Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 7: best buys and captains
Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 7 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Fantasy Voetball returns after the international break with a full nine-fixture Gameweek 7, and this is a round where the transfer you make matters more than the fixture you are looking at. Three of the four heaviest home favourites in the league play on the same weekend, but the three-round programs behind those fixtures point in very different directions. One of them collapses immediately, one is the best run in the competition, and the gap between the two is what decides whether a transfer made now is still paying in October.
All numbers below come from our model’s current run for this round and the two after it. You can sort the full pool yourself on Fantasy Voetball player picks, and the round-by-round fixture list is on the Fantasy Voetball schedule.
Gameweek 7 programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning
The unit that matters is the three-round program, not the single fixture. PSV Eindhoven carry the strongest run in the game at 8.21 expected goals across Gameweeks 7 to 9 – and they do it despite the hardest of the three landing first, away at FC Twente. That is the point: their program is [A]TWE → [H]HEE → [A]HAA, the two fixtures behind the awkward one are as soft as anything in the league, and buying a PSV asset now rather than in Gameweek 8 means owning the run from the start instead of paying for it after everyone else has noticed.
Feyenoord are the other side of that coin and the best short-term buy in the round. They host FC Utrecht at a 75.9% win probability with 2.90 expected goals, top the three-round clean-sheet column at 0.91 expected shutouts from three, and their program [H]UTR → [H]AZ → [A]TEL keeps two of the three at home. Ajax sit just behind on 6.59 expected goals with [H]EXC → [H]NEC → [A]GRO.
AZ Alkmaar are the trap. Telstar at home is the best single fixture any side has this week on clean-sheet odds (37.1%), but [A]FEY and [A]CAM follow, and their three-round expected goals fall to 5.97 – fifth. An AZ asset bought this week is a one-round buy and should be sold as one. NEC Nijmegen are the quiet side worth a look: 6.31 expected goals over three, fourth in the league, on a program of [H]GAE → [A]AJX → [H]SIT that nobody is talking about.
Every fixture below is taken from this round’s current fixture set – all eighteen clubs play in Gameweek 7, so there are no blanks to plan around. Win probabilities are also on the Fantasy Voetball market probabilities page.
| Team | Gameweek 7 | Win % | xG | CS % | Program (GW7-9) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | [A]TWE | 43.9% | 2.07 | 16.2% | [A]TWE → [H]HEE → [A]HAA | 8.21 | 0.84 |
| Feyenoord | [H]UTR | 75.9% | 2.90 | 37.2% | [H]UTR → [H]AZ → [A]TEL | 6.94 | 0.91 |
| Ajax | [H]EXC | 75.1% | 2.87 | 36.5% | [H]EXC → [H]NEC → [A]GRO | 6.59 | 0.82 |
| NEC Nijmegen | [H]GAE | 52.9% | 2.21 | 21.9% | [H]GAE → [A]AJX → [H]SIT | 6.31 | 0.67 |
| AZ Alkmaar | [H]TEL | 75.8% | 2.90 | 37.1% | [H]TEL → [A]FEY → [A]CAM | 5.97 | 0.78 |
| FC Twente | [H]PSV | 34.1% | 1.82 | 12.6% | [H]PSV → [A]SIT → [H]UTR | 5.63 | 0.68 |
| FC Groningen | [H]ZWO | 58.2% | 2.18 | 29.1% | [H]ZWO → [A]EXC → [H]AJX | 5.04 | 0.68 |
| PEC Zwolle | [A]GRO | 20.2% | 1.23 | 11.3% | [A]GRO → [H]CAM → [H]GAE | 5.01 | 0.56 |
| SC Heerenveen | [A]SPA | 36.8% | 1.61 | 19.3% | [A]SPA → [A]PSV → [H]EXC | 4.88 | 0.50 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | [A]NEC | 25.5% | 1.52 | 10.9% | [A]NEC → [H]SPA → [A]ZWO | 4.88 | 0.52 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | [H]HEE | 38.4% | 1.64 | 20.0% | [H]HEE → [A]GAE → [H]WII | 4.72 | 0.69 |
| Telstar | [A]AZ | 9.5% | 0.99 | 5.5% | [A]AZ → [H]HAA → [H]FEY | 4.68 | 0.53 |
| FC Utrecht | [A]FEY | 9.4% | 0.99 | 5.5% | [A]FEY → [H]WII → [A]TWE | 4.66 | 0.57 |
| ADO Den Haag | [H]CAM | 53.4% | 2.08 | 25.9% | [H]CAM → [A]TEL → [H]PSV | 4.12 | 0.41 |
| Cambuur | [A]HAA | 24.0% | 1.35 | 12.6% | [A]HAA → [A]ZWO → [H]AZ | 4.09 | 0.44 |
| Excelsior | [A]AJX | 9.9% | 1.01 | 5.7% | [A]AJX → [H]GRO → [A]HEE | 3.98 | 0.42 |
| Fortuna Sittard | [A]WII | 36.1% | 1.56 | 19.6% | [A]WII → [H]TWE → [A]NEC | 3.94 | 0.43 |
| Willem II | [H]SIT | 38.8% | 1.63 | 20.9% | [H]SIT → [A]UTR → [A]SPA | 3.72 | 0.48 |
Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 7
Maarten Paes (4.9m, AJX) is the pick of the round at 3.90 projected, and the case is the whole program rather than the Excelsior game: [H]EXC → [H]NEC → [A]GRO returns 10.80 over three rounds, Ajax carry 0.82 expected clean sheets across it, and at 0.80 points per million he is the cheapest route into that run. Under 1% of managers own him, which makes him the rare pick that is both the safe option and the differential.
Matej Kovar (5.5m, PSV) is the horizon play. He projects only 3.10 at FC Twente, the weakest of his three, but the trajectory is 3.10 → 3.70 → 4.00 and PSV’s 0.84 expected clean sheets over the window is second only to Feyenoord. If you are buying a keeper to keep, buy the rising one; if you are buying for this week alone, Paes out-scores him by 0.80.
Tjark Ernst (5.4m, FEY) is the premium version at 3.80 with the best clean-sheet odds in the round, on [H]UTR → [H]AZ → [A]TEL. Ronald Koeman (4.6m, TEL) is worth a note rather than a buy: he has the highest three-round total of any keeper at 11.20, helped by a 0.99 penalty share in our model, but Gameweek 7 sends Telstar to AZ Alkmaar at a 5.5% clean-sheet chance. You can wait a round on that one – his program turns in Gameweek 8, not this week.
Best defenders for Gameweek 7
Givairo Read (6.6m, FEY) is the top defender in the round at 5.00 and joint-top over three at 12.70, on [H]UTR → [H]AZ → [A]TEL. He is the one defender whose single-round and three-round rankings agree, which is why he is the cleanest buy at the position rather than the cleverest.
Mauro Junior (7.0m, PSV) matches that 12.70 total from the other direction: 3.20 → 4.90 → 4.60, rising as PSV’s program opens up, and he carries the highest decay-weighted score of any defender in the game. If the two rankings disagree for you – Read wins this week, Mauro Junior wins the month – buy the one you intend to hold. Sergino Dest (6.9m, PSV) is the same bet at 12.60 over three and under a quarter of Mauro Junior’s ownership.
For value, Mika Mármol (5.5m, FEY) at 4.60 and 0.84 points per million is the cheapest way into the best clean-sheet program in the league, and Tsuyoshi Watanabe (6.0m, FEY) is the same fixture run at 3.2% ownership with 11.50 over three. Keep the three-per-club cap in mind when stacking Feyenoord – a keeper and two defenders from one side is the maximum, and it is a legitimate way to double up on the same shutout.
Elijah Dijkstra (5.1m, AZ) deserves the honest version: 4.90 this week at 0.96 points per million is the best value in the position, and then his program hands him [A]FEY and he falls to 2.10 before a 3.40 at Cambuur. Buy him for the Telstar game if you want the ceiling, but write the sell-again round in now – it is Gameweek 8.
Best midfielders for Gameweek 7
Guus Til (11.9m, PSV) is the best asset in the game over the next three rounds and it is not close: 5.10 → 7.20 → 6.40 for 18.70 total, on [A]TWE → [H]HEE → [A]HAA. He is the most expensive midfielder in the pool and his points per million this week is only 0.43, so he is a poor Gameweek 7 purchase and an excellent Gameweek 7-to-9 one. Only 8.2% of managers own him, which is remarkable for the highest-projected player in the competition over any window longer than a week.
Anis Hadj Moussa (11.0m, FEY) is the highest-projected player in Gameweek 7 itself at 6.80, with 17.10 over three on [H]UTR → [H]AZ → [A]TEL and a 0.73 penalty share. At 4.4% ownership he is both the captain pick and a genuine differential. Steven Berghuis (7.9m, AJX) is the value premium: 6.10 this week, 15.70 over three on [H]EXC → [H]NEC → [A]GRO, and 3.9% owned.
