Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7: captains and best buys
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7 runs from Friday 16 October to Monday 19 October. All twenty teams play once, and the schedule has no blanks or doubles anywhere from Gameweek 7 to Gameweek 12, so this is a straight transfer week where the decision is about the next three gameweeks, not this one alone. The headline change is in Roma's goal: Mile Svilar is listed as unavailable until early November, which makes his 4.0m backup the best-value goalkeeper in the game for exactly the next four weeks. Roma also open with [H]GEN and the best win probability of the round, Juventus have the deepest clean-sheet run, and Milan's Christian Pulisic has moved to the top of the midfield projections.
Every number below is a projected Sofascore points figure from our model. The full ranking is on the Sofascore Serie A player picks page, and the optimal teams for Sofascore Serie A page solves the best squad live. The Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6 preview covers the picks that led into this run.
Gameweek 7 programs: whose next three gameweeks are worth owning
The table ranks the top twelve teams by expected goals over Gameweeks 7 to 9, with this week's fixture on the left. The 3-gameweek CS column is the expected number of clean sheets across the three games, so 1.29 means a little more than one shut-out from three.
| Team | GW7 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program GW7-9 | 3-gameweek xG | 3-gameweek CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | [A]BOL | 61% | 2.06 | 37% | [A]BOL → [H]FIO → [A]VEN | 6.68 | 1.14 |
| Roma | [H]GEN | 69% | 2.17 | 47% | [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL | 5.56 | 1.18 |
| Como | [A]FIO | 45% | 1.67 | 28% | [A]FIO → [H]SAS → [A]TOR | 5.45 | 1.01 |
| Juventus | [H]LAZ | 58% | 1.78 | 42% | [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN | 5.28 | 1.29 |
| Milan | [H]ATA | 51% | 1.72 | 33% | [H]ATA → [A]UDI → [H]BOL | 4.97 | 1.02 |
| Atalanta | [A]MIL | 24% | 1.11 | 18% | [A]MIL → [H]FRC → [A]FIO | 4.82 | 0.77 |
| Napoli | [A]VEN | 56% | 1.87 | 35% | [A]VEN → [H]ROM → [A]MON | 4.67 | 1.00 |
| Frosinone | [H]SAS | 40% | 1.71 | 20% | [H]SAS → [A]ATA → [H]LEC | 4.51 | 0.74 |
| Lazio | [A]JUV | 17% | 0.86 | 17% | [A]JUV → [H]PAR → [A]SAS | 4.06 | 0.91 |
| Udinese | [H]LEC | 50% | 1.56 | 38% | [H]LEC → [H]MIL → [A]PAR | 3.90 | 0.90 |
| Sassuolo | [A]FRC | 36% | 1.62 | 18% | [A]FRC → [A]COM → [H]LAZ | 3.86 | 0.54 |
| Torino | [A]PAR | 38% | 1.21 | 35% | [A]PAR → [H]MON → [H]COM | 3.80 | 0.91 |
Inter have the most attacking program in the league: [A]BOL → [H]FIO → [A]VEN is worth 6.68 expected goals, with 2.46 at home to Fiorentina in Gameweek 8 alone. The catch is minutes, not fixtures, and the sell section explains why most of their popular players still fall short. Roma are the best all-round target. [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL gives them 5.56 expected goals and 1.18 expected clean sheets, and the Napoli away game in Gameweek 8 is a week to plan around rather than a reason to avoid them.
Juventus have the best defensive run. [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN adds up to 1.29 expected clean sheets, the highest in the game, and their 48% clean-sheet chance at Lecce in Gameweek 8 is the best single defensive fixture of that week. Como ([A]FIO → [H]SAS → [A]TOR) and Milan ([H]ATA → [A]UDI → [H]BOL) are the other programs with three playable fixtures. Frosinone ([H]SAS → [A]ATA → [H]LEC) are the cheap attacking run: home games against Sassuolo and Lecce either side of a hard trip to Atalanta.
Two teams are worth buying a week late. Lazio open [A]JUV with a 17% win chance, then go [H]PAR → [A]SAS → [H]CGL, with 47% clean-sheet odds at home to Parma. Atalanta start [A]MIL and then play [H]FRC → [A]FIO → [H]PAR, with team xG of 2.15 and 2.18 in the two home games. At the bottom, Lecce ([A]UDI → [H]JUV → [A]FRC, 2.57 xG) and Parma ([H]TOR → [A]LAZ → [H]UDI, 2.91 xG) have the weakest attacking runs, and Fiorentina and Venezia sit below 0.5 expected clean sheets. The full Sofascore Serie A schedule shows the run beyond Gameweek 9.
Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 7
Pierluigi Gollini (4.0m, ROM) is the clear goalkeeper buy, and the timing is what makes him one. With Mile Svilar out, he starts for Roma and projects 5.9 → 5.2 → 5.8 over [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL, a total of 16.9 and the best of any goalkeeper. His 46% clean-sheet chance against Genoa is the highest of the week. The model then has him at 5.4 at Udinese in Gameweek 10 and down to 1.3 in Gameweek 11, when Mile Svilar is due back. So treat him as a four-week pick: buy now, and plan to move him on after Gameweek 10. Only 0.9% own him, and at 4.0m he has the best points per million of any player in the game.
If you want a keeper to hold beyond that, Christos Mandas (5.2m, LAZ) is the pick. He projects 4.6 → 5.7 → 5.0 over [A]JUV → [H]PAR → [A]SAS, and 5.7 at home to Parma in Gameweek 8 is the best goalkeeper projection of that week. The Juventus away game is his weak week, and 5.4 against Cagliari in Gameweek 10 keeps the run going after it. Elia Caprile (5.6m, CGL) is the steady alternative on 5.2 → 5.2 → 4.7 over [A]MON → [H]BOL → [A]ROM. Maduka Okoye projects 5.3 at home to Lecce, but Milan's visit in Gameweek 8 drops him to 4.5. Mike Maignan (32.5% owned) is a fine hold on 4.8 → 4.9 → 4.8 over [H]ATA → [A]UDI → [H]BOL.
Best defenders for Gameweek 7
This week's ranking and the three-week ranking disagree in defence. Oumar Solet (6.9m, UDI) projects 6.2, the most of any defender this week, because Udinese host Lecce and the model gives him 73% of Udinese's penalties, rare upside for a centre-back. His program is [H]LEC → [H]MIL → [A]PAR (6.2 → 4.5 → 5.5), so the Milan home game is the dip and the trip to Parma brings him back up. Two good fixtures out of three make him a buy at 5.5% ownership.
Over three weeks, though, Gleison Bremer (7.3m, JUV) is still the best defender in the game. He projects 6.0 → 6.2 → 5.5 across [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN, a total of 17.7, on the deepest clean-sheet run in the league. Juventus then host Napoli in Gameweek 10 and Venezia in Gameweek 12, so he can sit in your team for weeks. If you are buying one defender and keeping him, buy Bremer. Mehmet Zeki Celik (5.6m, JUV) is the cheaper way into the same defence at 5.7% ownership, projecting 5.1 → 5.4 → 4.7 over the same [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN program. The three-per-club limit means Bremer, Celik and one Juventus attacker is as far as a Juve stack goes.
Nuno Tavares (6.0m, LAZ) is the defender to buy a week late. He projects only 4.6 at Juventus, then 6.7 at home to Parma, the second-best projection of any player in Gameweek 8, and 6.7 → 5.5 → 5.6 over [H]PAR → [A]SAS → [H]CGL. His three-week total from Gameweek 7 is already 16.8, second only to Bremer, so if you have a spare transfer now it is not wasted. If not, bring him in for Gameweek 8. Leo Østigard follows the same pattern: 4.4 at Roma, then 5.9 at home to Venezia and 5.8 at Lecce in Gameweek 10.
For a budget defender, Gabriele Bracaglia (4.5m, FRC) projects 4.9 → 3.7 → 5.4 over [H]SAS → [A]ATA → [H]LEC. The Atalanta away game is his weak week, and the two home games either side are why he makes the list. Eddy Kouadio (4.5m, MON) is another cheap starter worth a look, with 5.1 at home to Cagliari, but Monza's run fades after that (5.1 → 4.4 → 3.8 over [H]CGL → [A]TOR → [H]NAP), so treat him as a one-week fill-in. Mergim Vojvoda (5.4 against Lecce) has the same one-week shape, falling to 3.6 when Milan visit.
Best midfielders for Gameweek 7
Christian Pulisic (7.0m, MIL) is the midfielder to buy. He projects 6.6 → 6.4 → 5.7 over [H]ATA → [A]UDI → [H]BOL, the second-best three-week total of any player (18.7), and his 0.43 expected goals against Atalanta are the most of any midfielder. The model gives him 84% of Milan's penalties. Only 6.3% of managers own him, which makes him both a strong pick and a real differential. Milan host Inter in Gameweek 10, so his run is front-loaded: buy now rather than later.
Nico Paz (9.0m, COM) is owned by 53.7% for a reason. He projects 6.0 → 6.9 → 5.7 over [A]FIO → [H]SAS → [A]TOR, and his 6.9 at home to Sassuolo is the best single projection of Gameweek 8. Keep him; not owning him is the bigger risk.
Giacomo Calo (5.2m, FRC) remains the best value in midfield. He projects 6.3 → 5.7 → 6.2 over [H]SAS → [A]ATA → [H]LEC, almost level with Paz and Pulisic over three weeks for far less money. He has 0.28 expected assists against Sassuolo and takes 92% of Frosinone's penalties in the model. At 1.8% owned, he is the cheapest route to top-three midfield output.
Chico Conceicao (7.3m, JUV) is the Juventus attacker to pair with Bremer under the club limit, on 5.4 → 6.1 → 5.3 over [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN. Mattia Zaccagni (6.8m, LAZ) is the Lazio midfielder to target for Gameweek 8. Over [A]JUV → [H]PAR → [A]SAS he projects 5.2 at Juventus, then 6.6 at home to Parma, with 17.5 over three weeks and 91% of Lazio's penalties. Franco Mastantuono (5.8m, FIO) gives a flat 5.4 → 5.3 → 5.6 over [H]COM → [A]INT → [H]ATA at 11.6% ownership, the kind of player you buy once and stop thinking about.
Armand Laurienté (6.5m, SAS) is a one-week pick. He projects 6.3 at Frosinone, then drops to 4.6 at Como before 5.5 against Lazio ([A]FRC → [A]COM → [H]LAZ). Buy him only if Sassuolo's opening fixture fills a gap, and plan to sell again after Gameweek 7. For a deeper differential, Federico Bernardeschi (5.5m, BOL) (1.1% owned) projects 5.2 → 5.6 → 5.1 → 6.1 over [H]INT → [A]CGL → [A]MIL → [H]MON, with the Monza home game in Gameweek 10 his best week, and he takes 82% of Bologna's penalties in the model.
| Player | Price | Owned | GW7 | GW7 → GW9 | 3-gameweek total | Program (GW7-9) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Pulisic | 7.0m | 6.3% | 6.6 | 6.6 → 6.4 → 5.7 | 18.7 | [H]ATA → [A]UDI → [H]BOL |
| Nico Paz | 9.0m | 53.7% | 6.0 | 6.0 → 6.9 → 5.7 | 18.6 | [A]FIO → [H]SAS → [A]TOR |
| Giacomo Calo | 5.2m | 1.8% | 6.3 | 6.3 → 5.7 → 6.2 | 18.2 | [H]SAS → [A]ATA → [H]LEC |
| Mattia Zaccagni | 6.8m | 7.9% | 5.2 | 5.2 → 6.6 → 5.7 | 17.5 | [A]JUV → [H]PAR → [A]SAS |
| Chico Conceicao | 7.3m | 11.9% | 5.4 | 5.4 → 6.1 → 5.3 | 16.8 | [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN |
| Armand Laurienté | 6.5m | 3.3% | 6.3 | 6.3 → 4.6 → 5.5 | 16.4 | [A]FRC → [A]COM → [H]LAZ |
| Franco Mastantuono | 5.8m | 11.6% | 5.4 | 5.4 → 5.3 → 5.6 | 16.3 | [H]COM → [A]INT → [H]ATA |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 5.5m | 1.1% | 5.2 | 5.2 → 5.6 → 5.1 | 15.9 | [H]INT → [A]CGL → [A]MIL |
Best forwards for Gameweek 7
Paulo Dybala (7.8m, ROM) is the best player in the game this week and over the horizon. He projects 6.8 → 5.8 → 6.4 over [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL, a total of 19.0, and his weighted six-week score is the highest of any player. The one risk is minutes: the model has him at around 66 minutes against Genoa, so check the Sofascore Serie A predicted lineups before the deadline.
Donyell Malen (8.7m, ROM) is the other Roma forward, owned by 41.1%. He projects 6.2 → 5.0 → 5.8 over the same [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL run, and his 0.71 expected goals against Genoa are the highest goal expectation of any player this week, helped by 70% of Roma's penalties. Owning both Roma forwards is fine. The Napoli week costs each of them about a point.
Giorgi Kvernadze (4.3m, FRC) is the budget forward to own. He projects 5.9 → 4.8 → 5.2 over [H]SAS → [A]ATA → [H]LEC on around 83 minutes, and only Gollini beats him on points per million. With Calo he makes Frosinone the cheapest two-player attacking stack of the round. Randal Kolo Muani (6.1m, JUV) is the mid-price option on 5.3 → 5.3 → 4.3 over [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN: 0.49 expected goals against Lazio and 93% of Juventus' penalties make him a two-week buy, with the Genoa trip in Gameweek 9 the point to reassess. Samuel Chukwueze (5.6m, MIL) (5.3 → 4.9 → 4.5 over [H]ATA → [A]UDI → [H]BOL, around 84 minutes) is the cheaper Milan alternative to Goncalo Ramos.
| Player | Price | Owned | GW7 | GW7 → GW9 | 3-gameweek total | Program (GW7-9) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Dybala | 7.8m | 25.4% | 6.8 | 6.8 → 5.8 → 6.4 | 19.0 | [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL |
| Donyell Malen | 8.7m | 41.1% | 6.2 | 6.2 → 5.0 → 5.8 | 17.0 | [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL |
| Giorgi Kvernadze | 4.3m | 2.9% | 5.9 | 5.9 → 4.8 → 5.2 | 15.9 | [H]SAS → [A]ATA → [H]LEC |
| Randal Kolo Muani | 6.1m | 9.5% | 5.3 | 5.3 → 5.3 → 4.3 | 14.9 | [H]LAZ → [A]LEC → [A]GEN |
| Samuel Chukwueze | 5.6m | 5.0% | 5.3 | 5.3 → 4.9 → 4.5 | 14.7 | [H]ATA → [A]UDI → [H]BOL |
Gameweek 7 captain picks
Your captain's points are doubled in Sofascore Serie A, and Paulo Dybala (7.8m, ROM) is the pick for Gameweek 7, with [H]GEN → [A]NAP → [H]CGL ahead. His 6.8 is the highest projection of the week, and Roma are the strongest home side of the round with a 69% win probability. He also tops the Gameweek 9 projections at 6.4 against Cagliari, so one player covers two of the next three captaincies.
The alternatives are Christian Pulisic (6.6) and Giacomo Calo (6.3). Pulisic is the strongest differential captain, owned by 6.3% against Dybala's 25.4%. Nico Paz is the natural captain for Gameweek 8, when his 6.9 at home to Sassuolo tops the projections. Owning Paz plus Dybala gives you a strong captain in each of the next three weeks.
Who to sell before Gameweek 7
Mile Svilar (6.0m, ROM) is the sale this week, and 25.5% of managers own him. He is listed as unavailable until early November and projects zero in every gameweek from 7 to 10. Why now: his replacement in the Roma goal, Gollini, projects 16.9 over the next three weeks for 4.0m, so the swap turns a dead slot into the best goalkeeper run in the game. If your second keeper is a nailed starter you can live with the gap, but a Svilar who sits on your bench for four weeks is a wasted spot.
