Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10: best buys and captains

Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10 opens with PSV - Feyenoord, and that headline match is the least important thing about the round for your transfers. What matters is what follows. PSV host Willem II and then visit Cambuur, giving them the best three-gameweek run in the Eredivisie. Feyenoord's run turns the moment they leave Eindhoven. Ajax have the safest single fixture of the week at Sparta. This preview ranks every pick on its Gameweek 10-12 program, uses Gameweek 10 to decide when to make the move, and names the popular players worth selling while their fixture is still decent.

The numbers below are the model's projected points for each player and match. You can find the full ranking on our Fantasy Voetball player picks page, and last week's calls are in the Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 9 preview.

Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10 programs: whose next three gameweeks are worth owning

PSV's [H]FEY → [H]WII → [A]CAM is the best run in the game by a distance: 8.19 expected goals over three gameweeks, more than two goals clear of second-placed Feyenoord (6.14), and 0.94 expected clean sheets. Gameweek 10 is the hardest of the three, with a 48% win probability and a 23% clean-sheet chance against Feyenoord. That makes Gameweek 10 the right time to buy PSV players, before the two easy games, rather than a reason to wait.

Feyenoord's [A]PSV → [H]SIT → [A]HEE is a two-gameweek play. Sittard at home is the fixture, and PSV away is the price you pay for it. Utrecht ([H]ZWO → [A]TEL → [H]NEC, 5.91 xG) and Ajax ([A]SPA → [H]AZ → [A]TWE, 5.63 xG) are next. Ajax lead the gameweek for clean sheets at 30% in Rotterdam, and Utrecht have a 58% win probability against Zwolle. Go Ahead Eagles host Telstar with a 62% win probability, but then go to Cambuur and Excelsior, so their Gameweek 10 numbers flatter their program.

Sparta Rotterdam (3.84 xG), Fortuna Sittard (3.99), Willem II (4.10) and ADO Den Haag (4.11) have the weakest three-gameweek attacks. All 18 clubs play once in Gameweek 10, so nobody blanks. Check the full Fantasy Voetball schedule and the market probabilities behind these numbers.

TeamGW10 fixtureWin probabilityExpected goalsClean sheetProgram GW10-123-round xG3-round CS
PSV Eindhoven[H]FEY48%1.9723%[H]FEY → [H]WII → [A]CAM8.190.94
Feyenoord[A]PSV28%1.4714%[A]PSV → [H]SIT → [A]HEE6.140.79
FC Utrecht[H]ZWO58%2.2627%[H]ZWO → [A]TEL → [H]NEC5.910.65
Ajax[A]SPA64%2.4630%[A]SPA → [H]AZ → [A]TWE5.630.71
AZ Alkmaar[H]TWE45%1.9919%[H]TWE → [A]AJX → [H]GRO5.410.70
Go Ahead Eagles[H]TEL62%2.4029%[H]TEL → [A]CAM → [A]EXC5.340.59
SC Heerenveen[A]HAA46%2.0618%[A]HAA → [H]NEC → [H]FEY5.340.49
NEC Nijmegen[H]GRO45%1.8722%[H]GRO → [A]HEE → [A]UTR5.310.52
FC Twente[A]AZ32%1.6514%[A]AZ → [A]EXC → [H]AJX5.250.62
Excelsior[A]SIT41%1.6623%[A]SIT → [H]TWE → [H]GAE5.050.63

The table is sorted by 3-round xG. The 3-round CS column counts expected clean sheets over three games, so it is not a percentage.

Best goalkeepers for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10

Marc-Andre ter Stegen (5.6m, AJX) is the top keeper on both horizons. His program is [A]SPA → [H]AZ → [A]TWE, and he projects 4.0 → 4.2 → 3.4, or 11.6 points over three gameweeks. Ajax's 30% clean-sheet chance at Sparta is the best of the round, and the Twente trip in Gameweek 12 is the only weak spot. 24.4% of managers own him.

Ronald Koeman (4.7m, TEL) is the keeper to hold rather than sell. Telstar's [A]GAE → [H]UTR → [A]SIT looks poor for clean sheets, but he projects 3.0 → 4.1 → 4.0 (11.1 in total), which is second among keepers. His Gameweek 12 total of 4.0 is the best of any keeper that week. 44.6% own him, and this is not the week to move him.

For a cheaper option, Vasilios Barkas (4.9m, UTR) gets a 27% clean-sheet chance against Zwolle, and his program is [H]ZWO → [A]TEL → [H]NEC. He projects 3.9 → 3.4 → 3.4 and only 8.1% own him. Kjetil Haug (4.5m, GAE) has the best points per million of any keeper this week at 0.87. His program, [H]TEL → [A]CAM → [A]EXC, falls from 3.9 to 3.3 and 3.2, so he is a cheap Gameweek 10 pick rather than a long hold.

