Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10: captain picks, best buys
Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 opens on Friday 30 October with Casa Pia AC against Sporting CP and closes on Monday 2 November with Benfica - Alverca and Gil Vicente - Vitoria de Guimaraes. All 18 Liga Portugal clubs play once, and every club also plays once in Gameweeks 11 and 12, so there are no blanks or doubles in the window. The transfer you make is for Gameweek 10, but the reason for it should come from Gameweeks 10 to 12.
Three things shape this decision. Sporting CP have the best attacking run in the league, but it ends with a trip to FC Porto in Gameweek 12. Benfica have almost as many expected goals, more expected clean sheets and a home game against Famalicao in that same week, which makes them the longest hold. FC Porto are the opposite: the Estoril home game is one of the best fixtures of the round, and their next two get much harder. Below we rank the programs, pick the buys in each position, plan the captaincy for the next four Gameweeks, build a Loan Rangers squad and flag who to sell. The full projections are on the Fantasy Portugal player picks page, and last round's analysis is in the Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 9 preview.
Gameweek 10 programs: whose next three Gameweeks are worth owning
Sporting CP's [A]Casa Pia AC → [H]Moreirense → [A]FC Porto is worth 6.65 expected goals over Gameweeks 10 to 12, the most in the league. The first two games carry it: a 75% win probability, 2.48 expected goals and a 48% clean sheet chance at Casa Pia, then Moreirense at home. The Porto trip is the week to plan around, not a reason to avoid them, because [H]Maritimo follows in Gameweek 13 at 2.89 expected goals.
Benfica's [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao is second at 6.40 expected goals, and its 1.38 expected clean sheets are the best total of any team. There is no hard game in it, and [A]Nacional in Gameweek 13 keeps it going. That is why Benfica's nailed starters are the holds of this window and Sporting's are the three-week buys.
FC Porto's [H]Estoril → [A]Vitoria de Guimaraes → [H]Sporting CP adds up to 5.38. Estoril at home is excellent (74% win probability, 2.48 expected goals, 46% clean sheet chance), but the Guimaraes trip and the Sporting game cut their attack to 1.57 and 1.33 expected goals. Porto players are worth using this round and selling into next week, not buying for the run. Braga's [H]Famalicao → [A]Rio Ave → [A]Casa Pia AC is fourth at 4.34, and Arouca's [H]Nacional → [A]Famalicao → [H]Rio Ave is a decent fifth at 4.15, with the Nacional home game (51% win probability) the best of the three.
At the bottom, Casa Pia AC (2.62 expected goals over three), Estrela da Amadora (2.84), Academico Viseu (2.91) and Moreirense (2.91) are the attacks to avoid. Kickoff times are on the Fantasy Portugal schedule, and the bookmaker numbers behind the win and clean sheet figures are on the Fantasy Portugal market probabilities page. The table is sorted by three-round expected goals; the 3-round CS column is expected clean sheets out of three games.
