Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11: captains and best buys
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 runs from Friday 6 to Sunday 8 November, and it is the last round before the international break. Gameweek 12 follows on 21 to 23 November and Gameweek 13 on 27 to 30 November, so a transfer made before Friday's deadline has to carry you through all three. Every pick below is judged on its Gameweek 11 to 13 program, with this round as one column of that answer. The round's two big games are Napoli - Lazio and Fiorentina - Juventus, and Inter host the Como side of Nico Paz, who is owned by 56.7% of managers.
The ownership story is still about injuries. Lautaro Martinez (49.2% owned) and Mile Svilar (19.9%) are both listed out until 17 November and Kenan Yildiz (15.9%) until 6 December, while Paulo Dybala is back in the projections after a return date of 3 November. The Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 10 preview covers the previous round, and every number below is live on the Sofascore Serie A player picks page.
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning
Roma have the best all-round program in the game. [H]SAS → [A]PAR → [H]MON carries 5.16 expected goals and 1.32 expected clean sheets, the most of any team, and no fixture in it sits below a 41% clean-sheet chance. Sassuolo at home is a 59% win probability now, and the Parma trip in Gameweek 12 is Roma's best clean-sheet chance of the block (48%). Three good fixtures in a row is the shape of a hold through the break, and it is why the Roma questions this week are about which Roma players to own, not whether to own them.
Inter have the most expected goals, 5.49 from [H]COM → [A]ATA → [H]GEN, but only 1.03 expected clean sheets. Como at home gives them 1.73 expected goals and a 31% clean-sheet chance, Atalanta away is the dip (27%), and Genoa at home in Gameweek 13 is their best fixture of the block (2.05 expected goals, 45%). That makes Inter's attack the buy and their defence a hold.
Juventus (1.26 expected clean sheets) and Bologna (1.25) are the next defensive programs. Juventus's [A]FIO → [H]VEN → [A]COM includes Venezia at home in Gameweek 12, the best clean-sheet chance any team has in the three rounds (53%), and Fiorentina away is a solid 40% now. Bologna's [A]PAR → [H]UDI → [A]VEN sits between 37% and 44% in every fixture, the flat shape of a hold. Napoli's [H]LAZ → [H]TOR → [A]SAS opens with two home games at 42% and 45% and totals 1.22, so their defenders are buys this round rather than later.
Two programs turn after this round, in opposite directions. Torino host Lecce with a 47% clean-sheet chance, the best of Gameweek 11, then travel to Napoli (20%): that is a one-round defence. Lazio are the reverse. Napoli away is their worst fixture of the block (0.87 expected goals, 20% win probability), then [A]NAP → [H]LEC → [A]TOR brings Lecce at home with a 49% clean-sheet chance. Como share Lazio's shape with [A]INT → [H]CGL → [H]JUV: 18% now, 48% against Cagliari in Gameweek 12. Milan's [A]GEN → [H]FRC → [A]CGL totals 4.97 expected goals, and Frosinone at home is the biggest attacking fixture of Gameweek 12 (2.11 expected goals).
