Eliteserien Gameweek 22 tips: captain picks and buys

Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 22 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials

Gameweek 22 in Eliteserien Fantasy 2026 runs from Friday 18 September to Sunday 20 September, and the eight matches are spread across four days. Every one of the sixteen clubs has a fixture, so this is a full round with no gaps to plan around — the decisions are about which fixtures to attack, not which blanks to dodge.

Two things shape the round. First, Tromsø host the weakest projected attack of the weekend and carry the best clean-sheet odds in the game, which turns their cheap defenders into some of the strongest value on the board. Second, the model has the single highest-projected player in the whole game priced at only 6.3m — and he is on penalties. Below are the buys, the ranked captain picks, the low-ownership differentials and the players whose fixture collapses this week, all built from the current Gameweek 22 projections.

Before the deadline, cross-check everything here against the live Eliteserien Fantasy player picks and this round’s optimal teams.

Gameweek 22 fixtures: which teams to target

The table below is one row per team, showing the model’s win probability, projected goals scored and clean-sheet probability for Gameweek 22. The best attacking and defensive spots are where almost every good pick this round comes from.

Tromsø - Hamarkameratene is the defensive fixture of the round. Tromsø project a 39% clean sheet chance and a 63% win probability, and Hamarkameratene are modelled for just 0.94 goals — the lowest attacking projection of any side in Gameweek 22. Nothing else this week comes close for a defensive stack.

Molde - Aalesund is the attacking one. Molde carry a 69% win probability and 2.74 projected goals, the highest in the round, against an Aalesund side the model gives a 6% clean sheet chance. Viking - Lillestrøm is close behind on 2.32 projected goals and a 32% clean sheet, which is the rare fixture that rewards buying at both ends of the same team.

Two more worth knowing. Sarpsborg 08 open the round on Friday evening at home to KFUM with a 32% clean sheet and 2.14 projected goals, so their players lock in first. And Rosenborg travel to Kristiansund BK with the second-best clean-sheet number of the week at 33% despite being away from home. Full kick-off times are on the Eliteserien Fantasy schedule, and the underlying odds sit on the market probabilities page.

The teams to avoid are the mirror image: Aalesund (6% clean sheet, 14% win probability), Lillestrøm (10%), Brann at home to Bodø/Glimt (12%), KFUM (12%), Kristiansund BK (12%) and Hamarkameratene (13%).

Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 22

Jakob Haugaard (5.0m, Tromsø) is the highest-projected keeper in the game this round on 4.1 points, backed by the best clean-sheet fixture on the board. He is also the most-owned keeper in Eliteserien Fantasy at 31.8%, so he is closer to template than differential.

The value play is Arild Østbø (4.3m, Viking). He projects 4.0 points — within a tenth of the top keeper — at the best points-per-million ratio of any goalkeeper in the game (0.93), and Viking’s 32% clean-sheet chance at home to Lillestrøm is a genuinely strong spot. At 6.8% ownership he is also a differential. Leander Øy (4.5m, Sarpsborg 08) is the third option on 4.0 points and the best keeper in the game over a six-round horizon on a weighted score of 13.8, with Sarpsborg 08 at home on Friday.

If you want a fourth name, Oscar Hedvall (4.9m, Vålerenga) projects 3.9 at home to Fredrikstad on a 32% clean sheet. Confirmed starters land on the Eliteserien Fantasy predicted lineups page as they come in.

Best defenders for Gameweek 22

Alexander Warneryd (6.5m, Tromsø) is the top-projected defender in the game on 5.2 points, with 85 projected minutes and attacking returns built in. He is well owned at 31.5%, so he protects your rank rather than winning it.

The budget defender of the round is Sander Håvik Innvær (4.7m, Tromsø). He projects 4.8 points at 4.7m — the best points-per-million figure of any defender in Eliteserien Fantasy at 1.02 — and he is owned by 0.4% of managers. Same fixture, same clean sheet, a fraction of the price of the premium option. His team-mate Leon Hien (5.0m, Tromsø) is even less owned at 0.0% and projects 4.5 on 86 projected minutes.