Julian Brandt (9.6m, AJX) projects 6.20 against Excelsior and 15.20 over the window, and Tjaronn Chery (8.1m, NEC) is the underrated one at 15.10 over three with a 0.90 penalty share on [H]GAE → [A]AJX → [H]SIT – his best round of the three is Gameweek 9, not this one, so he is a buy that pays later rather than immediately.
Budget: Juho Kilo (5.4m, HAA) shares the best points-per-million figure among midfielders at 0.98 with 5.30 against Cambuur, and David van der Werff (6.0m, GRO) is the better hold at 0.92 and 12.50 over three on [H]ZWO → [A]EXC → [H]AJX. Kilo’s program turns hard after this week ([A]TEL → [H]PSV), so treat him as a one-round rotation play and van der Werff as the keeper.
Best forwards for Gameweek 7
Wout Weghorst (8.5m, TWE) is the forward to own for the window. He projects 5.60 this week hosting PSV Eindhoven and 16.40 over three on [H]PSV → [A]SIT → [H]UTR – the most even program of any striker in the game, with no round below 5.20 and a full penalty share. He is second by 0.10 in the single-round table and first by 2.60 over three, and that disagreement is the whole argument for buying him rather than the man above him.
Thom van Bergen (7.9m, GRO) is the mid-priced pick at 5.50 and 13.80 over three on [H]ZWO → [A]EXC → [H]AJX, also on full penalty duty, with FC Groningen hosting PEC Zwolle at 58.2%. Koen Kostons (6.9m, ZWO) is the opposite shape – 3.40 now, then 5.10 and 5.00 as PEC Zwolle get [H]CAM and [H]GAE – a buy whose case is entirely in Gameweeks 8 and 9.
For value, Yannick Eduardo (5.9m, HAA) leads the position on points per million at 0.83 with 4.90 against Cambuur, and Devin Haen (5.5m, WII) projects 4.30 at home to Fortuna Sittard with a full penalty share. Both are one-round plays – each has a three-round total under 10.00 on [H]CAM → [A]TEL → [H]PSV and [H]SIT → [A]UTR → [A]SPA respectively – so take them for the fixture and move on.
Gameweek 7 captain picks
The captain doubles in Fantasy Voetball, so the choice is the highest realistic ceiling in the round.
- Anis Hadj Moussa – 6.80 projected, the highest of any player in Gameweek 7. Feyenoord host FC Utrecht at a 75.9% win probability and 2.90 expected goals, and he takes 73% of their penalties. He also captains well again in Gameweek 8 at home to AZ Alkmaar, which is the reason to buy him rather than rent him.
- Julian Brandt – 6.20 against Excelsior, the softest opponent in the round on our numbers (9.9% win probability for the visitors). The safest floor of the three.
- Steven Berghuis and Ro-Zangelo Daal – both 6.10, from the Ajax fixture and the AZ Alkmaar home game against Telstar respectively. Daal is the higher-variance option and his minutes are the most secure of the AZ midfield at 82 projected, but his program falls away fastest of any captain candidate here.
Looking one round further: the Gameweek 8 armband belongs to Guus Til on our current numbers at 7.20, with PSV Eindhoven at home to SC Heerenveen. That is worth knowing now, because it changes which premium is worth buying this week. Check the Fantasy Voetball predicted lineups before the deadline – a captain who is rested is a captain who scores nothing.
Hidden gems and differentials for Gameweek 7
Mitchell van Bergen (6.5m, SPA) is the standout: 0.5% ownership, 5.00 projected, 13.80 over three on [H]HEE → [A]GAE → [H]WII, and a full penalty share for Sparta Rotterdam. There is no other player in the pool at that ownership with that program.
Shiloh Zand (4.5m, SIT) is the cheapest real pick in the game – 4.40 projected at 0.98 points per million, 10.10 over three on [A]WII → [H]TWE → [A]NEC, owned by 0.8%. He is a squad-filler that projects like a starter. Sondre Ørjasæter (7.0m, TWE) is the other one, at 14.70 over three on the same even FC Twente program as Weghorst, [H]PSV → [A]SIT → [H]UTR, at 14.7% ownership.
Jacob Trenskow (8.5m, HEE) is worth flagging for the shape rather than for this week: 4.80 → 3.50 → 6.00 on [A]SPA → [A]PSV → [H]EXC, with his big round at home to Excelsior in Gameweek 9. And Tobias Storm (4.5m, NEC) at 3.40 is the cheapest defender with a real Gameweek 9 spike (3.90) on [H]GAE → [A]AJX → [H]SIT. The full low-ownership list is easiest to read on the player picks table, and the optimal teams for Fantasy Voetball page solves the squad live if you want the model’s own answer.
Who to sell before Gameweek 7
Mexx Meerdink (9.0m, AZ) is the sell, and this is the round to make it. Telstar at home is a genuinely good fixture and 5.70 is a respectable return – this is not a bad week for him. But [A]FEY and [A]CAM follow at 2.80 and 3.80, and with one free transfer a week the choice is moving now into a player whose good run starts this week, or spending next week’s transfer climbing out of a bad one. He is the most-owned forward in the game at 40.8%, so it is a rank move as much as a points move.
Toluwalase Arokodare (8.7m, AJX) is the clearer case. Ajax host the weakest side in the round and he still only projects 2.70, because the model has him at 40 projected minutes and a 0.72 chance of featuring. If that is the best-case fixture, the 1.90 and 1.70 that follow on [H]NEC → [A]GRO are what the rest of the window looks like. 28.3% of managers are holding him through it; move while the fixture list still flatters him.
Ruben van Bommel (9.3m, PSV) fails the same test from the opposite direction. PSV Eindhoven have the best three-round program in the league, [A]TWE → [H]HEE → [A]HAA, and he still does not clear 3.20 in any of the three rounds on 36 projected minutes and a starter factor of 0.27. Owning the right club through the wrong player is the most expensive mistake available this week – the same money in Guus Til or Mauro Junior buys the identical fixtures with the minutes attached, which is why this is a Gameweek 7 move rather than a Gameweek 8 one.
Mateo Chavez (5.4m, AZ) and Wouter Goes (5.5m, AZ) are the defensive version of the Meerdink argument: 4.00 and 4.10 this week, then 1.60 and 1.70 in Gameweek 8 as AZ Alkmaar travel to Feyenoord. If you are only making one transfer, make it the attacker; if you are making two, this is the second.
For last week’s numbers and how the picture has moved since, see the Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 6 preview, and every round we have covered is indexed in the Fantasy Voetball preview hub.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 7?
Anis Hadj Moussa is the captain pick at 6.80 projected, the highest of any player in the round. Feyenoord host FC Utrecht at a 75.9% win probability with 2.90 expected goals, and he takes 73% of their penalties. Julian Brandt at 6.20 against Excelsior is the safer floor, and Steven Berghuis at 6.10 is the cheapest route into the same Ajax fixture.
Which budget defenders are best for Gameweek 7?
Mika Mármol at 5.5m is the best combination of price and program – 4.60 projected, 0.84 points per million, and Feyenoord’s league-leading 0.91 expected clean sheets over Gameweeks 7 to 9. Elijah Dijkstra at 5.1m posts the higher single-round score (4.90) but his program collapses immediately, so treat him as a one-round buy. Tobias Storm at 4.5m is the cheapest option with a real spike later in the window.
Should I sell Mexx Meerdink before Gameweek 7?
Yes, and Gameweek 7 is the round to do it. AZ Alkmaar host Telstar and he projects 5.70, so this is not a bad week – but his next two are [A]FEY and [A]CAM at 2.80 and 3.80, and with one free transfer a week, selling into the good fixture beats selling out of a bad one. He is 40.8% owned, which makes it a rank decision as well as a points one.
Best differentials for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 7?
Mitchell van Bergen (6.5m, 0.5% owned) is the standout at 5.00 projected and 13.80 over three rounds with a full penalty share. Maarten Paes (4.9m, 0.9%) is the top-projected goalkeeper in the round. Shiloh Zand (4.5m, 0.8%) is the cheapest pick in the game that projects like a starter, and Steven Berghuis (7.9m, 3.9%) is a premium at differential ownership.
Who has the best fixtures in Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 7?
Feyenoord, AZ Alkmaar and Ajax are the three heaviest home favourites this week, at 75.9%, 75.8% and 75.1% win probability. Over the next three rounds the answer changes: PSV Eindhoven lead on 8.21 expected goals despite a tough opener at FC Twente, and Feyenoord lead the clean-sheet column at 0.91 expected shutouts. AZ Alkmaar drop to fifth once their trips to Feyenoord and Cambuur are counted.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.