| Team | Gameweek 11 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (GW11-13) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | [H]COM | 50% | 1.73 | 31% | [H]COM → [A]ATA → [H]GEN | 5.49 | 1.03 |
| Roma | [H]SAS | 59% | 1.84 | 41% | [H]SAS → [A]PAR → [H]MON | 5.16 | 1.32 |
| Milan | [A]GEN | 45% | 1.37 | 37% | [A]GEN → [H]FRC → [A]CGL | 4.97 | 1.15 |
| Napoli | [H]LAZ | 52% | 1.56 | 42% | [H]LAZ → [H]TOR → [A]SAS | 4.72 | 1.22 |
| Bologna | [A]PAR | 46% | 1.27 | 44% | [A]PAR → [H]UDI → [A]VEN | 4.33 | 1.25 |
| Atalanta | [A]MON | 39% | 1.37 | 28% | [A]MON → [H]INT → [A]LEC | 4.26 | 0.87 |
| Juventus | [A]FIO | 42% | 1.22 | 40% | [A]FIO → [H]VEN → [A]COM | 4.25 | 1.26 |
| Como | [A]INT | 25% | 1.17 | 18% | [A]INT → [H]CGL → [H]JUV | 4.08 | 0.98 |
| Frosinone | [A]CGL | 34% | 1.29 | 26% | [A]CGL → [A]MIL → [H]PAR | 3.86 | 0.75 |
| Lazio | [A]NAP | 20% | 0.87 | 21% | [A]NAP → [H]LEC → [A]TOR | 3.55 | 1.01 |
| Fiorentina | [H]JUV | 26% | 0.91 | 29% | [H]JUV → [A]MON → [A]UDI | 3.43 | 0.95 |
| Torino | [H]LEC | 53% | 1.45 | 47% | [H]LEC → [A]NAP → [H]LAZ | 3.39 | 1.00 |
| Monza | [H]ATA | 33% | 1.26 | 25% | [H]ATA → [H]FIO → [A]ROM | 3.31 | 0.74 |
| Sassuolo | [A]ROM | 17% | 0.89 | 16% | [A]ROM → [H]GEN → [H]NAP | 3.26 | 0.73 |
| Udinese | [A]VEN | 31% | 1.16 | 26% | [A]VEN → [A]BOL → [H]FIO | 3.03 | 0.71 |
| Cagliari | [H]FRC | 38% | 1.36 | 28% | [H]FRC → [A]COM → [H]MIL | 3.00 | 0.67 |
| Venezia | [H]UDI | 40% | 1.35 | 32% | [H]UDI → [A]JUV → [H]BOL | 3.00 | 0.71 |
| Genoa | [H]MIL | 26% | 0.98 | 25% | [H]MIL → [A]SAS → [A]INT | 2.83 | 0.65 |
| Parma | [H]BOL | 23% | 0.81 | 28% | [H]BOL → [H]ROM → [A]FRC | 2.52 | 0.70 |
| Lecce | [A]TOR | 18% | 0.75 | 24% | [A]TOR → [A]LAZ → [H]ATA | 2.38 | 0.65 |
At the bottom, Lecce (2.38 expected goals over three rounds), Parma (2.52), Genoa (2.83), Venezia and Cagliari (3.00 each) have the weakest programs; leave their attackers alone for this block. Every club has one fixture in each of Gameweeks 11, 12 and 13 (ten matches per round), so there are no blanks to plan around in this window. Further out, the current schedule has Fiorentina and Cagliari without a fixture in Gameweek 14 and playing twice in Gameweek 15. The full run is on the Sofascore Serie A schedule, and the Sofascore Serie A market probabilities page has the bookmaker numbers behind every win and clean-sheet figure above.
Best Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 goalkeepers
Christos Mandas (5.8m, LAZ) is the keeper to own for the block. His [A]NAP → [H]LEC → [A]TOR program projects 4.3 → 5.4 → 4.7 (14.4), the most of any goalkeeper over three rounds, and Lecce at home is the second-best clean-sheet chance of Gameweek 12. The Napoli trip (21%) is the week to sit through. Since the payoff is Gameweek 12, you can wait a round on him if your transfer is needed elsewhere; at 12.4% ownership he is still a hold-and-forget pick once he is in.
Filip Stankovic (4.9m, VEN) is the value keeper. He projects 4.9 → 4.2 → 4.6 (13.7) on Venezia's [H]UDI → [A]JUV → [H]BOL, with 1.00 points per million this round, and the model keeps him close to that level for six rounds running despite Venezia's modest 0.71 expected clean sheets. He is a cheap hold rather than a fixture play.
