (see the defenders and midfielders below before you spend it).
Diant Ramaj (5.7m, FCK) is the horizon pick. His Runde 10 is the weakest of the top keepers at 54k for [A]FCM, but the run behind it climbs: [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB gives 54k → 60k → 73k, then 74k in Runde 13. Over six rounds his decay-weighted score is 228k, level with Andreas Hansen (227k). If you are buying a keeper to keep until November, buy Diant Ramaj; if you only care about the next three, Andreas Hansen is ahead.
The differential is Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.6m, AGF), owned by just 1.5%. [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF gives him 71k → 44k → 68k, and his six-round weighted score of 231k is the highest of any keeper because AGF also host ACH and LYN in Runde 14 and 15. The value option for this round alone is Kasper Kiilerich (3.6m, VFF): 64k at [A]RAN is 17.7k per million, but [A]RAN → [H]FCM → [A]AGF drops him to 64k → 48k → 38k, so treat him as a one-round rotation and plan to move on in Runde 11.
Elias Olafsson owners (23.6% of managers): his return date is 17 October, so he misses Runde 10 and is back for FCM's trip to VFF in Runde 11, then LYN at home (39k → 55k). Hold him.
Defenders
Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.2m, FCN) is the best defender in the game this round and over the next three: 127k → 70k → 73k, 270k in total. 127k on Friday is the third-highest projection of any player, and the 70k-plus that follows on [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF keeps him a hold, not a one-rounder. His season numbers back it up: 2.96 xG and 1.16 xA from 751 minutes is 0.49 xGI per 90, which is attacking-midfielder output from a defender. 40.0% own him already; if you do not, he is the first Nordsjælland slot to fill.
Marko Divkovic (4.5m, BIF) is the best defender outside Nordsjælland and a real differential at 3.0%. [H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN gives him 80k → 59k → 61k, 200k over three rounds, and BIF's home game against LYN carries a 31% clean-sheet chance. He has 0.85 xA in 378 league minutes, and the model has him starting.
Jens Martin Gammelby (3.8m, SIF) is the flat, durable option: 65k → 56k → 48k on [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN, and he is on SIF's penalty list in our data. Rasmus Carstensen (4.3m, AGF) follows AGF's home-away-home rhythm (71k → 34k → 61k): two good weeks out of three, so he suits managers who want an AGF defender and do not want to pay for Mads Hedenstad Christiansen.
Cheap defenders: Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen (2.5m, VFF) projects 58k at [A]RAN, 23.0k per million, and Hjalte Bidstrup (2.6m, VFF) is almost identical at 57k. Both are one-round buys: [A]RAN → [H]FCM → [A]AGF takes them to 58k → 41k → 25k and 57k → 38k → 23k, so the plan is buy now and sell again for Runde 11. At 25k and 26k in fees that trade is close to free. For a cheap defender to hold instead, Martin André Sjølstad (2.7m, RAN) starts slowly with 38k against VFF, then rises: 38k → 64k → 50k on [H]VFF → [A]ACH → [H]BIF, and 62k in Runde 13. He is a buy from Runde 11 rather than for this round, and the model has him at 58 minutes, so there is some rotation risk.
Midfielders
Prince Junior (5.2m, FCN) tops the round at 146k, and he is not a one-rounder: 146k → 91k → 98k on [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF is the best three-round total in the game (335k). He has 0.55 xGI per 90 this season and is in the predicted XI for Friday.
Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.6m, FCK) is the player where this round's ranking and the longer horizon disagree. On Runde 10 alone he is sixth at 88k, with [A]FCM. Over six rounds he is first in the game with a weighted 385k, ahead of Prince Junior (361k), because [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB runs 88k → 102k → 136k, with 128k to follow in Runde 13. He is owned by 55.0%, has 6 goals and 2 assists this season, and is on FCK's penalties. Do not sell him for one quieter week: Runde 11 and 12 are where he is the captain. Robert (6.2m, FCK) follows the same curve on [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB, 68k → 84k → 113k, and is the cheaper way into FCK's run.
