Tattico Fantasy Serie A 2026/2027 Round 3 Preview

Tattico Fantasy Serie A Round 3 preview: best buys, captain picks and hidden gems

Round 3 of Tattico Fantasy Serie A is the flattest gameweek of the season so far. Not a single team in the round is priced above a 55.6% win probability — that is Inter at home to Napoli, and it is the best fixture on the card. In Round 4 there are two teams above 71%. So this is not a round to chase a big score; it is a round to make sure your cheap slots are pointing at the few defences the model actually likes, and to set yourself up for the fixtures that open up straight afterwards.

The model's own output says the same thing in a way that is hard to ignore: 18 of the top 20 players by predicted points in Round 3 are defenders or goalkeepers. Exactly one midfielder and one forward make that list. Everything below follows from that.

The round runs from Friday 4 September (Genoa – Como, 20:45 local time) to Monday 7 September (Udinese – Lazio). You can see every kick-off time on the Tattico Serie A schedule, and the full predicted-points table for every player on the Tattico player picks page.

Round 3 fixtures: where the points are

Four matchups shape the round. The table is one row per team, so each line is that club's own numbers.

Como are the team to target. Their 45.2% clean sheet chance at Genoa is the highest in the round, and it is immediately followed by the single best fixture of the next month: [H]Parma in Round 4, 71.8% win probability and a 55.5% clean sheet chance. Two rounds, two of the best defensive fixtures in the game. Remember the cap of three players from one club — you cannot simply buy the whole Como back line.

Inter are the other block worth owning, and their run is longer: [H]Napoli → [H]Udinese (73.1%) → [A]Roma → [H]Parma (78.2% win, the highest number anywhere in Rounds 3–8). Round 3 is the hardest of those four, which is exactly why buying now rather than later is the cheaper move.

Juventus are the quiet one. Hosting Milan is a middling Round 3 fixture (43.7%), but from Round 4 their programme is the smoothest in the league: [A]Sassuolo (59.6%) → [H]Atalanta → [A]Cagliari → [H]Lazio → [A]Lecce (61.4% win, 50.8% clean sheet). Round 3 is the discount window on Juventus defenders. Compare the underlying probabilities yourself on the Tattico market probabilities page.

Best goalkeepers for Round 3

Jean Butez (5.5m, Como) is the pick. He has the best clean sheet probability of any goalkeeper in the round at 44.8%, 4.8 predicted points, and the strongest follow-up: 5.4 in Round 4. His six-round weighted score of 16.5 is the highest of any keeper in the game.

Josep Martinez (6.0m, Inter) is the premium alternative at 4.6 points with a 41.5% clean sheet chance, and his weighted score of 16.3 is effectively level with Butez — you are paying the extra 0.5m for the Inter fixture run rather than for Round 3 itself.

The value option is Elia Caprile (4.5m, Cagliari): 4.5 predicted points at the cheapest price in the position, a 42.0% clean sheet chance at home to Lecce, and the best points-per-million in the position this round at 1.00. Be clear what you are buying, though — Cagliari then travel to Atalanta and Udinese, so Caprile is a Round 3 number, not a Round 3–8 one. If you want one keeper you never think about again, Lukasz Skorupski (4.9m, Bologna) at 4.3 points and a 35.9% clean sheet chance is the steadier version of the same idea.

Best defenders for Round 3

This is the position that decides the round, and it is where the model is most confident.

Federico Dimarco (7.5m, Inter) is the highest-scoring player in the entire round at 5.2 predicted points, and the highest weighted score of any defender in the game at 17.9. The reason he beats defenders on better clean sheet numbers is that he is not really priced as a defender: the model gives him 0.147 expected goals and 0.104 expected assists from wing-back in this fixture alone, on 81 predicted minutes. His trajectory is 5.2 → 5.7 → 3.7 → 5.7 across Rounds 3–6. If you own one expensive defender this season, the model says it should be this one.

Jacobo Ramon (5.5m, Como) is the best mid-price buy: 5.0 points, a 42.4% clean sheet chance, 87 predicted minutes, and 5.3 again in Round 4. That is 10.3 points over two rounds from a 5.5m defender. His team-mates Alex Valle (5.5m) at 4.8 and Yannick Couto (5.5m) at 4.6 are the same fixture from different angles — Couto's 65 predicted minutes make him the riskier of the three, so if you are only taking one Como defender, take Ramon.

Budget pick: Mehmet Celik (4.5m, Juventus). At the floor price he returns 4.2 points this round and carries a weighted six-round score of 15.2 — a weighted points-per-million of 3.39, the best of any player in the game at any position. His run reads 4.2 → 4.6 → 3.8 → 4.1 → 4.2 → 4.5: there is no bad week in it. This is the single most efficient use of a defensive slot in Round 3.