Watch the club limit. Eliteserien Fantasy allows a maximum of three players from any one club, and Tromsø currently supply the best keeper, the best defender, the best budget defender and the highest-projected player in the game. You cannot have all of them — pick the three that fit, and the model’s own answer is in the eleven further down this page.

Away from that stack, Adrian Pereira (5.8m, Rosenborg) projects 4.6 at Kristiansund BK, Kolbeinn Finnsson (5.1m, Vålerenga) offers 4.4 on 88 projected minutes at home to Fredrikstad at 5.1m, and Anders Hiim (4.5m, Sarpsborg 08) is the cheapest route into the Sarpsborg 08 clean sheet at 4.5m for 3.9 points.

Two more with genuine multi-round appeal: Claus Niyukuri (5.0m, Sarpsborg 08) (4.3 points, 17.7% owned) and Samukelo Kabini (5.5m, Molde) (4.2 points), from the Sarpsborg 08 and Molde blocks that keep decent fixtures into Gameweek 23.

Best midfielders for Gameweek 22

Heine Åsen Larsen (6.3m, Tromsø) is the highest-projected player in the entire game this Gameweek on 6.5 points. The case is layered: his side have the best clean-sheet odds of the round, the model has him taking every penalty for his team on a 1.00 penalty share, and at 6.3m he returns 1.03 points per million — the best of any midfielder projected above three points. His three-round line reads 6.5 → 5.3 → 5.2.

Zlatko Tripic (12.7m, Viking) is the premium alternative on 6.4 points and the most-owned player in Eliteserien Fantasy at 66.3%. He holds a 0.91 penalty share and 82 projected minutes, and his six-round weighted score of 20.7 is second only to one player in the game. He is expensive but he is not a trap.

Emil Breivik (7.6m, Molde) completes the premium tier on 6.1 points with the round’s best attacking fixture behind him and 85 projected minutes. At 47.2% ownership he is a template hold rather than a move that gains you ground.

The best mid-price buy is Simen Bolkan Nordli (6.9m, Rosenborg). He projects 5.6 points — fifth-highest in the whole game — and is owned by 0.4% of managers. That combination of a top-five projection and near-zero ownership is the single biggest rank-gaining opportunity in Gameweek 22, and his three-round line of 5.6 → 4.8 → 4.0 says it is not a one-week spike.

Three more in the same bracket. Lucas Ravn-Haren (6.6m, Vålerenga) projects 5.4 at 1.5% ownership with a 0.83 penalty share and a home fixture carrying a 32% clean sheet. Sondre Sørli (6.5m, Sarpsborg 08) offers 5.5 on the same Sarpsborg 08 fixture. And Sondre Milian Granaas (5.1m, Molde) is the pure budget midfielder of the round at 5.1m for 4.5 points — 0.88 points per million, on the highest-scoring projected fixture of the Gameweek.

One name to plan for rather than buy blind: Ole Blomberg (9.8m, Bodø/Glimt) carries the highest six-round weighted score in the game at 22.6. His Gameweek 22 fixture away at Brann is only average (19% clean sheet, 49% win probability), but Gameweek 23 at home to Kristiansund BK is the strongest single fixture of the next three rounds for any side — an 87% win probability and a 42% clean sheet. His line reads 5.5 → 8.0 → 6.6. If you have a transfer and no urgent hole, that is where it is best spent.

Also on the radar from the Rosenborg block: Amin Chiakha (8.1m, Rosenborg) (5.3 points, 0.93 penalty share) and Emil Konradsen Ceide (8.0m, Rosenborg) (5.2 points), both with 84 projected minutes at Kristiansund BK.

Best forwards for Gameweek 22

Peter Christiansen (10.7m, Viking) is the top-projected forward on 5.9 points, with 84 projected minutes in the round’s second-best attacking fixture. His six-round weighted score of 19.8 is third in the game, so he is a hold as much as a buy.

Daniel Seland Karlsbakk (8.8m, Sarpsborg 08) is the cheaper premium at 8.8m for 5.1 points, and he carries a 0.93 penalty share for a side with a 32% clean sheet and 2.14 projected goals on Friday night. That penalty share is the difference between him and the rest of the mid-price forwards.

The forward differential is Jalal Abdullai (8.0m, Molde). He projects 5.0 points — third among all forwards — and is owned by just 1.5% of managers, with the best attacking fixture in the Gameweek behind him. Mathias Grundetjern (7.6m, Vålerenga) is the other low-ownership option at 6.0% owned for 4.9 points at home to Fredrikstad.

At the budget end, Oscar Forsmo Kapskarmo (5.5m, Sandefjord) projects 3.5 points at 5.5m, which is the best value in the position for anyone who needs to free money up elsewhere. Jesper Cornelius (6.0m, Start) is the alternative at 6.0m for 3.7 points.

Captain picks for Gameweek 22

The captain scores double in Eliteserien Fantasy, so this is the biggest single decision of the round. Ranked on projected points and on how much of that projection is repeatable rather than lucky:

Captain pick 1: Heine Åsen Larsen (6.3m, Tromsø). He is the highest-projected player in the game this round, he takes his side’s penalties on a 1.00 share, and his team have both the best clean-sheet odds (39%) and face the weakest projected attack of the Gameweek (0.94 goals). He also collects defensive-contribution points from midfield in a match his side should control. At 22.1% ownership, captaining him is a small differential move rather than a template one.

Captain pick 2: Zlatko Tripic (12.7m, Viking) on 6.4 points. He is the safest armband in the game — a 0.91 penalty share, 82 projected minutes, and a home fixture with a 63% win probability and 2.32 projected goals. With 66.3% of managers owning him, captaining him is the rank-protecting choice.

Captain pick 3: Emil Breivik (7.6m, Molde) on 6.1 points, behind the highest projected goal total of the round (2.74) and a 69% win probability. The reason he is third rather than first is penalties: his share is 0.42, so a spot-kick is as likely to go to a team-mate as to him.

Captaincy is a plan, not a one-week pick. Looking ahead, both Zlatko Tripic and Ole Blomberg keep strong captain fixtures into Gameweek 23 and Gameweek 24, which is a real argument for owning one of them even at a premium price. The solver’s own captain for this round is shown on the optimal teams page.

Hidden gems and differentials for Gameweek 22

Everyone owns the obvious names. The rank is won in the squad spots after them — these are the players with a top-tier projection and almost nobody in them.

Simen Bolkan Nordli (6.9m, Rosenborg) is the headline. A top-five projection in the whole game at 0.4% ownership is as large an edge as Eliteserien Fantasy offers in a normal round. Oskar Spiten-Nysæter (8.0m, Molde) is the same idea one price bracket up — 4.9 points at 0.8% ownership, on a side with 2.74 projected goals.

An honest caveat on two of these. Andreas Nibe (5.2m, Sarpsborg 08) projects 5.4 points but only 54 projected minutes on a 0.63 starter factor, and Olaus Jair Skarsem sits at 69 projected minutes on a 0.78 starter factor. Both are rotation risks rather than nailed starters — check the predicted lineups before the Friday deadline, and if either is left out, Anders Hiim is the safer route into the same fixture.

A correlated stack worth considering: Leander Øy plus Anders Hiim doubles up on the same 32% clean sheet from the same Friday-night fixture, and both are good enough picks on their own merits to be worth owning without the correlation. Never stack two players from one club if the second is only there for the correlation — that is how a bad week becomes a disastrous one.

Who to sell before Gameweek 22

These are the well-owned players whose Gameweek 22 fixture or projected minutes have collapsed. Selling is not free, so the case has to be strong — here it is.

Dino Islamovic (8.0m, Rosenborg) and Håkon Evjen (8.0m, Bodø/Glimt) are the two clearest exits: both are flagged unavailable with return dates in October, and both are still owned by more than one manager in ten. There is no version of Gameweek 22 in which either scores.

Thomas Lehne Olsen (7.9m, Lillestrøm) and Leo Cornic (6.3m, Brann) are the fixture-driven sells. Both project under two points on heavy rotation risk, and both face two of the strongest home sides of the round. Pontus Dahlberg (4.8m, Lillestrøm) is the goalkeeper equivalent at 21.2% ownership — a 10% clean sheet chance is the worst of any projected starting keeper in Gameweek 22.

One to hold rather than sell: Fredrik Sjøvold (7.7m, Bodø/Glimt) is the third most-owned player in the game at 37.1% and projects only 3.0 this round on a 19% clean sheet away at Brann. But his Gameweek 23 fixture is the best of any defender in the next three rounds — an 87% win probability and a 42% clean sheet at home. Ride out the away trip rather than paying to leave and come back. The same logic applies to Nikita Haikin and Andreas Helmersen.

Noah Holm (7.6m, Brann) is a genuine judgement call. He is flagged with a 17 September return date, one day before the Gameweek 22 deadline, but the model still projects him zero minutes for this round. Treat him as a non-starter until the lineup confirms otherwise.

The model’s best Gameweek 22 eleven

If you were building purely for this Gameweek and price were no object — which is what Eliteserien Fantasy’s one-round chip lets you do — this is the eleven the projections point to, in a 3-5-2 and respecting the three-players-per-club limit. Total projected points: 59.7, or 66.2 with the captain doubled.

Note what the club limit forces: three Tromsø players and three Viking players, and the keeper spot goes to the cheaper Viking option rather than the higher-projected Tromsø one, because the Tromsø slots are better spent on outfield points. The captain in this eleven is Heine Åsen Larsen. The live version of this solve, with your own constraints applied, is on the Eliteserien Fantasy optimal teams page.

Gameweek 22 summary

• Captain: Heine Åsen Larsen, with Zlatko Tripic the safer template alternative.
• Best buy: Simen Bolkan Nordli — a top-five projection at 0.4% ownership.
• Best budget pick: Sander Håvik Innvær at 4.7m, the best points-per-million defender in the game.
• Best long-term buy: Ole Blomberg, the highest six-round weighted score in the game.
• Clearest sells: Dino Islamovic and Håkon Evjen, both flagged unavailable into October.

Read the Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 21 preview for how the previous round was framed, and find every round in the Eliteserien Fantasy preview hub. More strategy reading sits in our fantasy football guides.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 22?

Heine Åsen Larsen. He is the highest-projected player in the game for Gameweek 22 on 6.5 points, he takes every penalty for his side on a 1.00 share, and his team have the best clean-sheet odds of the round at 39% against the weakest projected attack of the Gameweek. Zlatko Tripic on 6.4 points is the safer, more heavily owned alternative.

Which budget defenders are best for Gameweek 22?

Sander Håvik Innvær at 4.7m is the best in the game on value, projecting 4.8 points at 1.02 points per million with the round’s best clean-sheet fixture. Leon Hien at 5.0m and Anders Hiim at 4.5m are the next two, and all three are owned by under 3% of managers.

Should I sell Thomas Lehne Olsen before Gameweek 22?

Yes. He projects just 1.8 points for Gameweek 22 on 39 projected minutes and a 0.32 starter factor, away at the side with the highest win probability in the round. He is still owned by 22.4% of managers, which makes him one of the cheapest rank gains available this week.

Best differentials for Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 22?

Simen Bolkan Nordli is the standout — 5.6 projected points, fifth-highest in the whole game, at 0.4% ownership. Lucas Ravn-Haren (5.4 points, 1.5% owned) and Jalal Abdullai (5.0 points, 1.5% owned) are the other two low-ownership picks with a genuine top-tier projection.

Does every team have a fixture in Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 22?

Yes. All sixteen Eliteserien clubs play in Gameweek 22, across eight matches from Friday 18 September to Sunday 20 September. There are no blanks to plan around this round.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.