Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 6: captain picks
Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 6 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 6 opens on Saturday 10 October with a full slate of ten fixtures, and the deadline falls that morning before the first kickoff. There are no blanks and no doubles, so the round itself does not force anything. What it does decide is who you own for the run behind it: Arsenal's [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE is the best defensive program in the game, Manchester City's [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL makes Gameweek 7 the week Haaland is the obvious captain, and Everton's [A]HUL → [H]CHE → [A]ARS is the clearest case of a good fixture now with a hard run behind it.
Every number below comes from our model's projections, which you can sort and filter yourself on the Sofascore Premier League player picks page. The picks are chosen on the next three gameweeks, not just this one, because the transfer you make now has to earn its keep through Gameweek 8.
Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 6 fixtures: whose next three gameweeks are worth owning
Arsenal lead the game on defence by a distance. [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE adds up to 1.45 expected clean sheets from three matches, well clear of Manchester City on 0.98 and Fulham on 0.89, and the Gameweek 6 home game with Leeds carries a 50% clean-sheet chance, the highest of the round by 14 points. The Nottingham Forest trip in Gameweek 7 is the week to plan around, not a reason to stay away.
Manchester City have the most expected goals over the three rounds (6.33), although the first of them is the hardest fixture on the board: Liverpool - Manchester City is close to a coin flip, with City on a 39% win probability. The Ipswich home game straight after it is where the City attack pays out. Manchester United ([H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU, 5.50 xG) and Chelsea ([H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT, 5.43 xG) are the other attacking programs worth owning.
Fulham are the quiet one. [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV is not glamorous, but all three are winnable games against sides with bottom-five attacking programs, and that is why a cheap Fulham defender is one of the best value holds this week. At the other end, Hull ([H]EVE → [A]FUL → [H]BRE, 3.05 xG), Ipswich ([H]FUL → [A]MCI → [H]NFO) and Leeds ([A]ARS → [H]MUN → [A]SUN) have the three weakest attacking programs, and Leeds open with a 10% win probability at Arsenal.
| Team | GW6 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (GW6-8) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | [A]LIV | 39% | 1.64 | 21% | [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL | 6.33 | 0.98 |
| Arsenal | [H]LEE | 70% | 2.14 | 50% | [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE | 5.90 | 1.45 |
| Manchester United | [H]TOT | 56% | 2.05 | 29% | [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU | 5.50 | 0.79 |
| Chelsea | [H]BOU | 53% | 2.06 | 26% | [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT | 5.43 | 0.80 |
| Liverpool | [H]MCI | 36% | 1.55 | 19% | [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA | 5.06 | 0.68 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | [A]SUN | 39% | 1.45 | 26% | [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV | 4.92 | 0.77 |
| Brentford | [A]AVL | 37% | 1.50 | 23% | [A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL | 4.90 | 0.79 |
| Fulham | [A]IPS | 38% | 1.44 | 25% | [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV | 4.88 | 0.89 |
| Newcastle United | [A]COV | 45% | 1.65 | 28% | [A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY | 4.82 | 0.76 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | [A]MUN | 22% | 1.23 | 13% | [A]MUN → [H]COV → [A]CHE | 4.58 | 0.68 |
| AFC Bournemouth | [A]CHE | 24% | 1.35 | 13% | [A]CHE → [H]SUN → [A]MUN | 4.33 | 0.59 |
| Aston Villa | [H]BRE | 37% | 1.49 | 22% | [H]BRE → [A]NEW → [H]MCI | 3.98 | 0.56 |
| Crystal Palace | [H]NFO | 36% | 1.27 | 28% | [H]NFO → [A]BHA → [H]NEW | 3.81 | 0.62 |
| Sunderland | [H]BHA | 34% | 1.36 | 24% | [H]BHA → [A]BOU → [H]LEE | 3.73 | 0.71 |
| Nottingham Forest | [A]CRY | 35% | 1.26 | 28% | [A]CRY → [H]ARS → [A]IPS | 3.64 | 0.75 |
| Everton | [A]HUL | 47% | 1.50 | 36% | [A]HUL → [H]CHE → [A]ARS | 3.56 | 0.70 |
| Coventry City | [H]NEW | 29% | 1.28 | 19% | [H]NEW → [A]TOT → [H]FUL | 3.48 | 0.53 |
| Leeds United | [A]ARS | 10% | 0.69 | 12% | [A]ARS → [H]MUN → [A]SUN | 3.38 | 0.63 |
| Ipswich Town | [H]FUL | 36% | 1.40 | 24% | [H]FUL → [A]MCI → [H]NFO | 3.35 | 0.52 |
| Hull City | [H]EVE | 25% | 1.03 | 22% | [H]EVE → [A]FUL → [H]BRE | 3.05 | 0.52 |
All twenty clubs play three times across Gameweeks 6 to 8, so the 3-round columns compare like with like. The 3-round CS column is a count of expected clean sheets, not a percentage. The full calendar further out is on the Sofascore Premier League schedule.
Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 6
David Raya (6.7m, ARS) is the premium keeper to own, and the case is the program rather than the Leeds game alone: [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE projects 5.2 → 4.9 → 5.3 for 15.4 points over three rounds, the most of any keeper. He is already in 29.5% of squads, so he protects rank rather than winning it.
Lukas Hornicek (5.1m, NEW) is the value pick and the differential. Newcastle's [A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY holds him at 4.6 → 4.5 → 4.3, a flat line that means you can buy him and stop thinking about the position. His 13.4 over three rounds beats every keeper priced at or below him, and only 1.8% of managers own him.
If you want a Brighton keeper behind a Brighton defender, Bart Verbruggen (5.7m, BHA) projects 4.7 → 5.0 → 4.2 on [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV. The first two weeks are excellent; the Liverpool trip in Gameweek 8 is the cost, and it is why Hornicek edges him as a long hold. Emiliano Martinez (5.9m, CHE) on [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT is the other strong option at 14.5 over three.
Best defenders for Gameweek 6
This round's ranking and the 3-round ranking disagree at the top, and it matters. James Tarkowski (7.0m, EVE) is the highest-projected defender for Gameweek 6 at 7.1, but Luka Vuskovic (5.8m, BHA) matches his 18.3 over three rounds for 1.2m less. Vuskovic's [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV runs 6.2 → 6.9 → 5.2, with 87 projected minutes this week. If you are buying one defender and keeping him, buy Vuskovic.
Tarkowski is still worth keeping if you already have him. His points come from defensive actions as much as clean sheets, which is why he holds up at 7.1 → 6.1 → 5.1 through [A]HUL → [H]CHE → [A]ARS while Everton's keeper does not. He is just not the buy at 7.0m when the cheaper player matches him over the run.
Gabriel (7.9m, ARS) is the premium Arsenal defender. [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE projects 6.8 → 5.4 → 5.6 for 17.8, the best 3-round total of any Arsenal defender, and he pairs with Raya on the same clean sheet if you want the correlated stack. At 22.2% ownership he is close to template.
Joshua King (5.1m, FUL) is the hidden gem of the position. Fulham's [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV gives him 5.4 → 6.1 → 5.0 and 16.5 over three rounds, more than Virgil van Dijk (15.5) or Josko Gvardiol (15.0) at a fraction of the price and at 1.8% ownership. His 0.21 expected goals for Gameweek 6 is the highest of any defender in the game, so the ceiling is not only clean sheets.
For the cheapest slot, Jannik Schuster (4.8m, BRE) is the pick. Brentford's [A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL projects 5.2 → 4.7 → 5.1 for 15.0, the best 3-round return of any defender under 5.0m, and he is owned by 0.4%. Olivier Boscagli (4.6m, BHA) is the alternative at 14.8 over three, but he sits on the same Brighton run as Vuskovic, so owning both spends two of your three Brighton places on one clean sheet.
Maxim De Cuyper (6.0m, BHA) is a two-round option: 5.7 → 6.8 → 4.4 on [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV. The Gameweek 7 home game with Crystal Palace is his best week of the run (6.8), then the Liverpool away game drops him to 4.4. Buy him for Gameweeks 6 and 7 and plan to move him on before Gameweek 8.
Best midfielders for Gameweek 6
Bruno Fernandes (10.9m, MUN) is the most valuable player in the game over the next three gameweeks: [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU projects 7.9 → 7.5 → 8.2 for 23.6, nearly four points clear of anyone else. He is on penalties in the model and owned by 44.3%, so if you have him, the job is done. The decisions that separate squads this week are the midfield places after him.
Morgan Rogers (7.6m, CHE) is the best Chelsea route in. [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT projects 6.3 → 5.8 → 5.4 for 17.5, and he is a cleaner pick than Cole Palmer (8.4m, CHE) this week. Palmer projects 6.3, but he is listed unavailable with an expected return date of 10 October, the day the round starts, so his minutes are the risk. Rogers is 0.8m cheaper and carries no such doubt.
Pascal Gross (5.9m, BHA) is the value midfielder to build around. Brighton's [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV projects 5.4 → 6.2 → 5.0 for 16.6, more than Martin Ødegaard (16.3) or Bryan Mbeumo (16.2) for 2.1m less. He is on Brighton's penalties in the model and owned by 6.9%. Marcus Tavernier (5.9m, BOU) is the same price and the same shape: Bournemouth's [A]CHE → [H]SUN → [A]MUN projects 5.6 → 5.8 → 4.9 for 16.3, and he also takes penalties in the model.
Bukayo Saka (9.6m, ARS) is the midfielder where the round and the program point in different directions. He projects 7.2 against Leeds, second only to Bruno Fernandes, but 7.2 → 5.8 → 5.6 shows the drop once Arsenal leave home. At 9.6m he is a strong hold for owners, not a new buy: Rogers gets within 1.1 points of him over three rounds for 2.0m less.
The budget pick is Shea Charles (4.6m, FUL). Fulham's [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV holds him at 4.7 → 4.8 → 4.3 for 13.8, the best 3-round total of any midfielder under 5.0m, and only 0.2% of managers own him. Diego Gomez (5.0m, BHA) is the alternative at 13.5, but on a Brighton run that fills up fast.
If you already own Dominik Szoboszlai (8.0m, LIV), keep him: [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA projects 5.5 → 5.7 → 6.0, a rising line, and he is Liverpool's penalty taker in the model. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (6.5m, EVE) looks tempting at 5.7 for Gameweek 6, but 5.7 → 5.6 → 4.0 is the same Everton story as Pickford below.
Best forwards for Gameweek 6
Erling Haaland (12.0m, MCI) stays. The Liverpool trip holds him to 6.0 this round, but [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL projects 6.0 → 7.7 → 6.1 for 19.8, the best total of any forward by more than five points, and Gameweek 7 at home to Ipswich is the single highest projection of any player that week. He is owned by 76.5% of managers, so not having him is the bigger risk.
Charalampos Kostoulas (4.6m, BHA) is the forward differential and the best value in the position. Brighton's [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV projects 4.7 → 5.0 → 3.9 for 13.6, within a point of Alexander Isak and Kai Havertz over three rounds for 2.4m to 3.7m less. Only 2.6% own him. Mind the club limit of three: Vuskovic, Gross and Kostoulas together is a full Brighton block.
Matheus Cunha (7.4m, MUN) is the mid-price forward to own for the run. Manchester United's [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU projects 5.5 → 4.4 → 4.7 for 14.6, the best 3-round total of any forward outside Haaland. Havertz (7.0m, ARS) out-projects him this round (5.7 against 5.5), but 5.7 → 4.3 → 4.1 fades faster once Arsenal leave home, so if you are buying one and holding him, buy Cunha.
Omar Marmoush (7.0m, TOT) is the forward to plan for rather than buy today. Tottenham's [A]MUN → [H]COV → [A]CHE projects 4.6 → 5.6 → 4.1: the Manchester United trip holds him down this week, and the Coventry home game in Gameweek 7 is his best of the run. If you have a forward to move after this round, he is the Gameweek 7 target.
Who to captain in Gameweek 6
The captain scores double, and Bruno Fernandes (10.9m, MUN) is the pick. He projects 7.9 against Tottenham, United have a 56% win probability, and he takes the penalties in the model. His [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU makes him a strong captain option in all three rounds.
Saka (7.2) is the alternative if you want the round's likeliest win, Arsenal's 70% against Leeds. James Tarkowski (7.1) is third on raw projection, but a defender's ceiling is lower than a penalty-taking midfielder's, so he is a captain for mini-league gambles only.
| Player | GW6 fixture | GW6 xP | GW7 xP | GW8 xP | Ownership |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes | [H]TOT | 7.9 | 7.5 | 8.2 | 44.3% |
| Bukayo Saka | [H]LEE | 7.2 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 20.8% |
| James Tarkowski | [A]HUL | 7.1 | 6.1 | 5.1 | 8.9% |
| Gabriel | [H]LEE | 6.8 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 22.2% |
| Morgan Rogers | [H]BOU | 6.3 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 19.6% |
| Erling Haaland | [A]LIV | 6.0 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 76.5% |
Looking ahead, the armband moves to Haaland for Gameweek 7 (7.7 at home to Ipswich, the top projection of that round) and back to Bruno Fernandes for Gameweek 8 (8.2 at home to Bournemouth, the top projection of that round). Owning both covers the captaincy for the whole run. Check the Sofascore Premier League predicted lineups before you lock in.
Who to sell before Gameweek 6
Yoane Wissa (5.7m, NEW) is the clearest sell, and this is the round to do it. Coventry away is a fine fixture, Newcastle's best attacking game of the run, but he only projects 3.9 in it, and 3.9 → 3.5 → 3.0 → 2.9 across [A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY → [H]EVE shows it only gets lower. He is owned by 12.7%. Kostoulas out-projects him this week as well as over the run and costs 1.1m less, so waiting a round gains nothing.
Gonzalo Garcia (5.8m, FUL) is the same trade. Fulham's [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV is a good run, but it is a good run for Fulham's defenders: Garcia projects 3.7 → 4.0 → 3.4 for 11.1, while Joshua King on the same fixtures projects 16.5. With 12.8% of managers holding him, moving that 5.8m into Kostoulas or a Fulham defender is an upgrade this round and every round of the run.
Jordan Pickford (5.8m, EVE) is a sale, but you can wait a round on this one. Hull away is a good fixture: Everton's 36% clean-sheet chance is the second-best of the round, and his 4.6 is a respectable score. The problem is what follows: [A]HUL → [H]CHE → [A]ARS takes him to 4.6 → 4.1 → 3.8. Keep him for Hull, then move him on to Hornicek or Verbruggen before Gameweek 7. He is in 24.6% of squads.
Riccardo Calafiori (6.5m, ARS) follows the same timing. Leeds at home is his best week (6.1), and 6.1 → 4.2 → 4.2 → 3.3 across [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE → [A]LIV is a falling line, while Gabriel on the same fixtures holds up better. Keep him for Gameweek 6 and plan the switch for Gameweek 7.
Alexander Isak (8.3m, LIV) is not urgent, but he is the forward to move when you have the transfer. [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA projects 4.8 → 4.7 → 4.6, the same 14.1 as Havertz for 1.3m more, and Arsenal at home in Gameweek 9 drops him to 3.5. You can wait a round; you should not wait until Gameweek 9.
One player not to sell: Joao Pedro (8.0m, CHE), owned by 31.3%. He is listed unavailable with an expected return on 17 October, so he projects only 3.0 for Gameweek 6. But 3.0 → 5.0 → 5.0 → 6.4 across [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT → [H]MUN is a rising line, and selling him now means buying him back once Chelsea's run gets going.
Gameweek 6 transfer summary
| Move | Why now | 3-round xP |
|---|---|---|
| Yoane Wissa → Charalampos Kostoulas | cheaper and higher in all three rounds | 10.4 → 13.6 |
| Gonzalo Garcia → Joshua King | same Fulham run, the points sit with the defence | 11.1 → 16.5 |
| Jordan Pickford → Lukas Hornicek (before Gameweek 7) | keep for Hull, then Chelsea and Arsenal follow | 12.5 → 13.4 |
To check how these moves fit a full squad, run the live optimal teams for Sofascore Premier League, which solves the best squad for any window of gameweeks, and compare the bookmaker numbers behind each fixture on the Sofascore PL market probabilities page. More analysis is in our Sofascore Premier League preview hub, and our other Sofascore coverage includes the Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 5 preview.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 6?
Bruno Fernandes is the top captain pick with 7.9 projected points at home to Tottenham, and he is Manchester United's penalty taker in the model. Bukayo Saka (7.2, at home to Leeds) is the main alternative. Erling Haaland is the stronger captain for Gameweek 7, at home to Ipswich.
Which budget defenders are best for Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 6?
Jannik Schuster (4.8m, Brentford) projects 15.0 points over Gameweeks 6 to 8, the best of any defender under 5.0m. Joshua King (5.1m, Fulham) is the best value just above that at 16.5, on Fulham's [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV run.
Should I sell Yoane Wissa before Gameweek 6?
Yes. Wissa projects 3.9 at Coventry and falls every round after it (3.9 → 3.5 → 3.0 → 2.9), while Charalampos Kostoulas projects more this week and over the run for 1.1m less.
What are the best differentials for Sofascore Premier League Gameweek 6?
Lukas Hornicek (5.1m, Newcastle, 1.8% owned), Joshua King (5.1m, Fulham, 1.8%) and Charalampos Kostoulas (4.6m, Brighton, 2.6%) all project near the top of their position over the next three gameweeks at low ownership.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.