Premier Manager Runde 10: captain picks and best buys

Premier Manager Runde 10 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Premier Manager Runde 10 opens on Friday 6 November with Everton - Coventry City. The round is shaped by one fixture and one program. Arsenal host Hull City, and no team in the game has a bigger single week: Hull have a 5% win probability, and Arsenal carry a 58% clean-sheet chance and 2.65 expected goals. But Arsenal's run tightens straight after, to [A]NEW then [H]MCI. Brighton have the run worth owning: [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, then [A]BOU, [A]NFO and [H]EVE. The decision this round is how much Arsenal to carry for the Hull week, and which Brighton players to hold for the next six.

There is a two-week gap after this round: Runde 10 is played 6-8 November, and Runde 11 starts on 21 November. Every player you buy now sits in your squad across that gap, so his program counts for more than usual. All numbers below come from the model's projections; the full list is on the Premier Manager player picks page.

Premier Manager Runde 10: the programs worth owning

Arsenal lead the next three rounds on both counts, with 6.03 expected goals and 1.34 expected clean sheets. That total is front-loaded, though: 2.65 of those goals come against Hull. Brighton are second at 5.82 expected goals and spread them evenly. The Hull trip in Runde 11 is their best week, and Newcastle at home in Runde 12 is not a fixture to fear. Liverpool's [A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE is steady rather than spectacular. It is followed by [H]SUN in Runde 13, and their attackers hold their value across the whole window.

Manchester City are the trap. [A]NFO and [H]FUL are two very good fixtures, and Erling Haaland projects over 160k in both. A trip to Arsenal in Runde 12 then drags their defence down hard. Bournemouth's [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL is the quiet one, three fixtures with no obvious danger. At the bottom, Hull City's [A]ARS → [H]BHA → [A]CRY is the worst run in the game at 2.47 expected goals and 0.35 expected clean sheets.

Everton are the clearest single-round team. Their 36% clean-sheet chance against Coventry is the second best of the round, behind Arsenal. Their run then falls to [A]BRE and [H]LIV, so Everton players are rotation buys, not holds. Tottenham are the surprise over a longer window. [A]LEE → [H]IPS → [A]SUN is level with Brighton's 0.96 expected clean sheets, and over six rounds only Arsenal have more. See every fixture on the Premier Manager schedule, and check the market probabilities behind these numbers.

Goalkeepers for Premier Manager Runde 10

David Raya (6.4m, ARS) is the top keeper this round and over the next three, on 99k → 79k → 62k from [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI. The 58% clean-sheet chance against Hull is the highest in the round. The run declines from there, but even the City week leaves him a playable 62k. 18.8% of managers already own him.

Alisson Becker (5.1m, LIV) is the one to buy and stop thinking about. [A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE → [H]SUN gives him 73k → 62k → 67k → 77k, a flat line with no bad week in it. For a cheaper hold, Djordje Petrovic (4.8m, BOU) projects 67k → 59k → 57k over [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL, and only 1.3% of managers own him.

The rankings disagree between this round and the next three. Gianluigi Donnarumma is second this round at 73k, but he drops to 40k at Arsenal in Runde 12. Bart Verbruggen (5.3m, BHA) sits well below him this round at 59k, then jumps to 82k at Hull. Over [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW he totals 202k, which beats Donnarumma by 12k and edges Alisson. If you are buying one keeper and keeping him, take Verbruggen; he is 1.9% owned.

Defenders for Premier Manager Runde 10

Gabriel (5.8m, ARS) is the best defender in the game this round and over three. He projects 110k against Hull, then 78k at Newcastle and 58k against City, for 246k across [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI. His 0.15 expected goals this round is what lifts him above every other Arsenal defender. Premier Manager allows four players per club, so with Raya and an Arsenal attacker on board he is the one Arsenal defender to pick.

Maxim De Cuyper (3.6m, BHA) is the template defender at 34.4% ownership, and the program says keep him. [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW gives him 79k → 92k → 69k. Here the round and the horizon disagree. Ezri Konsa out-scores him this round, 93k to 79k, against Hull. Over three rounds, though, De Cuyper is 42k ahead at a lower price, so he is the defender to hold and Konsa the one-week option.

The Brighton differential is Luka Vuskovic (4.3m, BHA). He is on 63k → 87k → 63k over the same [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW run, for 213k, the third-best defender total in the game, at 3.4% ownership. If you want a cheaper Brighton defender, Ferdi Kadioglu (3.5m, BHA) projects 49k → 72k → 51k over [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW and is owned by 0.9%. Lewis Dunk at 3.1m is close behind on 51k → 70k → 45k.

James Tarkowski (3.5m, EVE) is a one-round buy. He projects 70k against Coventry in [H]COV, then 33k and 28k over [A]BRE → [H]LIV, so plan to sell him again for Runde 11. At 20k per million this round, his 35k fee is small against a 36% clean-sheet chance. For a steady premium, Virgil van Dijk (5.4m, LIV) runs 69k → 56k → 58k → 71k over [A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE → [H]SUN, without a single weak week.

Midfielders for Premier Manager Runde 10

Martin Ødegaard (5.7m, ARS) is the top midfielder this round at 124k against Hull, 16k clear of the next. He then falls to 82k at Newcastle and 62k against City over [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI. That is still 267k across three rounds, and at 12.3% ownership he is the Arsenal attacker most worth the slot for the Hull week. Eberechi Eze (5.7m, ARS) is the differential version at 1.1% owned. He projects 108k this round, but [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI gives him 69k and 47k after it, so he works as a one-round buy only.

Over three rounds the order flips. Bryan Mbeumo (7.2m, MUN) has the best midfield total in the game, 277k from 102k → 72k → 104k on [H]AVL → [A]LIV → [H]BRE, and he holds 98k against Newcastle in Runde 13. The Liverpool trip is the week to plan around rather than avoid, because two strong home games either side of it carry him. If you are buying one midfielder and keeping him, it is Mbeumo over Ødegaard.

Cole Palmer (8.3m, CHE) is the premium alternative, on 101k → 97k → 73k from [A]SUN → [H]LEE → [A]NFO and 112k against Crystal Palace in Runde 13. His teammate Morgan Rogers (6.4m, CHE) is owned by 30.5% and should stay. His 90k → 84k → 81k → 97k over [A]SUN → [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY is among the flattest lines in the game. For a cheaper Chelsea option, Pedro Neto (4.8m, CHE) holds 71k → 72k → 66k over [A]SUN → [H]LEE → [A]NFO.

The cheap midfielder to own is Justin Kluivert (3.4m, BOU). He projects 82k → 62k → 58k over [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL, and his 24k per million this round is the second best of any midfielder. That frees money for a premium elsewhere.

The hidden gems sit in Brighton's midfield. Diego Gomez (3.7m, BHA) projects 71k → 96k → 77k over [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW. His 244k is more than Eze, Florian Wirtz or Marcus Tavernier manage over the same three rounds, and only 3.8% of managers own him. Pascal Gross (4.5m, BHA) is Brighton's penalty taker and runs 74k → 93k → 71k on the same [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, at 9.6% ownership. Florian Wirtz (6.4m, LIV) is the pricier differential at 4.0%, on 88k → 74k → 68k.

Forwards for Premier Manager Runde 10

Erling Haaland (15.7m, MCI) is the hold of the round. He projects 165k at Nottingham Forest and 164k at home to Fulham over [A]NFO → [H]FUL → [A]ARS. The Arsenal trip drops him to 61k, and he is back at 145k against Leeds in Runde 13. One weak week in four is no reason to move off him.

Alexander Isak (8.1m, LIV) has the flattest premium program of any forward: 122k → 105k → 90k → 112k from [A]CRY → [H]MUN → [A]EVE → [H]SUN. Kai Havertz (6.1m, ARS) out-scores him this round with 136k against Hull, the second-highest projection in the game. Havertz then drops to 89k and 71k over [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI, and Isak finishes the three rounds 22k ahead. Havertz is the one-round play and Isak is the hold. Owners of Havertz (22.5%) can keep him through the Hull week.

The value forward is Charalampos Kostoulas (3.3m, BHA). He projects 81k → 100k → 80k over [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW, for 261k, the fourth-best forward total in the game behind Haaland, Isak and Havertz. He costs less than a quarter of Haaland's price, and 12.8% of managers own him. Evanilson (5.3m, BOU) is the mid-price hold on 94k → 79k → 73k over [A]IPS → [H]NFO → [A]FUL.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (5.3m, LEE) is a buy with an eye on Runde 12. He projects 81k against Tottenham and 60k at Chelsea, then 104k at home to Coventry in [H]TOT → [A]CHE → [H]COV. That puts him level with Mbeumo as the top projection of Runde 12. Thierno Barry (4.6m, EVE) is a pure one-rounder. He projects 102k against Coventry, then 52k at Brentford, over [H]COV → [A]BRE → [H]LIV, so buy him for this round and sell him again for Runde 11. At 3.9% ownership, his 46k fee buys the fourth-highest forward projection of the round, ahead of Evanilson.

Captain picks for Premier Manager Runde 10

Premier Manager doubles your captain's points. Erling Haaland (15.7m, MCI) is the clear captain at 165k, a projected 329k with the armband, on a program of [A]NFO → [H]FUL → [A]ARS. The alternatives are Kai Havertz at 136k against Hull, and Martin Ødegaard (124k) and Alexander Isak (122k) behind him. Read more in our guide on how to pick your fantasy captain.

Haaland is the captain again in Runde 11 at 164k against Fulham, and again in Runde 13 at 145k against Leeds. Runde 12 is the gap: Haaland drops to 61k at Arsenal, and Bryan Mbeumo and Dominic Calvert-Lewin top that round at 104k each, with Isak on 90k. A squad that holds Mbeumo or Isak alongside Haaland has a strong captain option in every one of the next four rounds.

Who to sell before Premier Manager Runde 10

Joao Pedro (8.5m, CHE) is the first sell, and the round to do it is this one. He is out until 21 November, so he scores nothing in Runde 10; the model has him at -5k. Even when back, [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]CRY gives him only 57k → 71k → 81k. Cole Palmer costs almost the same and projects more in every one of those rounds. 17.3% of managers own Joao Pedro, and with the two-week gap, holding him means carrying a player who scores nothing until 21 November.

Bruno Fernandes (7.7m, MUN) is a sell into a decent fixture. [H]AVL is a fair home game and 72k is a respectable return. But [A]LIV follows and he drops to 41k. Mbeumo out-projects him by 30k this round, and by 101k over [H]AVL → [A]LIV → [H]BRE. Swapping now captures the Aston Villa game with the better Manchester United player rather than waiting for the Liverpool week; he is owned by 19.0%.

Rayan Cherki (6.6m, MCI) is a minutes problem rather than a fixture one. The model gives him 33 minutes against Forest, and he projects 46k in each of City's two best weeks before falling to 24k at Arsenal. If he cannot score in [A]NFO and [H]FUL, he will not later, so there is no better round to sell; 16.9% still own him. Christos Tzolis (4.7m, ARS) is the same story at Arsenal. He projects 37k → 35k → 29k over [H]HUL → [A]NEW → [H]MCI. The 37k comes in the Hull game, the week Arsenal's attack scores most, while Ødegaard projects 124k in it.

You can wait on the Brentford pair. Kevin Schade (38.4% owned) and Thiago Rodrigues (33.6%) both peak in Runde 11 at home to Everton, at 74k and 91k. Their program collapses after that, to [H]ARS in Runde 13 and [H]MCI in Runde 14. Hold them through Runde 11 and plan the sale for Runde 12 or 13 rather than now.

Premier Manager Runde 10 transfer summary

The swaps the data supports are these. Joao Pedro out, Palmer in. Bruno Fernandes out, Mbeumo in. Cherki out to free money for a Brighton block of Gomez, Kostoulas and Vuskovic. Add one Arsenal attacker for the Hull week, either Ødegaard or Havertz. Everton's Barry and Tarkowski are the cheap one-round plays to sell again for Runde 11. Check the Premier Manager predicted lineups before the deadline, and see how the solver combines all of this on the optimal teams for Premier Manager page. Last round's analysis is in the Premier Manager Runde 9 preview, every round is collected in the Premier Manager preview hub, and our holdet managerspil strategy guide covers the wider game.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Premier Manager Runde 10?

Erling Haaland is the captain for Runde 10, projected at 165k against Nottingham Forest, or 329k with the armband. Kai Havertz (136k against Hull City) and Martin Ødegaard (124k) are the alternatives. Haaland is also the top pick for Runde 11 against Fulham.

Which cheap defenders are best for Premier Manager Runde 10?

Maxim De Cuyper (3.6m) is the best cheap defender over the next three rounds, at 79k → 92k → 69k from Brighton's [H]BRE → [A]HUL → [H]NEW. Ferdi Kadioglu (3.5m) is the low-owned Brighton alternative. James Tarkowski (3.5m) is a one-round buy at 70k against Coventry City.

Should I sell Joao Pedro before Premier Manager Runde 10?

Yes. Joao Pedro is out until 21 November, so he scores nothing in Runde 10. Even on his return he projects only 57k → 71k → 81k, below Cole Palmer at almost the same price.

Best differentials for Premier Manager Runde 10?

Diego Gomez (3.7m, 3.8% owned) projects 244k over the next three rounds, the best of Brighton's midfielders. Eberechi Eze (1.1% owned) projects 108k against Hull City as a one-round pick, and Luka Vuskovic (3.4% owned) is the Brighton defender few managers have.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.