ESF Differentials Gameweek 24: Best Low-Owned Picks
Our model's best ESF differential for Gameweek 24 is Sander Håvik Innvær (Tromsø), at home to KFUM: 5.7 predicted points at 0.4% ownership.
A differential here is any ESF player owned by fewer than 10% of managers. Below are the 10 with the most predicted points for Gameweek 24, then the best five in each position. Ownership tells you how many rivals you gain on if he returns; start chance and minutes tell you how likely he is to play. The predictions are recomputed through the day as odds and team news land, and the page always shows the current gameweek.
Best ESF differentials for Gameweek 24 (under 10% owned)
| # | Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sander Håvik Innvær | DEF | Tromsø | KFUM (H) | 5.7 | 90% | 75 | 0.4% |
| 2 | Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal | MID | Viking | Fredrikstad (H) | 5.5 | 94% | 74 | 9.0% |
| 3 | Sondre Auklend | MID | Bodø/Glimt | Hamarkameratene (A) | 5.4 | 100% | 81 | 1.2% |
| 4 | Sondre Milian Granaas | MID | Molde | Start (H) | 5.3 | 96% | 78 | 2.8% |
| 5 | Ervin Gigovic | MID | Sandefjord | Lillestrøm (H) | 5.2 | 90% | 72 | <0.1% |
| 6 | Lucas Ravn-Haren | MID | Vålerenga | Brann (H) | 5.0 | 97% | 65 | 1.2% |
| 7 | Mathias Christensen | MID | Aalesund | Kristiansund BK (A) | 4.7 | 98% | 84 | 3.4% |
| 8 | Eggert Aron Gudmundsson | MID | Brann | Vålerenga (A) | 4.5 | 88% | 71 | 0.5% |
| 9 | Kristoffer Haugen | DEF | Viking | Fredrikstad (H) | 4.5 | 86% | 72 | 4.5% |
| 10 | Ola Brynhildsen | FWD | Bodø/Glimt | Hamarkameratene (A) | 4.5 | 100% | 74 | 0.8% |
pP = predicted points for Gameweek 24. Start % = our probability he starts; pMins = projected minutes; Owned = share of ESF managers who own him.
Projections last updated 2026-10-15 22:32 UTC.
Differential goalkeepers
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arild Østbø | GK | Viking | Fredrikstad (H) | 4.0 | 99% | 89 | 7.2% |
| Albert Posiadala | GK | Molde | Start (H) | 3.9 | 99% | 89 | 4.6% |
| Leander Øy | GK | Sarpsborg 08 | Rosenborg (H) | 3.4 | 99% | 89 | 9.7% |
| Leopold Wahlstedt | GK | Rosenborg | Sarpsborg 08 (A) | 3.3 | 99% | 89 | 4.4% |
| Michael Lansing | GK | Kristiansund BK | Aalesund (H) | 3.1 | 99% | 89 | 1.8% |
Differential defenders
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sander Håvik Innvær | DEF | Tromsø | KFUM (H) | 5.7 | 90% | 75 | 0.4% |
| Kristoffer Haugen | DEF | Viking | Fredrikstad (H) | 4.5 | 86% | 72 | 4.5% |
| Isak Vådebu | DEF | Tromsø | KFUM (H) | 4.2 | 96% | 86 | 1.8% |
| Martin Linnes | DEF | Molde | Start (H) | 4.2 | 87% | 65 | 0.8% |
| Jostein Gundersen | DEF | Bodø/Glimt | Hamarkameratene (A) | 4.1 | 100% | 79 | 2.7% |
Differential midfielders
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal | MID | Viking | Fredrikstad (H) | 5.5 | 94% | 74 | 9.0% |
| Sondre Auklend | MID | Bodø/Glimt | Hamarkameratene (A) | 5.4 | 100% | 81 | 1.2% |
| Sondre Milian Granaas | MID | Molde | Start (H) | 5.3 | 96% | 78 | 2.8% |
| Ervin Gigovic | MID | Sandefjord | Lillestrøm (H) | 5.2 | 90% | 72 | <0.1% |
| Lucas Ravn-Haren | MID | Vålerenga | Brann (H) | 5.0 | 97% | 65 | 1.2% |
Differential forwards
| Player | Pos | Club | Fixture | pP | Start % | pMins | Owned |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ola Brynhildsen | FWD | Bodø/Glimt | Hamarkameratene (A) | 4.5 | 100% | 74 | 0.8% |
| Erik Botheim | FWD | Viking | Fredrikstad (H) | 4.2 | 78% | 63 | 3.5% |
| Duarte Moreira | FWD | Hamarkameratene | Bodø/Glimt (H) | 2.7 | 100% | 75 | 0.1% |
| Henrik Langaas Skogvold | FWD | Fredrikstad | Viking (A) | 2.7 | 98% | 81 | 7.2% |
| Mathias Grundetjern | FWD | Vålerenga | Brann (H) | 2.6 | 56% | 68 | 5.4% |
Frequently asked questions
Who are the best ESF differentials for Gameweek 24?
By predicted points among players owned by fewer than 10% of managers: Sander Håvik Innvær (5.7 pts, 0.4% owned), Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal (5.5 pts, 9.0% owned), Sondre Auklend (5.4 pts, 1.2% owned).
What is a differential in ESF?
A player few of your rivals own - on this page, under 10% ownership. When he scores you gain on almost everyone; when the popular pick scores instead, you lose ground. That makes differentials most useful when you are chasing.
When is the ESF Gameweek 24 deadline?
The Gameweek 24 deadline is Saturday 17 October, 12:55 UK time (Saturday 17 October, 11:55 UTC).
How often is this list updated?
Continuously - predicted points and ownership are refreshed through the day. The last update was 15 Oct 2026, 22:32 UTC.