| Team | Gameweek 10 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (Gameweeks 10-12) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | [A]Casa Pia AC | 75% | 2.48 | 48% | [A]Casa Pia AC → [H]Moreirense → [A]FC Porto | 6.65 | 1.25 |
| Benfica | [H]Alverca | 70% | 2.21 | 48% | [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao | 6.40 | 1.38 |
| FC Porto | [H]Estoril | 74% | 2.48 | 46% | [H]Estoril → [A]Vitoria de Guimaraes → [H]Sporting CP | 5.38 | 1.10 |
| Braga | [H]Famalicao | 43% | 1.36 | 36% | [H]Famalicao → [A]Rio Ave → [A]Casa Pia AC | 4.34 | 1.05 |
| Arouca | [H]Nacional | 51% | 1.60 | 38% | [H]Nacional → [A]Famalicao → [H]Rio Ave | 4.15 | 0.95 |
| Maritimo | [H]Santa Clara | 36% | 1.10 | 35% | [H]Santa Clara → [A]Estoril → [H]Nacional | 4.06 | 0.89 |
| Gil Vicente | [H]Vitoria de Guimaraes | 39% | 1.29 | 32% | [H]Vitoria de Guimaraes → [A]Santa Clara → [H]Estoril | 3.92 | 1.02 |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | [A]Gil Vicente | 32% | 1.14 | 28% | [A]Gil Vicente → [H]FC Porto → [H]Estrela da Amadora | 3.69 | 0.87 |
| Rio Ave | [A]Academico Viseu | 42% | 1.37 | 34% | [A]Academico Viseu → [H]Braga → [A]Arouca | 3.60 | 0.77 |
| Estoril | [A]FC Porto | 9% | 0.78 | 8% | [A]FC Porto → [H]Maritimo → [A]Gil Vicente | 3.51 | 0.50 |
| Nacional | [A]Arouca | 22% | 0.98 | 20% | [A]Arouca → [H]Academico Viseu → [A]Maritimo | 3.50 | 0.82 |
| Alverca | [A]Benfica | 10% | 0.73 | 11% | [A]Benfica → [H]Casa Pia AC → [A]Academico Viseu | 3.38 | 0.93 |
| Famalicao | [A]Braga | 27% | 1.03 | 26% | [A]Braga → [H]Arouca → [A]Benfica | 3.24 | 0.77 |
| Santa Clara | [A]Maritimo | 33% | 1.04 | 33% | [A]Maritimo → [H]Gil Vicente → [A]Moreirense | 3.04 | 1.12 |
| Moreirense | [H]Estrela da Amadora | 40% | 1.30 | 34% | [H]Estrela da Amadora → [A]Sporting CP → [H]Santa Clara | 2.91 | 0.77 |
| Academico Viseu | [H]Rio Ave | 29% | 1.08 | 26% | [H]Rio Ave → [A]Nacional → [H]Alverca | 2.91 | 0.76 |
| Estrela da Amadora | [A]Moreirense | 30% | 1.09 | 27% | [A]Moreirense → [H]Benfica → [A]Vitoria de Guimaraes | 2.84 | 0.58 |
| Casa Pia AC | [H]Sporting CP | 9% | 0.74 | 8% | [H]Sporting CP → [A]Alverca → [H]Braga | 2.62 | 0.58 |
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 goalkeepers
Samuel Soares (5.5m, Benfica) is the goalkeeper to buy, with [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao behind him. His projection barely moves, 4.6 → 4.5 → 4.5 points, and the 13.6 points over three is the best of any goalkeeper. Only 6.1% of managers own him, so he is a template-quality pick at differential ownership. Rui Silva (5.9m, Sporting CP) is close for two weeks (4.4 and 4.5) but drops to 3.7 at FC Porto in Gameweek 12.
Diogo Costa (6.6m, FC Porto) is in 63.8% of squads, and there is no reason to move him: 4.4 → 4.2 → 3.7, then 4.5 and 4.6 in Gameweeks 13 and 14. If you want a cheaper starter, Lucao (4.5m, Gil Vicente) is flat at 4.0 → 4.2 → 4.1 over [H]Vitoria de Guimaraes → [A]Santa Clara → [H]Estoril, 12.3 points for a lot less money. Matheus Mendes (4.0m, Alverca) is the bench option for the run rather than the round: 3.4 at Benfica, then 4.3 and 4.3 against [H]Casa Pia AC → [A]Academico Viseu.
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 defenders
Samuel Dahl (6.0m, Benfica) is the best defender over the next three Gameweeks: 4.8 → 4.1 → 3.8, 12.7 points across [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao. He adds 0.13 expected assists in Gameweek 10 on top of a 43% clean sheet chance. Alexander Bah (6.0m, Benfica) is the differential version at 5.6% owned, with 12.3 points over the same three games and 0.12 expected assists.