Mike Maignan (5.9m, MIL) is owned by 32.7% and stays a hold: 4.5 → 4.5 → 4.6 on [A]GEN → [H]FRC → [A]CGL, with clean-sheet chances of 37%, 36% and 41%, then 5.0 in Gameweek 14. Pierluigi Gollini (4.1m, ROM) is the top keeper projection of this round at 5.4 behind Roma's 41% clean-sheet chance against Sassuolo, but he drops to 2.7 → 2.6 once Svilar's 17 November return date comes into the projections. He is a one-round play only, and so is Giovanni Daffara (4.0m, PAR) at 5.2 against Bologna before falling to 3.4.
| Player | Team | Price | Owned | GW11 | GW12 | GW13 | 3-round total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Mandas | LAZ | 5.8m | 12.4% | 4.3 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 14.4 |
| Filip Stankovic | VEN | 4.9m | 3.3% | 4.9 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 13.7 |
| Mike Maignan | MIL | 5.9m | 32.7% | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 13.6 |
| Guglielmo Vicario | JUV | 5.6m | 10.8% | 4.3 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 13.0 |
| Pierluigi Gollini | ROM | 4.1m | 1.7% | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 10.7 |
Best Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 defenders
This is the position where this round's ranking and the three-round ranking disagree. Saul Coco tops Gameweek 11, but Nuno Tavares (6.5m, LAZ) tops the block: 4.6 → 6.8 → 5.2 (16.6) on [A]NAP → [H]LEC → [A]TOR. His 6.8 against Lecce is the highest projection of any player in Gameweek 12, and he still holds 4.6 in the hard Napoli week. If you are buying one defender and keeping him, buy Tavares. Josip Sutalo (5.6m, LAZ) is the cheaper way into the same program at 4.2 → 5.9 → 4.5 and 0.8% ownership.
Gleison Bremer (7.4m, JUV) is owned by 30.0% and is a comfortable hold: 5.4 → 6.1 → 4.7 (16.2) on [A]FIO → [H]VEN → [A]COM. Fiorentina away is a 40% clean-sheet chance, Venezia at home is the best of the block, and Udinese at home in Gameweek 14 lifts him to 5.9 again. Strahinja Pavlovic (7.1m, MIL) has the flattest strong line in the position, 5.3 → 5.4 → 5.1 (15.8) on [A]GEN → [H]FRC → [A]CGL, with 88 projected minutes and a 37% clean-sheet chance this round. At 10.0% ownership he is the hold-and-forget option.
Saul Coco (6.5m, TOR) is the one-round case. Torino's 47% clean-sheet chance at home to Lecce is the best of Gameweek 11 and puts him top of the position this round at 5.8, but [H]LEC → [A]NAP → [H]LAZ then drops him to 4.1 at Napoli and 4.9 against Lazio (14.8). One very good fixture at 1.6% ownership is a legitimate differential for this round; plan on Gameweek 12 being the week he stops paying. Ardian Ismajli (6.0m, TOR) has the same shape at 5.6 → 3.9 → 4.3.
Giovanni Di Lorenzo (6.6m, NAP) is the buy this round rather than a week late: Napoli's [H]LAZ → [H]TOR → [A]SAS opens with two home games, and he projects 5.0 → 5.2 → 4.6 (14.8) with 82 projected minutes. Amir Rrahmani (6.6m, NAP) is a near-identical alternative at 5.1 → 4.9 → 4.4.
Nicolo Casale (5.3m, BOL) is the budget pick of the block: 4.9 → 4.8 → 4.9 (14.6) on Bologna's [A]PAR → [H]UDI → [A]VEN, at 0.92 points per million and 0.3% ownership. Arthur Theate (5.5m, BOL) rides the same program at 4.8 → 4.8 → 4.5 with more secure minutes (79 projected against Casale's 72). Juan Miranda (7.2m, BOL) projects 4.7 → 5.0 → 5.1 on the same fixtures but with 64 projected minutes this round, so the two cheaper Bologna defenders give you nearly the same for less. For the cheapest slot, Matteo Palma (4.6m, UDI) is the best points per million of any defender this round (1.04) at 4.8 away at Venezia, but [A]VEN → [A]BOL → [H]FIO drops him to 3.4 → 3.6, so treat him as filler.
| Player | Team | Price | Owned | GW11 | GW12 | GW13 | 3-round total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuno Tavares | LAZ | 6.5m | 16.5% | 4.6 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 16.6 |
| Gleison Bremer | JUV | 7.4m | 30.0% | 5.4 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 16.2 |
| Strahinja Pavlovic | MIL | 7.1m | 10.0% | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.1 | 15.8 |
| Saul Coco | TOR | 6.5m | 1.6% | 5.8 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 14.8 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | NAP | 6.6m | 13.6% | 5.0 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 14.8 |
| Nicolo Casale | BOL | 5.3m | 0.3% | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 14.6 |
| Josip Sutalo | LAZ | 5.6m | 0.8% | 4.2 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 14.6 |
| Arthur Theate | BOL | 5.5m | 0.4% | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 14.1 |
Best Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 midfielders
Giacomo Calo (6.0m, FRC) is the best pick in the game for this block. He projects 6.2 → 5.7 → 6.6 (18.5) on Frosinone's [A]CGL → [A]MIL → [H]PAR, the highest three-round total of any player, and his six-round projection is the highest in the game too. He is Frosinone's penalty taker, has 80 projected minutes, holds 5.7 even in the Milan away game, and his 1.03 points per million is the best of any midfielder this round. He is also the second-best captain option of this round and the top projection of Gameweek 13, which is the strongest reason to buy him now rather than later. At 7.2% ownership he is still a differential.
Nico Paz (9.3m, COM) is owned by 56.7% and is a hold, not a sell. He projects 5.6 at Inter, the hardest fixture of Como's [A]INT → [H]CGL → [H]JUV, then 6.2 against Cagliari, the second-highest projection of any player in Gameweek 12 (16.3 over three rounds).
Franco Mastantuono (5.8m, FIO) has a rising line, 4.9 → 5.5 → 5.7 (16.1), on [H]JUV → [A]MON → [A]UDI, so the earlier he is in, the more of the climb you get. Beyond the window, Fiorentina's missing Gameweek 14 fixture and Gameweek 15 double show up in his projections as 0 and then 10.7, so a Mastantuono owner should plan for that week before it arrives. Mattia Zaccagni (7.3m, LAZ) is Lazio's penalty taker and projects 5.2 → 5.8 → 5.0 (16.0) on [A]NAP → [H]LEC → [A]TOR, holding 5.2 even in Naples.
Federico Bernardeschi (5.6m, BOL) is the differential: 5.2 → 5.6 → 5.2 (16.0) on Bologna's [A]PAR → [H]UDI → [A]VEN, the same total as Zaccagni for 1.7m less, at 1.2% ownership. Lewis Ferguson (5.5m, BOL) is the budget midfielder on the same program, a steady 4.5 → 4.6 → 4.6 with 82 projected minutes. Domenico Berardi (5.9m, SAS), Sassuolo's penalty taker, projects 4.5 → 5.0 → 4.5 on [A]ROM → [H]GEN → [H]NAP, and is the pick if you want a set-piece midfielder outside the top clubs.
| Player | Team | Price | Owned | GW11 | GW12 | GW13 | 3-round total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Calo | FRC | 6.0m | 7.2% | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.6 | 18.5 |
| Nico Paz | COM | 9.3m | 56.7% | 5.6 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 16.3 |
| Franco Mastantuono | FIO | 5.8m | 12.3% | 4.9 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 16.1 |
| Mattia Zaccagni | LAZ | 7.3m | 11.6% | 5.2 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 16.0 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | BOL | 5.6m | 1.2% | 5.2 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 16.0 |
| Lewis Ferguson | BOL | 5.5m | 1.0% | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 13.7 |
| Domenico Berardi | SAS | 5.9m | 5.3% | 4.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 14.0 |
Best Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 forwards
Paulo Dybala (7.5m, ROM) is the forward to own for the block. He has the top projection of any player in Gameweek 11 at 6.3, and 6.3 → 5.5 → 5.1 (16.9) on Roma's [H]SAS → [A]PAR → [H]MON is the best three-round total of any forward. He is coming back from injury with 67 projected minutes this round, so check the Sofascore Serie A predicted lineups before the deadline; his return is also the reason this is the round to move.
Marcus Thuram (8.7m, INT) is the most durable forward in the game: 5.7 → 5.2 → 5.5 (16.4) on [H]COM → [A]ATA → [H]GEN, then 5.7 → 5.4 → 5.4 in Gameweeks 14 to 16, and no forward has a higher six-round projection. With Lautaro Martinez out until 17 November, he is the way into Inter's 5.49-goal program.
Charles De Ketelaere (7.2m, ATA) projects 5.2 → 5.0 → 5.2 (15.4) on [A]MON → [H]INT → [A]LEC with 79 projected minutes, and still projects 5.0 in the Inter week, at 6.9% ownership. Goncalo Ramos (6.8m, MIL) peaks in the middle of [A]GEN → [H]FRC → [A]CGL: 4.8 → 5.6 → 4.7 (15.1), with Frosinone at home in Gameweek 12 the biggest attacking fixture of that round.
Giorgi Kvernadze (4.9m, FRC) is the budget forward and a hidden gem: 5.0 → 4.7 → 5.3 (15.0) on [A]CGL → [A]MIL → [H]PAR, the best points per million of any forward this round (1.02), at 4.3% ownership. Paired with Calo, he gives you two Frosinone attackers whose projections hold up through the Milan away game. Matias Soulé (6.8m, ROM) is the other way into Roma's program at 5.2 → 4.8 → 4.9, but his 65 projected minutes this round make Dybala the better Roma forward.
| Player | Team | Price | Owned | GW11 | GW12 | GW13 | 3-round total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Dybala | ROM | 7.5m | 20.9% | 6.3 | 5.5 | 5.1 | 16.9 |
| Marcus Thuram | INT | 8.7m | 18.8% | 5.7 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 16.4 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | ATA | 7.2m | 6.9% | 5.2 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 15.4 |
| Goncalo Ramos | MIL | 6.8m | 16.4% | 4.8 | 5.6 | 4.7 | 15.1 |
| Giorgi Kvernadze | FRC | 4.9m | 4.3% | 5.0 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 15.0 |
| Matias Soulé | ROM | 6.8m | 4.9% | 5.2 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 14.9 |
Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11 captain picks
Paulo Dybala (7.5m, ROM) is the captain on the numbers: 6.3 at home to Sassuolo is the top projection of Gameweek 11, with Roma at 1.84 expected goals and a 59% win probability, and [H]SAS → [A]PAR → [H]MON keeps him above 5.0 in all three rounds. The risk is minutes, since he is just back from injury.
Giacomo Calo (6.0m, FRC) is a fraction behind at 6.2 away at Cagliari and is the lower-risk armband: 80 projected minutes and Frosinone's penalties, on a [A]CGL → [A]MIL → [H]PAR program that brings him back as a captain in Gameweek 13. Marcus Thuram (8.7m, INT) is third at 5.7 against Como on [H]COM → [A]ATA → [H]GEN, with Nico Paz (5.6 at Inter) just behind.
Plan the armband across the block, not just this weekend. In Gameweek 12 the top projections belong to Tavares (6.8 against Lecce), Nico Paz (6.2 against Cagliari) and Bremer (6.1 against Venezia), and in Gameweek 13 Calo is top again at 6.6 against Parma, ahead of Mastantuono (5.7) and Thuram (5.5). A squad with Calo has a top-two captain in two of the three rounds, which is a large part of why he is the buy of the week. The guide to picking a fantasy captain explains how to weigh a high ceiling against a safe floor.