Danilho Doekhi (4.6m, Lazio) is the other one to know: 4.5 points despite an unremarkable away trip to Udinese, 87 predicted minutes, 0.082 expected goals, and a weighted score of 15.4 that beats defenders costing 2m more. Lazio's Rounds 6 and 8 — home to Monza and home to Parma — are where he pays you back.

Cagliari's cheap trio — Adam Obert (5.0m) at 4.7, Ze Pedro (4.5m) at 4.6 and Juan Rodriguez (4.5m) at 4.4 — are the highest-scoring budget defenders in the round on the back of a 42.4% clean sheet chance at home to Lecce. Just know that the model has Cagliari's Round 4 clean sheet chance dropping to 15.2%. With one free transfer a week, buying a defender for a single fixture and then paying a hit to move him on rarely works out; take these three only if they slot into a squad you were building anyway.

Best midfielders for Round 3

Nico Paz (10.4m, Como) is the premium pick and the best attacking asset in the round: 4.8 predicted points, 0.307 expected goals, 0.114 expected assists, and 83 predicted minutes. He is the only midfielder in the round's top 20, and his 5.2 in Round 4 against Parma makes him a two-round play rather than a one-off. At 10.4m he is expensive — but no other midfielder in the game gets within 0.6 of him this round.

Riccardo Orsolini (6.5m, Bologna) is the mid-price alternative at 4.1 points with 0.284 expected goals and a 61% share of Bologna's penalties, at home to Sassuolo. The caveat is real: the model has him on only 55 predicted minutes, so he is a pick you make knowing he may not see the full game.

Hidden gem: Assane Diao (5.0m, Como). 4.1 predicted points at 5.0m is the best raw score of any midfielder under 5.5m, driven by 0.193 expected goals in Como's best fixture of the month. Same warning as Orsolini — 59 predicted minutes — and remember the three-per-club cap if you already hold Butez and Ramon.

Budget pick: Daniel Maldini (4.5m, Cagliari) at 3.9 points and 80 predicted minutes is the cheapest way to get a genuine starter with an attacking role into the squad. Federico Conceicao (7.2m, Juventus) deserves a mention for the longer view: 3.8 this round, but the second-highest weighted midfield score in the game at 13.8, and Juventus's fixtures improve from Round 4 onwards.

Best forwards for Round 3

Thin, and the numbers say so. No forward in the game reaches 4.4 predicted points in Round 3, and the most expensive strikers have the worst week of their next six.

Anastasios Douvikas (8.0m, Como) is the best forward on the board at 4.3 points — 0.374 expected goals on 84 predicted minutes, the highest of any forward with secure minutes. He is 3.9m cheaper than Lautaro Martinez and outscores him this round.

Donyell Malen (10.2m, Roma) is the highest-ceiling option at 4.1 points with 0.425 expected goals, the highest of any forward in the round, and a 70% penalty share, at home to Atalanta. The catch is 63 predicted minutes — the expected-goals rate is elite, the volume is not guaranteed.

Budget pick: Che Adams (4.4m, Venezia). 3.7 points at 4.4m is a points-per-million of 0.84, the best of any forward in the round, and he does it on 83 predicted minutes with 0.345 expected goals. If you need to free up money for Dimarco or Nico Paz, this is the enabler that costs you the least.

Lautaro Martinez (11.9m, Inter) is a hold rather than a buy this week: 3.8 points on 54 predicted minutes against Napoli, but 5.0 in Round 4 and 5.2 in Round 6, and the best weighted forward score in the game at 15.5. Do not sell him over a single fixture — just do not captain him.

Captain picks for Round 3

There is no obvious armband this week, and that is the honest answer. The top eight players by predicted points contain no forwards at all.

1. Federico Dimarco (7.5m, Inter) — 5.2 xP. The highest predicted score in the round, and unusually for a defender he carries attacking returns (0.147 xG + 0.104 xA) on top of a 35.0% clean sheet chance in Inter's best home fixture of the block. The model's number one.
2. Nico Paz (10.4m, Como) — 4.8 xP. The highest-ceiling option. If you want an armband that can win you the round rather than merely not lose it, this is the one — 0.307 xG in a fixture where Como are 53.8% favourites.
3. Jacobo Ramon (5.5m, Como) — 5.0 xP. The differential armband: the second-highest score in the round, from a 5.5m defender with the best clean sheet probability in the game at 42.4%.

Ranked strictly on predicted points it is Dimarco, then Ramon, then Nico Paz and Butez level on 4.8. Ranked on ceiling it is Nico Paz. Either is defensible; captaining a premium forward this round is not.

Who to sell before Round 3

Gianluca Scamacca (6.0m, Atalanta) is the clearest sell. Atalanta travel to Roma as 22.6% underdogs with a 19.9% clean sheet chance, and Scamacca returns 2.7 points on 50 predicted minutes. His weighted six-round score of 11.2 is worse than Che Adams at 4.4m, and his Rounds 5 and 7 are away at Juventus and Milan.

Goncalo Ramos (9.0m, Milan) is the expensive one to move on. 3.2 points at Juventus, and a weighted score of 12.6 — below Douvikas, who costs 1.0m less. If you want Milan exposure, their good fixture is Round 5 at home to Lecce (65.4%), not this one.

Parma defenders look tempting on the Round 3 sheet — Enrico Valeri (5.0m) scores 4.4 and takes 94% of Parma's penalties, which is a genuinely unusual profile for a defender. Do not build around it. Parma's next few rounds include [A]Como at 8.6% win probability and [A]Inter at 7.0%, the two worst fixtures anywhere in Rounds 3–8. Enjoy the one week if you already own them; do not buy in now.

Lecce assets should go. [A]Cagliari this round (24.1%), then [A]Milan in Round 5 with a 14.4% clean sheet chance, then [H]Juventus in Round 8, where Lecce are 13.6% to win. There is nothing in the next six rounds worth waiting for.

Not a sell: Napoli. Rasmus Hojlund (3.0), Scott McTominay (2.9) and Alex Meret (3.2) all have a poor Round 3 at Inter, but Napoli's Rounds 4 to 7 are strong and Meret's weighted score of 14.9 is fourth-best among keepers. This is a bad week, not a bad asset — bench rather than pay a hit to escape one fixture.

Squad shape: play five at the back

With defenders and goalkeepers occupying 18 of the top 20 predicted scores, Round 3 is the week to consider 1-5-3-2 or 1-5-4-1 rather than the default 1-4-3-3. The fifth defender is worth more than the third forward when the best forward on the card projects at 4.3 and the fifth-best defender projects at 4.6. Check your bench order too — in a round this compressed, an auto-substitution is the difference between a good score and an average one.

Before the deadline, cross-check your XI against the Tattico predicted lineups — several of the picks above (Orsolini at 55 minutes, Diao at 59, Malen at 63) carry real rotation risk, and a confirmed team sheet resolves it. If you want the model to build the whole squad for you under the budget and the three-per-club cap, the optimal teams solver does it live against the current numbers.

More Serie A analysis: our Tattico preview hub, the Round 2 preview, and if you also play the Danish game on the same league, the Serie Manager previews. New to predicted points? Start with our fantasy football guides.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Tattico Fantasy Serie A Round 3?

Federico Dimarco (7.5m, Inter) has the highest predicted score in the round at 5.2 points, helped by 0.147 expected goals and 0.104 expected assists from wing-back on top of a 35.0% clean sheet chance against Napoli. If you would rather have a higher ceiling, Nico Paz (10.4m, Como) is the best attacking option at 4.8 points and 0.307 expected goals. No forward reaches 4.4 points this round, so captaining a premium striker is the one clear mistake to avoid.

Which defenders are the best buys for Tattico Round 3?

Dimarco at 7.5m is the outright best if you can afford him, with the highest six-round weighted score of any defender at 17.9. Jacobo Ramon (5.5m, Como) is the best mid-price buy at 5.0 points and a 42.4% clean sheet chance, backed up by 5.3 in Round 4 at home to Parma. At the floor price, Mehmet Celik (4.5m, Juventus) has the best weighted points-per-million of any player in the game at 3.39 and no weak week in the next six rounds.

Who are the best cheap differentials in Tattico Round 3?

Danilho Doekhi (4.6m, Lazio) returns 4.5 points on 87 predicted minutes and carries a weighted six-round score of 15.4, better than several defenders costing 2m more. Assane Diao (5.0m, Como) posts 4.1 points, the best of any midfielder under 5.5m, though on only 59 predicted minutes. Up front, Che Adams (4.4m, Venezia) gives you 3.7 points and 0.345 expected goals on 83 minutes — the best points-per-million of any forward in the round.

Should I sell my Napoli players before Round 3?

No. Napoli travel to Inter as 18.3% underdogs with an 18.8% clean sheet chance, so Hojlund, McTominay and Meret all have a poor week — but their Rounds 4 to 7 are strong and Meret's weighted score of 14.9 is the fourth-best of any goalkeeper. Bench them for one round rather than paying a points hit to escape a single fixture. The genuine sells are Atalanta and Lecce assets, whose fixtures stay difficult for the next six rounds.

Which team has the best fixtures in Tattico Fantasy Serie A right now?

Como. They face Genoa away in Round 3 with the round's best clean sheet probability at 45.2%, then host Parma in Round 4 at a 71.8% win probability and a 55.5% clean sheet chance — the strongest two-round defensive run in the game. Inter's run is longer and peaks later, with a 78.2% win probability at home to Parma in Round 6. Remember you can only field three players from any one club.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool