Super Manager Runde 10: best buys and captain picks

Super Manager Runde 10 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Super Manager Runde 10 is the first round back after the October international break, and that changes what a transfer is worth. Six fixtures run from Friday 9 October to Monday 12 October, all twelve clubs play, and the round sits at the front of a tight block: Runde 11 follows six days later and Runde 12 the week after that. So the players you move in for this round are players you will almost certainly still own in three weeks. Buy the programme, not the weekend.

The programmes: whose next three Runder are worth owning

FC København have the best attacking run in the game over Runde 10–12 — [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB at 5.92 expected goals — even though the trip to FC Midtjylland this Sunday is the hardest single fixture any side faces. That is the shape worth understanding: the round in front of you is rarely the reason to buy, the three behind it are. AGF are just behind at 5.51 with [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF, and they own the best single fixture of Runde 10 as well.

At the back the ranking is different. Brøndby IF carry 0.89 expected clean sheets across the three ([H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN) — the best defensive programme in the game — and their 41.0% clean-sheet chance at home to Lyngby is the highest number in Runde 10. Randers FC are the next-best defensive block at 0.87 with [H]VFF → [A]ACH → [H]BIF. Every club has exactly three fixtures in this window, so every three-round total below is measured over the same three games.

The run to avoid is Lyngby: [A]BIF → [H]FCN → [A]FCM is the weakest three-round attack in the league at 2.99 expected goals, and Runde 10 sends them to Brøndby IF, who hold the best clean-sheet number in the round. OB are the mirror image at the other end — [A]FCN → [H]BIF → [A]FCK adds up to 0.45 expected clean sheets, the lowest in the game. You can check every one of these against the Super Manager schedule and the market probabilities.

Goalkeepers for Runde 10

Patrick Pentz (4.88m, BIF) is the pick, and the three-round table is why. He projects 74k in Runde 10 and 190k across [H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN — the highest total of any keeper in the game — behind the best defensive programme in the league. Only 9.5% of managers own him. The Lyngby home fixture is the value week; the two away trips that follow are the reason he is a hold rather than a rotation.

Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.60m, AGF) matches him almost exactly this round at 74k with [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF, and 187k over three, at 1.3% ownership. That is as close to a free differential as the position offers. If you want the cheaper route, Aske Andrésen (3.44m, SIF) is on 61k with [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN and returns 17.8 points per million — the best rate of any keeper — and he only costs about 34k to move on later.

One to note rather than buy today: Diant Ramaj (5.66m, FCK) is on only 57k for the trip to FC Midtjylland, but [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB is worth 189k over three and his Runde 12 and Runde 13 numbers are 72k and 73k. If you are planning two moves, he is the second one, not the first. The Super Manager player picks page shows the full keeper table for each round.

Defenders for Runde 10

Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.20m, FCN) is the best defender in the game on both horizons and it is not close: 91k this round, 251k across [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF, and 21.7 points per million at his price. He is on 0.20 expected goals and 0.17 expected assists for Runde 10 alone, which is why he out-scores keepers rather than merely matching them. At 38.7% ownership he is template, and here the template is right.

The differential behind him is Jens Martin Gammelby (3.77m, SIF), who takes Silkeborg penalties — the model gives him an 0.87 share — from defence. He projects 70k with [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN and 175k over the three, and 4.0% of managers have him. A defender on spot-kicks is the cheapest way there is to add a scoring route to the back line.

For the budget slot, Martin André Sjølstad (2.70m, RAN) is on 58k and 164k over three with [H]VFF → [A]ACH → [H]BIF, at 21.4 points per million and 1.2% ownership. Peter Ankersen (4.34m, FCN) at 59k and 171k shares the excellent Nordsjælland programme if you want a second route into it — and remember the cap is four players from any one club. Save Felix Beijmo (5.43m, FCK) for later: 47k at FC Midtjylland this round, but 67k in each of Runde 12 and Runde 13.

Midfielders for Runde 10

Kristian Arnstad (6.81m, AGF) is the highest-projected player in Runde 10 at 102k, and he takes AGF penalties on an 0.88 share. His programme is [H]SØN → [A]FCK → [H]VFF: a home game against the side with the weakest numbers in the round, then the trip to FC København, then Viborg at home. 233k over the three. The middle week is the one to plan around, not to panic about.

Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.57m, FCK) is the one to buy if you are buying one and keeping him. He is 15k behind this round at 87k, but [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB adds up to 283k — the biggest three-round total in the game, a fraction ahead of Alexander Lind — and his Runde 12 number is 112k, the single largest projection anywhere in the window. At 55.0% ownership he is the most-owned player in Super Manager, and that is the correct price of admission.

Prince Junior (5.19m, FCN) is the value version of the same argument: 99k this round, 258k over [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF, and 19.2 points per million against 10.2 for the premium above him. The genuine gem is Hjalte Rasmussen (3.25m, FCN) — 85k in Runde 10, 229k over three on the same Nordsjælland programme, and 26.2 points per million, the best rate of anyone projected above 55k this round. He is owned by 9.0%.

Two more worth the space. Robert (6.20m, FCK) is only 74k this round but 249k over [A]FCM → [H]AGF → [H]OB, with 100k and 98k in Runde 12 and Runde 13 — a buy whose case is entirely in the programme. And Lucas Riisgaard (3.01m, SIF) gives you 76k now and 191k over [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN at 25.1 points per million, while his team-mate Rami Al Hajj (2.81m, SIF) is on 69k and 178k for even less. The optimal teams for Super Manager solves the full squad live if you want to see how these fit together.

Forwards for Runde 10

Alexander Lind (6.61m, FCN) has the most reliable programme of any attacker in the game: 97k → 89k → 96k across [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF, 282k in total, with no weak week anywhere in it. He is on 0.46 expected goals for Runde 10 and an 0.75 penalty share. If you buy one forward and stop thinking about it, that is the one.

Kasper Junker (3.80m, RAN) is the differential. 78k this round and 225k over [H]VFF → [A]ACH → [H]BIF at 20.5 points per million, owned by 3.9% — he gives you almost the same three-round return as players costing nearly twice as much. Oskar Fenger (2.89m, BIF) is the budget route at 71k, 24.5 points per million and an 0.78 penalty share with [H]LYN → [A]OB → [A]RAN.

Oliver Ross (4.16m, SIF) is on 77k and 205k over [H]ACH → [A]SØN → [H]FCN, which makes the Silkeborg attack a cheap place to double up. And Gue-Sung Cho (7.00m, FCM) is a wait: 60k this round against FC København, but 223k over [H]FCK → [A]VFF → [H]LYN with 88k in Runde 12. Buying him now means paying for the hardest week of his run.

Captain picks for Super Manager Runde 10

The captain scores double in Super Manager, so the armband is worth more than most single transfers. Kristian Arnstad is the pick at 102k — the top projection in the round, from the side with the best fixture in it ([H]SØN, 63% win probability and 2.27 expected goals), and he is on penalties.

Prince Junior is second at 99k and Alexander Lind third at 97k; both come from the same Nordsjælland side hosting OB, so captaining either is a bet on the same 90 minutes. Runar Robinsønn Norheim at 91k is the fourth name and the only defender in the bracket. Looking one week further changes the answer: Alexander Lind tops Runde 11, and Mohamed Elyounoussi runs away with Runde 12 at 112k — which is a reason to own him now rather than to captain him this weekend. The Super Manager predicted lineups are published before each deadline if you want to confirm the starters first.

Who to sell before Runde 10

Elias Olafsson (5.57m, FCM) is the clearest one, and the reason is price rather than fixture. [H]FCK → [A]VFF → [H]LYN is a fine defensive programme and 0.72 expected clean sheets over three is mid-table, not bad — but he returns 7.9 points per million, the worst rate of any first-choice keeper in the game, and his 174k over three is only 20k more than Aske Andrésen manages for 2.13m less. Do it this round because the money buys a Runde 11 upgrade elsewhere; wait and you pay the same fee for one fewer round of benefit.

Kasper Kiilerich (3.63m, VFF) is the programme sell. [A]RAN → [H]FCM → [A]AGF adds up to 0.53 expected clean sheets and 133k over three, the weakest three-round keeper total among the widely-owned, and each fixture in that chain is harder than the one before it. Runde 10 at Randers FC is the easiest of the three, so this is the round where the sale costs you least.

Juho Laehteenmaeki (3.48m, FCN) is a swap rather than an exit. [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF is one of the best programmes in the game and you want exposure to it — but he declines every round in the window, from 60k to 56k to 46k, while Hjalte Rasmussen on the same fixtures goes 85k, 69k, 74k for 0.23m more. Move inside the club rather than out of it, and do it now while the gap is still worth the fee.

Dorian Hanza (4.80m, VFF) completes the list. The trip to Randers FC is a perfectly reasonable fixture and 55k is a respectable number — this is not a bad week for him. But [A]RAN → [H]FCM → [A]AGF takes him to AGF in Runde 12 and he drops to 39k, and at 4.80m he is the most expensive way into the weakest three-round attacking programme among widely-owned forwards. The fee is the same whether you sell now or in two weeks, so sell into the decent fixture rather than out of the bad one.

More rounds, more analysis: read the Super Manager Runde 9 preview, browse the Super Manager preview hub, or start with our fantasy football guides if Super Manager is new to you.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Super Manager Runde 10?

Kristian Arnstad (6.81m, AGF) is the captain pick at 102k — the highest projection in Runde 10. AGF host Sønderjyske on Monday 12 October with a 63% win probability and 2.27 expected goals, the best fixture in the round, and he takes their penalties on an 0.88 share. Prince Junior (99k) and Alexander Lind (97k) are the alternatives, both from Nordsjælland at home to OB.

Is there a captain in Super Manager, and how much does he score?

Yes — Super Manager has a kaptajn and he scores double. That makes the armband worth more than most transfers in a single round, so it pays to choose a premium whose next two or three Runder all offer a captain-worthy fixture, rather than the best name for one weekend.

Which budget players are best for Super Manager Runde 10?

Hjalte Rasmussen (3.25m, FCN) at 26.2 points per million is the best value in the game, on 85k for Runde 10 and 229k across [H]OB → [A]LYN → [A]SIF. Oskar Fenger (2.89m, BIF) returns 24.5 on an 0.78 penalty share, Rami Al Hajj (2.81m, SIF) 24.5, and Martin André Sjølstad (2.70m, RAN) 21.4 from defence.

Best differentials for Super Manager Runde 10?

Kasper Junker (3.80m, RAN) is owned by 3.9% and projects 225k over [H]VFF → [A]ACH → [H]BIF. Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.60m, AGF) sits at 1.3% ownership with the joint-best keeper score of the round, and Jens Martin Gammelby (3.77m, SIF) at 4.0% takes Silkeborg penalties from defence.

Should I sell Elias Olafsson before Runde 10?

Yes, and this is the round to do it. His [H]FCK → [A]VFF → [H]LYN programme is respectable, but at 7.9 points per million he is the worst-value first-choice keeper in the game, and Aske Andrésen (3.44m) delivers within 20k of him over three rounds for 2.13m less. Selling now converts that difference into a Runde 11 upgrade somewhere else.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.