Lautaro Martinez (10.5m, INT) is the bigger call, because 62.0% own him. Inter's [A]BOL → [H]FIO → [A]VEN is the best attacking run in the league, so this is not about fixtures. The model has him at around 51 minutes against Bologna, and he projects 4.1 → 4.4 → 4.1, a total of 12.6, while Dybala projects 19.0 for less money. Why now: this is Inter's best stretch, and their team xG drops after it (1.76 → 1.82 → 1.62 over [A]MIL → [H]COM → [A]ATA). If he does not deliver in the good run, he is unlikely to in the run that follows. Federico Dimarco (29.8% owned, 3.9 → 4.2 → 3.9) and Alessandro Bastoni (26.8%, 3.8 → 4.0 → 3.8) fit the same pattern at a lower priority.
Kevin De Bruyne (7.5m, NAP) is a sell into a decent fixture. Napoli at Venezia is a 56% win chance and his 5.0 is a respectable score, so this is not a bad week for him. But [H]ROM → [A]MON → [A]JUV comes next, he projects 4.3 → 4.5 → 3.9 across those three, and Christian Pulisic projects 18.7 over the next three for less money. You can wait a round on this one, but you will be selling out of a weaker week if you do.
Kenan Yildiz (17.4% owned) is listed out until early December and projects zero through Gameweek 12. If you still hold him, he goes before any of the above.
Is Gameweek 7 a Quick Fix week?
No. All twenty teams play exactly once, and there are no blanks or doubles anywhere from Gameweek 7 to Gameweek 12, so Sofascore's Quick Fix token has nothing to exploit yet. Save it. If you want to see the best one-week squad anyway, the Sofascore Serie A optimal teams page solves it live, and the Sofascore Serie A market probabilities show the bookmaker view of every Gameweek 7 match.
Gameweek 7 transfer summary
- Sell: Mile Svilar first, then Lautaro Martinez or Federico Dimarco; Kevin De Bruyne if you have a spare transfer.
- Buy now: Pierluigi Gollini, Christian Pulisic, Paulo Dybala, Giacomo Calo, Giorgi Kvernadze, Gleison Bremer.
- Differentials: Christian Pulisic (6.3%), Giacomo Calo (1.8%), Pierluigi Gollini (0.9%), Oumar Solet (5.5%).
- Buy a week late: Nuno Tavares, Mattia Zaccagni and Leo Østigard, whose runs start in Gameweek 8.
- Captain: Paulo Dybala this week, then Nico Paz in Gameweek 8.
More analysis is in our Sofascore Serie A preview hub, and our fantasy football guides cover strategy beyond a single gameweek.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7?
Paulo Dybala is the top captain pick, with 6.8 projected points at home to Genoa and 6.4 against Cagliari in Gameweek 9. Christian Pulisic (6.6) is the differential option and Giacomo Calo (6.3) the value alternative.
Should I sell Mile Svilar before Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7?
Yes. Mile Svilar is listed as unavailable until early November and projects zero from Gameweek 7 to Gameweek 10, while Pierluigi Gollini starts in his place and projects 16.9 over the next three gameweeks for 4.0m.
Who are the best differentials for Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7?
Christian Pulisic is the best differential at 6.3% ownership, projecting 6.6 → 6.4 → 5.7 over Gameweeks 7 to 9. Giacomo Calo (1.8%) and Pierluigi Gollini (0.9%) are the other low-owned picks with strong programs.
Should I sell Lautaro Martinez before Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7?
Yes, if you have the transfer. Lautaro Martinez projects 12.6 over Gameweeks 7 to 9 on around 51 minutes a game, while Paulo Dybala projects 19.0 for less money, and Inter's fixtures get harder after this run.
Which budget defenders are best for Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 7?
Gabriele Bracaglia (4.5m) projects 4.9 → 3.7 → 5.4 with two Frosinone home games in the next three, and Eddy Kouadio (4.5m) projects 5.1 at home to Cagliari as a one-week fill-in.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.