Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 29: best buys and captains
Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 29 preview: best buys, captains and differentials for the run-in
Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 29 is the second-to-last gameweek of the season, and it comes after a two-week gap in the schedule. That changes the maths. With only Gameweeks 29 and 30 left, the whole "program" is two fixtures. That means every transfer you make now is a transfer for the rest of the season. A player who is good in Gameweek 29 and poor in Gameweek 30 is worth half as much as one who is good in both. A player who is poor in both has no reason left to stay in your squad.
The short version: Hammarby own the best run-in in the game, Elfsborg are close behind on clean sheets, and Brommapojkarna are the strongest one-week play. Djurgården's attackers are the players whose value rises into the final gameweek. Below we go through every position, the captaincy, the sells and a Loan Rangers squad. Every number comes from our model's current projections, which you can browse in full on the Allsvenskan Fantasy player picks page.
The programs: whose last two gameweeks are worth owning
Because the season ends after Gameweek 30, the program columns below cover the two gameweeks that are left, not three. Every club has exactly one fixture in each of them, so the totals compare like with like. The table is sorted on 2-gameweek expected goals.
Hammarby have the best run-in on both counts: [H]IFK → [A]VÄS adds up to 4.35 expected goals and 0.79 expected clean sheets, the highest totals in the game. They are 69% favourites at home to IFK Göteborg and 61% favourites away at Västerås, so there is no weak week to plan around. This is the program to be over-exposed to.
Elfsborg come next for defenders: [A]BKH → [H]GAI totals 0.75 expected clean sheets. Gameweek 29 is the big one, with a 74% win probability and a 45% clean-sheet chance at Häcken. GAIS at home is a more ordinary 30% clean-sheet game, but it is not a bad one.
Brommapojkarna are the one-week play. [H]HBK carries the highest clean-sheet chance of Gameweek 29 at 47%, but [A]MFF drops that to 17%. Their defenders are good buys only if you are happy to treat them as a one-gameweek pick.
Djurgården run the other way. [A]SIR is a 30% win probability and a 14% clean-sheet chance, but [H]BKH in Gameweek 30 is the highest expected-goals fixture of the final round at 2.33. Their attackers rise, while their defence stays a poor bet in both weeks.
At the bottom, Halmstads BK ([A]BRO → [H]MJA, 1.65 xG) and Västerås SK ([A]GAI → [H]HIF, 1.78 xG) have the weakest attacking programs, while Häcken ([H]ELF → [A]DIF) have the weakest defensive one at 0.18 expected clean sheets. Full fixture dates are on the Allsvenskan Fantasy schedule, and the bookmaker numbers behind these probabilities are on market probabilities.
| Team | Gameweek 29 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (GW29 → GW30) | 2-gameweek xG | 2-gameweek CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby | [H]IFK | 69% | 2.31 | 41% | [H]IFK → [A]VÄS | 4.35 | 0.79 |
| Djurgården | [A]SIR | 30% | 1.60 | 14% | [A]SIR → [H]BKH | 3.93 | 0.36 |
| Elfsborg | [A]BKH | 74% | 2.49 | 45% | [A]BKH → [H]GAI | 3.87 | 0.75 |
| Sirius | [H]DIF | 47% | 2.00 | 20% | [H]DIF → [A]IFK | 3.84 | 0.47 |
| Mjällby | [H]MFF | 44% | 1.64 | 27% | [H]MFF → [A]HBK | 3.23 | 0.68 |
| Brommapojkarna | [H]HBK | 65% | 1.95 | 47% | [H]HBK → [A]MFF | 3.22 | 0.64 |
| Malmö FF | [A]MJA | 30% | 1.30 | 20% | [A]MJA → [H]BRO | 3.09 | 0.48 |
| GAIS | [H]VÄS | 60% | 1.78 | 45% | [H]VÄS → [A]ELF | 2.98 | 0.70 |
| AIK | [H]DEG | 52% | 1.59 | 39% | [H]DEG → [A]KFF | 2.92 | 0.69 |
| Degerfors | [A]AIK | 21% | 0.94 | 20% | [A]AIK → [H]ÖIS | 2.76 | 0.56 |
| Kalmar FF | [A]ÖIS | 38% | 1.45 | 25% | [A]ÖIS → [H]AIK | 2.66 | 0.51 |
| Örgryte | [H]KFF | 35% | 1.40 | 23% | [H]KFF → [A]DEG | 2.42 | 0.40 |
| Häcken | [H]ELF | 9% | 0.80 | 8% | [H]ELF → [A]DIF | 2.28 | 0.18 |
| IFK Göteborg | [A]HIF | 12% | 0.89 | 10% | [A]HIF → [H]SIR | 2.19 | 0.26 |
| Västerås SK | [A]GAI | 16% | 0.81 | 17% | [A]GAI → [H]HIF | 1.78 | 0.30 |
| Halmstads BK | [A]BRO | 13% | 0.75 | 14% | [A]BRO → [H]MJA | 1.65 | 0.34 |
Gameweek 29 goalkeepers
Warner Hahn (6.0m, HIF) is the keeper to own for the run-in. His program is [H]IFK → [A]VÄS, with a 41% and then a 38% clean-sheet chance, and that projects 4.8 → 4.6, or 9.4 points over the last two gameweeks. No goalkeeper projects more over that stretch. He is already 25.7% owned, so he protects rank rather than gaining it.
Mergim Krasniqi (5.5m, GAI) is the alternative at 7.3% ownership. [H]VÄS → [A]ELF gives GAIS a 45% clean-sheet chance in Gameweek 29 and 25% in Gameweek 30, which is 4.9 → 4.1 and 9.0 points in total.
Davor Blazevic (4.3m, BRO) has the highest goalkeeper projection of Gameweek 29 at 5.1, on the back of that 47% clean-sheet chance at home to Halmstad. His program is [H]HBK → [A]MFF, though, and he drops to 3.8 in the final week. He is a cheap one-week keeper. Hahn is the better buy if you are only making one goalkeeper move.
For a differential, Alexander Lundin (5.4m, MJA) is 0.8% owned and rises from 4.3 to 4.6 on [H]MFF → [A]HBK. Mjällby have a 41% clean-sheet chance at Halmstad in Gameweek 30, the best of the final round.
Gameweek 29 defenders
The defender rankings split between the two gameweeks. Oliver Zandén tops Gameweek 29 alone, but Niklas Hult projects more across both. If you are buying one defender to keep until the end, buy Hult.
Niklas Hult (6.2m, ELF) is the top defender over the run-in: 5.8 → 4.3, or 10.1 points from [A]BKH → [H]GAI. The model gives him 0.18 expected assists at Häcken on top of the 44% clean-sheet chance, which is why he out-projects cheaper Elfsborg defenders. He is 33.7% owned.
Alexander Jensen (6.1m, ELF) is the same Elfsborg program for 2.6% ownership. He projects 5.4 → 4.1, 9.5 in total, with 0.20 expected assists in Gameweek 29. If you want Elfsborg's clean sheet without copying the template, this is the pick.
Oliver Zandén (5.1m, BRO) has the highest defender projection of Gameweek 29 at 5.9, but his program is [H]HBK → [A]MFF and he drops to 3.5 in the final week. Buy him for Gameweek 29 and accept a weaker Gameweek 30, or leave him out. Simon Strand (4.4m, BRO) is the budget version of the same idea: 5.1 → 3.0 on the same program, at 4.2% ownership.
Noah Persson (7.4m, HIF) is the defender with the flattest program: 4.7 → 4.7 on [H]IFK → [A]VÄS, 9.4 in total, for 2.7% ownership. There is no week to sell him before. Hampus Skoglund (6.8m) and Frederik Winther (6.7m) give the same Hammarby clean-sheet cover at 9.1 each.
For a budget defender who peaks in the final gameweek, Nikolai Skuseth (4.5m, DEG) goes 3.4 → 4.6 on [A]AIK → [H]ÖIS. Degerfors have a 36% clean-sheet chance at home to Örgryte in Gameweek 30. He is almost unowned, and he projects 8.0 over the two weeks, within a tenth of Strand.
Gameweek 29 midfielders
This is where the two-week view matters most. Victor Lind and Isak Bjerkebo share the top Gameweek 29 projection at 6.3 each, but Bo Åsulv Hegland (8.4m, DIF) projects more across both weeks: 5.6 → 6.9, or 12.5 points from [A]SIR → [H]BKH. His 6.9 in Gameweek 30 is the highest projection of any player in the final round. The model gives him 0.42 expected assists against Häcken. At 54.6% ownership he is a hold, not a buy. If you do not have him, Gameweek 29 is the week to bring him in, because his best fixture is the last one.
Victor Lind (11.0m, HIF) is the premium for the Hammarby run-in: 6.3 → 6.1 on [H]IFK → [A]VÄS, 12.4 in total. He has around 0.4 expected goals and more than 0.2 expected assists in each game. That flat line is why he is the safest captain of the two gameweeks (see below).
Isak Bjerkebo (9.2m, SIR) is Sirius's penalty taker and the most-owned player in the game at 60.0%. He projects 6.3 → 5.7 on [H]DIF → [A]IFK, 12.0 in total, so he stays in the squad.
Montader Madjed (8.9m, HIF) is the midfield differential. He gets the same Hammarby program for 9.0% ownership and projects 5.2 → 4.9, 10.1 over the two gameweeks. If you own Lind, Madjed gives you more Hammarby exposure. If you do not, he gets you most of it for 2.1m less.
Mads Kristian Hansen (7.4m, BRO) is Brommapojkarna's penalty taker and projects 5.8 in Gameweek 29, the third-highest midfielder projection behind only Lind and Bjerkebo. Like every Brommapojkarna player, he falls away on [A]MFF, to 4.0. He is a one-week buy at 7.1% ownership.
On a budget, Julius Magnusson (5.2m, ELF) is the best midfielder at 6.0m or less over the run-in: 4.6 → 3.7 on [A]BKH → [H]GAI. Much of that comes from Elfsborg's clean-sheet chances, and he is projected for about 85 minutes in both games.
Gameweek 29 forwards
Paulos Abraham (10.6m, HIF) is the top forward for Gameweek 29 and over the run-in: 6.0 → 5.6, 11.6 in total, from [H]IFK → [A]VÄS. He has 0.58 expected goals at home to IFK Göteborg and is Hammarby's penalty taker. With Lind, Hahn and a Hammarby defender, he is part of the stack to own for the run-in.
Kristian Lien (10.4m, DIF) is Djurgården's penalty taker, and like Hegland he improves into the final week: 4.6 → 5.9 on [A]SIR → [H]BKH. His 0.59 expected goals against Häcken is the highest of any forward in Gameweek 30. Owners at 42.6% should hold. If you are choosing between him and Abraham for one slot, Abraham projects 1.1 more over the two weeks.
Leo Oestman (6.4m, ELF) is the value forward for Gameweek 29: 5.0 at Häcken with 0.48 expected goals, behind only Abraham. He falls to 3.6 against GAIS, so his program [A]BKH → [H]GAI makes him a one-week buy. Jacob Bergström (6.2m, MJA), Mjällby's penalty taker, is the steadier cheap option: 4.4 → 4.2 on [H]MFF → [A]HBK, 8.6 in total, the same as Oestman. Check both on the Allsvenskan Fantasy predicted lineups before the deadline.
Captaincy for Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 29
The captain scores double in Allsvenskan Fantasy, and three players are close at the top.
- Victor Lind (11.0m, HIF), 6.3. Hammarby are 69% favourites at home to IFK Göteborg, and Lind has both goal and assist threat. He is our pick because he also projects 6.1 for Gameweek 30.
- Isak Bjerkebo (9.2m, SIR), 6.3. Level with Lind and owned by 60.0%, so captaining him is the safe choice for protecting rank. The penalties are what lift his ceiling.
- Paulos Abraham (10.6m, HIF), 6.0. He has the highest expected goals of the three, at 0.58.
Oliver Zandén (5.9) and Niklas Hult (5.8) are the only defenders close to this group, and both are high-variance captains. Plan ahead too: for Gameweek 30, Hegland's 6.9 against Häcken is the top projection, ahead of Lind at 6.1 and Lien at 5.9. So owning Hegland gives you the best final-week captain as well as a Gameweek 29 starter.
Who to sell before Gameweek 29
Nahir Besara (13.1m, HIF) is the clearest sale. 28.5% of managers still own the most expensive player in the game, but the model projects him for only 22 and 26 minutes, and 2.1 → 1.8 points from [H]IFK → [A]VÄS. Hammarby's fixtures are excellent, so this is not about the fixtures. Why now: with two gameweeks left, there is no later week for his minutes to recover in, and his 13.1m buys Lind or Madjed in the same team.
Herman Magnusson (4.7m, VÄS) is 32.4% owned and projects 3.2 → 3.0 on [A]GAI → [H]HIF. Västerås have a 17% and then a 13% clean-sheet chance. Why now: there is no better fixture to wait for, because Gameweek 30 is Hammarby. Strand (4.4m) or Skuseth (4.5m) project about two points more over the two weeks.
