Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6: captains and best buys
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6 opens on Saturday with Genoa - Fiorentina and runs through Monday's Torino - Udinese. All twenty clubs play once, so there are no blanks to plan around. The transfer you make this week should be judged on the next three gameweeks, not this one alone. Inter's [H]PAR → [A]BOL → [H]FIO is the best three-round run in the game at 7.29 expected goals. Napoli and Atalanta come next, and Juventus have the strongest defensive run with 1.39 expected clean sheets.
The two most-owned Inter attackers are where the decision sits. Lautaro Martinez (61.8% owned) and Federico Dimarco (29.8%) both play inside that Inter program, yet both project well below cheaper players with the same or better runs. Freeing that money for Christian Pulisic or Paulo Dybala is the most valuable move of the week. All numbers below come from our Sofascore Serie A player picks table, refreshed this week.
Gameweek 6 programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning
Inter have the strongest fixture of the round and the best program behind it. Parma visit with Inter at an 85% win probability, 3.08 expected goals and a 55% clean-sheet chance. Then come [A]BOL and [H]FIO, which add up to 1.29 expected clean sheets over the three. Inter have averaged 2.75 xG per game across the first five Serie A rounds, the most in the league. Napoli ([H]FRC → [A]VEN → [H]ROM, 5.43 xG) have two very good fixtures before the Roma game. Atalanta ([H]VEN → [A]MIL → [H]FRC, 5.28 xG) have two home games either side of the Milan trip.
Juventus are the defensive buy. [A]CGL → [H]LAZ → [A]LEC carries 1.39 expected clean sheets, the most of any team in the window. They have also allowed just 0.45 xG per game so far, the lowest in Serie A. Lazio ([H]MON → [A]JUV → [H]PAR) have the other shape worth knowing: two very good home games around a hard away trip. Plan around the Juventus week; it is no reason to avoid Lazio.
| Team | Gameweek 6 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (GW6-8) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INT | [H]PAR | 85% | 3.08 | 55% | [H]PAR → [A]BOL → [H]FIO | 7.29 | 1.29 |
| NAP | [H]FRC | 65% | 2.31 | 36% | [H]FRC → [A]VEN → [H]ROM | 5.43 | 1.01 |
| ATA | [H]VEN | 62% | 2.15 | 36% | [H]VEN → [A]MIL → [H]FRC | 5.28 | 0.91 |
| JUV | [A]CGL | 61% | 1.80 | 46% | [A]CGL → [H]LAZ → [A]LEC | 5.27 | 1.39 |
| COM | [H]ROM | 37% | 1.50 | 22% | [H]ROM → [A]FIO → [H]SAS | 5.06 | 0.87 |
| MIL | [A]SAS | 52% | 1.77 | 33% | [A]SAS → [H]ATA → [A]UDI | 5.00 | 0.94 |
| ROM | [A]COM | 37% | 1.51 | 22% | [A]COM → [H]GEN → [A]NAP | 4.97 | 0.99 |
| LAZ | [H]MON | 59% | 1.86 | 40% | [H]MON → [A]JUV → [H]PAR | 4.33 | 1.03 |
| TOR | [H]UDI | 41% | 1.34 | 33% | [H]UDI → [A]PAR → [H]MON | 4.09 | 1.04 |
| UDI | [A]TOR | 30% | 1.10 | 26% | [A]TOR → [H]LEC → [H]MIL | 4.00 | 0.85 |
Clean sheet is this gameweek's probability. 3-round CS is the expected number of clean sheets across Gameweeks 6-8, so 1.39 means roughly one and a half shutouts from three games. The weakest programs are Parma ([A]INT → [H]TOR → [A]LAZ, 2.44 xG and a 4% win chance at Inter), Lecce ([H]BOL → [A]UDI → [H]JUV, 2.65 xG) and Venezia ([A]ATA → [H]NAP → [A]GEN, 3.07 xG). Avoid their attackers for now. The full run of fixtures is on the Sofascore Serie A schedule.
Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 6
Christos Mandas (5.1m, LAZ) tops both the round and the three-round ranking: [H]MON → [A]JUV → [H]PAR, projected 5.4 → 4.6 → 5.6 for 15.6 points. Lazio have a 40% clean-sheet chance against Monza and host Parma in Gameweek 8. Only 8.4% of managers own him, and he is cheaper than every keeper near him in the table.
Elia Caprile (5.6m, CGL) is the differential. Cagliari host Juventus first, but his line still rises 4.8 → 5.1 → 5.2 across [H]JUV → [A]MON → [H]BOL, for 15.1 over three. That is the second-best keeper total in the game, at 4.3% ownership. Here the round and the program disagree. Marco Carnesecchi (6.2m, ATA) outscores Caprile this week, 5.1 to 4.8, but over three rounds Caprile is ahead, 15.1 to 14.9, for 0.6m less. If you are buying one keeper to keep, buy Caprile.
On a budget, Noel Törnqvist (4.0m, MON) has a rising line of 3.8 → 4.3 → 4.4 over [A]LAZ → [H]CGL → [A]TOR, for 12.5 points. At 3.12 points per million over three rounds, no keeper gives more for the money. Mike Maignan (32.4% owned) and Mile Svilar (25.6%) project 14.0 and 13.9 over the same window. They are fine holds, not urgent sells.
Best defenders for Gameweek 6
Nuno Tavares (5.9m, LAZ) is the top defender this round at 6.5 points: [H]MON → [A]JUV → [H]PAR, 6.5 → 4.2 → 6.0, for 16.7 over three. The Juventus week dips, but the two home games give him the highest ceiling in the position. Pairing him with Mandas doubles up on the same Lazio clean sheet, and both picks stand up on their own.
Gleison Bremer (7.2m, JUV) has the flattest line in the position: 5.5 → 5.5 → 5.8 across [A]CGL → [H]LAZ → [A]LEC, and his 16.8 points lead all defenders over three rounds. At 28.7% ownership he protects your rank. If you own him, you can stop thinking about him.
Mario Hermoso (7.0m, ROM) totals 16.7 over [A]COM → [H]GEN → [A]NAP, with a 5.2 → 6.5 → 5.0 line. His 6.5 against Genoa in Gameweek 7 equals Tavares' Monza week as the best defender projection in the window. That week is the reason to buy now rather than later. Amir Rrahmani (6.8m, NAP) is the steadier alternative: 5.8 → 5.6 → 5.1 over [H]FRC → [A]VEN → [H]ROM, for 16.5. Napoli have a 36% clean-sheet chance against Frosinone.
Again the round and the program disagree. Yann Bisseck (6.0m, INT) is the second-best defender this week, with 6.2 points against Parma. Then he drops to 4.6 and 4.4, for 15.2 over three. He is a one-round play. If you are buying one defender to keep, take Hermoso or Rrahmani instead.
For a differential, Yerry Mina (6.5m, CGL) is owned by only 2.1% and projects 5.3 → 5.5 → 5.3 over [H]JUV → [A]MON → [H]BOL. That 16.1 total is the fifth-best defender figure over three rounds, and his projection holds up even in the Juventus game. Leo Østigard (7.0m, GEN) has 15.6 over three and a strong Gameweek 8 against Venezia, but costs more.
On a budget, Eray Cömert (5.1m, TOR) projects 4.3 → 4.3 → 4.7, for 13.3 over [H]UDI → [A]PAR → [H]MON. Torino's 1.04 expected clean sheets is the third-best defensive run in the game, and he is owned by 0.4%. Cheaper still, Lorenzo Lucchesi (3.9m, MON) projects 3.4 → 4.3 → 3.9 over [A]LAZ → [H]CGL → [A]TOR, for 11.6. At 2.97 points per million over three rounds, no defender at 5.5m or less returns more for the money. He is the bench-and-cover pick that pays for a premium further forward.
Best midfielders for Gameweek 6
Christian Pulisic (7.0m, MIL) is the clearest buy of the round. He has the best three-round total of any midfielder: 6.9 → 6.5 → 5.8 over [A]SAS → [H]ATA → [A]UDI, for 19.2 points. The model gives him 81% of Milan's penalties, and only 6.1% of managers own him. Why now: his best fixture is this one, and the run starts here.
Nico Paz (8.9m, COM) is already in 53.5% of squads, and the program says keep him. He projects 6.0 → 6.0 → 6.4 on [H]ROM → [A]FIO → [H]SAS, for 18.4. His 6.4 against Sassuolo is the highest projection of any player in Gameweek 8. Kevin De Bruyne (7.6m, NAP) is the top-projected player this round at 7.3 against Frosinone. After that he falls to 6.0 at Venezia and 4.7 at home to Roma, for 18.0 over three. He is the captain this week and a hold for owners. If you must spend a transfer, Pulisic gives more over the three rounds for 0.6m less.
Mattia Zaccagni (6.7m, LAZ) follows the Lazio shape: 6.6 → 4.9 → 6.0, for 17.5 over [H]MON → [A]JUV → [H]PAR. He is owned by 7.4%. Nicolo Barella (7.9m, INT) sits just behind on 17.4 and is a fine hold.
The hidden gem is Giacomo Calo (5.2m, FRC), owned by 1.7%. He projects 5.5 → 6.2 → 5.1 over [A]NAP → [H]SAS → [A]ATA. His 16.8 is the sixth-best midfield total over three rounds, ahead of players costing 2m more. At 3.23 points per million, no midfielder at 5.5m or less offers more, and the model gives him 89% of Frosinone's penalties. Sassuolo at home in Gameweek 7 is his peak. Armand Laurienté (6.5m, SAS) peaks the same week the other way round, with 5.7 at Frosinone: 5.0 → 5.7 → 4.6, for 15.3 over [H]MIL → [A]FRC → [A]COM, at 3.3% ownership.
On a budget, Patrizio Masini (4.6m, FRC) shares Calo's program and projects 4.3 → 4.8 → 4.0, for 13.1, at 0.2% ownership. It is a cheap way to fill the fifth midfield slot.
