Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 21: captains and best buys
Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 21 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 21 is a full 16-team round with no blanks, and it is defined by one enormous fixture and one cheap value block. Viking host bottom side Kristiansund BK as an 82% favourite, and KFUM host Aalesund in a game the model likes almost as much at a fraction of the price. The obvious names — Zlatko Tripic and Peter Christiansen — are already in most squads. Gameweeks are won in the five or six spots after them, and that is what this preview is about.
The deadline is Friday 12 September at 14:55, with the first kick-off at 16:00 the same day. You get one free transfer, a hit costs 4 points, and you may never hold more than three players from one club — a real constraint this week, because two clubs supply most of the good picks.
Gameweek 21 fixtures: where the points are
Four games carry the round. The table below gives one row per team, with the model's win probability, expected goals and clean-sheet chance.
| Team | Fixture | Win% | Expected goals | Clean sheet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking | [H]Kristiansund BK | 82% | 3.29 | 40% |
| Kristiansund BK | [A]Viking | 7% | 0.92 | 4% |
| Bodø/Glimt | [H]Sandefjord | 73% | 3.00 | 30% |
| Sandefjord | [A]Bodø/Glimt | 12% | 1.22 | 5% |
| KFUM | [H]Aalesund | 60% | 2.01 | 37% |
| Aalesund | [A]KFUM | 17% | 1.00 | 13% |
| Brann | [A]Start | 55% | 1.81 | 36% |
| Start | [H]Brann | 20% | 1.01 | 16% |
The rest of the round is close to a coin toss. Lillestrøm host Vålerenga (49%), Molde travel to Hamarkameratene (49%), Rosenborg host Tromsø (43%) and Fredrikstad host Sarpsborg 08 (40%). None of those is a reason to spend a transfer on its own. You can check every kick-off time and the full run of fixtures on the Eliteserien Fantasy schedule, and the underlying match odds on the Eliteserien market probabilities page.
The multi-round picture matters more than the single game. Viking are the only club with a genuinely strong run: [H]Kristiansund BK → [H]Lillestrøm (64%) → [A]Brann (41%) → [H]Fredrikstad (74%). Bodø/Glimt are almost as good and get a monster Gameweek 23 at home to Kristiansund BK (87%). KFUM are the opposite — Gameweek 21 is excellent, then they travel to Sarpsborg 08 as 33% underdogs. Buy KFUM for this round, not for the month. The full four-round grid for every club is on the Eliteserien Fantasy fixture schedule.
Goalkeepers for Gameweek 21
Håvar Jenssen (3.9m, KFUM) is the standout, and it is not close on value. He is the cheapest starting keeper in the game and the model has him on 4.00 predicted points behind a 37% clean-sheet chance against a visiting Aalesund side projected for 1.00 expected goals. That is 1.03 points per million — the best ratio of any goalkeeper in the round — and he is only 15.4% owned.
Mathias Dyngeland (5.0m, Brann) matches him on 4.00 predicted points with a 36% clean-sheet chance at Start, and he has been the steadier scorer: 19 points across the last five completed rounds against Jenssen's 15. If you want one keeper and no rotation, Dyngeland is the safer body.
The one to move off is Jasper Silva Torkildsen (3.9m, Fredrikstad). He is 11.4% owned and the model has him on 0.00 predicted points with zero expected minutes for the round — he is not in the picture. Anyone still holding him is effectively playing with 14 men. Pontus Dahlberg (4.8m, Lillestrøm) at 3.80 is a fine one-round alternative if you would rather not drop to 3.9m.
Best defenders in Gameweek 21
Jonas Lange Hjorth (4.8m, KFUM) is the single best value pick in the game this week. He carries 5.10 predicted points — level with the top-scoring defender in the round — for 4.8m, a return of 1.06 points per million. He plays 76 expected minutes, gets a 33% clean-sheet share and contributes at the other end from left midfield. He is owned by 1.0% of managers. That is as close to a free differential as this game offers.
