Elevens Premier League Gameweek 6: best buys, captain

Elevens Gameweek 6 preview: captain picks, best buys, sells and differentials

Elevens Premier League Gameweek 6 is a week where the transfer you make now is mostly about the two gameweeks behind it. Bruno Fernandes (MUN) tops the projections at 100.9 at home to Tottenham and keeps going over [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU, but the number that shapes the window is in Gameweek 7: Manchester City go [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL, and Erling Haaland's 116.1 against Ipswich is the biggest single projection anyone has across the next three gameweeks. Every club plays once in each of Gameweeks 6, 7 and 8, so there are no blanks to plan around — the fixture set below was re-checked against the latest data and all 20 clubs are in it. Several popular players, on the other hand, are projected for little or nothing this week, which makes this a good week to clear dead spots. The full sortable list is on our Elevens player picks page.

The programs: whose next three gameweeks are worth owning

Manchester City have the strongest attacking run in the game: [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL adds up to 6.28 expected goals. Liverpool away is the fixture to plan around, not a reason to stay away, because the best attacking fixture of the window follows it. Arsenal are second on goals (5.83) and clear first on defence: 1.44 expected clean sheets from [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE, and their 50% clean-sheet chance against Leeds is the best in Gameweek 6 by a distance (Everton at Hull are next at 33%). Manchester United ([H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU) and Chelsea ([H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT) both pass 5.3 expected goals across the three. Fulham are the quiet defensive run: [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV gives them 0.92 expected clean sheets, third behind Arsenal and Manchester City.

At the other end, Hull (3.06), Ipswich (3.35) and Leeds (3.43) have the three weakest attacking programs, and Leeds' trip to Arsenal carries just 0.68 expected goals this week.

TeamGW6 fixtureWin probabilityExpected goalsClean sheetProgram (GW6–8)3-gameweek xG3-gameweek CS
MCI[A]LIV39%1.6122%[A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL6.280.96
ARS[H]LEE69%2.0650%[H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE5.831.44
MUN[H]TOT56%2.0629%[H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU5.560.79
CHE[H]BOU57%2.0730%[H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT5.390.84
LIV[H]MCI36%1.5420%[H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA5.020.69
BRE[A]AVL37%1.4823%[A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL4.910.80
NEW[A]COV46%1.7028%[A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY4.860.76
BHA[A]SUN41%1.4928%[A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV4.850.78
FUL[A]IPS39%1.4925%[A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV4.850.92
TOT[A]MUN22%1.2413%[A]MUN → [H]COV → [A]CHE4.630.68

Sorted by 3-gameweek expected goals; 3-gameweek CS is expected clean sheets over the three matches, not a percentage. Kick-off times are on the Elevens schedule, and the bookmaker lines behind these numbers are on the Elevens market probabilities page.

Best Elevens Gameweek 6 goalkeepers

Goalkeeper is the flattest position in the game: the top five are within two points of each other over the next three gameweeks, so do not spend a transfer here unless you have to.

Caoimhin Kelleher (BRE) leads the three-gameweek total with 136.3 from [A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL (44.6 → 44.5 → 47.2). Robin Roefs (SUN) is the differential version of the same idea: [H]BHA → [A]BOU → [H]LEE holds him at 45.2 → 44.6 → 45.5 (135.3), and only 0.5% of managers own him. If you already have Lukas Hornicek (31.7% owned), keep him — his 45.8 → 45.7 → 44.6 over [A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY is level with both. Jordan Pickford has the best single number this week (47.1 at Hull) but drops to 41.9 at Arsenal in Gameweek 8, and David Raya (ARS) comes with the best defensive program in the game ([H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE, 134.6) if you want the clean sheet against Leeds.

Best Elevens Gameweek 6 defenders

Luka Vuskovic (BHA) leads the three-gameweek ranking: [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV takes him 75.2 → 78.6 → 65.1 for 218.9, and he has the best six-gameweek weighted score at the position (257.3). Liverpool away in Gameweek 8 is the weak link, and two strong weeks in front of it carry the buy. Jannik Schuster (BRE) is a point and a half behind (217.4) and has the best Gameweek 6 of any defender, 78.1 at Aston Villa, before 68.0 against Liverpool and 71.3 at Hull. Either is a buy to hold.

Virgil van Dijk (LIV) is the hold-and-forget option: 70.1 → 69.5 → 71.0 over [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA. A flat line like that means you never have to plan a transfer around him. Antonee Robinson is projected for only 65 minutes at Ipswich and 53.8 points, so David Affengruber (FUL) is now the Fulham defender to own: [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV gives him 71.2 → 72.4 → 65.4 (209.0).

Josko Gvardiol (MCI) is the one to time: 61.2 at Liverpool, then 77.0 against Ipswich and 64.7 at Villa, so he needs to be in before Gameweek 7, not necessarily this week. Gabriel (ARS) is the pick for this week's clean sheet (74.3 against Leeds), and Arsenal's 1.44 expected clean sheets keep him at 202.1 over [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE. Piero Hincapié also projects 68.2 against Leeds, but he falls to about 30 in each of the next two gameweeks, so he is not a buy. Lewis Hall (32.2% owned) is a comfortable hold at 73.3 → 68.0 → 63.2.

Best Elevens Gameweek 6 midfielders

Bruno Fernandes (MUN) is the best player in the game this week, over the next three gameweeks and on the six-gameweek weighted score. [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU takes him 100.9 → 83.3 → 88.9, a three-gameweek total of 273.1 — 56 points clear of the next midfielder — and a weighted score of 315.4. He is Manchester United's penalty taker, and this season he is producing 0.69 expected goal involvements per 90. Own him for the run, not the week; at 0.5% ownership he is also the biggest gap in most squads.

Morgan Rogers (CHE) is second at the position over three gameweeks: [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT gives 80.5 → 67.9 → 68.9 (217.3), backed by 0.55 xGI per 90. Cole Palmer is projected for no minutes in Gameweek 6 and only 16.3 in Gameweek 7, which makes Rogers the Chelsea midfielder to own for this run. Check the Elevens predicted lineups before the deadline in case that changes.

For the Manchester City midfield route into Ipswich week, Rayan Cherki projects 82.4 in Gameweek 7 but only 53 minutes at Liverpool, so Elliot Anderson (MCI) is the safer pick: 66.5 → 74.8 → 61.6 over [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL (202.9) with 81 projected minutes. Cherki is a buy for next week, not this one. For a steady floor, Florian Wirtz (LIV) barely moves: 67.4 → 67.0 → 68.8 over [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA.

Pascal Gross (BHA) takes Brighton's penalties and has three goals and three assists this season; [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV gives him 66.5 → 76.8 → 58.3 (201.6), so he pairs naturally with Vuskovic. Marcus Tavernier (BOU) peaks in the same week: [A]CHE → [H]SUN → [A]MUN for 64.7 → 74.7 → 58.2, with 0.57 xGI per 90. Both are better owned from now than bought for Gameweek 7, because the Gameweek 6 numbers are already decent. Anton Stach is the one to watch for next week: 57.1 at Arsenal, then 69.5 and 66.3 over [H]MUN → [A]SUN.

Best Elevens Gameweek 6 forwards

This is where this week's ranking and the three-gameweek ranking disagree most. Bukayo Saka (88.1 against Leeds) and Kai Havertz (85.4) have the biggest Gameweek 6 numbers, but Erling Haaland (MCI) has the biggest run: 70.2 → 116.1 → 81.7 over [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL, 268.0 in total against Saka's 234.1, and the best six-gameweek weighted score of any forward (312.7). He is City's penalty taker with 0.87 xGI per 90 this season, and only 0.5% of managers own him. If you are making one forward transfer and keeping the player, it is Haaland — and he has to be in before Ipswich.

Bukayo Saka (ARS) is still the second-best forward to own: 88.1 → 74.2 → 71.8 over [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE, with 0.90 xGI per 90. Bryan Mbeumo (MUN) rides United's run at 83.9 → 67.8 → 73.2 (224.9) and 0.75 xGI per 90.