Best defenders for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10

Sergino Dest (7.0m, PSV) and Mauro Junior (7.0m, PSV) are the two best defenders over three gameweeks. On PSV's [H]FEY → [H]WII → [A]CAM, Dest projects 3.8 → 5.5 → 4.4 (13.7) and Mauro Junior 3.8 → 5.1 → 4.5 (13.4). After Gameweek 12, PSV visit NEC, host Go Ahead Eagles and go to AZ, so this is a run you can buy and keep. Mauro Junior is the template pick at 34.2% ownership, and Dest (27.2%) is just ahead on the numbers. Fantasy Voetball allows three players per club, so a PSV defender usually means fewer PSV midfielders. Plan that before you double up.

Arthur Zagre (4.8m, UTR) is the best budget defender and the top-projected defender of Gameweek 10 at 4.6 points. His program is [H]ZWO → [A]TEL → [H]NEC. That gives him 0.96 points per million, the best of any defender. The projection falls to 3.4 in each of the next two gameweeks, but 11.4 over three is still fourth among all defenders. His teammate Siebe Horemans (4.9m, UTR) is the differential version, with 4.2 → 3.0 → 3.3 on the same program at just 0.8% ownership.

Givairo Read (6.8m, FEY) is the defender to buy for Gameweek 11, not Gameweek 10. Feyenoord's [A]PSV → [H]SIT → [A]HEE gives him 2.7 → 5.5 → 3.7, so his 5.5 against Sittard ties Dest for the best defender score of Gameweek 11. If you have a spare transfer next week, he is the target. Feyenoord have allowed only 0.92 expected goals per game since August. Elijah Dijkstra (5.1m, AZ) is the cheaper long hold, with 3.6 → 2.9 → 4.4 on [H]TWE → [A]AJX → [H]GRO.

Best midfielders for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10

Guus Til (11.8m, PSV) is the best player in the game over the next three gameweeks: 4.9 → 7.3 → 6.3, or 18.5 points on [H]FEY → [H]WII → [A]CAM. That is almost two points clear of anyone else. His 7.3 against Willem II is the highest single-gameweek projection anywhere in the game. He has 0.57 expected goal involvements per 90 minutes in his last seven matches, and only 9.6% of managers own him. That makes him the premium differential of this window. Buy him now, because the Willem II game comes next.

Anis Hadj Moussa (11.1m, FEY) is the other premium, with 4.3 → 6.7 → 5.6 (16.6) on [A]PSV → [H]SIT → [A]HEE and 0.58 xGI/90 in his last eight matches. Like Read, his best game is Gameweek 11 and Feyenoord's run continues with [H]EXC → [H]AJX → [A]WII. He is 6.4% owned. If you already have Gjivai Zechiel (8.7m, FEY), the most-owned player in the game at 55.9%, keep him. He projects 3.7 → 6.4 → 4.2 on the same [A]PSV → [H]SIT → [A]HEE run.

Jacob Trenskow (8.5m, HEE) is the mid-price pick. His program is [A]HAA → [H]NEC → [H]FEY, he projects 5.3 → 4.9 → 4.0 (14.2), and he has created 2.14 expected assists in his last eight matches. Irakli Yegoian (6.3m, EXC) is a steadier option at a lower price: 4.7 → 3.9 → 5.0 (13.6) on [A]SIT → [H]TWE → [H]GAE.

The budget midfielder is Rafik el Arguioui (4.7m, CAM), at 0.96 points per million in Gameweek 10, the best of any midfielder. On [A]WII → [H]GAE → [H]PSV he projects 4.5 → 5.2 → 3.1. He has played every minute of his last eight matches with 0.53 xGI/90, so his minutes look safe. The PSV game in Gameweek 12 is the one to plan around. For a real differential, Juho Kilo (5.3m, HAA) projects 4.2 → 3.3 → 3.8 on [H]HEE → [A]ZWO → [H]SPA at 0.6% ownership.

Gameweek 10 and the three-gameweek view disagree here. Mathis Suray (Go Ahead Eagles) projects 5.4 against Telstar, more than Til's 4.9. But he drops to 3.8 and 3.4 on the trips to Cambuur and Excelsior, and his 12.6 total is six points behind Til. If you are buying a midfielder to keep, buy Til.

Best forwards for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10

Wout Weghorst (8.5m, TWE) is the forward to own. His program is [A]AZ → [A]EXC → [H]AJX, and he projects 4.6 → 5.0 → 5.0 (14.6). That is the best three-gameweek total of any forward, and the Ajax home game in Gameweek 12 is one of his best weeks, not a reason to sell. He has 5.33 xG in his last eight matches (0.88 xGI/90), and Twente's [H]WII → [A]NEC → [A]GAE follows. 18.9% own him.

Thom van Bergen (8.0m, GRO) is a hold for his 37.2% of owners. On [A]NEC → [H]SPA → [A]AZ he projects 4.5 → 5.5 → 3.3. His 5.5 against Sparta is the best forward score of Gameweek 11.

Cheaper forwards: Dylan Vente (6.8m, HEE) projects 4.3 → 4.1 → 3.1 on [A]HAA → [H]NEC → [H]FEY at 5.4% ownership. David Garden (5.0m, EXC) matches Vente's 11.5 three-gameweek total for 1.8m less, with 4.0 → 3.1 → 4.4 on [A]SIT → [H]TWE → [H]GAE. He has 3.04 xG in his last eight matches and is 2.6% owned. Victor Edvardsen is the top-projected forward of Gameweek 10 at 4.9 against Telstar. Like his Go Ahead Eagles teammates, though, he falls away after that (10.9 over three), so Garden or Vente is the better buy.

Check who is expected to start on our Fantasy Voetball predicted lineups before the deadline, especially for Ajax's forwards, where the model has a minutes doubt (see below).

Best captain for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10

Julian Brandt (9.7m, AJX) is the captain. His 5.6 at Sparta is the highest projection of Gameweek 10, so a captain double gives about 11.2 points. Ajax have a 64% win probability and 2.46 expected goals, both the best of the round, and Brandt has 0.54 xGI/90 in his last eight matches. His program, [A]SPA → [H]AZ → [A]TWE, cools to 4.5 and 3.5, so he is a captain for this week only.

The alternatives are Mathis Suray (5.4 against Telstar) and Jacob Trenskow (5.3 at ADO Den Haag). Looking further ahead, Guus Til is the top captain option in both Gameweek 11 (7.3 against Willem II) and Gameweek 12 (6.3 at Cambuur). That is the strongest reason to get him in now: buying him this week sets up your captain for the next two.

Who to sell before Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10

Toluwalase Arokodare (8.8m, AJX) is the clearest sell, and this is the gameweek to do it. Sparta away is a good fixture and 4.6 is a decent projection, so this is not a bad week for him. But on [A]SPA → [H]AZ → [A]TWE he falls to 3.3 and then 2.5, and his starter factor of 0.73 for Gameweek 10 is a minutes risk. Weghorst projects the same 4.6 this week for 0.3m less, so swapping now costs you nothing in Gameweek 10 and gains about four points over the next two. 29.7% own Arokodare.

Mateo Chavez (5.6m, AZ) is a sell for most of his 32.7% of owners. AZ's [H]TWE → [A]AJX → [H]GRO is a fair run, but his teammate Dijkstra is 0.5m cheaper and outscores him in each of the next three gameweeks (3.6 to 2.9, 2.9 to 2.4, 4.4 to 3.7). Chavez's low point is Gameweek 11 at Ajax, so selling now catches the better of his two upcoming fixtures.

Luciano Valente (8.3m, FEY) projects 2.2 → 4.3 → 3.1 on [A]PSV → [H]SIT → [A]HEE, and his 0.56 starter factor for the PSV game is the reason to act now rather than after it. His 9.6 three-gameweek total is the lowest of the popular midfielders, behind cheaper players such as el Arguioui. 28.6% own him. If you have a transfer to spare, Hadj Moussa is the Feyenoord upgrade.

You can wait a gameweek on Søren Tengstedt (7.1m, GAE), who is 28.1% owned. His program is [H]TEL → [A]CAM → [A]EXC. Telstar at home gives him 5.0, the fourth-highest projection of the round. After that, the two away games drop him to 3.1 and 2.8, so plan to sell him next week rather than now.

Use the Fantasy Voetball optimal teams page to see how these moves fit a full squad, and browse every earlier article in the Fantasy Voetball preview hub.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10?

Julian Brandt. He projects 5.6 at Sparta, the highest score of Gameweek 10, and Ajax have the round's best win probability (64%). Mathis Suray (5.4) and Jacob Trenskow (5.3) are the alternatives. Guus Til is the best captain for Gameweeks 11 and 12.

Which team has the best fixtures in Fantasy Voetball for Gameweeks 10 to 12?

PSV. Their [H]FEY → [H]WII → [A]CAM run is worth 8.19 expected goals and 0.94 expected clean sheets, the best of all 18 clubs. Feyenoord (6.14 xG) and Utrecht (5.91 xG) are next.

Which budget defenders are best for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10?

Arthur Zagre (4.8m, Utrecht) is the top-projected defender of the week at 4.6 points and 0.96 points per million. Siebe Horemans (4.9m, Utrecht) is the low-ownership alternative on the same [H]ZWO → [A]TEL → [H]NEC program.

Should I sell Toluwalase Arokodare before Gameweek 10?

Yes. He projects 4.6 → 3.3 → 2.5 over the next three gameweeks and has a minutes doubt. Wout Weghorst matches his 4.6 this week for 0.3m less and projects 14.6 points over three gameweeks against Arokodare's 10.4.

Who are the best differentials for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 10?

Guus Til (9.6% owned) is the premium differential with 18.5 projected points over three gameweeks. Further down the price list, David Garden (5.0m, 2.6%), Siebe Horemans (4.9m, 0.8%) and Juho Kilo (5.3m, 0.6%) all project well over the next three gameweeks.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.