Håkon Hoseth (4.6m, KFUM) is the same trade at an even lower price: 4.90 predicted points, 1.07 points per million, 78 expected minutes, 8.2% owned. He also has the better recent record of the pair — 26 points in the last five completed rounds against Lange Hjorth's 12, including a 15-point haul. If you only want one KFUM defender, take Hoseth for the form and Lange Hjorth for the ceiling.
Joachim Soltvedt (6.2m, Brann) is the premium option at 5.10 predicted points and 85 expected minutes, with a 35% clean-sheet chance at Start. He is 26.8% owned and has 28 points from the last five rounds. He is the right hold this week — but note the Brann programme after it: [H]Bodø/Glimt at 30% and [H]Viking at 36%. He is a Gameweek 21 asset who should be moved on in Gameweek 22.
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (4.8m, Brann) is the budget route into the same clean sheet: 4.10 predicted points, the highest clean-sheet share of any Brann player at 36%, and 86 expected minutes for 3.3% ownership. He does nothing at the other end — eight points in five rounds — so treat him as a pure clean-sheet bet, not a scorer.
Among the popular defenders, Fredrik Sjøvold (7.8m, Bodø/Glimt) at 4.20 and Henrik Falchener (6.3m, Viking) at 4.10 are perfectly good holds, but neither beats the KFUM pair on price per point. If you need to free up cash, that is where to take it from. Full numbers for every defender are on the Eliteserien Fantasy player picks page.
Midfield picks for Gameweek 21
Zlatko Tripic (12.7m, Viking) is the highest-projected player in the round by a distance at 8.40 predicted points, and he is the reason the Viking fixture matters. He takes Viking's penalties with an 83% share, carries 0.68 expected goals and 0.57 expected assists in a game the model expects Viking to win 82% of the time, and he leads the whole game for actual points this season with 141 from 19 rounds. At 66.3% ownership he is not a differential — he is the template, and this is the week the template is right.
Simen Kvia-Egeskog (6.5m, Viking) is the pick that actually separates squads. 5.70 predicted points for 6.5m is 0.88 points per million, he is only 6.9% owned, and his six-round decay-weighted score of 17.48 is the fourth-highest in the entire game — behind only Tripic, Ole Blomberg and Christiansen, all of whom cost at least 3.3m more. He scored 26 points across the last five completed rounds. If you are making one new midfield buy this week, this is it.
Ole Blomberg (9.8m, Bodø/Glimt) is the best premium alternative to Tripic at 6.30 predicted points, with a 41% penalty share and 0.50 expected goals against Sandefjord. His programme is the strongest in the game beyond this week: 6.30 → 4.90 → 7.20 → 5.60 across the next four rounds, for a weighted score of 21.00. At 11.5% ownership he is a premium differential, which is a rare combination.
Bilal Njie (5.4m, KFUM) is the hidden gem of Gameweek 21. He is owned by 0.2% of managers, projects 5.50 points — more than any midfielder in the game outside Tripic, Blomberg and Kvia-Egeskog — and he takes 100% of KFUM's penalties. He plays 77 expected minutes with 0.45 expected goals, and he has 30 points across the last five completed rounds, the best form of any KFUM player. At 1.02 points per million he is the highest-value outfield player in the round.
Rasmus Eggen Vinge (5.3m, KFUM) is the same idea one notch down: 5.20 predicted points, 0.98 points per million, 1.1% owned, 73 expected minutes. Remember the three-per-club cap — between Jenssen, Hoseth, Lange Hjorth, Njie and Eggen Vinge you can only take three KFUM players, so use them in the positions where you are weakest.
Emil Breivik (7.6m, Molde) at 5.40 is the most-owned midfielder after Tripic at 48.7%, and he is a straightforward hold: 85 expected minutes, a 55% penalty share and the best Gameweek 24 projection of any midfielder outside Viking. He does not need selling. Neither does Amin Chiakha (7.9m, Rosenborg), whose 3.90 projection understates the form — 42 points across the last five completed rounds is the hottest run in the league, and he is Rosenborg's penalty taker.
Forwards for Gameweek 21
Peter Christiansen (10.7m, Viking) is the position's clear leader at 6.50 predicted points. He plays 78 expected minutes, carries 0.58 expected goals in the round's easiest fixture and has 29 points from the last five completed rounds. At 37.0% ownership he is close to essential in a week when Viking are 82% favourites at home.
Ola Brynhildsen (9.8m, Bodø/Glimt) is the differential striker at 4.70 predicted points and just 1.3% ownership. The caveat is honest: he is projected for 52 minutes, not 90, because Bodø/Glimt rotate their front line. That is a genuine risk, and it is why he is cheap in ownership terms rather than in price. If you want the Bodø/Glimt attack with more certainty, Andreas Helmersen (8.5m) at 4.00 takes 59% of their penalties.
Forward is thin below that. Henrik Langaas Skogvold (6.7m, Fredrikstad) at 4.30 is the best mid-price option, with 84 expected minutes and a 92% penalty share against Sarpsborg 08 — a strong floor in an ordinary fixture. Below 6.0m there is nothing the model likes: the cheapest forward worth owning this week is Jesper Cornelius (6.0m, Start) at 3.10, and Start are 20% underdogs at home. If your budget is tight, take the saving in defence instead and keep two real forwards.
Captain picks for Gameweek 21
Captain Zlatko Tripic. At 8.40 predicted points he is 1.90 clear of the next man, he takes the penalties, and Viking are the biggest favourites of the round at home to the bottom club. There is no case for anyone else as the first choice.
If you do not own him, Peter Christiansen (6.50) is the second armband and gives you the same fixture. Ole Blomberg (6.30) is third and the better long-term captain — he is the top projected option in Gameweek 23 as well, when Bodø/Glimt host Kristiansund BK as 87% favourites. Captaincy is a plan rather than a weekly coin flip, and owning both Tripic and Blomberg covers the next four rounds without another transfer. The per-round projections behind that are on the Eliteserien Fantasy player picks page.
Hold the Two captains chip. Gameweek 21 has one dominant fixture rather than two, so the chip is worth more in a round where the top two projections are level. You can see who the model has on top each week on the Eliteserien Fantasy predicted lineups page.
Who to sell before Gameweek 21
These are the popular players whose projections have collapsed. Selling one of these is worth more than any buy in this preview.
- Leo Cornic (6.3m, Brann) — 26.9% owned and down to 25 expected minutes with a 0.10 starter factor. He has scored 1 point across the last five completed rounds after 77 for the season. He has lost his place, and the ownership has not caught up.
- Thomas Lehne Olsen (8.0m, Lillestrøm) — 23.0% owned, 27 expected minutes, 1.40 predicted points, and 5 points from the last five rounds. He is still Lillestrøm's penalty taker, which is the only argument for him, and it is not enough at 8.0m.
- Henrik Udahl (5.6m, Hamarkameratene) — 22.4% owned and the worst fixture run in the league: 28%, 20%, 37% and 15% win probability across the next four rounds. 2.60 predicted points this week and 7 across the last five.
- Dino Islamovic (8.0m, Rosenborg) — 10.3% owned with 0.00 predicted points and no expected minutes. A dead squad slot. Check his expected minutes yourself on the Eliteserien predicted lineups page before you commit the transfer.
Two clarifications. Joachim Soltvedt and the KFUM players are Gameweek 21 buys and Gameweek 22 sells — that is by design, not a contradiction, because both clubs' programmes turn immediately afterwards. And do not sell Amin Chiakha or Alexander Warneryd (6.5m, Tromsø, 31.9% owned) on this week's modest projections; Warneryd's number jumps to 4.70 in Gameweek 22 when Tromsø host Hamarkameratene.