Hjalte Rasmussen (3.3m, FCN) is the value play of the round. He projects 118k for 3.3m, which is 36.4k per million and the best ratio in the game. He has scored 3 and assisted 1 in only 332 league minutes, which is 1.11 xGI per 90. His program is [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF for 118k → 56k → 60k, so the big number is Friday's. After that he is a solid hold rather than a star, and he still out-scores the other Nordsjælland options for your fourth slot over three rounds.
The cheap midfield pair that keeps paying is in Silkeborg. Lucas Riisgaard (3.0m, SIF) runs 76k → 72k → 61k and Rami Al Hajj (2.8m, SIF) runs 75k → 71k → 61k on [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN, with 77-78k again in Runde 14. Both are around 25k per million this round, and Rami Al Hajj is owned by only 1.4%. A flat program like that is a hold you can stop thinking about.
AGF's midfield is a buy for the home weeks. Kristian Arnstad (6.8m, AGF) projects 94k → 45k → 82k on [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF and is on penalties, and Frederik Emmery (3.8m, AGF) gives you the same rhythm (85k → 40k → 70k) for less money. Both dip in Runde 11 at FCK, so they suit managers who are buying for Runde 10 and 12 together.
Forwards
Alexander Lind (6.6m, FCN) is the forward of the round at 136k, and with 136k → 75k → 85k on [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF he stays among the top forwards after Friday too. He has 0.64 xGI per 90 this season and 32.5% already own him.
Janni Serra (4.5m, AGF) is the smartest money in the forward line. He projects 87k → 42k → 71k on [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF, almost exactly what Tobias Bech (7.6m) projects (87k → 43k → 74k), for about 3m less. He has 0.85 xGI per 90 in 336 minutes this season, and only 3.4% own him. The trade-off is minutes: the model has him at 61.
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan (3.7m, ACH) is the cheap forward with the best program shape: 71k → 60k → 79k on [A]SIF → [H]RAN → [H]SØN, two home games after the trip to SIF. He has 4 league goals already. Oliver Ross (4.2m, SIF) is the flat alternative at 68k → 69k → 58k on [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN.
For the FC Midtjylland attack, Gue-Sung Cho (7.0m, FCM) edges Friday Etim: 57k → 74k → 87k against 56k → 69k → 84k on [H]FCK → [A]VFF → [H]LYN, and Cho is owned by 6.3% against Etim's 49.6%. Both rise into the LYN home game in Runde 12, so there is no reason for Etim owners to move. The cheap forward is Oskar Fenger (2.9m, BIF) at 71k against LYN (24.5k per million), but [H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN fades to 71k → 57k → 38k, so he is a buy for this round and the next, not a hold.
The four-player Nordsjælland cap
With four slots per club, the best Nordsjælland four for the next three rounds is Prince Junior (335k), Alexander Lind (296k), Runar Robinsønn Norheim (270k) and Hjalte Rasmussen (234k). Andreas Hansen (204k) and Juho Laehteenmaeki (182k) are the two who miss out. If you already hold four Nordsjælland players and one of them is Juho Laehteenmaeki, he is the one to swap for Hjalte Rasmussen. Use the Super Manager predicted lineups to confirm the Nordsjælland XI before the deadline.
Captaincy for Runde 10
The captain scores double in Super Manager, and this round the choice is Nordsjælland.
- Prince Junior (5.2m, FCN) is captain number one at 146k, the highest projection of the round, on the best fixture of the round, and [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF keeps him at 146k → 91k → 98k after it.
- Alexander Lind (6.6m, FCN) is the alternative at 136k (136k → 75k → 85k on [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF), if you prefer the forward's goal threat.
- Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.2m, FCN) at 127k is the third option (127k → 70k → 73k).
Plan the next two rounds as well. Mohamed Elyounoussi is the top projection in both Runde 11 (102k, [H]AGF) and Runde 12 (136k against OB). That is why he is a hold through a quieter Runde 10: the captaincy for the next two rounds runs through him. You can compare all the bookmaker numbers on the Super Manager market probabilities.
Who to sell
Rasmus Kristensen (5.5m, FCM) is the clearest sale, and the round to do it is this one. He is owned by 16.5%, but the model has him at zero minutes for Runde 10, and his program after that is only 26k → 38k. Selling him costs a 55k fee and frees the money for Marko Divkovic, who projects 200k over the same three rounds on [H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN.
Magnus Jensen (3.6m, FCM), owned by 15.8%, is unavailable with a return date of 17 October. He misses Runde 10, and his first two rounds back, on [H]FCK → [A]VFF → [H]LYN, project 16k and 38k. Why now: the round he scores nothing is this one, and nothing in the run behind it wins that back.
Juho Laehteenmaeki (3.5m, FCN), owned by 33.9%, is a sale for Runde 11, not now. Friday against OB is a very good fixture and 84k is a strong return, so keep him for it. The reason to plan the sale is what follows: [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF drops him to 84k → 49k → 49k. The exception is the club cap above. If your four Nordsjælland slots are full and you want Hjalte Rasmussen, Juho Laehteenmaeki is the one to move now.
Olti Hyseni (4.1m, BIF), owned by 21.7%, is not an emergency. 58k at home to LYN is a decent week. But the model has him at 53 minutes, his program is 58k → 48k → 49k, and his teammate Mads Frøkjær-Jensen gives you 72k → 59k → 55k on the same [H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN run for 0.35m more. You can wait a round on this one, but BIF's trip to FCK in Runde 14 is where it hurts.
Leave them out now, buys from Runde 13
OB's attackers are poor value for this round and good value later. Noah Ganaus (5.9m, OB) projects 44k → 67k → 38k → 93k → 76k → 74k over Runde 10 to 15 and Jann-Fiete Arp (6.4m, OB) 39k → 63k → 39k → 91k → 72k → 70k. The jump comes with [H]SIF → [H]VFF → [A]SØN from Runde 13, so they are a buy for Runde 13, not for [A]FCN. Noah Ganaus already has 3.32 xG this season.
One round earlier, Osaze De Rosario (3.9m, SØN) is a differential for Runde 11. He projects 43k → 85k → 63k on [A]AGF → [H]SIF → [A]ACH, with the 85k in Runde 11 against SIF at home, and only 0.7% own him.
Transfer summary for Runde 10
- In: Prince Junior, Hjalte Rasmussen or Runar Robinsønn Norheim to reach four Nordsjælland players; Marko Divkovic, Janni Serra and Rami Al Hajj as differentials on programs that hold.
- One-round buys: Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen or Hjalte Bidstrup away at RAN, Kasper Kiilerich in goal.
- Out: Rasmus Kristensen and Magnus Jensen now; Juho Laehteenmaeki next round unless the club cap forces it now.
- Hold: Mohamed Elyounoussi for the Runde 11 and 12 captaincy, Elias Olafsson through his last week out.
Last round's picks are in the Super Manager Runde 9 preview, and every Super Manager article is collected in the Super Manager preview hub. New to the site? The fantasy guides explain how the projections are built.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Super Manager Runde 10?
Prince Junior (FCN) is the top captain pick with 146k projected against OB at home, the highest number of the round. Alexander Lind (136k) and Runar Robinsønn Norheim (127k) are the alternatives, all from the same Nordsjælland fixture.
Which Nordsjælland players should I own in Super Manager Runde 10?
Prince Junior, Alexander Lind, Runar Robinsønn Norheim and Hjalte Rasmussen are the best four over the next three rounds. Super Manager allows four players per club, so Andreas Hansen and Juho Laehteenmaeki are the ones to leave out.
Should I sell Rasmus Kristensen before Super Manager Runde 10?
Yes. The model has Rasmus Kristensen at zero minutes for Runde 10, and he projects only 26k and 38k in the two rounds after it. Marko Divkovic is the best defender to replace him with outside Nordsjælland.
Should I sell Elyounoussi for Super Manager Runde 10?
No. Mohamed Elyounoussi projects a quieter 88k at FCM, but he is the top projection in both Runde 11 (102k) and Runde 12 (136k). His six-round weighted score of 385k is the best in the game.
What are the best differentials for Super Manager Runde 10?
Marko Divkovic (3.0% owned, 80k → 59k → 61k), Janni Serra (3.4%, 87k → 42k → 71k), Rami Al Hajj (1.4%, 75k → 71k → 61k) and keeper Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (1.5%, 71k → 44k → 68k). All four have programs that hold beyond this round.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.