Super Manager Efterår 2026 Round 4 Preview
Super Manager round 4 preview: best buys, hidden gems and who to sell
Round 4 of Super Manager Efterår 2026 locks at 19:00 on Friday 14 August, and the round opens with that same Friday kick-off, Viborg - AGF. This is a normal league round in the Superliga, so every fixture is known and the model is working from a complete board.
Three things decide this round. Nordsjælland have the best attacking fixture in the league and Brøndby IF the best defensive one, and most managers already own a piece of both. The round is actually won in the spots after those obvious names, and this week that means two places to look: the cheap OB and Nordsjælland fillers projecting more points than players costing three times as much, and AGF, whose fixture this week is the worst on the board and whose next five are the best in the game.
Round 4 fixtures: which teams to target
Win probabilities and clean-sheet odds below come from the live market. The full board is on the Super Manager market probabilities page, and every kick-off time is on the Super Manager schedule.
| Team | Fixture | Win % | Expected goals | Clean sheet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordsjælland | [H]Silkeborg | 70% | 2.54 | 37% |
| Silkeborg | [A]Nordsjælland | 12% | 1.01 | 8% |
| Brøndby IF | [H]Sønderjyske | 67% | 2.23 | 41% |
| Sønderjyske | [A]Brøndby IF | 13% | 0.90 | 11% |
| OB | [H]AC Horsens | 56% | 1.76 | 39% |
| AC Horsens | [A]OB | 19% | 0.95 | 17% |
Nordsjælland at home is the standout attacking fixture: 2.54 expected goals against a Silkeborg side the market gives only an 8% chance of a clean sheet. Brøndby IF carry the round's highest clean-sheet probability at 41%, against a Sønderjyske team held to 0.90 expected goals. The quietly useful one is OB at home - a 39% clean sheet is the second-best of the round, and their defenders are the cheapest route to it in the entire game.
The other three games are tighter. FC Midtjylland are 54% away at Lyngby with 1.95 expected goals, FC København 54% away at Randers FC with 1.92, and the Friday opener has Viborg at 48% with a 28% clean sheet. Assets from Silkeborg, Sønderjyske, AC Horsens and Randers FC are all worth leaving alone this week.
Round 6 is a double round - and AGF are the team to plan for
FC København, AGF, FC Midtjylland and Nordsjælland each play twice in round 6, because round 3 held only four matches while round 6 holds eight. The doubles are not equal:
- FC København - [H]Sønderjyske (71% win) then [H]Nordsjælland (57% win). Two home games as favourites, easily the best of the four.
- AGF - [A]Randers FC (42%) then [H]FC Midtjylland (49%).
- FC Midtjylland - [A]Silkeborg (48%) then [A]AGF (27%).
- Nordsjælland - [H]Brøndby IF (40%) then [A]FC København (21%).
Look past round 6 as well, because AGF have the best forward-looking programme in the game: [A]Viborg (27%) this week, then [H]OB (57%), the double, [H]Silkeborg (64%), [A]Nordsjælland (38%) and [A]AC Horsens (54%). Round 4 is the one fixture in that run to skip, which is exactly why their ownership is still low. Throughout this preview the "weighted" figure is a decay-weighted total across rounds 4 to 9, where the current round counts full and each later round counts progressively less.
Goalkeepers
Andreas Hansen (4.67m, Nordsjælland) is the top-projected keeper for round 4 at 81k, on the back of that 37% clean-sheet chance against the weakest attack in the round. Patrick Pentz (4.78m, Brøndby IF) is a hair behind at 80k but owns the round's highest clean-sheet probability at 41%, and he has been the most productive keeper in the game so far with 279k banked across the opening three rounds.
Value pick: Viljar Myhra (3.63m, OB) at 72k is the best points-per-million keeper of the round at 19.8k per million, behind a 39% clean sheet, and the fee to bring him in is only 36k. His projection falls to 36k in round 5, so treat him as a one-round buy and move on afterwards.
Six-round play: Dominik Kotarski (5.14m, FC København) projects 71k now but 147k in the round 6 double, for a 297k weighted total - the best of any keeper. He is owned by just 3.9% of teams, which makes him close to a free differential in a position most managers barely think about. Deeper still, Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.54m, AGF) sits at 0.7% ownership: only 44k this week, but 69k then 122k in the double, for a 254k weighted score. If you would rather hold one cheap keeper through the whole run, Kasper Kiilerich (3.26m, Viborg) is 61k this week and 199k weighted.
Defenders
Runar Robinsønn Norheim (3.85m, Nordsjælland) is still the best defender in the game: 133k for round 4, 34.5k per million, and a 359k weighted six-round total. He is not a defender who scores by accident either - he banked 337k in round 2 alone, the second-highest single-round return by any defender this season. Ownership is 26.7% and climbing.
The correlated stack is Juho Laehteenmaeki (3.09m, Nordsjælland) at 96k and 30.9k per million. Doubling up on one strong defence is the right kind of correlation when the fixture genuinely supports it, and a 37% clean sheet against the league's weakest attack is as supportive as it gets. Remember the four-players-per-club cap before you stack a third and fourth Nordsjælland asset.
Budget picks, and this is where the round is actually won: Adam Sørensen (2.51m, OB) at 75k is 29.8k per million with a 25k fee, and James Gomez (2.05m, OB) at 65k is cheaper still at 31.6k per million and a 21k fee. Both collapse in round 5 when OB travel to AGF, so buy them for this round, take the 39% clean-sheet shot at home, and sell again. Marcus McCoy (3.55m, OB) at 74k is the pricier version of the same fixture with more attacking upside.
Cheapest route into the best fixture of the round: Stephen Acquah (2.10m, Nordsjælland) at 70k, 33.5k per million, a 21k fee, and only 1.7% owned. Want the Brøndby IF clean sheet instead? Jordi Vanlerberghe (3.22m, Brøndby IF) at 69k and 21.4k per million is the efficient way in.
For the round 6 double, Felix Beijmo (4.61m, FC København) projects 69k now and 150k in round 6 for a 290k weighted total. And if you already own Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen (2.21m, Viborg), keep him - 61k this week does not look like much, but 180k weighted from a 2.21m defender is one of the better value holds in the game.
Midfielders
Prince Junior (5.06m, Nordsjælland) is the highest-projected player in the entire game this round at 175k. With Ola Solbakken projected for zero minutes, the model gives Prince Junior a 100% penalty share, and he adds 84 projected minutes in a fixture worth 2.54 expected goals. At 34.7k per million he is the most obvious buy on the board. Trajectory: 175k → 116k → 159k, weighted 470k.
Mohamed Elyounoussi (7.88m, FC København) carries the highest weighted score of any midfielder at 511k: 122k this round, then 269k across the round 6 double. He has also been the single most productive player in the game so far, with 880k over the opening two rounds. If you can afford exactly one premium midfielder for the next month, this is the one.
Hidden gem of the round: Lamine Sadio (3.08m, Nordsjælland). He projects 126k at 5.5% ownership - that is 41.0k per million, the best points-per-million figure of any player in the game. His 64 projected minutes mean he is usually withdrawn before full time, which is exactly why he stays cheap and unowned. Trajectory: 126k → 99k → 133k, weighted 373k, fee 31k.
Best differential overall: Jordan Larsson (7.12m, FC København), owned by 1.1% of teams. He projects 95k this round and 229k in the round 6 double for a 424k weighted total. A premium-priced player owned by roughly one manager in a hundred is as close to a free differential as this game offers. The cheaper FC København route into the same double is Robert (5.66m) at 91k now and 172k in round 6, though at 76 projected minutes he carries more rotation risk than the other two.
Second differential worth naming: Nicklas Røjkjær (4.21m, Nordsjælland) at 113k and only 3.5% ownership, with 85 projected minutes in the round's best fixture and 26.9k per million.
Budget pick: James Bogere (2.54m, AGF) - 59k this round, then 95k in round 5 and 150k in the round 6 double. His weighted points-per-million of 129.2k is the highest figure in the game, he is projected for a full 90 minutes, and the fee to bring him in is 25k. That is the cheapest route into AGF's programme that exists. The premium version is Kristian Arnstad (6.85m, AGF), who takes their penalties at a 93% share and goes 49k → 92k → 174k → 125k for a 350k weighted total - a clear buy for next round rather than this one. Frederik Emmery (3.57m, AGF) is the middle option at 42k now, 78k in round 5 and 123k in the double.
Alternatives for this round only: Topi Keskinen (3.05m, OB) at 78k and 25.4k per million, Jakob Bonde (3.02m, OB) at 73k and 0.4% ownership, and Mads Frøkjær-Jensen (4.13m, Brøndby IF) at 94k with an equally strong 95k follow-up in round 5, behind the round's best clean-sheet odds.