Isak Pettersson (5.3m, ELF), owned by 15.6%, is not projected to start in goal at Häcken. Theo Sander (4.5m) is projected to start, and Pettersson's projection is 0.0 → 1.1. Why now: Elfsborg's 45% clean-sheet chance at Häcken is in Gameweek 29, and it is wasted on a keeper who is not expected to play. Check the predicted lineups close to the deadline in case this changes.
Ludvig Arvidsson (4.4m, HBK, 16.9% owned) is a lower-priority sale: 2.0 → 2.5 on the weakest attacking program in the game, [A]BRO → [H]MJA, and only 54 projected minutes in Gameweek 29. Move him on if you have a transfer to spare after the moves above.
Best Loan Rangers team for Gameweek 29
If you still have Loan Rangers and want to play it now, this is the squad that maximises Gameweek 29 alone, built within the solver's spending ceiling. It is a 4-5-1:
- GK: Davor Blazevic (4.3m, BRO), 5.1
- DEF: Oliver Zandén (5.1m, BRO), 5.9 · Niklas Hult (6.2m, ELF), 5.8 · Alexander Jensen (6.1m, ELF), 5.4 · Simon Strand (4.4m, BRO), 5.1
- MID: Victor Lind (11.0m, HIF), 6.3 · Isak Bjerkebo (9.2m, SIR), 6.3 (captain) · Mads Kristian Hansen (7.4m, BRO), 5.8 · Bo Åsulv Hegland (8.4m, DIF), 5.6 · Montader Madjed (8.9m, HIF), 5.2
- FWD: Paulos Abraham (10.6m, HIF), 6.0
That XI projects 62.5 points, or 68.8 with the captain doubled. The bench is Theo Sander (ELF), Andreas Troelsen (BRO), Leo Oestman (ELF) and Charlie Rosenqvist (DIF). Four Brommapojkarna players is what a one-week chip is for: their Gameweek 30 drop does not matter when the squad reverts. For the exact solve against your own squad, use our optimal teams for Allsvenskan Fantasy.
Gameweek 29 transfer summary
- Buy for both gameweeks: Hahn, Hult or Jensen, Lind, Madjed, Abraham. Hegland if you do not own him.
- One-week buys: Zandén, Strand, Blazevic, Mads Kristian Hansen, Oestman.
- Final-week risers: Hegland, Lien, Skuseth.
- Sell: Besara, Herman Magnusson, Isak Pettersson; Arvidsson if you have a spare transfer.
- Captain: Lind, with Bjerkebo as the safe alternative.
Last gameweek's picks are in our Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 28 preview, and every round is collected in the Allsvenskan Fantasy preview hub.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 29?
Victor Lind is our captain for Gameweek 29, projecting 6.3 at home to IFK Göteborg, level with Isak Bjerkebo. Lind gets the nod because Hammarby have the best two-gameweek program and he also projects 6.1 in Gameweek 30. Paulos Abraham (6.0) is the third option.
Who are the best Allsvenskan Fantasy differentials for Gameweek 29?
Alexander Jensen (2.6% owned, 9.5 over the last two gameweeks), Montader Madjed (9.0%, 10.1) and Noah Persson (2.7%, 9.4) are the best differentials. All three play for Elfsborg or Hammarby, the two clubs with the best clean-sheet programs for the run-in.
Should I sell Nahir Besara before Gameweek 29?
Yes. Besara is projected for only 22 and 26 minutes in the final two gameweeks, for 2.1 and 1.8 points, at 13.1m. Hammarby's fixtures are good, but Lind or Madjed get you those fixtures with far more minutes.
Which budget defenders are best for Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 29?
Simon Strand (4.4m, Brommapojkarna) is the best budget defender for Gameweek 29 at 5.1, from a 47% clean-sheet chance at home to Halmstad. Nikolai Skuseth (4.5m, Degerfors) projects 8.0 over the two gameweeks, against Strand's 8.1, with his best week in Gameweek 30.
Who is the best goalkeeper for Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 29?
Warner Hahn (6.0m, Hammarby) is the best goalkeeper for the run-in, with 9.4 points projected over Gameweeks 29 and 30. Davor Blazevic (4.3m) projects the most for Gameweek 29 alone at 5.1, but falls to 3.8 in the final week.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.