Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10: captain and best buys

Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10 tips: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10 comes after the international break, and the decision it asks for is bigger than one weekend. Bayern München open with [H]KOE and then run [A]HSV → [H]SCP, the strongest three-gameweek program in the game by a distance. Leverkusen and Dortmund follow, while four of the most-owned players in the game project well under 40 minutes this week. So this is a gameweek to set up the next three, not just to chase one score. Every number below is our model's projection for Gameweeks 10 to 12; the full ranking sits on the Sofascore Bundesliga player picks page.

If you missed last week's analysis, the Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 9 preview is still up.

Gameweek 10 to 12 programs: whose next three gameweeks are worth owning

Bayern's [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP is worth 9.54 expected goals and 1.37 expected clean sheets across the three. That is 2.4 goals more than anyone else. The Hamburg away trip in Gameweek 11 is the week to plan around rather than avoid: home games against Köln and Paderborn either side of it. Köln get a 3% win probability at the Allianz Arena, and Bayern's 49% clean-sheet chance is the best of the round.

Leverkusen's [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG is the second-best program at 7.12 expected goals. It follows the same pattern as Bayern's: two strong home fixtures around one hard away game. Dortmund's [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04 carries 1.09 expected clean sheets, and Gameweek 12 at Schalke is their best defensive fixture of the three. Werder Bremen get two home games first, [H]HSV → [H]BMG → [A]FRA, which makes them the best mid-price stack for the next fortnight.

At the other end, Union Berlin ([H]RBL → [A]M05 → [H]HSV, 2.72 expected goals), Schalke ([H]STU → [A]SCP → [H]BVB) and Mönchengladbach ([H]BVB → [A]WER → [A]B04, only 0.29 expected clean sheets) have the weakest three-gameweek runs. Every club plays once in each of Gameweeks 10, 11 and 12, so the totals below compare like with like. Check the full Sofascore Bundesliga schedule for dates.

The table shows the seven best and four weakest programs, sorted on three-gameweek expected goals. Clean sheet is this gameweek's probability. The 3-gameweek CS column is the expected number of clean sheets out of three.

Best goalkeepers for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10

This gameweek and the three-gameweek view point to different keepers. Manuel Neuer (5.8m, FCB) tops Gameweek 10 at 5.0 points with Bayern's 49% clean-sheet chance against Köln, on the program [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP. His projection goes 5.0 → 3.9 → 4.8, so the Hamburg week costs him.

If you are buying one goalkeeper to keep, buy Finn Dahmen (5.7m, FCA). His [H]M05 → [A]HOF → [H]KOE projects 4.8 → 4.7 → 5.2, the best three-gameweek total of any keeper at 14.7, and it holds up afterwards with 5.8 in Gameweek 14. Augsburg's clean-sheet odds are modest, so his points come from saves, and the busy schedule gives him plenty of those. Loris Karius (5.0m, S04) is the value version at 14.5 over three gameweeks: [H]STU → [A]SCP → [H]BVB, with a flat 4.8 → 5.1 → 4.6. Gregor Kobel's 44.2% owners have no reason to move. His 4.4 → 4.3 → 5.3 rises into the Schalke game.

Best defenders for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10

Again the gameweek and the program disagree. Nathaniel Brown (5.8m, FCB) is the top defender this week at 7.3, the best points per million of any defender at 1.26, on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP. His 7.3 → 4.7 → 7.0 makes him the cheapest way into Bayern's two big home clean-sheet chances, and he is owned by only 6.8%. Jonathan Tah (7.0m) projects 7.0 this week but costs 1.2m more for a near-identical program.

Over three gameweeks, Nico Schlotterbeck (7.8m, BVB) comes out on top at 20.4. His [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04 projects 6.6 → 6.0 → 7.8, and Gameweek 15 is a double for Dortmund, where he projects 11.9. If you are buying one premium defender to keep, it is Schlotterbeck rather than Brown. Waldemar Anton (7.3m, BVB) is the cheaper Dortmund route at 6.0 → 5.6 → 7.2 on the same [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04, and is also nailed at 87 projected minutes.

Matthias Ginter (7.0m, SCF) is Freiburg's penalty taker, which is why a centre-back carries 0.20 expected goals this week. His [A]ELV → [H]RBL → [H]HOF is completely flat at 6.3 → 6.1 → 6.0, so he is a buy you can hold without thinking about it.

Budget defenders for Gameweek 10

Amos Pieper (5.2m, WER) is the defensive differential at 0.6% ownership. Werder's [H]HSV → [H]BMG → [A]FRA gives him 5.8 → 6.6 → 4.9, and his 6.6 in Gameweek 11 is joint-fourth among all players that week. Maximilian Rohr (4.3m, ELV) is the best defender at 4.5m or less this week at 5.1 → 4.8 → 4.6 on [H]SCF → [A]KOE → [H]STU, with 1.19 points per million. Koki Machida (4.6m, HOF) projects 4.8 → 5.3 → 4.8 on [A]FRA → [H]FCA → [A]SCF and reaches 10.0 in Hoffenheim's Gameweek 15 double, so he is a budget hold beyond the three-week window.

Best midfielders for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10

Michael Olise (12.5m, FCB) is already in 84.6% of squads, and his program explains why: [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP projects 12.3 → 8.1 → 11.7, a three-gameweek total of 32.1, eight points clear of Kane in second. Owning him is not the edge. The edge is what you put around him.

Bayern's three-player limit matters here. With Olise and Harry Kane in, one Bayern slot is left, and it decides a lot of squads this fortnight. Joshua Kimmich (9.9m, FCB) is the strongest option for it at 8.0 → 6.1 → 7.6 (21.7 over three) on the same [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP. Lennart Karl (6.0m, FCB) is the budget version at 6.5 → 4.0 → 6.0 on that program, owned by 2.0%. His minutes dip in the Hamburg week (66 projected), so he works best if you are happy to take two big home weeks out of three. Brown at 5.8m is the cheapest route of all.

Ibrahim Maza (6.8m, B04) is the best midfielder outside Bayern over the three gameweeks at 18.4. Leverkusen's [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG gives him 6.7 → 5.2 → 6.5. Nadiem Amiri (7.9m, M05) is Mainz's penalty taker and peaks in Gameweek 11: [A]FCA → [H]FCU → [A]RBL gives 5.9 → 6.7 → 5.1, and Mainz double in Gameweek 15 (9.9).

Budget midfielders for Gameweek 10

Brajan Gruda (5.5m, RBL) is the hidden gem of the round at 4.4% ownership. He has the best points per million of any midfielder (1.22) on [A]FCU → [A]SCF → [H]M05, projecting 6.7 → 5.1 → 5.4, and 10.0 in Leipzig's Gameweek 15 double. Chuki (4.6m, WER) is owned by 0.3% and starts on Werder's two home games, [H]HSV → [H]BMG → [A]FRA, for 5.2 → 5.7 → 4.1. Lukas Petkov (4.9m, ELV) takes Elversberg's penalties and is the steadiest cheap option at 5.3 → 4.6 → 4.9 on [H]SCF → [A]KOE → [H]STU.

Best forwards for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10

Harry Kane (12.2m, FCB) is the other near-universal pick at 87.7%. He is Bayern's penalty taker, projects 1.02 expected goals against Köln and runs 9.2 → 6.2 → 8.7 on [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP.

Below Kane, the gameweek and the program split again. Patrik Schick out-scores Marco Grüll this week, 6.8 to 6.5, but Grüll has more over three gameweeks (18.8 to 17.7). If you are buying one forward to keep, buy Grüll. Marco Grüll (6.4m, WER) gets Werder's [H]HSV → [H]BMG → [A]FRA for 6.5 → 7.0 → 5.3, and his 7.0 in Gameweek 11 is the second-highest projection of any player that week. Patrik Schick (7.9m, B04) is Leverkusen's penalty taker, with [H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG giving 6.8 → 4.4 → 6.5. He is the better pick only if you plan to move him on after Gameweek 12.

Sheraldo Becker (5.8m, M05) rises into Mainz's home game with Union: [A]FCA → [H]FCU → [A]RBL gives 5.6 → 6.5 → 4.6, with a Gameweek 15 double to follow (8.8). Fabio Silva (5.0m, BVB) is the budget forward with the best points per million in the position (1.06). Our model has him as Dortmund's starting striker for [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04 at 5.3 → 4.3 → 4.9. See the Sofascore Bundesliga predicted lineups for every club's projected XI before you commit.

Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10 captain picks

The captain scores double, and Gameweek 10 has a clear answer. Michael Olise (12.5m, FCB) projects 12.3 against Köln, 3.1 points clear of anyone else, at the start of [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP. Harry Kane (9.2) is the alternative if you want the penalties and the 1.02 expected goals. Joshua Kimmich (8.0) is the third option for anyone who owns him but not the other two.

The captain plan stays simple: Olise is also the top projection in Gameweek 11 (8.1, at Hamburg) and Gameweek 12 (11.7, [H]SCP). Grüll (7.0) is the closest challenger in Gameweek 11, and Kane (8.7) in Gameweek 12. Read more on choosing a captain in our fantasy captain guide.

Who to sell before Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10

Antonio Nusa (7.8m, RBL) is the biggest sale by ownership at 28.8%. Leipzig's [A]FCU → [A]SCF → [H]M05 is a decent program, but he comes back from injury slowly: 17 → 33 → 37 projected minutes and 1.8 → 3.4 → 3.8 points. Why now: the minutes are not there for any of the next three gameweeks, and his clubmate Gruda projects 6.7 this week for 2.3m less.

Luis Diaz (8.7m, FCB) is owned by 14.5% and is out until 28 November, so his [H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP projects 0.0 → 3.3 → 4.2 on reduced minutes. Why now: Bayern's program is the best in the game, and he misses the first of its two big home games. He is still only on 35-36 projected minutes when they host Paderborn in Gameweek 12. The Bayern slot he takes is the one Brown, Karl or Kimmich could fill.

Serhou Guirassy (8.3m, BVB), owned by 19.4%, and Julian Ryerson (5.9m, BVB), owned by 15.5%, sit on a good Dortmund program, [A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04, but neither is projected to start. Guirassy is on 23 → 35 → 40 projected minutes (2.2 → 2.9 → 3.8 points) and Ryerson on 17 → 22 → 24. Why now: the fixtures are fine, so the problem is that neither player is getting the minutes. Fabio Silva and Schlotterbeck are the Dortmund players the model actually projects to play. Compare the alternatives on the Sofascore Bundesliga optimal teams page, and check the market probabilities before the deadline.

More previews for every gameweek are in the Sofascore Bundesliga preview hub.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10?

Michael Olise is the best captain for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10 at 12.3 projected points at home to Köln. Harry Kane (9.2) is the alternative, and Olise also tops the projections for Gameweeks 11 and 12.

Should I sell Antonio Nusa before Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10?

Yes. Antonio Nusa projects only 17 minutes and 1.8 points in Gameweek 10 as he returns from injury, and he does not reach 40 projected minutes by Gameweek 12. Brajan Gruda, also of Leipzig, projects 6.7 this week for 2.3m less.

Who are the best defenders for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10?

Nathaniel Brown leads Gameweek 10 at 7.3 points and 1.26 points per million. Nico Schlotterbeck has the best three-gameweek total of any defender at 20.4, and Amos Pieper is the low-owned budget option at 0.6%.

What are the best differentials for Sofascore Bundesliga Gameweek 10?

Brajan Gruda (4.4% owned, 6.7 projected), Lennart Karl (2.0%, 6.5) and Amos Pieper (0.6%, 5.8) are the best low-ownership picks, and each one keeps a decent projection through Gameweek 12.

Which Bundesliga teams have the best fixtures for the next three gameweeks?

Bayern München ([H]KOE → [A]HSV → [H]SCP, 9.54 expected goals), Leverkusen ([H]SCP → [A]BVB → [H]BMG, 7.12) and Dortmund ([A]BMG → [H]B04 → [A]S04, 1.09 expected clean sheets) have the best programs for Gameweeks 10 to 12.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.