The best Rich Uncle team for Gameweek 21
Eliteserien Fantasy's Rich Uncle chip gives you unlimited transfers for one Gameweek with no budget at all, so the only constraints are the formation and the three-per-club cap. The highest-projected legal eleven for Gameweek 21 is a 3-5-2 worth 61.60 predicted points:
| Position | Player | Club | Price | Predicted points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Mathias Dyngeland | Brann | 5.0m | 4.00 |
| DEF | Jonas Lange Hjorth | KFUM | 4.8m | 5.10 |
| DEF | Joachim Soltvedt | Brann | 6.2m | 5.10 |
| DEF | Håkon Hoseth | KFUM | 4.6m | 4.90 |
| MID | Zlatko Tripic | Viking | 12.7m | 8.40 |
| MID | Ole Blomberg | Bodø/Glimt | 9.8m | 6.30 |
| MID | Simen Kvia-Egeskog | Viking | 6.5m | 5.70 |
| MID | Bilal Njie | KFUM | 5.4m | 5.50 |
| MID | Emil Breivik | Molde | 7.6m | 5.40 |
| FWD | Peter Christiansen | Viking | 10.7m | 6.50 |
| FWD | Ola Brynhildsen | Bodø/Glimt | 9.8m | 4.70 |
Captain Tripic. The interesting part is that this eleven costs 83.1m — well inside the 100.0m budget — so it is not really a Rich Uncle team at all. It is a reminder that the strongest Gameweek 21 side is cheap, and that saving the chip for a genuinely awkward round costs you almost nothing here. The site solves the exact optimum live, including bench and formation, on the Eliteserien Fantasy optimal teams page.
The Gameweek 21 plan in one paragraph
Own Tripic and captain him. Take one free transfer and spend it on Simen Kvia-Egeskog if you are short in midfield, or on Bilal Njie if you need the cash — both beat almost every 8m-plus alternative on points per million. Fund it by selling Cornic, Lehne Olsen, Udahl or Islamovic, all of whom are dead weight. Take one cheap KFUM defender for the home game against Aalesund and be ready to move him again in Gameweek 22, and resist a hit: nothing in this round is worth 4 points. If you want the exact best legal squad for your own budget, the Eliteserien Fantasy optimal teams solver runs it live. More rounds are covered in the Eliteserien Fantasy preview hub, and you can compare this week's advice with the Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 20 preview to see how the fixture picture has turned.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 21?
Captain Zlatko Tripic. The model has him on 8.40 predicted points, 1.90 clear of the next-best option, and Viking are 82% favourites at home to bottom club Kristiansund BK with a 3.29 expected-goals line. He also takes 83% of Viking's penalties. Peter Christiansen (6.50) and Ole Blomberg (6.30) are the alternatives if you do not own him.
Best differentials for Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 21?
Bilal Njie (5.4m, KFUM) is the standout at 0.2% ownership and 5.50 predicted points, and he takes all of KFUM's penalties at home to Aalesund. Jonas Lange Hjorth (4.8m, KFUM) is the differential defender at 1.0% ownership and 5.10 points, and Simen Kvia-Egeskog (6.5m, Viking) is the best mid-price differential at 6.9% ownership and 5.70 points.
Which budget defenders are best for Gameweek 21?
Håkon Hoseth (4.6m, KFUM) and Jonas Lange Hjorth (4.8m, KFUM) are the two best, on 4.90 and 5.10 predicted points respectively — both above 1.05 points per million, the best ratios of any defender in the round. Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen (4.8m, Brann) is the third option at 4.10 points, with the highest clean-sheet share in the Brann side at 36%.
Should I sell Leo Cornic before Gameweek 21?
Yes. Cornic is projected for just 25 expected minutes with a 0.10 starter factor and 1.30 predicted points, despite being owned by 26.9% of managers. He has scored 1 point across the last five completed rounds after 77 for the season, so he has lost his place in the Brann side rather than simply hit a bad run.
Which goalkeeper should I pick in Eliteserien Fantasy Gameweek 21?
Håvar Jenssen (3.9m, KFUM) is the best value at 4.00 predicted points and a 37% clean-sheet chance at home to Aalesund — 1.03 points per million, the best of any keeper this week. Mathias Dyngeland (5.0m, Brann) matches him on 4.00 points with a 36% clean-sheet chance and has been the steadier scorer, so pay the extra 1.1m if you want a set-and-forget keeper.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool