Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11: captain picks, best buys
Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11 opens on Friday night with Famalicao hosting Arouca. The deadline is 21:40 UTC. Every club plays once in Gameweek 11 and once in each of the next five Gameweeks, so there are no blanks to plan around. The question is whose run is worth owning. Two programs stand out. Benfica go [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional, three fixtures they are favoured to win. Sporting have the single best fixture of the week at home to Moreirense, but they visit Porto in Gameweek 12. That one fixture decides most of this week's transfers: which Sporting asset to keep, which Benfica asset to add, and when to make the move.
Most managers already own Vangelis Pavlidis (73.4%), Diogo Costa (63.9%), Jakub Kiwior (62.2%) and Gianluca Prestianni (60.8%). Owning them does not set you apart. The points that move you up the rankings come from the other ten spots, so most of this preview is about those. For the full projected-points table see the Fantasy Portugal player picks. Last week's reasoning is in the Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 preview.
Gameweek 11 programs: whose next three Gameweeks are worth owning
Benfica have the best three-Gameweek run in the game, with 6.94 expected goals and 1.36 expected clean sheets. Their Gameweek 11 trip to Estrela comes with a 68% win probability and a 44% clean-sheet chance. After that, Famalicao visit and Benfica go to Nacional, so there is no weak week in the run. The program gets harder from Gameweek 14 ([H]Braga), and Benfica host Sporting in Gameweek 16. Gameweeks 11 to 13 are the window to own them.
Sporting are level on clean sheets (1.36) and just behind on goals (6.79), but their run is uneven. Moreirense at home is the best fixture of the week: 81% to win, 2.75 expected goals, a 53% clean-sheet chance. Porto away follows, and every Sporting player's projection drops by around 40% that week. Marítimo then visit in Gameweek 13. If you already own Sporting players, keep them through Gameweek 12. If you don't, an extra Sporting asset bought now gets one great Gameweek and one poor one in its first two.
Braga ([A]Rio Ave → [A]Casa Pia → [H]Arouca, 5.06 xG, 1.26 CS) and Alverca ([H]Casa Pia → [A]Viseu → [H]Moreirense, 4.42 xG, 1.10 CS) make up the second tier. Both are cheap ways into a good fixture run. Porto have a harder run, [A]Vitoria → [H]Sporting → [A]Santa Clara, with only 4.17 expected goals. Their run eases from Gameweek 14 with [H]Estrela → [A]Famalicao → [H]Nacional. Santa Clara are a defence-only team: their 1.10 expected clean sheets are joint fifth-best in the game, but 2.99 expected goals is in the bottom third. The full fixture grid is on the Fantasy Portugal schedule.
| Team | Fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (GW11-13) | 3-Gameweek xG | 3-Gameweek CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | [A]Estrela | 68% | 2.19 | 44% | [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional | 6.94 | 1.36 |
| Sporting | [H]Moreirense | 81% | 2.75 | 53% | [H]Moreirense → [A]Porto → [H]Maritimo | 6.79 | 1.36 |
| Braga | [A]Rio Ave | 58% | 1.71 | 44% | [A]Rio Ave → [A]Casa Pia → [H]Arouca | 5.06 | 1.26 |
| Alverca | [H]Casa Pia | 50% | 1.53 | 39% | [H]Casa Pia → [A]Viseu → [H]Moreirense | 4.42 | 1.10 |
| Porto | [A]Vitoria | 51% | 1.52 | 40% | [A]Vitoria → [H]Sporting → [A]Santa Clara | 4.17 | 1.16 |
| Vitoria | [H]Porto | 21% | 0.90 | 22% | [H]Porto → [H]Estrela → [A]Estoril | 3.99 | 0.93 |
| Arouca | [A]Famalicao | 31% | 1.15 | 26% | [A]Famalicao → [H]Rio Ave → [A]Braga | 3.81 | 0.83 |
| Estoril | [H]Maritimo | 47% | 1.54 | 33% | [H]Maritimo → [A]Gil Vicente → [H]Vitoria | 3.76 | 0.78 |
| Famalicao | [H]Arouca | 40% | 1.34 | 32% | [H]Arouca → [A]Benfica → [H]Viseu | 3.74 | 0.84 |
| Gil Vicente | [A]Santa Clara | 27% | 0.84 | 34% | [A]Santa Clara → [H]Estoril → [A]Estrela | 3.55 | 1.04 |
| Nacional | [H]Viseu | 45% | 1.44 | 34% | [H]Viseu → [A]Maritimo → [H]Benfica | 3.32 | 0.70 |
| Maritimo | [A]Estoril | 26% | 1.10 | 21% | [A]Estoril → [H]Nacional → [A]Sporting | 3.00 | 0.61 |
| Rio Ave | [H]Braga | 17% | 0.82 | 18% | [H]Braga → [A]Arouca → [H]Casa Pia | 2.99 | 0.68 |
| Santa Clara | [H]Gil Vicente | 40% | 1.08 | 43% | [H]Gil Vicente → [A]Moreirense → [H]Porto | 2.99 | 1.09 |
| Viseu | [A]Nacional | 27% | 1.07 | 24% | [A]Nacional → [H]Alverca → [A]Famalicao | 2.97 | 0.67 |
| Casa Pia | [A]Alverca | 22% | 0.94 | 22% | [A]Alverca → [H]Braga → [A]Rio Ave | 2.92 | 0.71 |
| Estrela | [H]Benfica | 12% | 0.83 | 11% | [H]Benfica → [A]Vitoria → [H]Gil Vicente | 2.79 | 0.62 |
| Moreirense | [A]Sporting | 6% | 0.63 | 6% | [A]Sporting → [H]Santa Clara → [A]Alverca | 2.56 | 0.60 |
The bottom of the table explains the Benfica and Sporting numbers. Moreirense ([A]Sporting → [H]Santa Clara → [A]Alverca, 2.56 xG) and Estrela ([H]Benfica → [A]Vitoria → [H]Gil Vicente, 2.79 xG) have the two weakest attacks over the next three Gameweeks. Both face Benfica or Sporting this week.
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11 goalkeepers
Samuel Soares (5.5m, Benfica) is the highest-scoring goalkeeper over the next three Gameweeks: 4.5 → 4.6 → 4.5, a 13.6 total, with a program of [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional. His projection stays flat because Benfica are favoured in all three games. Only 6.2% of managers own him. The catch is the three-per-club cap: if you already have Pavlidis and Prestianni, Soares uses your last Benfica slot, and a defender scores more from that slot (see below).
Bernardo Fontes (5.0m, Braga, 12.8%) is the alternative that leaves your Benfica slots free: 4.4 → 4.4 → 4.3 with [A]Rio Ave → [A]Casa Pia → [H]Arouca. Matheus Mendes (4.0m, Alverca, 12.6%) is the value pick. He projects 4.3 this week, the best points per million of any goalkeeper at 1.08, and holds at 4.2 in each of the next two with [H]Casa Pia → [A]Viseu → [H]Moreirense.
Diogo Costa (63.9% owned) is a hold. Porto's [A]Vitoria → [H]Sporting → [A]Santa Clara has him at 4.2 → 3.8 → 4.4, and his projection rises to 4.6 in Gameweek 14. Selling him now and buying him back in three weeks costs two transfers to gain very little.
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11 defenders
Alexander Bah (6.0m, Benfica) is the best defender over three Gameweeks at 14.5 (4.9 → 4.6 → 5.0), with [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional. He also projects 0.13 assists per game from right-back. Samuel Dahl (6.1m, Benfica) is almost identical at 14.3 (4.8 → 4.6 → 4.9) on the same [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional. Bah is the differential at 5.8% ownership against Dahl's 13.6%. Clément Lenglet (6.0m, Benfica) projects 13.6 over the same program if you would rather own the centre-back.
Here this week's ranking and the three-Gameweek ranking disagree. Maximiliano Araujo (7.4m, Sporting) ties with Bah for top defender this week at 4.9. His program, [H]Moreirense → [A]Porto → [H]Maritimo, gives 4.9 → 2.6 → 5.6, a total of 13.1, 1.4 below Bah, and he costs 1.4m more. If you own Araujo (36.8% do), keep him: he is back to 5.6 in Gameweek 13. If you are buying a defender to hold, buy Bah. Iván Fresneda (6.0m, 3.8%) and Goncalo Inacio (6.3m) follow the same Sporting pattern, 12.7 each.
Isaac James (4.5m, Alverca) is the best cheap defender in the game: 4.4 → 3.8 → 4.2 with [H]Casa Pia → [A]Viseu → [H]Moreirense, a 12.4 total, and 0.98 points per million this week. Only 0.5% of managers own him. That 12.4 is more than Porto's Jakub Kiwior manages (11.3) at 1.8m less. Teammate Francisco Chissumba (4.5m, Alverca) projects 11.9 (4.3 → 3.6 → 4.0) on the same [H]Casa Pia → [A]Viseu → [H]Moreirense if you want a second Alverca defender.
Pedro Pacheco (4.5m, Santa Clara, 20.0%) starts strongly at 4.3 → 4.0 with [H]Gil Vicente → [A]Moreirense → [H]Porto, then drops to 3.4 when Porto visit in Gameweek 13. Treat him as a two-Gameweek defender, or keep him as a fifth defender who covers Gameweeks 11 and 12 and then drops to the bench. Tiago Esgaio (5.0m, Arouca) is a one-week option: 4.9 when Rio Ave visit in Gameweek 12, but 3.9 and 3.1 either side.
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11 midfielders
Gianluca Prestianni (8.7m, Benfica) has the highest score in the game over the next three Gameweeks: 5.5 → 5.2 → 5.9, a 16.6 total, with [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional. He also tops the six-Gameweek decay-weighted ranking at 18.9. He is 60.8% owned, so you probably have him already. If you don't, he is the first transfer to make.
Chiquinho (5.6m, Alverca) is the best-value midfielder in Fantasy Portugal right now. He projects 5.2 this week, more than every midfielder except Prestianni, and adds 4.6 and 4.7 with [H]Casa Pia → [A]Viseu → [H]Moreirense, for 14.5 over three. That is 0.93 points per million. He is Alverca's first-choice penalty taker, which raises his ceiling. Only 6.0% of managers own him. Lucas Figueiredo (5.5m, Alverca, 1.9%) plays alongside him and projects 4.8 → 4.2 → 4.6 on the same [H]Casa Pia → [A]Viseu → [H]Moreirense. Owning both, plus Isaac James, uses all three Alverca slots on the best-value attack in the league.
For a premium differential, Rafa Silva (9.8m, Benfica, 5.6%) projects 4.6 → 4.7 → 4.9 with [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional, and Ricardo Horta (9.9m, Braga, 6.8%) projects 4.9 → 4.4 → 4.8 with [A]Rio Ave → [A]Casa Pia → [H]Arouca. Their totals are close (14.2 and 14.1). Horta takes a club slot that is not Benfica, which matters if you already own Pavlidis and Prestianni.
Sorriso (7.0m, Famalicao) is the Famalicao midfielder, not the Santa Clara player with the same name. He is Famalicao's penalty taker and projects 4.8 → 3.4 → 5.4 with [H]Arouca → [A]Benfica → [H]Viseu. The dip in Gameweek 12 is the trip to Benfica. Owned by 12.2%, he makes most sense as a hold through that game rather than a quick in-and-out.
Geny Catamo (8.9m, Sporting) projects 5.1 against Moreirense, but 57 expected minutes and a 3.1 at Porto make him a one-week pick. Note one buy for later: Porto's Pepe (7.9m, 3.0% owned) jumps to 5.4 → 4.0 → 5.1 from Gameweek 14, once [H]Estrela → [A]Famalicao → [H]Nacional begins. Leave him for now and buy him from Gameweek 14.
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11 forwards
Vangelis Pavlidis (12.2m, Benfica) projects 5.6 → 5.5 → 5.2 with [A]Estrela → [H]Famalicao → [A]Nacional. He is the top forward and top scorer this week, Benfica's penalty taker, and projects 0.60 goals at Estrela. 73.4% of managers own him and none of them should sell.
Luis Suárez (12.7m, Sporting, 34.7%) shows the Sporting pattern at its sharpest: 4.6 → 2.9 → 5.9, with 47 expected minutes each week. If you own him, keep him: Gameweek 13 is his best week in the next six. If you don't, Gameweek 12 is the better time to buy, so he is in place for Marítimo without the Porto week.
Pau Victor (9.0m, Braga, 14.7%) is the next-best forward over three Gameweeks at 11.4 (4.0 → 3.8 → 3.6) with [A]Rio Ave → [A]Casa Pia → [H]Arouca. He is Braga's penalty taker. For a cheaper forward, Adrián Butzke (5.4m, Maritimo, 1.8%) is Marítimo's penalty taker and projects 3.4 → 3.7 with [A]Estoril → [H]Nacional → [A]Sporting. That makes him a two-Gameweek pick: sell before the Sporting game in Gameweek 13. Ivan Barbero (5.7m, Arouca, 13.9%), Arouca's penalty taker, has a similar profile with a later peak, 3.1 → 4.1 → 2.7 with [A]Famalicao → [H]Rio Ave → [A]Braga. Choose by which week you want the points.
Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11 captain picks
A captain scores double in Fantasy Portugal. Vangelis Pavlidis is the Gameweek 11 captain at 5.6 at Estrela, a 68% Benfica win with him on penalties. Gianluca Prestianni is close behind at 5.5 and is the obvious alternative. If you want a captaincy differential, Chiquinho projects 5.2 at home to Casa Pia with penalties included, and only 6.0% own him. Geny Catamo (5.1) has the fixture but not the minutes.
Looking ahead, Pavlidis is the top captain again in Gameweek 12 (5.5 against Famalicao). In Gameweek 13, Suárez and Prestianni tie at 5.9. So Benfica's attack gives you a strong captain every week through Gameweek 13, the best reason to own both Pavlidis and Prestianni. For a framework on choosing between close options, read our guide on how to pick your fantasy captain.
Who to sell before Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11
Sell Yanis Begraoui (7.3m, Estoril, 20.9% owned) now. Estoril's [H]Maritimo → [A]Gil Vicente → [H]Vitoria starts with a decent fixture: Marítimo at home, a 47% Estoril win with 1.54 expected goals. But he projects only 2.3 even there, because his 35 expected minutes are not a starter's. After that his projection falls, 2.1 at Gil Vicente and 1.8 in each of the next two. Selling now gets you the most from the transfer.
Sell Goncalo Paciencia (6.1m, Santa Clara, 40.4% owned). His program, [H]Gil Vicente → [A]Moreirense → [H]Porto, gives 2.4 → 2.5 → 2.3 on 54 expected minutes, and nothing in his next six Gameweeks goes above 2.9. Gil Vicente at home is a fair fixture. The reason to sell is that no better week is coming, and Porto visit in Gameweek 13. Pau Victor projects 4.2 more over the same three Gameweeks.
Sell Gabriel Veiga (8.5m, Porto, 31.4% owned), and the same goes for Victor Froholdt (8.5m, 26.1%). Vitoria away is a playable fixture with Porto at 51% to win. The problem is what comes next. The full program is [A]Vitoria → [H]Sporting → [A]Santa Clara: Sporting at home, then Santa Clara away. Veiga projects 3.1 → 2.8 → 3.1, a 9.0 total, and Froholdt 9.2. That is 8.5m returning less than Chiquinho's 14.5 at 5.6m. Sell now, and make Pepe your route back into Porto's midfield from Gameweek 14.
Best Loan Rangers team for Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11
Loan Rangers gives you unlimited transfers for one Gameweek and lifts the three-per-club limit. On Gameweek 11 projections alone, the best starting XI is:
- GK: Samuel Soares (5.5m, Benfica), 4.5
- DEF: Alexander Bah (6.0m, Benfica) 4.9, Maximiliano Araujo (7.4m, Sporting) 4.9, Samuel Dahl (6.1m, Benfica) 4.8, Clément Lenglet (6.0m, Benfica) 4.6
- MID: Gianluca Prestianni (8.7m, Benfica) 5.5, Chiquinho (5.6m, Alverca) 5.2, Geny Catamo (8.9m, Sporting) 5.1, Ricardo Horta (9.9m, Braga) 4.9, Lucas Figueiredo (5.5m, Alverca) 4.8
- FWD: Vangelis Pavlidis (12.2m, Benfica), 5.6, captain
- Bench: Matheus Mendes (4.0m, Alverca), Isaac James (4.5m, Alverca), Adrián Butzke (5.4m, Maritimo), Dawda Camara (5.0m, Alverca)
The starting XI projects 54.8 points, or 60.4 with Pavlidis's captain points. That is six Benfica players, which only Loan Rangers allows. Every club plays once in Gameweek 11, so this is not an unusually strong week for the chip, and most squads are better off saving it. For the exact solve against your own squad, use the Fantasy Portugal optimal teams page.
Before the deadline, check the Fantasy Portugal predicted lineups for Sporting's rotation in particular, and the market probabilities behind every number above. The fixture difficulty guide explains why we rank programs on expected goals rather than league position. Every round's analysis is in the Fantasy Portugal preview hub.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11?
Vangelis Pavlidis, at 5.6 projected points at Estrela, where Benfica are 68% to win and he takes the penalties. Gianluca Prestianni (5.5) is the alternative, and Chiquinho (5.2, 6.0% owned) is the differential captain.
Who are the best differentials for Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11?
Chiquinho (5.6m, 6.0% owned) projects 14.5 over Gameweeks 11-13 and is Alverca's penalty taker. Alexander Bah (6.0m, 5.8%) is the best defender over the same three Gameweeks at 14.5. Isaac James (4.5m, 0.5%) projects 12.4 for the minimum price.
Should I sell Goncalo Paciencia before Gameweek 11?
Yes. He projects 2.4 → 2.5 → 2.3 on 54 expected minutes, nothing in Santa Clara's next six Gameweeks goes above 2.9, and Porto visit in Gameweek 13. Pau Victor (9.0m) projects 4.2 more over the same three Gameweeks.
Which cheap defenders are best for Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11?
Isaac James (4.5m, Alverca) is the best at 4.4 this week and 12.4 over three Gameweeks, followed by Francisco Chissumba (4.5m, Alverca, 11.9) and Pedro Pacheco (4.5m, Santa Clara, 11.7). Pacheco drops to 3.4 when Porto visit in Gameweek 13.
Should I play Loan Rangers in Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 11?
Probably not. Every club plays exactly once, so the chip's best Gameweek 11 squad projects 60.4 points including the captain, without the double or blank fixtures that make the chip most valuable. Most squads gain more by saving it.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.