Best forwards for Gameweek 6
Paulo Dybala (7.7m, ROM) is the best player in the game over the next three rounds. He projects 6.9 → 8.0 → 5.7 over [A]COM → [H]GEN → [A]NAP, for 20.6 points. His 8.0 against Genoa is the highest single-round projection of any player in Gameweeks 6-8. He has produced 0.65 xG plus xA per 90 minutes this season. Why now: the Genoa week is the peak, and a buy made after it misses it.
Marcus Thuram (8.1m, INT) projects 7.2 → 5.4 → 5.3 over [H]PAR → [A]BOL → [H]FIO, for 17.9, the second-best forward total. He is owned by just 8.5% and has produced 0.80 xG plus xA per 90 in the early weeks. He is the Inter forward to own for this program.
The budget pick is Giorgi Kvernadze (4.2m, FRC). He projects 5.0 → 5.9 → 4.6 over [A]NAP → [H]SAS → [A]ATA, for 15.5, the fourth-best forward total in the game. At 3.69 points per million, nobody in the pool gives more per million over three rounds. He has 0.62 xG plus xA per 90 across 527 minutes this season. Goncalo Ramos (7.2m, MIL, 17.8% owned) totals 15.4 and is a hold. Donyell Malen (8.6m, ROM, 41.1% owned) is flagged with an expected return of 10 October. The model has him at 4.9 → 6.3 → 4.5, so owners should hold him through the Genoa week rather than sell. Non-owners should wait until he is confirmed.
Who to captain in Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6
The captain's points are doubled, so pick the highest projection among nailed starters.
- Kevin De Bruyne (7.6m, NAP): 7.3 projected against Frosinone. Napoli have a 65% win probability and 2.31 expected goals. It is the top single projection of the round.
- Marcus Thuram (8.1m, INT): 7.2 against Parma, in the fixture with the round's highest team xG (3.08). He is the ceiling pick, and the alternative if you do not own De Bruyne.
- Paulo Dybala (7.7m, ROM) or Christian Pulisic (7.0m, MIL): both on 6.9.
Plan beyond this week too. Dybala is the clear Gameweek 7 captain at 8.0 against Genoa, and Paz leads Gameweek 8 at 6.4 against Sassuolo. That captaincy chain is another reason to have Dybala in your team by next week. Compare the full list on the player picks page and check who is expected to start on Sofascore Serie A predicted lineups before the deadline.
Who to sell before Gameweek 6
Lautaro Martinez (10.4m, INT) is the sell, and this is the round to do it. His program, [H]PAR → [A]BOL → [H]FIO, is the best in the game. Parma at home is a very good fixture, so the reason is not the opponent. The model projects him for 45-50 minutes a game, so he is at 4.6 → 3.9 → 4.2, only 12.7 over three. Thuram plays the same program and projects 17.9 for 2.3m less. Why now: swapping Lautaro for Thuram keeps your Inter attacker for the best fixture of the round. The gap is already 2.6 points this week, and the 2.3m saved goes towards Pulisic or Dybala. Lautaro is in 61.8% of squads, so this move also gains on most rivals.
Federico Dimarco (9.9m, INT, 29.8% owned) projects 5.3 → 4.1 → 4.3 for 13.7, on roughly 55-57 projected minutes a game. Parma at home is his best week of the three, so you can wait a round on this one. Sell him after Gameweek 6, before [A]BOL, and use this week's transfer on Lautaro.
Transfer summary
- In: Pulisic, Dybala, Thuram. Cheap enablers are Kvernadze, Calo and Lucchesi.
- Out: Lautaro Martinez now, and Dimarco after Gameweek 6.
- Hold: Paz, De Bruyne, Bremer, Malen.
To see how these picks fit together inside the squad rules, run the optimal teams for Sofascore Serie A, and check the bookmaker view on the market probabilities page. There is no Gameweek 5 preview for this game; every earlier and later round is in our Sofascore Serie A preview hub, and the general strategy articles sit in our fantasy guides.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6?
Kevin De Bruyne is the top captain pick at 7.3 projected points against Frosinone, with Napoli at a 65% win probability. Marcus Thuram (7.2 against Parma) is the best alternative, and Dybala and Pulisic follow on 6.9.
Should I sell Lautaro Martinez before Gameweek 6?
Yes. Lautaro Martinez projects only 12.7 points over Gameweeks 6-8, on 45-50 projected minutes a game. Marcus Thuram has the same Inter program and projects 17.9 for 2.3m less, so the swap keeps your Inter attacker for the Parma game.
Who are the best differentials for Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6?
Christian Pulisic (6.1% owned, 19.2 points over three rounds) is the strongest differential. Giacomo Calo (1.7%, 16.8), Yerry Mina (2.1%, 16.1) and Elia Caprile (4.3%, 15.1) are the low-owned picks in defence and midfield.
Which budget players are best for Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6?
Giorgi Kvernadze (4.2m) is the best value in the game at 15.5 points over three rounds. Giacomo Calo (5.2m), Lorenzo Lucchesi (3.9m) and Törnqvist (4.0m) are the cheapest high-return picks at their positions.
Are there any blanks in Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 6?
No. All twenty Serie A clubs play exactly one match in Gameweek 6, and every team also has one fixture in each of Gameweeks 7 and 8.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.