Who to sell before Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11
Lautaro Martinez (10.0m, INT) is the clearest sell, and this is the round to do it. He is owned by 49.2% and listed out until 17 November, so he projects 0 this round, and on his return the projections reach only 2.6 → 3.0 for Gameweeks 12 and 13 and never above 3.2 in the next six rounds. Inter's program is good; the issue is that he is not part of it yet. Thuram is the way into the same [H]COM → [A]ATA → [H]GEN for 1.3m less.
Donyell Malen (8.7m, ROM) is the sell that is about minutes, not fixtures. Sassuolo at home is a good fixture, and 5.0 is a respectable projection; Roma's [H]SAS → [A]PAR → [H]MON is the best program in the game. But with Dybala back he projects 60 minutes, and 5.0 → 4.5 → 4.6 (14.1) is 2.8 less than Dybala gets from the same three fixtures for 1.2m more. Dybala's return lands this round, so the switch inside the same program is a move to make now. Malen is owned by 40.1%.
Federico Dimarco (9.8m, INT) is owned by 29.0% and projects 3.6 → 3.3 → 3.4 with 56 projected minutes this round. Inter's [H]COM → [A]ATA → [H]GEN is not the problem; his best projection in any of the next six rounds is 3.6, so there is no better week coming to wait for, and the money buys Calo with plenty left over.
Kenan Yildiz (10.5m, JUV) is out until 6 December and projects 0 in all three rounds of Juventus's [A]FIO → [H]VEN → [A]COM, so the most expensive player in the game sits idle until Gameweek 14 at the earliest. Mile Svilar (5.7m, ROM) is out until 17 November, projects 0 this round and only 2.9 → 2.8 once back, so his 19.9% of owners can move to Mandas or Stankovic now. Kevin De Bruyne (7.8m, NAP, 25.1% owned) projects 4.0 with 54 projected minutes; Napoli's two home games make that a hold for now, and you can wait a round on him.
For the best full squad for the block, see the Sofascore Serie A optimal teams, which are solved live from the same projections. All our Sofascore Serie A articles are collected in the Sofascore Serie A preview hub.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11?
Paulo Dybala has the top projection of Gameweek 11 at 6.3 at home to Sassuolo, so he is the captain on the numbers. Giacomo Calo (6.2 at Cagliari) is the lower-risk alternative with 80 projected minutes and Frosinone's penalties, and Marcus Thuram (5.7 against Como) is third.
Should I sell Lautaro Martinez before Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11?
Yes. Lautaro Martinez is listed out until 17 November, projects 0 in Gameweek 11 and only 2.6 and 3.0 in Gameweeks 12 and 13. Marcus Thuram is the way into Inter's [H]COM → [A]ATA → [H]GEN program for 1.3m less, at 16.4 over the three rounds.
Should I sell Donyell Malen in Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11?
Yes, for Paulo Dybala. Roma's fixtures are the best in the game, but Malen projects 60 minutes with Dybala back and 14.1 over the next three rounds, while Dybala gets 16.9 from the same fixtures for 1.2m less.
Who are the best differentials for Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11?
Federico Bernardeschi (1.2% owned) projects 16.0 over Gameweeks 11 to 13 on Bologna's [A]PAR → [H]UDI → [A]VEN. Giacomo Calo (7.2%) has the highest three-round total in the game at 18.5, and Saul Coco (1.6%) is the top defender of Gameweek 11 at 5.8.
Which cheap defenders are best for Sofascore Serie A Gameweek 11?
Nicolo Casale (5.3m) projects 4.9, 4.8 and 4.9 over Gameweeks 11 to 13 on Bologna's program at 0.3% ownership, and Arthur Theate (5.5m) offers the same fixtures with more secure minutes. Josip Sutalo (5.6m) is the cheap way into Lazio's Gameweek 12 home game against Lecce.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.