Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 21: best buys and captains
Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 21 preview: best buys, captain picks and differentials
Gameweek 21 of Allsvenskan Fantasy is a nine-fixture round spread over six days, from Friday 11 September to Wednesday 16 September. Two clubs play twice – AIK and Mjällby – and, importantly, no club blanks: all sixteen teams have at least one fixture. Everything below is built on the model numbers as of the 10 September update.
The obvious part of Gameweek 21 is easy, and everybody can see it: double-gameweek players fill the top of the projection table. What actually decides your rank is the eight or nine squad slots after those, whether you buy into the double cheaply or expensively, and whether you have a route back out. The standard club cap is three players from one team, so an AIK block is not a plan on its own – unless you are playing the chip covered further down.
Gameweek 21 fixture overview
Hammarby have the standout single fixture of the round at home to Brommapojkarna: 80.2% win probability, 2.96 expected goals and a 44.8% clean sheet chance – the best attacking projection any team carries into this gameweek. Malmö FF at home to Örgryte (69.6% win, 2.41 expected goals) and Sirius at home to Degerfors (68.1%, 2.28) form the next tier, with IFK Göteborg hosting Halmstads BK on 65.0% and Djurgården at home to GAIS on 59.0%.
AIK’s two games are individually modest – 47.9% against Västerås SK and 45.0% against Mjällby – but both are at home, and two average fixtures beat one good one when the points are simply added. Their combined clean sheet expectation of 61.3% across the two games is what drives the AIK defensive projections below. Mjällby’s double is far harsher: away at Häcken and away at AIK, for a combined clean sheet expectation of only 35.3%. That difference is exactly why the Mjällby picks here are a goalkeeper and an attacker, not defenders.
| Team | Fixture | Win % | Expected goals | Clean sheet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby | [H]Brommapojkarna | 80.2% | 2.96 | 44.8% |
| Malmö FF | [H]Örgryte | 69.6% | 2.41 | 39.7% |
| Sirius | [H]Degerfors | 68.1% | 2.28 | 41.4% |
| IFK Göteborg | [H]Halmstads BK | 65.0% | 2.21 | 38.1% |
| Djurgården | [H]GAIS | 59.0% | 2.00 | 35.5% |
| Häcken | [H]Mjällby | 57.3% | 2.06 | 31.4% |
| Elfsborg | [H]Kalmar FF | 51.8% | 1.71 | 34.8% |
| AIK (game 1) | [H]Västerås SK | 47.9% | 1.74 | 28.5% |
| AIK (game 2) | [H]Mjällby | 45.0% | 1.49 | 32.8% |
| Mjällby (game 1) | [A]Häcken | 20.1% | 1.16 | 12.8% |
| Mjällby (game 2) | [A]AIK | 27.3% | 1.11 | 22.5% |
The teams to leave alone are the other side of those same games. Brommapojkarna travel to Hammarby on a 6.7% win probability and a 5.2% clean sheet chance, Örgryte go to Malmö on 12.0%, Degerfors visit Sirius on 12.4% and Halmstads BK are at IFK Göteborg on 14.5%. You can check every one of these against the live numbers on our Allsvenskan market probabilities page, and the full six-day running order on the Allsvenskan Fantasy schedule.
Best goalkeepers for Gameweek 21
This is the position where the double gameweek pays most reliably, because a keeper’s return does not depend on him being picked to attack. Kristoffer Nordfeldt (5.5m, AIK) is the single highest-projected player in the entire game this week at 8.5 points, from 178 projected minutes across two home games and a combined 61.3% clean sheet expectation. At 1.55 points per million he is also one of the two best value plays in the round at any position.
The differential version is Sebastian Hansen (5.0m, MJA), owned by just 0.1% of managers and projected for 7.8. He is cheaper than Nordfeldt and returns 1.56 points per million, the best rate of any player in the round. His two fixtures are much worse defensively, so the projection leans on save volume rather than clean sheets – but two games of save points from a keeper almost nobody owns is precisely the shape of pick that moves you up a mini-league.
If you would rather not touch the double at all, Warner Hahn (6.1m, HAM) is the single-gameweek alternative on 5.0 behind Hammarby’s 44.8% clean sheet chance, and Viktor Andersson (4.8m, GOT) is the budget route at 0.8% ownership, projected 4.8 at home to Halmstads BK. Compare all of them side by side on the Allsvenskan Fantasy player picks page.
| Goalkeeper | Team | Price | Owned | GW21 points | Points per million |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristoffer Nordfeldt | AIK | 5.5m | 19.1% | 8.5 | 1.55 |
| Sebastian Hansen | MJA | 5.0m | 0.1% | 7.8 | 1.56 |
| Warner Hahn | HAM | 6.1m | 26.6% | 5.0 | 0.82 |
| David Celic | SIR | 5.2m | 7.9% | 4.8 | 0.92 |
| Viktor Andersson | GOT | 4.8m | 0.8% | 4.8 | 1.00 |
Best defenders for Gameweek 21
AIK own this position for one week. Herve Matthys (5.6m, AIK) leads all defenders on 7.6 points and is owned by only 3.7% of managers – one of the largest gaps between projection and ownership anywhere in the round. 175 projected minutes over the two games is effectively a nailed-on double, and he adds 0.10 expected assists on top of the clean sheet share.
The cheap way in is Wilmer Olofsson (4.4m, AIK). He projects 6.8 for 1.55 points per million, the best rate of any defender in the game this week, and at 1.5% ownership he is close to a free differential. Lukas Bergqvist (5.6m, AIK) completes the set on 6.7, and with the three-per-club cap those are the three AIK defenders worth having.
If you want a defender who is still useful after this round, look at Hammarby instead. Hampus Skoglund (6.8m, HAM) projects 5.8 this week and has the strongest profile of any defender once the double gameweek is out of the way: 5.8 → 4.3 → 3.9 → 4.8 over the next three gameweeks, for a decay-weighted six-round score of 16.5. Frederik Winther (6.6m, HAM) is the more heavily owned version at 23.5%, and Noah Persson (7.4m, HAM) is the 3.0%-owned differential from the same defence.
Mjällby defenders are the trap of the round. Tom Pettersson (5.7m, MJA) projects a respectable 5.9 on volume, but two away games with a combined 35.3% clean sheet expectation is a lot of minutes for very little defensive upside. Take the Mjällby double at the other end of the pitch.
| Defender | Team | Price | Owned | GW21 points | GW21 → GW23 trend | Weighted score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herve Matthys | AIK | 5.6m | 3.7% | 7.6 | 7.6 → 4.0 → 3.5 | 16.8 |
| Wilmer Olofsson | AIK | 4.4m | 1.5% | 6.8 | 6.8 → 3.2 → 2.7 | 13.8 |
| Lukas Bergqvist | AIK | 5.6m | 3.6% | 6.7 | 6.7 → 3.3 → 2.8 | 14.0 |
| Hampus Skoglund | HAM | 6.8m | 16.7% | 5.8 | 5.8 → 4.3 → 3.9 | 16.5 |
| Frederik Winther | HAM | 6.6m | 23.5% | 5.4 | 5.4 → 4.3 → 3.8 | 16.1 |
| Noah Persson | HAM | 7.4m | 3.0% | 5.5 | 5.5 → 4.0 → 3.6 | 15.4 |
| Tom Pettersson | MJA | 5.7m | 11.6% | 5.9 | 5.9 → 3.3 → 3.4 | 13.9 |
Best midfielders for Gameweek 21
Johan Hove (7.1m, AIK) is the double-gameweek midfielder to own, projected 7.4 from 172 minutes across the two games. He also holds AIK’s penalties with a 97% share, which is the single biggest ceiling-raiser available in this position – two home games with the spot-kicks in your pocket.
Victor Lind (10.9m, HAM) is the best single-gameweek midfielder on 7.2, and he is the one premium here worth owning regardless of the double: 7.2 → 5.2 → 5.3 → 5.5 over three gameweeks and a weighted six-round score of 20.5, the highest of any player in the game. He is expensive, and 31.4% of managers already have him.
The differential from the same team is Montader Madjed (8.9m, HAM) at 7.3% ownership, projected 6.4 with 0.40 expected goals and 0.30 expected assists – close to Lind’s output at a materially lower price. Cheaper still, Frank Junior Adjei (5.8m, HAM) is projected 5.7 and is owned by 0.8% of the game.
For a budget midfielder to fund the double, Jesper Gustavsson (4.5m, MJA) is the standout: 5.5 points for 1.22 points per million, from 170 projected minutes over Mjällby’s two games. Abdihakin Ali (4.8m, AIK) is the AIK equivalent at 0.4% ownership, projected 5.5. Both are one-week buys – check their expected roles first on the Allsvenskan predicted lineups page, because a cheap double-gameweek midfielder is only worth the transfer if he starts both games.
| Midfielder | Team | Price | Owned | GW21 points | Points per million | Weighted score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johan Hove | AIK | 7.1m | 9.3% | 7.4 | 1.04 | 15.9 |
| Victor Lind | HAM | 10.9m | 31.4% | 7.2 | 0.66 | 20.5 |
| Montader Madjed | HAM | 8.9m | 7.3% | 6.4 | 0.72 | 18.2 |
| Isak Bjerkebo | SIR | 9.5m | 64.4% | 5.8 | 0.61 | 18.6 |
| Frank Junior Adjei | HAM | 5.8m | 0.8% | 5.7 | 0.98 | 15.5 |
| Jesper Gustavsson | MJA | 4.5m | 4.7% | 5.5 | 1.22 | 12.2 |
| Abdihakin Ali | AIK | 4.8m | 0.4% | 5.5 | 1.15 | 11.8 |
Best forwards for Gameweek 21
Linus Carlstrand (7.3m, AIK) is the pick of the round and the captain recommendation below. He projects 8.2 points with 0.85 expected goals across the two home games – the highest expected-goal figure of any player in Gameweek 21 – from 169 projected minutes.
Jacob Bergström (6.2m, MJA) is the cheaper double-gameweek forward, projected 6.5 with a 93% penalty share for Mjällby. Two away games is a worse platform than Carlstrand’s two at home, but the price difference is real and the penalties keep his ceiling alive.
The genuine hidden gem here is Sixten Gustafsson (4.9m, AIK), owned by 0.7% of managers and projected 6.2 – 1.27 points per million. His 101 projected minutes across the two games are the caveat: he is not guaranteed to start both, so treat him as a punt rather than a certainty.
Outside the double, Paulos Abraham (10.7m, HAM) is the safe single-gameweek premium at 6.6 behind Hammarby’s best-in-round attacking projection, and he holds up afterwards too (6.6 → 4.6 → 4.8 → 4.8). Kristian Lien (10.1m, DIF) is projected 5.0 with a 90% penalty share at home to GAIS.
Captain picks for Gameweek 21
Allsvenskan Fantasy doubles your captain’s score, so in a round where two teams play twice the captaincy call is worth more than usual. These are the three names with a realistic case.
- Linus Carlstrand (AIK) – 8.2 projected, two home games, 0.85 expected goals. He has both the volume and the highest goal expectation in the round, which is what you want from a captain: the armband multiplies variance, and a striker with two starts is the cleanest way to use it.
- Kristoffer Nordfeldt (AIK) – 8.5 projected, the highest raw number of any player this week. He is the highest-floor captain on the board and the right choice if you want to protect a rank rather than chase one; a goalkeeper’s scoring range is simply narrower than a forward’s.
- Johan Hove (AIK) – 7.4 projected with AIK’s penalties on a 97% share. The third double-gameweek option, and the best one if you are already carrying Carlstrand and want the armband somewhere with a penalty-driven ceiling.
Outside AIK, Victor Lind (10.9m, HAM) on 7.2 is the strongest single-fixture alternative, and Sebastian Hansen (5.0m, MJA) on 7.8 is the other double-gameweek route to a high floor. If you are not sure your double-gameweek player starts both matches, captain the one you are most confident about rather than the highest projection – a benched captain costs far more than the two or three points between these names.
Best Loan Rangers team for Gameweek 21
Allsvenskan Fantasy’s Loan Rangers chip gives you unlimited transfers for one gameweek and removes the three-per-club restriction. A double gameweek where the doubling clubs are also among the best-projected clubs is the textbook moment to use it, because it is the only week you can stack six players from one team legally.
The highest-projecting Loan Rangers eleven for Gameweek 21 looks like this, in a 4-3-3:
| Position | Player | Team | Price | GW21 points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Kristoffer Nordfeldt | AIK | 5.5m | 8.5 |
| DEF | Herve Matthys | AIK | 5.6m | 7.6 |
| DEF | Wilmer Olofsson | AIK | 4.4m | 6.8 |
| DEF | Lukas Bergqvist | AIK | 5.6m | 6.7 |
| DEF | Tom Pettersson | MJA | 5.7m | 5.9 |
| MID | Johan Hove | AIK | 7.1m | 7.4 |
| MID | Victor Lind | HAM | 10.9m | 7.2 |
| MID | Montader Madjed | HAM | 8.9m | 6.4 |
| FWD | Linus Carlstrand | AIK | 7.3m | 8.2 |
| FWD | Paulos Abraham | HAM | 10.7m | 6.6 |
| FWD | Jacob Bergström | MJA | 6.2m | 6.5 |
That is six AIK, three Hammarby and two Mjällby, for a projected 77.8 points before the captain – and it is only a legal team under the chip. The implied captain is Linus Carlstrand, taking the total to roughly 86.0. Our solver runs this optimisation live against current prices and projections, so use the optimal teams for Allsvenskan Fantasy page for the exact answer in your own chip week rather than copying the table above.
Worth noting for planning: the Park the Bus chip doubles defender scores, and an AIK back line projecting 7.6, 6.8 and 6.7 in a double gameweek is a strong candidate for it. If you are still holding both chips, this round is a legitimate week for either.
Who to sell before Gameweek 21
Nahir Besara (13.2m, HAM) is the clearest sell in the game. He is the most expensive midfielder in Allsvenskan Fantasy, owned by 30.1% of managers, and projected just 2.8 points – 0.21 points per million. His penalty share has fallen to 29%, and Hammarby’s best attacking week of the season is projected to happen largely without him.
Charlie Rosenqvist (5.4m, DIF) is projected 0.9 at 15.9% ownership and does not recover afterwards (0.9 → 1.2 → 1.1 → 1.2). Herman Magnusson (4.5m, VAS) is owned by 30.1% of the game and travels to AIK on a 26.8% win probability with a 17.6% clean sheet chance.
The subtler one is Axel Norén (6.3m, MJA). He plays twice, which makes him look like a double-gameweek asset, but he is projected only 2.1 points across both games and 13.2% of managers are holding him through it. Playing twice badly is worse than playing once well – a Mjällby defender in two away games is not a double-gameweek pick, he is a defender with two chances to concede.
| Player | Team | Price | Owned | GW21 points | GW22 points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahir Besara | HAM | 13.2m | 30.1% | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Charlie Rosenqvist | DIF | 5.4m | 15.9% | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Herman Magnusson | VAS | 4.5m | 30.1% | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Axel Norén | MJA | 6.3m | 13.2% | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Mohamed Soumah | SIR | 5.4m | 14.4% | 2.1 | 2.3 |
Planning past Gameweek 21
Every double-gameweek asset in this article falls off a cliff in Gameweek 22, and you should buy them knowing that. Carlstrand goes 8.2 → 3.6 → 3.5 → 3.3, Matthys 7.6 → 4.0 → 3.5 → 3.8, Hove 7.4 → 3.5 → 3.4 → 3.4 and Nordfeldt 8.5 → 4.7 → 4.3 → 4.7. You get one big week and then you are holding a below-average asset with one free transfer to fix it.
The players who survive the transition are the ones with the highest decay-weighted six-round scores: Victor Lind (20.5), Bo Åsulv Hegland (18.9), Isak Bjerkebo (18.6) and Paulos Abraham (18.4). If you only have one transfer to spend, spending it on a cheap double rather than a premium one leaves you able to reverse the move next week without wrecking your team. That is the whole argument for Wilmer Olofsson or Jesper Gustavsson over a marquee name.
For the round-by-round view, the Allsvenskan Fantasy preview hub collects every gameweek, and you can see what has changed since our Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 20 preview. Broader strategy pieces live in our fantasy football guides.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 21?
Linus Carlstrand (AIK). He is projected 8.2 points across AIK’s two home games with 0.85 expected goals, the highest goal expectation of any player in the round. Kristoffer Nordfeldt has a fractionally higher raw projection at 8.5, but a goalkeeper has a much narrower scoring range, so Carlstrand is the better use of a doubled score. Johan Hove, on 7.4 with AIK’s penalties, is the third option.
Which teams have a double gameweek in Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 21?
AIK and Mjällby. AIK host Västerås SK on 12 September and Mjällby on 16 September, both at home. Mjällby travel to Häcken on 11 September and then to AIK on 16 September. No club blanks this gameweek – all sixteen teams play at least once.
Which budget defenders are best for Gameweek 21?
Wilmer Olofsson (AIK) at 4.4m is the outstanding cheap defender: 6.8 projected points across two home games for 1.55 points per million, and only 1.5% of managers own him. Outside the double, Harry Hilvenius (4.5m, HAE) projects 4.0 at home to Mjällby.
Should I sell Nahir Besara before Gameweek 21?
Yes. Besara is projected 2.8 points despite Hammarby having the best fixture in the round, he is the most expensive midfielder in the game, and his penalty share is down to 29%. Montader Madjed from the same team projects 6.4 at a much lower price, and Victor Lind 7.2 if you want to keep a Hammarby premium.
Best differentials for Allsvenskan Fantasy Gameweek 21?
Sebastian Hansen (Mjällby, 0.1% owned, 7.8 projected) is the standout, followed by Herve Matthys (AIK, 3.7% owned, 7.6 projected) and Wilmer Olofsson (AIK, 1.5% owned, 6.8 projected). Sixten Gustafsson at 0.7% ownership and 6.2 projected is the highest-upside punt, with the caveat that he is not certain to start both games.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.