Super Manager Efterår 2026 Round 4 Preview
Super Manager round 4 preview: best buys, hidden gems and who to sell
Super Manager Efterår 2026 hits round 4 with a Friday deadline at 19:00 on 14 August, and the round opens immediately with Viborg - AGF. This is a straight league round, so there is no knockout draw to wait for — every fixture is known and the model has a full picture.
Two things decide this round. First, Nordsjælland have the best single fixture in the Superliga. Second, and more important for anyone thinking two moves ahead, round 6 is a double round for four clubs — and the cheapest way into it is to start buying now, before the ownership moves.
Round 4 fixtures: who to target
The model's win probabilities and clean-sheet odds come from the live market. You can see the full picture on the Super Manager market probabilities page, and the complete fixture list on the Super Manager schedule.
| Team | Fixture | Win % | Expected goals | Clean sheet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordsjælland | [H]Silkeborg | 70% | 2.56 | 37% |
| Brøndby IF | [H]Sønderjyske | 65% | 2.17 | 40% |
| OB | [H]AC Horsens | 59% | 1.98 | 37% |
| FC København | [A]Randers FC | 54% | 1.93 | 31% |
| FC Midtjylland | [A]Lyngby | 52% | 1.91 | 29% |
| Viborg | [H]AGF | 45% | 1.69 | 27% |
Nordsjælland at home to Silkeborg is the standout: 2.56 expected goals against a side the model gives just an 8% clean-sheet chance. Brøndby IF carry the highest clean-sheet probability of the round at 40%. At the other end, Silkeborg, Sønderjyske, AC Horsens and Randers assets are all worth avoiding this week.
The round 6 double is the real planning story
FC København, AGF, FC Midtjylland and Nordsjælland all play twice in round 6. FC København's double is by far the best of them: [H]Sønderjyske (71% win) → [H]Nordsjælland (57% win) — two home games, favourites in both. That is why FC København players dominate the six-round weighted rankings even though their round 4 fixture is only the fourth-best on the board. Buying that block in round 4 or 5 costs the same fee as buying it in round 6, but by then everyone else has arrived.
Goalkeepers
P. Pentz (4.779m, Brøndby IF) is the highest-projected keeper for round 4 at 79k, backed by that 40% clean-sheet chance at home to Sønderjyske. He is the safe pick.
The better six-round play is D. Kotarski (5.145m, FC København) — 71k this round, but 147k in the round 6 double and 296k on a decay-weighted six-round score. At just 3.8% ownership he is close to a free differential in a position most managers treat as an afterthought.
Budget option: V. Myhra (3.633m, OB) at 69k is the best value keeper for this round alone at 19.0k per million. Be aware his projection drops to 37k in round 5 — treat him as a one-round buy and move the 36k fee on afterwards.
Deep differential: M. H. Christiansen (4.536m, AGF) sits at 0.7% ownership with a 258k weighted score off AGF's round 6 double.
Defenders
R. R. Norheim (3.851m, Nordsjælland) is the best defender in the game right now: 123k for round 4, 31.9k per million, and a 350k weighted six-round total. He gets attacking output from a full-back slot in the round's best fixture. Nearly 20% own him already, and that number will rise.
His team-mate J. Laehteenmaeki (3.086m, Nordsjælland) is the correlated stack: 84k, 27.2k per million, same clean sheet, 31k fee. Doubling up on one strong defence is the right kind of correlation when the fixture supports it — and here it clearly does.
For the round 6 double, F. Beijmo (4.610m, FC København) projects 69k now and 150k in round 6, for a 289k weighted total.
Budget pick: A. Sørensen (2.514m, OB) at 62k is outstanding value — 24.9k per million, and the transfer fee is just 25k. His round 5 drops to 23k, so buy him for this round, take the clean-sheet shot at home to AC Horsens, and sell. At a 25k fee that is a completely standard one-round trade in this game.
Even cheaper: S. Acquah (2.104m, Nordsjælland) at 54k and 1.1% ownership — a 21k fee to get a third route into the best fixture of the round.
If you want the Brøndby IF clean sheet, take J. Vanlerberghe (3.218m, Brøndby IF) at 69k and 21.5k per million rather than the pricier options alongside him.
Midfielders
P. Junior (5.056m, Nordsjælland) is the highest-projected player in the entire round at 167k. With O. Solbakken projected for zero minutes, P. Junior inherits the penalty duty outright — the model has his penalty share at 100%. Add 84 projected minutes in a fixture worth 2.56 expected goals and 33.1k per million, and he is the most obvious buy on the board. His trajectory: 167k → 117k → 161k, weighted 465k.
M. Elyounoussi (7.880m, FC København) carries the highest weighted score in the game at 509k: 123k this round, then 267k across the round 6 double. If you can afford one premium midfielder for the next month, this is it.
Hidden gem of the round: L. Sadio (3.076m, Nordsjælland). He projects 115k at just 4.5% ownership — that is 37.4k per million, the best points-per-million figure of any player in the game. His 63 projected minutes mean he is usually withdrawn late, which is exactly why he is cheap and unowned. Trajectory: 115k → 98k → 131k, weighted 358k, fee 31k.
Best differential overall: J. Larsson (7.119m, FC København) at 1.1% ownership. He projects 97k this round and 232k in the round 6 double, for a 430k weighted total. A premium-priced player owned by roughly one manager in a hundred is as close to a free differential as this game offers.
Budget pick: J. Bogere (2.538m, AGF) — 66k this round, 90 projected minutes, and the highest weighted points-per-million in the game at 130k. His projection climbs to 100k in round 5 and 141k in the round 6 double. At a 25k fee, this is the cheapest legitimate route into AGF's double.
Alternatives if your budget is already committed: N. Røjkjær (4.206m, Nordsjælland) at 102k and 2.5% ownership, and M. F. Jensen (4.126m, Brøndby IF) at 95k with a strong 99k follow-up in round 5.
Forwards
F. Bundgaard (4.106m, Brøndby IF) is the best forward buy of the week: 134k, 32.7k per million, and it does not stop there — his round 5 projection is even higher at 142k. That makes him a genuine two-round hold rather than a one-week punt, at a modest 41k fee.
Franculino (9.703m, FC Midtjylland) is the most expensive player in the game and still justifies it: 126k now, 231k in the round 6 double, 508k weighted. Y. Moukoko (8.110m, FC København) is the alternative premium — 113k now, 264k in round 6, a 93% penalty share, and a 495k weighted total. Both are elite; Moukoko has the better double, Franculino the higher floor.
Budget pick: C. Horneman (3.563m, Viborg) at 85k and 5.4% ownership — 23.9k per million with 80 projected minutes, and unusually steady across the horizon (85k, 55k, 81k, 88k, 87k, 76k). Nothing spikes, nothing collapses. That consistency is worth more than it looks in a game with no bench.
Deeper still: A. Justinussen (2.630m, AC Horsens) at 57k takes his side's penalties at a 93% share and returns 21.6k per million from a 26k fee.
N. Ganaus (5.709m, OB) is the most-owned forward in the game at 29.6% and projects a strong 115k at home to AC Horsens. Keep him for this round — but note his round 5 falls away to 56k, so plan the exit rather than assuming he stays.
The players to build around in round 4
Ranked by projected points for the round, these are the names with the highest ceilings. Remember the four-players-per-club cap when you are stacking Nordsjælland or FC København.
| # | Player | Team | Price | Round 4 points | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | P. Junior | Nordsjælland | 5.056m | 167k | 27.4% |
| 2 | F. Bundgaard | Brøndby IF | 4.106m | 134k | 9.7% |
| 3 | Franculino | FC Midtjylland | 9.703m | 126k | 24.3% |
| 4 | M. Elyounoussi | FC København | 7.880m | 123k | 23.6% |
| 5 | R. R. Norheim | Nordsjælland | 3.851m | 123k | 19.7% |
| 6 | L. Sadio | Nordsjælland | 3.076m | 115k | 4.5% |
| 7 | Y. Moukoko | FC København | 8.110m | 113k | 25.6% |
P. Junior is the clear number one this week. Elyounoussi and Moukoko are the two to own if you are planning past round 5. You can sort the full list yourself on the Super Manager player picks page, and the solver will build the highest-scoring legal squad for you on the optimal teams page.
Who to sell before the round 4 deadline
O. Hyseni (3.904m, Brøndby IF) is the most-owned player in the entire game at 38.4% — and the model projects him just 16 minutes this round. His weighted six-round score of 95k is among the worst of any widely-owned asset. If you move one player this week, make it this one.
A. Lind (5.990m, Nordsjælland) projects zero minutes in all six upcoming rounds and negative value growth throughout. He is still owned by 12.2% of teams. There is no scenario in which holding him helps.
F. Etim (5.259m, FC Midtjylland) at 19.8% ownership projects only 59 minutes and 67k — well behind team-mates who cost similar money. If you want Midtjylland exposure in midfield, D. Osorio (6.730m) projects 95k with 85 minutes.
Plan the exit on the Brøndby IF defence. L. Binks (4.258m, 14.8% owned) and O. Villadsen (3.718m, 15.9% owned) are both fine for rounds 4 and 5, then fall away sharply — Binks goes 62k → 53k → 30k as the fixtures harden. Take the two good weeks, then move on.
Before you commit, check the Super Manager predicted lineups — only the Friday game has confirmed teams this far out — and the penalty takers page, which is where a lot of the gap between P. Junior and the alternatives comes from. Per-round detail for every player is on the player data page.
Summary
- Buy now: P. Junior, R. R. Norheim and L. Sadio for the Nordsjælland fixture; F. Bundgaard for a two-round run.
- Buy for the round 6 double: M. Elyounoussi, J. Larsson, Y. Moukoko and D. Kotarski (FC København); J. Bogere (AGF).
- Cheap fillers: A. Sørensen (2.514m), S. Acquah (2.104m), J. Bogere (2.538m), A. Justinussen (2.630m) — all under a 27k fee.
- Sell: O. Hyseni, A. Lind, F. Etim.
More rounds and analysis in the Super Manager preview hub, including the Super Manager round 1 season preview. New to projected points? Start with what expected points actually means and how fixture difficulty is calculated.
FAQ
Which player should I build my Super Manager team around in round 4?
P. Junior (5.056m, Nordsjælland) is the model's top projection for the round at 167k. He has a 100% penalty share with O. Solbakken projected for no minutes, 84 expected minutes, and the best fixture on the board at home to Silkeborg, where Nordsjælland are 70% favourites with 2.56 expected goals.
Who are the best differentials in Super Manager round 4?
J. Larsson (7.119m, FC København) is owned by just 1.1% of teams and projects 97k this round and 232k across the round 6 double. L. Sadio (3.076m, Nordsjælland) is owned by 4.5% and delivers the best points-per-million in the game at 37.4k. In goal, M. H. Christiansen (4.536m, AGF) sits at 0.7% ownership.
Which cheap players are worth buying in Super Manager round 4?
A. Sørensen (2.514m, OB) at 62k and a 25k fee, S. Acquah (2.104m, Nordsjælland) at 54k, J. Bogere (2.538m, AGF) with the game's best weighted points-per-million at 130k, and A. Justinussen (2.630m, AC Horsens) who takes his side's penalties. All four cost under 27k to bring in.
Who should I sell in Super Manager round 4?
O. Hyseni (Brøndby IF) is the priority — the most-owned player in the game at 38.4%, projected for only 16 minutes. A. Lind (Nordsjælland) projects zero minutes in all six upcoming rounds and is still owned by 12.2%. F. Etim (FC Midtjylland) is behind cheaper team-mates on minutes.
Why does round 6 matter when planning round 4 transfers?
FC København, AGF, FC Midtjylland and Nordsjælland all play twice in round 6. FC København's double is two home games as favourites, which is why M. Elyounoussi projects 267k and Y. Moukoko 264k for that round. Buying into it early costs the same fee as buying late, but at lower ownership.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool