Premier Manager Runde 9: captain picks and best buys

Premier Manager Runde 9 preview: best buys, captain picks and who to sell

Premier Manager Runde 9 starts on Saturday 31 October with Chelsea hosting Manchester United at 13:30 and ends on Monday 2 November with Newcastle United against Everton. All twenty clubs play once, so there are no blanks to plan around. The transfers happen this round, but the reasons for them sit in Runde 10 and 11: Manchester City have the best attacking run in the game, Arsenal have the best defensive run with their best fixture one round away, and Tottenham Hotspur and AFC Bournemouth offer the cheapest programs worth owning.

The short version: Erling Haaland (15.6m, MCI) is the captain for this round and for the two after it, on a [H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL program. Most managers already own him, so rank is won in the cheaper spots: a Tottenham Hotspur forward who leads the game on points per million, a AFC Bournemouth pair with three decent fixtures in a row, and a Brighton & Hove Albion midfielder whose good run starts in Runde 10. Compare every option on the Premier Manager player picks page.

Runde 9 programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning

The table ranks every club by expected goals over Runde 9-11, with this round's fixture first. The three right-hand columns are the reason to buy; the first four only tell you when the buy starts paying.

Team	Runde 9 fixture	Win probability	Expected goals	Clean sheet	Program (Runde 9-11)	3-round xG	3-round CS
Manchester City	[H]BHA	57%	2.12	29%	[H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL	6.29	0.98
Arsenal	[A]LIV	42%	1.55	27%	[A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW	5.98	1.31
Chelsea	[H]MUN	52%	1.97	27%	[H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE	5.47	0.88
Brighton & Hove Albion	[A]MCI	21%	1.24	12%	[A]MCI → [H]BRE → [A]HUL	5.07	0.79
Tottenham Hotspur	[H]CRY	58%	2.01	34%	[H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS	5.02	0.97
Liverpool	[H]ARS	31%	1.29	21%	[H]ARS → [A]CRY → [H]MUN	4.95	0.77
AFC Bournemouth	[H]LEE	44%	1.53	30%	[H]LEE → [A]IPS → [H]NFO	4.89	0.89
Brentford	[H]NFO	47%	1.67	30%	[H]NFO → [A]BHA → [H]EVE	4.58	0.80
Aston Villa	[H]FUL	46%	1.63	30%	[H]FUL → [A]MUN → [H]SUN	4.51	0.80
Manchester United	[A]CHE	24%	1.29	14%	[A]CHE → [H]AVL → [A]LIV	4.47	0.58
Everton	[A]NEW	31%	1.35	20%	[A]NEW → [H]COV → [A]BRE	4.12	0.79
Newcastle United	[H]EVE	43%	1.60	26%	[H]EVE → [A]FUL → [H]ARS	3.89	0.66
Crystal Palace	[A]TOT	19%	1.07	13%	[A]TOT → [H]LIV → [A]COV	3.77	0.58
Leeds United	[A]BOU	29%	1.20	22%	[A]BOU → [H]TOT → [A]CHE	3.72	0.69
Fulham	[A]AVL	28%	1.22	20%	[A]AVL → [H]NEW → [A]MCI	3.67	0.54
Sunderland	[A]COV	37%	1.37	27%	[A]COV → [H]CHE → [A]AVL	3.66	0.65
Ipswich Town	[A]HUL	36%	1.40	24%	[A]HUL → [H]BOU → [A]TOT	3.65	0.58
Nottingham Forest	[A]BRE	27%	1.21	19%	[A]BRE → [H]MCI → [A]BOU	3.56	0.55
Coventry City	[H]SUN	35%	1.30	26%	[H]SUN → [A]EVE → [H]CRY	3.53	0.67
Hull City	[H]IPS	37%	1.41	25%	[H]IPS → [A]ARS → [H]BHA	2.80	0.44

Manchester City top the table on [H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL with 6.29 expected goals, and this round carries the highest expected goals of anyone at 2.12 against Brighton & Hove Albion. The Nottingham Forest away game is the softest of the three, but the Fulham home game makes up for it. The first fixture that should worry a City owner is Runde 12 away at Arsenal, which is where a City block gets thinned, not now.

Arsenal are the defensive story: [A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW adds up to 1.31 expected clean sheets, the best run in the game by a distance (City are next at 0.98). The trip to Anfield is a 42% win probability with a 27% clean-sheet chance, which is a decent fixture, not one to avoid. The home game against Hull City in Runde 10 is the single best week any Arsenal player has in the window, and their clean-sheet chances stay between 34% and 44% through Runde 12-14.

Tottenham Hotspur have the highest win probability of the round (58%) and the best clean-sheet chance (34%) against Crystal Palace. [H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS dips in the middle at Leeds United, then recovers against Ipswich Town, for 5.02 expected goals over three. Chelsea sit third on [H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE at 5.47, and AFC Bournemouth have the flattest good run in the game on [H]LEE → [A]IPS → [H]NFO: no fixture in it is spectacular, all three are decent, which makes Bournemouth players holds rather than rotations.

Brighton & Hove Albion are the club to plan for rather than buy today. [A]MCI → [H]BRE → [A]HUL still totals 5.07 expected goals even with a 21% win probability at the Etihad, because the next two are good. That makes Brighton a Runde 10 move. Brentford are the opposite: [H]NFO → [A]BHA → [H]EVE is fine for three rounds, then Runde 12-14 bring Manchester United away, Arsenal at home and Manchester City at home. Hold your Brentford players for now and plan the exit for Runde 11.

At the bottom, Hull City have the weakest run in the game on [H]IPS → [A]ARS → [H]BHA with 2.80 expected goals and 0.44 expected clean sheets, and Manchester United ([A]CHE → [H]AVL → [A]LIV) and Crystal Palace ([A]TOT → [H]LIV → [A]COV) both sit at 0.58 expected clean sheets. Check kick-off times on the Premier Manager schedule and the bookmaker numbers behind these columns on the market probabilities page.

Best goalkeepers for Runde 9

David Raya (6.3m, ARS) is the keeper to own across the window: [A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW gives him 60k → 103k → 79k, 242k over three rounds and the most of any goalkeeper. The Liverpool week is the one to sit through, and 19.5% of managers already have him.

The round and the window disagree here. Antonin Kinsky (4.4m, TOT) projects the most points of any keeper this round with 70k against Crystal Palace, and at 16.0k per million he is the value option, but [H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS takes him to 189k over three. If you are buying one keeper and keeping him, buy the Arsenal one; if you need the cash elsewhere, the Tottenham keeper is the best cheap alternative.

Gianluigi Donnarumma (5.7m, MCI) sits between them on 65k → 69k → 78k (212k) with [H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL, and pairs naturally with a City defender for the same clean sheets. Two cheaper angles: Djordje Petrovic (4.7m, BOU) is owned by 0.4% and gets 183k from [H]LEE → [A]IPS → [H]NFO, while Christian Walton (3.0m, IPS) is a one-round play at 18.2k per million, 55k at Hull City, before [A]HUL → [H]BOU → [A]TOT drops him to 36k and 33k. If you take him, sell him again before Runde 10.

Best defenders for Runde 9

Gabriel (5.5m, ARS) has the best three-round total of any defender: 57k → 105k → 70k on [A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW, 231k in all. The 57k at Anfield is within 8k of the City defenders this round, so buying before the Hull game costs very little against waiting until after it. Only 9.7% of managers own him.

From Manchester City, Josko Gvardiol (5.4m, MCI) and Marc Guehi (5.3m, MCI) are almost identical: 65k → 61k → 84k and 65k → 61k → 82k on [H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL, each just over 205k across three rounds. The defender owned by 3.2% is the differential version of the same pick. Both drop to under 30k in Runde 12 at Arsenal, so think of them as a three-round hold.

Jan Paul van Hecke (3.8m, TOT) projects the most points of any defender this round with 67k and 88 expected minutes, and only 2.1% own him. [H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS gives 67k → 39k → 59k, so the Leeds week is the cost of owning him. At 17.7k per million this round and 166k over three, he is the cheapest route into Tottenham's two home clean-sheet chances.

For a cheaper slot, Maxence Lacroix (3.3m, CHE) has one of the flattest programs in the position: 57k → 51k → 46k on [H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE, 17.3k per million this round, and nothing to plan around. Josh Acheampong (2.7m, CHE) does the same job for less: 45k → 37k → 32k at 16.4k per million. Adrien Truffert (3.6m, BOU) is the hidden gem: 48k → 56k → 46k on [H]LEE → [A]IPS → [H]NFO, 86 expected minutes, 1.2% owned, and 68k in Runde 14 against Hull City.

The owned defender to keep is Maxim De Cuyper (3.6m, BHA). 38.2% of managers have him and he projects only 39k at City, but [A]MCI → [H]BRE → [A]HUL then gives him 71k and 87k.

Best midfielders for Runde 9

Cole Palmer (8.3m, CHE) is the best midfielder in the game this round and over the window: 118k → 110k → 106k on [H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE, 334k in total, 74k more than the next midfielder. He is Chelsea's penalty taker and has 2 goals and 3 assists in the league this season. 10.8% of managers own him, which makes him the most valuable premium move of the round.

Martin Ødegaard (5.6m, ARS) is second over three rounds with 260k on [A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW: 66k this round, then 117k against Hull City, the highest projection of any midfielder in Runde 10. He has produced 0.56 expected goal involvements per 90 minutes this season. If you are only making one Arsenal move, he and the Arsenal centre-back are the two that pay most.

Marcus Tavernier (5.2m, BOU) is the differential: 80k → 95k → 74k on [H]LEE → [A]IPS → [H]NFO, 249k over three, and 3.6% ownership. He is generating 0.64 expected goal involvements per 90 minutes with 4 league goals, so the projection has numbers behind it. His program stays good beyond the window too, with 105k against Hull City in Runde 14.

Here too the round and the window disagree. Kevin Schade (3.6m, BRE) projects 86k against Nottingham Forest, 20k more than the Arsenal midfielder this round, and at 23.5k per million he is among the best-value midfielders in the game. 36.8% own him, and on [H]NFO → [A]BHA → [H]EVE (86k → 48k → 66k) he is a hold through Runde 11. Over three rounds, though, the Arsenal midfielder has 60k more, so if you are choosing between them for a long stay, take the Arsenal one.

Diego Gomez (3.7m, BHA) is the buy to plan for: 42k at the Etihad, then 71k and 96k on [A]MCI → [H]BRE → [A]HUL, one of the steepest rises of any midfielder in the game. He is a Runde 10 buy, not a Runde 9 one. Pedro Neto (4.8m, CHE) is the steady cheap option on [H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE: 74k → 62k → 58k at 15.5k per million.

Best forwards for Runde 9

Erling Haaland (15.6m, MCI) is the highest projection in the game this round at 167k and keeps it up on [H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL: 167k → 139k → 156k, 463k over three rounds. He is City's penalty taker and has 8 league goals from 5.02 expected goals. 36.0% of managers own him; if you do not, this is the run to buy him for.

Dominic Solanke (4.3m, TOT) is the best-value forward in the game: 103k this round, 24.1k per million, and only 3.9% ownership. [H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS gives 103k → 52k → 79k (234k), so the Leeds week drops him, but the two home games carry the buy. He is projected for 69 minutes and takes Tottenham's penalties.

Evanilson (5.1m, BOU) has the third-best three-round total among forwards at 247k on [H]LEE → [A]IPS → [H]NFO: 80k → 95k → 73k, with 4 league assists already. He and the Bournemouth midfielder can both be owned, and the club's run is the kind you hold rather than rotate. The round and window disagree once more: the Tottenham forward out-scores him by 23k this round, the Bournemouth one is 13k ahead over three. On points per million, take the Tottenham forward; if you want the steadier floor, the Bournemouth forward.

Two owned forwards are clear holds. Joao Pedro (8.5m, CHE) (29.1% owned) projects 103k → 76k → 72k on [H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE, and Thiago Rodrigues (5.3m, BRE) (33.1%) projects 96k → 61k → 82k on [H]NFO → [A]BHA → [H]EVE. Keep the Brentford forward through Runde 11 and look again before the Manchester United, Arsenal and Manchester City run that follows.

Yoane Wissa (3.7m, NEW) is a two-round rotation: 73k → 60k on [H]EVE → [A]FUL → [H]ARS before 22k against Arsenal in Runde 11. He is Newcastle's penalty taker and 19.7k per million this round; buy him now and plan to sell him before Runde 11. Check minutes for every forward on the Premier Manager predicted lineups page before the deadline.

Captain picks for Runde 9

Erling Haaland (15.6m, MCI) is the captain, and it is not close. His 167k against Brighton & Hove Albion, the first game of [H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL, is 49k clear of anyone else this round, and doubled it is worth 334k. Next in line:

Cole Palmer (8.3m, CHE): 118k against Manchester United on [H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE, the best alternative, and the captain who keeps the most of that score across the next three rounds after the City striker.
Joao Pedro (8.5m, CHE) and Dominic Solanke (4.3m, TOT): both 103k this round, on [H]MUN → [A]SUN → [H]LEE and [H]CRY → [A]LEE → [H]IPS.

The plan does not change over the next two rounds. The City striker is still top in Runde 10 at 139k (ahead of 117k for the Arsenal midfielder and 110k for the Chelsea one) and again in Runde 11 at 156k (ahead of 106k for the Chelsea midfielder). One premium covers all three captaincies, which is the strongest argument for owning him. More on the method in our guide to how to pick a fantasy captain.

Who to sell before Runde 9

Patrick Dorgu (4.6m, MUN) is the clearest sale. He is injured with a projected return of 22 November, projects -5k in both Runde 9 and Runde 10, and 9.6% of managers still own him. Nothing in [A]CHE → [H]AVL → [A]LIV brings him back in time, so the 4.6m does more elsewhere from this round on.

Bruno Fernandes (7.7m, MUN) is the premium to move, and this is the round to do it. The home game against Aston Villa in Runde 10 is a good week for him at 89k, but [A]CHE → [H]AVL → [A]LIV adds up to 190k, and Chelsea's penalty taker costs 0.6m more for 334k over the same three rounds. His weakest week of the three is this one, at 47k, while the Chelsea run starts now. 21.1% own him.

Harry Wilson (3.1m, LEE) (9.2% owned) and Cristhian Mosquera (3.2m, ARS) (8.6%) are projected for 23 and 13 minutes. Their programs ([A]BOU → [H]TOT → [A]CHE and [A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW) do not fix that: 18k → 23k → 21k and 4k → 20k → 12k. Either slot is better spent on the Chelsea defender at 2.7m.

Alexander Isak (8.0m, LIV) (12.6% owned) is the one you can wait a round on. [H]ARS → [A]CRY → [H]MUN gives 56k → 80k → 71k; the trip to Crystal Palace is a decent week, so there is no rush. But over three rounds the Bournemouth forward has 40k more for 2.9m less, and the Arsenal home game this round is the lowest point of his window.

Do not sell into a bad week: the Brighton defender at City, and the Arsenal players owned for the Hull game (Kai Havertz (6.1m, ARS) and Riccardo Calafiori (4.8m, ARS), projected for only 33 and 30 minutes this round but 93k and 72k on [A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW in Runde 10), are holds until the Hull game has been played.

Runde 9 transfer summary

Captain: Erling Haaland, this round and the next two.
Premium buy: Cole Palmer, funded by selling Bruno Fernandes.
Cheap buys: Dominic Solanke, Jan Paul van Hecke, Maxence Lacroix and Josh Acheampong.
Differentials: Marcus Tavernier, Evanilson, Adrien Truffert and Djordje Petrovic.
Plan for Runde 10: Diego Gomez, plus Gabriel and Martin Ødegaard for the Hull game if they are not already in.
Sell: Patrick Dorgu, Bruno Fernandes, Harry Wilson and Cristhian Mosquera; Alexander Isak can wait a round.

See how these fit together in a full squad on the optimal teams for Premier Manager, catch up on last round in our Premier Manager Runde 8 preview, and find every round in the Premier Manager preview hub.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Premier Manager Runde 9?

Erling Haaland is the captain. He projects 167k against Brighton & Hove Albion, 49k more than anyone else this round, and he also tops the captain list in Runde 10 (139k) and Runde 11 (156k). Cole Palmer at 118k is the best alternative.

Who are the best budget buys for Premier Manager Runde 9?

Dominic Solanke (4.3m) is the best-value forward in the game at 103k this round and 234k over three. Kevin Schade (3.6m) projects 86k, Maxence Lacroix (3.3m) has a flat 57k → 51k → 46k program, and Josh Acheampong (2.7m) is the cheapest reliable defender.

Should I sell Bruno Fernandes before Premier Manager Runde 9?

Yes. Bruno Fernandes projects 47k this round and 190k over the next three, while Cole Palmer projects 334k over the same rounds for 0.6m more. This round is his weakest week of the three, which makes it the best time to switch.

What are the best differentials for Premier Manager Runde 9?

Marcus Tavernier (3.6% owned) projects 249k over three rounds, Jan Paul van Hecke (2.1%) projects the most points of any defender this round at 67k, and Djordje Petrovic (0.4%) gets 183k from [H]LEE → [A]IPS → [H]NFO.

Which teams have the best fixtures from Premier Manager Runde 9?

Manchester City have the best attacking run with [H]BHA → [A]NFO → [H]FUL at 6.29 expected goals. Arsenal have the best defensive run with 1.31 expected clean sheets on [A]LIV → [H]HUL → [A]NEW. Hull City have the weakest program in the game.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.