Maximiliano Araujo (7.4m, Sporting CP) has the highest projection of anyone in Gameweek 10, 5.7 points at Casa Pia AC, with 0.18 expected goals and 0.17 expected assists on top of the clean sheet. His program, [A]Casa Pia AC → [H]Moreirense → [A]FC Porto, goes 5.7 → 4.1 → 2.4, and that is where the round ranking and the three-round ranking disagree: he beats Samuel Dahl by 0.9 this week, but Samuel Dahl is ahead over three (12.7 against 12.2). Our side: if you own Maximiliano Araujo, keep him, because the Porto week is one bad game and he is back at 6.0 against Maritimo in Gameweek 13. If you are buying one defender to hold, Samuel Dahl is the cleaner run and 1.4m cheaper.
Goncalo Inacio (6.3m, Sporting CP) is the cheaper Sporting route at 5.0 → 4.1 → 2.5 over [A]Casa Pia AC → [H]Moreirense → [A]FC Porto, with an 83-minute projection and the same Gameweek 12 dip. Alberto Costa (6.5m, FC Porto) projects 5.1 this week but 3.5 and 2.6 after it, so he is a Loan Rangers pick, not a transfer.
For a mid-priced pick outside the big three, Arouca's Tiago Esgaio (5.0m, Arouca) goes 4.4 → 3.5 → 3.7 over [H]Nacional → [A]Famalicao → [H]Rio Ave, 11.6 points, the same total as the 28.5%-owned Jose Fontán for 0.5m less and with 0.13 expected assists in Gameweek 10. Among the cheapest defenders, Pedro Pacheco (4.4m, Santa Clara) is the steady one, 3.4 → 3.6 → 3.5 over [A]Maritimo → [H]Gil Vicente → [A]Moreirense. Orest Lebedenko (4.5m, Arouca) starts higher on [H]Nacional → [A]Famalicao → [H]Rio Ave, 4.0 → 3.3 → 3.0, so he suits a manager who wants the points now.
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 midfielders
Gianluca Prestianni (8.6m, Benfica) is in 59.6% of squads and is the midfielder to hold. His 4.9 → 4.6 → 4.1 over [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao is the best three-round total in the position at 13.6, and he goes up to 5.4 at Nacional in Gameweek 13. He carries 0.30 expected goals and 0.19 expected assists in Gameweek 10.
Geny Catamo (8.8m, Sporting CP) is the buy if you do not have him, on [A]Casa Pia AC → [H]Moreirense → [A]FC Porto. He projects 5.0 at Casa Pia AC and 4.9 against Moreirense, the best midfield projection of Gameweek 11, before the dip to 2.9 at FC Porto and a return to 5.1 against Maritimo. Geny Catamo and Gianluca Prestianni are level this week (5.0 against 4.9); Gianluca Prestianni wins over three, Geny Catamo wins on the Gameweek 11 captaincy. Owning both is the strongest midfield pair for the next four weeks.
Rafa Silva (9.9m, Benfica) is the premium differential at 5.9% owned: 4.2 → 3.9 → 3.7 for 11.8 points, with the same [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao run behind him. His 64-minute projection is the catch, and the reason he is not ahead of Gianluca Prestianni. Issa Doumbia (7.2m, Sporting CP) is the cheaper Sporting midfielder at 4.7 → 4.0 → 2.5.
Gabriel Veiga (8.5m, FC Porto) is the one-week case. He projects 5.1 against Estoril, joint second-best of the round, and then 3.4 and 2.8. If you own him, keep him for this week. Buying him now means selling him again in seven days.
The best cheap midfielder is Martin Tejon (5.5m, Maritimo), whose projection rises 3.6 → 3.6 → 4.1 over [H]Santa Clara → [A]Estoril → [H]Nacional. That is 11.3 points, the same as Gabriel Veiga over the same three weeks for 3.0m less, at 7.3% owned. Chiquinho (5.6m, Alverca) is a buy for next week rather than this one: 2.8 at Benfica, then 3.9 and 3.7 over [H]Casa Pia AC → [A]Academico Viseu, and he is Alverca's penalty taker. Sorriso (6.9m, Famalicao), Famalicao's penalty taker, has a similar shape on [A]Braga → [H]Arouca → [A]Benfica: 3.5, then 4.4, then 2.8, and 5.0 against Academico Viseu in Gameweek 13.
Best Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 forwards
Vangelis Pavlidis (12.2m, Benfica) is owned by 73.1% and stays the forward to own. He is Benfica's penalty taker, and his 4.5 → 4.3 → 3.7 over [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao is the best three-round total among forwards at 12.5, with 0.52 expected goals against Alverca. Luis Suárez (12.6m, Sporting CP) projects almost the same for two weeks (4.3 and 4.1) on 69 predicted minutes, then 2.3 at FC Porto. If you own him, there is no need to sell before Gameweek 12. If you have to choose between the two, Vangelis Pavlidis is ahead by 1.8 points over three. Check the Fantasy Portugal predicted lineups for his minutes before the deadline.
Behind the two premiums the position is thin, so the value pick matters. Adrián Butzke (5.4m, Maritimo) is Maritimo's penalty taker and goes 3.0 → 3.1 → 3.4 over [H]Santa Clara → [A]Estoril → [H]Nacional. His 9.5 points over three is the third-best forward total, ahead of André Silva (9.9m, FC Porto) at 8.2, and only 1.9% of managers own him.
Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10 captain picks
The captain doubles, so this choice matters more than any single transfer. Maximiliano Araujo (7.4m, Sporting CP) is our Gameweek 10 captain. His 5.7 points at Casa Pia AC is the highest projection of the round, built on a 48% clean sheet chance plus 0.35 expected goal involvements. Our guide to picking a fantasy captain explains why a defender with that attacking output can top the list.
The alternatives are close. Gabriel Veiga (8.5m, FC Porto) projects 5.1 against Estoril and suits a manager who wants a goal threat, but this is his only strong week. Geny Catamo (5.0) and Gianluca Prestianni (4.9) are next. Vangelis Pavlidis, the most-owned player in the game, projects 4.5 and is a safe but lower-ceiling choice this week.
Plan the next three captaincies before you transfer. In Gameweek 11 the top projection belongs to Geny Catamo (4.9 against Moreirense), with Gianluca Prestianni on 4.6. In Gameweek 12 Gianluca Prestianni shares the top outfield projection, 4.1 against Famalicao, with Martin Tejon, while Sporting are at Porto. In Gameweek 13 Maximiliano Araujo is back on top with 6.0 against Maritimo. A squad with Maximiliano Araujo, Geny Catamo and Gianluca Prestianni has a strong captain in every one of the next four Gameweeks.
Who to sell before Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10
Goncalo Paciencia (6.1m, Santa Clara) is owned by 41.0% and is the clearest sale. The Maritimo trip is not a bad fixture on paper (a 33% win probability against Maritimo's 36%), but he projects only 1.9 → 1.9 → 1.8 over [A]Maritimo → [H]Gil Vicente → [A]Moreirense, and Santa Clara host FC Porto in Gameweek 13. Why now: there is no week ahead where his number improves, and Adrián Butzke, 0.7m cheaper, projects 9.5 over the same three Gameweeks against his 5.6.
Rodrigo Zalazar (10.4m, Sporting CP) is in 24.3% of squads, but the predicted lineups have him on 19 minutes for Gameweek 10 and he projects 1.3 → 2.8 → 2.1 over [A]Casa Pia AC → [H]Moreirense → [A]FC Porto. Why now: Casa Pia away is Sporting's best fixture of the window, and you want a Sporting player who starts it. Moving him to Geny Catamo saves 1.6m and adds 6.6 projected points over three. Flavio Goncalves (6.8m, Sporting CP, 21.6% owned) is in the same position at 21 predicted minutes.
Yanis Begraoui (7.3m, Estoril), owned by 22.2%, projects 1.8 at FC Porto, where Estoril have a 9% win probability, and 6.6 points over [A]FC Porto → [H]Maritimo → [A]Gil Vicente. Why now: the Porto trip is this week, and Adrián Butzke out-projects him by 2.9 points over three for 1.9m less.
