Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9: captain and best buys

Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9 tips: best buys, differentials and who to sell

Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9 runs from 6 to 8 November, and it opens a three-gameweek window (Gameweek 9 to 11) that is unusually lopsided. Bayern, Stuttgart, Dortmund and Leverkusen hold the four best attacking programs in the league, while Werder Bremen's program only turns good at the end of it. The transfer you make this week should be judged on those three gameweeks, not on the nine fixtures in front of you. All numbers below are predicted points from our model; the full table lives on the Sofascore Bundesliga player picks page.

Michael Olise and Harry Kane are on well over 80% of squads, so owning them does not separate you from anybody. The gameweek is decided by the spots after them: which Dortmund and Freiburg defenders to pair, which mid-priced midfielder to bring in, and which owned players to move on before their program empties out. If you missed it, our Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 8 preview covers the gameweek being played now.

Gameweek 9 to 11 programs: whose next three gameweeks are worth owning

Every club has exactly three fixtures in the window, so there are no blanks and no doubles to adjust for, and the 3-gameweek totals compare like with like. The table shows the ten best programs, sorted on 3-gameweek expected goals. "3-GW CS" is expected clean sheets across the three games, not a percentage.

Dortmund have the defensive program of the window: [H]ELV → [A]BMG → [H]B04 adds up to 1.11 expected clean sheets, the highest in the league, and starts with a 38% clean-sheet chance against Elversberg. The Leverkusen game in Gameweek 11 is the one to plan around, not a reason to wait. Stuttgart are the other defensive target. Their [A]S04 trip in Gameweek 10 carries a 51% clean-sheet chance, the best single number anyone has in the three gameweeks. Freiburg's [H]FCU → [A]ELV → [H]RBL gives 1.04 clean sheets at a lower price point.

Leipzig are the trap. Their [H]FCA game this week is a 66% win probability with 2.67 expected goals, but [A]FCU and [A]SCF follow, and their 3-gameweek total drops to seventh. Leverkusen look similar on paper, with [A]KOE → [H]SCP → [A]BVB, but the Paderborn home game is a 49% clean-sheet chance and 2.88 expected goals, so their middle week carries the run. At the bottom, Schalke, Elversberg and Gladbach all sit under 3.2 expected goals across the window. Gladbach's [H]BVB → [A]WER after this week is the run to avoid. See the full fixture list on the Sofascore Bundesliga schedule, and our fixture difficulty guide explains how to read a run like this.

Best goalkeepers for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9

Nahuel Noll (4.8m, SCP) is the model's top goalkeeper over the window at 14.6 points. His program is [H]FRA → [A]B04 → [H]S04, and his gameweeks run 4.8 → 4.3 → 5.5. Paderborn will not keep many clean sheets, but the scoring rewards a busy keeper, and the Schalke game in Gameweek 11 is his best week. Only 4.6% of managers own him.

Loris Karius (5.0m, S04) works the same way. His program is [A]HOF → [H]STU → [A]SCP and he projects 4.7 → 4.5 → 5.1, for 14.3 points across the three. Gregor Kobel (6.0m, BVB) is the safe hold for the 44.3% who own him: [H]ELV → [A]BMG → [H]B04 is the best clean-sheet run in the league, and he projects 4.5 → 4.8 → 4.1.

The differential is Dennis Seimen (5.1m, STU) at 0.5% ownership. Stuttgart's [H]WER → [A]S04 → [H]FRA comes to 1.05 expected clean sheets. He projects 4.3 → 5.0 → 4.0, and the Gameweek 10 trip to Schalke is the best clean-sheet fixture in the window. Bayern owners should note that Manuel Neuer is listed out until 10 November and projects nothing this week. He comes back at 3.7 in Gameweek 10, so bench him rather than sell him. Jonas Urbig's 4.2 this week falls to 1.1 the moment Neuer returns, which makes him a one-week stopgap, not a buy.

Best defenders for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9

Matthias Ginter (7.0m, SCF) is the defender to buy. His program is [H]FCU → [A]ELV → [H]RBL, he projects 7.2 → 6.8 → 6.0 for 20.0 points, and he is Freiburg's penalty taker on top of a 38% clean-sheet chance this week. Nico Schlotterbeck (7.8m, BVB) matches him almost exactly: 7.1 → 7.1 → 5.9 for 20.1 points off [H]ELV → [A]BMG → [H]B04. If you only buy one, Ginter is 0.8m cheaper for 0.1 fewer points.

Dortmund's defence can carry two picks, and a Kobel-plus-defender stack doubles up on the same clean sheets. Waldemar Anton (7.2m, BVB) projects 6.8 → 6.8 → 5.6 (19.2 total) and is the most nailed of the back line at 83 predicted minutes. Julian Ryerson (5.9m, BVB) is the value version: 6.8 → 6.4 → 4.7 for 17.9, and his 0.26 expected assists against Elversberg is the highest of any Dortmund defender. At 1.15 points per million this week, he is the best-value Dortmund defender by a distance.

Willi Orban (6.8m, RBL) is the one Leipzig defender who holds up across the window, with 6.6 → 5.9 → 5.5 off [H]FCA → [A]FCU → [A]SCF. That is 18.0 points against David Raum's 13.2 over the same three games. Leverkusen owners should keep Miguel Gutiérrez (6.2m, B04), who projects 5.8 → 7.1 → 4.3 off [A]KOE → [H]SCP → [A]BVB. His 7.1 against Paderborn is the joint-best defender score of Gameweek 10.

The budget pick is Koki Machida (4.6m, HOF). Hoffenheim go [H]S04 → [A]FRA → [H]FCA, and he projects 5.4 → 4.4 → 4.7 for 14.5 points. That is 1.17 points per million this week, the best of any regular starter at the position, and he is owned by 0.6%. For a later buy, watch Amos Pieper (5.0m, WER). He projects 4.1 → 5.5 → 6.6 off [A]STU → [H]HSV → [H]BMG, and his 6.6 in Gameweek 11 is the third-best score of any player that week. The Stuttgart away game makes him a buy for Gameweek 10, not now. Maximilian Rohr (4.3m, ELV) is the cheapest nailed alternative at 4.4 → 5.1 → 4.8.

Best midfielders for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9

Michael Olise (12.6m, FCB) leads every player in the game at 8.5 → 8.6 → 6.9, 24.0 points off [A]M05 → [H]KOE → [A]HSV. That is 3.9 points clear of the next-best player in the game. He is already on 85.3% of squads, so he is a hold, not a differentiator.

The best mid-priced buy is Aleix Garcia (8.5m, B04), who projects 6.2 → 6.7 → 5.2 for 18.1 points off [A]KOE → [H]SCP → [A]BVB. He plays 83 minutes and is owned by 11.4%. Ibrahim Maza (6.7m, B04) is the cheaper route into the same Leverkusen run, with 6.1 → 6.5 → 4.8 for 17.4. Joshua Kimmich (9.9m, FCB) is a steady 6.3 → 6.3 → 5.4 if you want a second Bayern midfielder alongside Olise.

This position is where the gameweek ranking and the three-gameweek ranking disagree. Antonio Nusa and Brajan Gruda both project 6.9 this week, more than Garcia's 6.2. But Leipzig's program falls away after the Augsburg game: Gruda goes 6.9 → 5.0 → 4.5 and Nusa 6.9 → 5.3 → 5.1. With one free transfer a week, buy Garcia or Maza and keep him. Buying Gruda for one gameweek means spending next week's transfer to undo it.

For a Dortmund midfielder, Felix Nmecha (6.7m, BVB) projects 6.1 → 5.6 → 4.8 off [H]ELV → [A]BMG → [H]B04, with 0.36 expected goals this week. The hidden gem is Jan-Niklas Beste (6.0m, SCF). Freiburg's [H]FCU → [A]ELV → [H]RBL gives him 5.9 → 5.3 → 4.6, with 0.23 expected goals and 0.25 expected assists this week, and only 3.4% own him. Chris Führich (6.6m, STU) is a deeper differential at 1.1% ownership, with 5.5 → 5.4 → 4.5 off Stuttgart's [H]WER → [A]S04 → [H]FRA.

The budget midfielder is Santiago Castaneda (4.9m, SCP). He plays 82 minutes every week and projects a flat 5.0 → 4.6 → 4.8 off [H]FRA → [A]B04 → [H]S04, which is 1.02 points per million this week. A flat line like that means you can buy him and stop thinking about the slot.

Best forwards for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9

Harry Kane (12.2m, FCB) projects 7.2 → 6.8 → 5.7 off [A]M05 → [H]KOE → [A]HSV. He is Bayern's penalty taker and carries 0.70 expected goals this week. At 87.8% ownership he is the template. Serhou Guirassy (8.4m, BVB) is the premium alternative at 6.8 → 5.9 → 4.8 off [H]ELV → [A]BMG → [H]B04, with 0.67 expected goals against Elversberg. His case leans on this week and the next, so he suits someone planning to move him on around Gameweek 11.

Marco Grüll (6.3m, WER) is the forward whose program gets better as it goes. He projects 5.2 → 5.3 → 6.9 off [A]STU → [H]HSV → [H]BMG, for 17.4 points, almost level with Guirassy for 2.1m less. His 6.9 in Gameweek 11 ties Olise for the best score of that week. He is a buy now because his first two weeks are already decent, so you do not have to wait for the good one.

The differential is Derry Scherhant (5.1m, SCF) at 1.0% ownership. He plays 75 minutes and projects 5.3 → 4.8 → 4.3 off Freiburg's [H]FCU → [A]ELV → [H]RBL. For the cheapest working forward slot, Stefano Marino (4.1m, SCP) projects 4.2 → 3.1 → 3.9 off [H]FRA → [A]B04 → [H]S04, with 0.36 expected goals this week. Romulo Cruz (6.1m, RBL) is Leipzig's penalty taker and projects 6.1 against Augsburg, but drops to 4.5 and 4.2 after that, so he has the same one-week shape as Gruda. Check minutes before the deadline on the Sofascore Bundesliga predicted lineups.

Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9 captain picks

Michael Olise (12.6m, FCB) is the captain, with [A]M05 → [H]KOE → [A]HSV ahead. His 8.5 is 1.3 points clear of anyone else this week, and his 8.6 against Köln makes him the top captain in Gameweek 10 as well. Captaining him twice in a row is the plan, not a coincidence.

Harry Kane (7.2) is the obvious alternative and a reasonable pick if you prefer the penalty taker. Matthias Ginter also projects 7.2. A defender captain is a genuine differential, but it depends on a Freiburg clean sheet. Serhou Guirassy (6.8) is the low-owned attacking option for anyone chasing rank. Gameweek 11 is closer: Olise and Marco Grüll both project 6.9, which is another reason to bring Grüll in early. To compare captain odds, use the Sofascore Bundesliga market probabilities, and our guide to picking a fantasy captain covers the method.

Who to sell before Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9

Igor Matanovic (6.2m, SCF) is the clearest sale, and 12.8% still own him. He is projected for 23 minutes in each of the next three gameweeks, which gives him 2.3 → 2.0 → 2.1, even inside Freiburg's good [H]FCU → [A]ELV → [H]RBL. Why now: nothing in the window changes his role, so every week you wait costs about three points against Derry Scherhant, his own teammate, who is cheaper.

Luis Diaz (8.8m, FCB) is listed out until 28 November, so Bayern's [A]M05 → [H]KOE → [A]HSV is mostly lost to him. He projects nothing in Gameweek 9 or 10, then 36 minutes and 3.7 in Gameweek 11. Why now: he blanks twice before he plays at all, and those are the two weeks in which Bayern project 2.82 and 2.63 expected goals. 15.4% of managers are still carrying him through them.

Jobe Bellingham (5.9m, BVB) is the wrong way into the Dortmund run. He is capped at 55 minutes every week and projects 4.0 → 3.7 → 3.3. Nmecha gets 16.5 points from the same [H]ELV → [A]BMG → [H]B04 against Bellingham's 11.0. Why now: Elversberg at home is Dortmund's best fixture of the three, so switching now captures it. Angelo Stiller (7.4m, STU) is out until 17 November and returns to only 48 predicted minutes in Gameweek 10, which makes him another sale this week.

Two popular Leipzig players can wait a gameweek. Antonio Nusa (7.6m, RBL) (27.6% owned) and David Raum (6.8m, RBL) (14.9%) both have their best fixture right now: [H]FCA → [A]FCU → [A]SCF. Nusa projects 6.9 → 5.3 → 5.1 and Raum 5.8 → 4.0 → 3.4. Augsburg at home is a good fixture, so play them this week. Line up the sale for Gameweek 10, when Leipzig go on the road twice. If this week's transfer is going on Matanovic or Diaz, you lose nothing by waiting.

For the full squad view, the Sofascore Bundesliga optimal teams page solves the best squad live from the same projections. More gameweek analysis is in our Sofascore Bundesliga preview hub.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9?

Michael Olise is the captain at 8.5 predicted points against Mainz, 1.3 clear of anyone else. Harry Kane and Matthias Ginter (both 7.2) are the alternatives, and Olise also tops Gameweek 10 at 8.6 against Köln.

Who are the best Sofascore Bundesliga differentials for Gameweek 9?

Jan-Niklas Beste (3.4% owned, 15.8 points over Gameweeks 9-11), Derry Scherhant (1.0%, 14.4) and Chris Führich (1.1%, 15.4) are the best low-owned picks, alongside goalkeeper Dennis Seimen at 0.5%.

Should I sell Igor Matanovic before Gameweek 9?

Yes. Igor Matanovic is projected for 23 minutes in each of the next three gameweeks and 2.3 points this week, while his Freiburg teammate Derry Scherhant projects 5.3 for less money.

Which budget defenders are best for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9?

Koki Machida (4.6m, Hoffenheim) is the best budget defender at 5.4 points against Schalke and 14.5 over three gameweeks. Julian Ryerson (5.9m, Dortmund) is the best value from a top club, and Amos Pieper (5.0m, Werder) is a buy from Gameweek 10.

Which goalkeeper should I pick for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9?

Nahuel Noll leads all goalkeepers with 14.6 points over Gameweeks 9-11, and Loris Karius is next at 14.3. Gregor Kobel is the safe hold behind Dortmund's league-best 1.11 expected clean sheets, and Neuer owners should bench him this week.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.