Elevens Gameweek 6 differentials and hidden gems

Thiago Rodrigues (BRE) is the forward the template is missing. At 7.7% ownership he projects 72.2 → 66.4 → 77.8 over [A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL (216.4). He is Brentford's penalty taker, and 3.01 of his 3.17 expected goal involvements this season are his own shots. Haaland and Bruno at 0.5%, Roefs at 0.5% and Rogers at 3.8% fit the same profile: a real program behind them and very few managers alongside. Omar Marmoush is a one-week play only — 79.1 against Coventry in Gameweek 7, but 57.6 and 47.3 either side of it — and Havertz is the same in reverse (see below).

Who to captain in Elevens Gameweek 6

The captain scores double. Bruno Fernandes (MUN) is the pick at 100.9 projected points against Tottenham, the highest number in the game this week, and [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU keeps him a captain option all window. Bukayo Saka is second at 88.1 at home to a Leeds side projected for only 0.68 goals, and Kai Havertz (85.4) and Bryan Mbeumo (83.9) round out the top four.

Plan the armband across the run. Haaland is the clear Gameweek 7 captain at 116.1 against Ipswich, and Bruno is back on top in Gameweek 8 at 88.9 against Bournemouth. Owning both covers your captaincy for all three gameweeks, which is the strongest argument for having Haaland in by next week. The Elevens optimal teams page solves the full 15 live for each gameweek.

Who to sell before Elevens Gameweek 6

The easy wins first. Joseph Willock (35.5% owned) projects 27.8 → 27.4 → 24.9 on 42 projected minutes, Yasin Ayari (31.7%) is projected for no minutes this week and under 13 points in each of the next two, Ezri Konsa (19.1%) is at zero this week and 16.1 and 24.8 after it, and Alex Scott (16.4%) is projected for nothing until Gameweek 11. None of their programs recover inside the window, so every week you hold them is a near-empty spot — these are the transfers to make now, before anything else.

Harvey Barnes (NEW) is the sell among the template forwards, and this is the week to do it. [A]COV is a decent fixture and 65.0 is a fair return, so this is not a bad week for him. But [H]AVL → [A]CRY follows at 61.0 and 53.2, and he keeps falling after that (53.8, 48.5, 35.6). He is owned by 45.4%. Swapping him for Haaland gains about 5 points this week and 55 in Gameweek 7, so there is no reason to wait.

Bruno Guimaraes (32.2%) and Kai Havertz are the ones you can wait a gameweek on. Both project well against Leeds (73.1 and 85.4), and both drop sharply after it — Guimaraes to 48.1 and 43.7, Havertz to 58.4 and 61.3 over [A]NFO → [H]EVE. Keep them for Leeds and move them on before Gameweek 7; Havertz into Haaland is the natural swap then. Jack Grealish (20.8%) is the same story one week later: 69.0 at Hull and 60.5 against Chelsea, then 40.2 at Arsenal, so he can stay until Gameweek 8.

Last week's calls are in the Elevens Gameweek 5 preview, and every round is collected in the Elevens preview hub.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Elevens Gameweek 6?

Bruno Fernandes is the top captain pick at 100.9 projected points at home to Tottenham. Bukayo Saka (88.1 against Leeds) is the alternative, with Kai Havertz (85.4) and Bryan Mbeumo (83.9) behind him.

Should I buy Erling Haaland for Elevens Gameweek 6?

Yes, if you have a weak forward to move — he must be in before Gameweek 7. Haaland projects 70.2 at Liverpool, 116.1 against Ipswich and 81.7 at Aston Villa, and his 268.0 over three gameweeks is the best of any forward.

Should I sell Harvey Barnes before Elevens Gameweek 6?

Yes. Coventry away is a fair fixture (65.0), but Barnes falls to 61.0 and 53.2 after it, and swapping him for Haaland gains about 60 points over the next two gameweeks.

Which defenders are best for Elevens Gameweek 6?

Luka Vuskovic is the best defender over the next three gameweeks (75.2 → 78.6 → 65.1). Jannik Schuster tops this week alone at 78.1, Gabriel has Arsenal's 50% clean-sheet chance against Leeds, and Virgil van Dijk is the flattest hold at around 70 every week.

Who are the best Elevens differentials for Gameweek 6?

Thiago Rodrigues (7.7% owned, Brentford's penalty taker, 216.4 over three gameweeks), Robin Roefs (0.5%) and Morgan Rogers (3.8%, 217.3 over Chelsea's [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT) are the standout low-owned picks.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.