The FC Porto group is different, and here you can wait a round. Victor Froholdt (8.4m, 25.5% owned) projects 3.9 against Estoril, then 2.7 and 2.3. Jakub Kiwior (6.3m, 62.0% owned) goes 4.6 → 3.5 → 2.6. Estoril at home is a fixture worth keeping them for. Use it, then make them your Gameweek 11 sales before [A]Vitoria de Guimaraes → [H]Sporting CP. Diogo Costa is the Porto exception and stays.
Best Loan Rangers team for Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10
If you play Loan Rangers this week, this squad gets the most projected points out of Gameweek 10 alone within the solver's price ceiling and the three-per-club limit. Sporting CP, FC Porto and Benfica each fill their three places.
- Goalkeeper: Bernardo Fontes (5.0m, Braga) 4.2; bench Ewerton (4.1m, Academico Viseu) 3.7
- Defenders: Maximiliano Araujo (7.4m, Sporting CP) 5.7, Alberto Costa (6.5m, FC Porto) 5.1, Goncalo Inacio (6.3m, Sporting CP) 5.0, Samuel Dahl (6.0m, Benfica) 4.8, Tiago Esgaio (5.0m, Arouca) 4.4
- Midfielders: Gabriel Veiga (8.5m, FC Porto) 5.1, Geny Catamo (8.8m, Sporting CP) 5.0, Gianluca Prestianni (8.6m, Benfica) 4.9, Pepe (7.9m, FC Porto) 4.5; bench Nile John (4.5m, Moreirense) 3.1
- Forwards: Vangelis Pavlidis (12.2m, Benfica) 4.5; bench Adrián Butzke (5.4m, Maritimo) 3.0, Leandro Antonetti (4.7m, Estrela da Amadora) 1.9
That is a 1-5-4-1 with 53.2 projected points from the starting eleven, and 58.9 with Maximiliano Araujo as captain. Pepe is the one name here worth using only on a one-week chip: 4.5 against Estoril, then 3.0 and 2.5. The exact optimum, re-solved against the latest projections, is on the Fantasy Portugal optimal teams page.
Read our fixture difficulty guide for how we rank programs, and find every round in the Fantasy Portugal preview hub.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10?
Maximiliano Araujo is our Gameweek 10 captain, with 5.7 projected points at Casa Pia AC, the highest of the round. Gabriel Veiga (5.1 against Estoril) and Geny Catamo (5.0) are the alternatives, and Geny Catamo is the top pick for Gameweek 11.
Who are the best differentials for Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10?
Samuel Soares (6.1% owned) is the best goalkeeper over the next three Gameweeks with 13.6 points. Alexander Bah (5.6%) projects 12.3 over Benfica's [H]Alverca → [A]Estrela da Amadora → [H]Famalicao, Martin Tejon (7.3%) is the best cheap midfielder at 11.3, and Adrián Butzke (1.9%) is the value forward at 9.5.
Should I sell Goncalo Paciencia before Gameweek 10?
Yes. Goncalo Paciencia projects 1.9, 1.9 and 1.8 points over Gameweeks 10 to 12, and Santa Clara host FC Porto in Gameweek 13. Adrián Butzke costs 0.7m less and projects 9.5 points over the same three weeks.
Which cheap defenders are best for Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10?
Pedro Pacheco (4.4m, Santa Clara) is the steadiest at 3.4, 3.6 and 3.5 over the next three Gameweeks. Orest Lebedenko (4.5m, Arouca) projects more this week, 4.0 against Nacional, and Tiago Esgaio (5.0m, Arouca) gives 11.6 points over three.
Is Gabriel Veiga worth buying for Fantasy Portugal Gameweek 10?
Only for one week. Gabriel Veiga projects 5.1 against Estoril, but 3.4 and 2.8 after it as FC Porto visit Vitoria de Guimaraes and host Sporting CP. Keep him if you own him, and use him in a Loan Rangers squad; for a lasting buy, Martin Tejon projects the same over three Gameweeks for 3.0m less, and his number rises instead of falling.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.