Forwards
Filip Bundgaard (4.11m, Brøndby IF) is the standout forward buy, and his projection has risen to 137k - second-highest in the game this round, at 33.4k per million. His round 5 number is 137k as well, so this is a genuine two-round hold rather than a one-week punt, and he holds a 97% penalty share for Brøndby IF in this fixture. Weighted 397k, fee 41k, and still only 9.5% owned.
Dorian Hanza (4.07m, Viborg) is the name to notice this week: 97k from 88 projected minutes in the Friday opener, at 23.9k per million and a 294k weighted total. His team-mate Charly Horneman (3.56m, Viborg) is the lower-owned version at 83k and 4.8% ownership, 23.4k per million, with a projection that stays flat across the horizon instead of spiking once and collapsing - which matters more than it looks in a game with no bench.
The two premiums: Franculino (9.70m, FC Midtjylland) is the most expensive player in the game and still earns it, at 129k now, 233k in the round 6 double and a game-leading 514k weighted total, with a 76% penalty share. Youssoufa Moukoko (8.11m, FC København) is the alternative - 113k now, 262k in round 6, a 93% penalty share and 492k weighted. Moukoko has the better double; Franculino has the higher floor and the better fixture this week.
Noah Ganaus (5.71m, OB) is the second-most-owned forward in the game at 28.1% and projects a solid 123k at home to AC Horsens, with 89 projected minutes and a 100% penalty share. Keep him for this round - but his round 5 projection falls to 56k, so plan the exit rather than assuming he stays.
Two cheap forwards for the longer run: Adrian Justinussen (2.63m, AC Horsens) at 53k takes his side's penalties at a 93% share and carries an 84.3k weighted points-per-million from a 26k fee, and Asbjørn Bøndergaard (3.02m, Lyngby) is 1.6% owned with a 251k weighted total that peaks at 92k in each of rounds 8 and 9. And if you are buying into AGF for the run from round 5, Tobias Bech (7.54m) is the biggest riser of the lot - 64k now, then 111k, 195k in the double and 138k, for a 404k weighted score at 8.2% ownership.
The players to build around in round 4
Ranked by projected points for the round. Note the four-players-per-club cap when stacking Nordsjælland or FC København.
| # | Player | Team | Price | Round 4 points | Weighted 6-round | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prince Junior | Nordsjælland | 5.06m | 175k | 470k | 31.2% |
| 2 | Filip Bundgaard | Brøndby IF | 4.11m | 137k | 397k | 9.5% |
| 3 | Runar Robinsønn Norheim | Nordsjælland | 3.85m | 133k | 359k | 26.7% |
| 4 | Franculino | FC Midtjylland | 9.70m | 129k | 514k | 28.5% |
| 5 | Lamine Sadio | Nordsjælland | 3.08m | 126k | 373k | 5.5% |
| 6 | Noah Ganaus | OB | 5.71m | 123k | 301k | 28.1% |
| 7 | Mohamed Elyounoussi | FC København | 7.88m | 122k | 511k | 29.4% |
| 8 | Youssoufa Moukoko | FC København | 8.11m | 113k | 492k | 25.6% |
Prince Junior is the clear number one for this round alone. Franculino, Elyounoussi and Moukoko are the names to own if you are planning past round 5. You can sort the whole list yourself on the Super Manager player picks page, and the solver will build the highest-scoring legal squad for you on the optimal teams page.
Who to sell before the round 4 deadline
Olti Hyseni (3.90m, Brøndby IF) is the most-owned player in the entire game at 38.3% - and the model projects him just 23 minutes this round, for 44k. His weighted six-round score of 108k is the lowest of any player owned by more than a fifth of the field, and his projection falls further in every round through round 9. He earned that ownership with 404k over the opening three rounds, which is precisely why so many managers will sit on him too long. If you make one move this week, make it this one.
Alexander Lind (5.99m, Nordsjælland) projects zero minutes in all six upcoming rounds and a negative return in every one of them, yet is still owned by 12.2% of teams. There is no version of the next month in which holding him helps. Frederik Tingager (3.53m, AGF) is the same profile at 10.0% ownership - zero minutes and a negative projection in each of the next four rounds, even though the club behind him has the best fixtures in the game.
Jann-Fiete Arp (6.04m, OB) projects zero minutes and a negative return in both round 4 and round 5, at 11.3% ownership. He is listed as OB's penalty taker, which is exactly the trap - penalties are worth nothing if he is not on the pitch, and Ganaus holds the 100% share in this fixture. His projection does recover from round 6, so this is a sell-and-revisit rather than a permanent exit.
Friday Etim (5.26m, FC Midtjylland) is 24.6% owned and projects 67k from 59 minutes - well behind team-mates costing similar money. If you want FC Midtjylland attacking exposure, Dario Osorio (6.73m) projects 95k from 85 minutes instead. The same logic applies to Patrick Mortensen (6.11m, Brøndby IF), whose 83k looks fine until you notice it comes from only 51 projected minutes.
Finally, plan the exit on the Brøndby IF defence. Luis Binks (4.26m, Brøndby IF), owned by 14.5%, goes 65k → 54k → 30k, and Oliver Villadsen (3.72m, Brøndby IF), owned by 15.6%, goes 67k → 57k → 33k as the fixtures harden after round 5. Take the two good rounds, then move on.
Before you commit, check the Super Manager predicted lineups - only the Friday game has confirmed teams this far out, so the Sunday and Monday projections carry more rotation risk - and the penalty takers page, which is where a lot of the gap between the round's top projections and the alternatives comes from. Per-round detail for every player is on the player data page.
Summary
- Buy for this round: Prince Junior, Norheim and Sadio for the Nordsjælland fixture; Bundgaard for a two-round run; Hanza in the Friday opener; Hansen or Pentz in goal.
- Buy for round 5 and the round 6 double: Elyounoussi, Larsson, Moukoko and Kotarski (FC København); Bogere, Arnstad and Bech (AGF); Franculino (FC Midtjylland).
- Cheap fillers, all under a 27k fee: Gomez (2.05m), Acquah (2.10m), Kristensen (2.21m), Sørensen (2.51m), Bogere (2.54m), Justinussen (2.63m).
- Sell: Hyseni, Lind, Tingager, Arp, Etim.
More rounds and analysis in the Super Manager preview hub, including the Super Manager round 1 season preview. If you are new to the format, the guide to the holdet.dk football manager games covers the rules and the fee structure, and the rest of our fantasy football guides cover the other managerspil formats.
FAQ
Which player should I build my Super Manager team around in round 4?
Prince Junior (5.06m, Nordsjælland) is the model's top projection for the round at 175k. He holds a 100% penalty share with Ola Solbakken projected for no minutes, has 84 expected minutes, and plays in the best fixture on the board at home to Silkeborg, where Nordsjælland are 70% favourites with 2.54 expected goals.
Who are the best differentials in Super Manager round 4?
Jordan Larsson (7.12m, FC København) is owned by just 1.1% of teams and projects 95k this round plus 229k across the round 6 double. Lamine Sadio (3.08m, Nordsjælland) is 5.5% owned and delivers the best points-per-million in the game at 41.0k. Nicklas Røjkjær (4.21m, Nordsjælland) projects 113k at 3.5% ownership, and in goal Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.54m, AGF) sits at 0.7%.
Which cheap players are worth buying in Super Manager round 4?
James Gomez (2.05m, OB) at 65k and a 21k fee, Stephen Acquah (2.10m, Nordsjælland) at 70k, Adam Sørensen (2.51m, OB) at 75k behind a 39% clean sheet, and James Bogere (2.54m, AGF) with the game's best weighted points-per-million at 129.2k. Adrian Justinussen (2.63m, AC Horsens) takes his side's penalties at a 93% share. All five cost under 27k to bring in.
Who should I sell in Super Manager round 4?
Olti Hyseni (Brøndby IF) is the priority - the most-owned player in the game at 38.3%, projected for only 23 minutes and 44k. Alexander Lind (Nordsjælland), Frederik Tingager (AGF) and Jann-Fiete Arp (OB) all project zero minutes and a negative return this round, yet are owned by 12.2%, 10.0% and 11.3% respectively. Friday Etim (FC Midtjylland) is behind cheaper team-mates on minutes at 24.6% ownership.
Why do rounds 5 and 6 matter when planning round 4 transfers?
FC København, AGF, FC Midtjylland and Nordsjælland all play twice in round 6, because round 3 held only four matches. The FC København double is two home games as favourites, which is why Elyounoussi projects 269k and Moukoko 262k for that round. AGF are the other team to plan for: their round 4 fixture is the worst on the board, but they then face OB, the double and Silkeborg, which is why Bech and Arnstad carry 404k and 350k weighted totals from low ownership.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool