Premier Manager Runde 6: best buys and captain picks
Premier Manager Runde 6 preview: captain picks, best buys and the players to sell
Premier Manager Runde 6 opens on Saturday 10 October with Arsenal - Leeds United and closes with Coventry City - Newcastle United on Monday 12 October. All 20 clubs play once, so there is no blank to plan around. The transfers happen in this round, but most of the reasons sit in Runde 7 and 8: Arsenal have the best defensive run in the game, Manchester City's attack peaks against Ipswich in Runde 7, and Fulham are the quiet three-round program almost nobody owns. The latest projections have moved the round again: Kai Havertz is now the top captain at 172k, Cole Palmer and Declan Rice are back in the projected lineups, and Alexander Isak has dropped to 0 projected minutes and onto the sell list next to Christos Tzolis and Joao Pedro.
The full, sortable numbers are on the Premier Manager player picks page, and the Premier Manager predicted lineups are worth a last look before the deadline, because several of the calls below are about who starts. Last round's analysis is still up in the Premier Manager Runde 5 preview.
Runde 6 programs: whose next three rounds are worth owning
Manchester City have the strongest attacking run in the game: [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL adds up to 6.33 expected goals over Runde 6-8. The Liverpool week is the one to plan around rather than avoid, because the Ipswich home game behind it is the best attacking fixture of the window. Arsenal own the defensive side: [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE gives them 1.41 expected clean sheets from three games, nearly half a clean sheet more than anybody else, and the Leeds game is the best defensive fixture of Runde 6 at a 48% clean-sheet chance.
Behind them, Manchester United ([H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU, 5.52 expected goals) and Chelsea ([H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT, 5.26) are the two attacking runs worth paying for. Fulham are the program the market has missed: [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV gives them 0.91 expected clean sheets, third-best in the game, and 4.87 expected goals, and none of their players is owned by more than 6% of managers.
| Team | Runde 6 fixture | Win probability | Expected goals | Clean sheet | Program (Runde 6-8) | 3-round xG | 3-round CS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | [A]LIV | 41% | 1.67 | 23% | [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL | 6.33 | 0.96 |
| Arsenal | [H]LEE | 67% | 2.07 | 48% | [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE | 5.83 | 1.41 |
| Manchester United | [H]TOT | 55% | 2.05 | 29% | [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU | 5.52 | 0.79 |
| Chelsea | [H]BOU | 53% | 1.93 | 29% | [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT | 5.26 | 0.83 |
| Brentford | [A]AVL | 40% | 1.56 | 24% | [A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL | 4.99 | 0.81 |
| Liverpool | [H]MCI | 33% | 1.48 | 19% | [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA | 4.96 | 0.67 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | [A]SUN | 43% | 1.52 | 28% | [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV | 4.90 | 0.78 |
| Fulham | [A]IPS | 39% | 1.50 | 24% | [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV | 4.87 | 0.91 |
| Newcastle United | [A]COV | 44% | 1.65 | 27% | [A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY | 4.81 | 0.75 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | [A]MUN | 22% | 1.23 | 13% | [A]MUN → [H]COV → [A]CHE | 4.63 | 0.68 |
| AFC Bournemouth | [A]CHE | 24% | 1.25 | 15% | [A]CHE → [H]SUN → [A]MUN | 4.20 | 0.60 |
| Aston Villa | [H]BRE | 34% | 1.44 | 21% | [H]BRE → [A]NEW → [H]MCI | 4.00 | 0.54 |
| Crystal Palace | [H]NFO | 35% | 1.32 | 25% | [H]NFO → [A]BHA → [H]NEW | 3.92 | 0.61 |
| Nottingham Forest | [A]CRY | 37% | 1.37 | 27% | [A]CRY → [H]ARS → [A]IPS | 3.74 | 0.73 |
| Sunderland | [H]BHA | 30% | 1.26 | 22% | [H]BHA → [A]BOU → [H]LEE | 3.71 | 0.69 |
| Everton | [A]HUL | 45% | 1.49 | 33% | [A]HUL → [H]CHE → [A]ARS | 3.57 | 0.68 |
| Coventry City | [H]NEW | 30% | 1.32 | 19% | [H]NEW → [A]TOT → [H]FUL | 3.52 | 0.53 |
| Leeds United | [A]ARS | 12% | 0.74 | 13% | [A]ARS → [H]MUN → [A]SUN | 3.47 | 0.61 |
| Ipswich Town | [H]FUL | 35% | 1.42 | 22% | [H]FUL → [A]MCI → [H]NFO | 3.43 | 0.51 |
| Hull City | [H]EVE | 27% | 1.12 | 22% | [H]EVE → [A]FUL → [H]BRE | 3.09 | 0.52 |
At the other end, Hull ([H]EVE → [A]FUL → [H]BRE, 3.09 expected goals) and Ipswich ([H]FUL → [A]MCI → [H]NFO, 3.43) have the two weakest attacking runs, and Ipswich have to go to the Etihad in the middle of theirs. Everton are the trap: their 33% clean-sheet chance at Hull is the second-best of the round, but [A]HUL → [H]CHE → [A]ARS drops away at the Emirates in Runde 8, so their players are something to play this round and sell before Arsenal, not a hold. Use the Premier Manager schedule to see the runs further ahead.
Runde 6 goalkeepers
David Raya (6.1m, ARS) is the best goalkeeper in both directions: top of Runde 6 at 86k and top over three rounds with 255k from [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE. His trajectory is 86k → 83k → 86k, so there is no weak week in the window, and Runde 10 (105k) is his best round of the six. At 18.5% owned he is a template pick, which is exactly why you do not want to be without him while Arsenal's run lasts.
Bernd Leno (3.7m, FUL) is the value keeper. [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV gives him 58k → 72k → 64k, 194k over three rounds, the third-best total of any goalkeeper at 60% of Raya's price, and only 3.8% of managers own him. Emiliano Martinez (4.6m, CHE) is the steadier mid-priced option on Chelsea's [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT: 65k → 60k → 63k for 188k, and he never drops below 54k in the next six rounds.
Gianluigi Donnarumma (5.4m, MCI) is the buy for Runde 7, not this one. [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL gives him 58k → 89k → 71k: the Anfield trip projects only 58k, but his three-round 218k is second only to Raya. If you have the transfer to spare, bring him in before the Ipswich game.
The round ranking and the program ranking disagree here: Jordan Pickford is joint-second among keepers this round on 67k, but Everton's [A]HUL → [H]CHE → [A]ARS leaves him on 145k over three rounds (67k → 48k → 30k), one of the weakest totals of any starting keeper. If you are buying a keeper to keep, buy Leno, Martinez or Donnarumma rather than Pickford.
Runde 6 defenders
Gabriel (5.3m, ARS) is the top defender this round (91k) and over three (252k), on [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE with a trajectory of 91k → 80k → 81k. He is the premium Arsenal defender to own for the whole run, and Runde 10 (96k) is the next peak behind it.
Riccardo Calafiori (4.5m, ARS) is the template choice at 22.8% on the same [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE, with 86k → 73k → 69k for 228k. Ezri Konsa (3.7m, ARS) is the cheaper way into the same clean sheets: 75k → 64k → 63k on [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE, 202k over three rounds and 20.4k per million this round. He carries a fitness flag, so confirm him in the predicted lineups before the deadline. Jurrien Timber, who was the low-owned Arsenal pick earlier in the week, is now projected for only 20 minutes against Leeds, so leave him out. Mind the cap of four players per club: Raya, Gabriel, Havertz and Saka is already a full Arsenal block, so a second Arsenal defender means leaving out one of the attackers.
Maxim De Cuyper (3.1m, BHA) is still the best points-per-million defender of the round at 24.1k per million, and 33.3% already own him. Brighton's [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV gives him 76k → 88k → 43k: Crystal Palace at home in Runde 7 is his best game of the window, so hold him through it and plan the sale before the Liverpool trip.
Josko Gvardiol (5.2m, MCI) is the Runde 7 target rather than a Runde 6 buy: [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL gives him 53k → 97k → 68k, and 97k against Ipswich is the best defender projection of Runde 7. Marc Guehi (5.1m, MCI) ([A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL, 51k → 86k → 57k) is the cheaper way into the same clean sheet.
The budget defenders come from Brentford and Manchester United. Jannik Schuster (2.2m, BRE) is the cheapest useful defender in the game: [A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL gives him 48k → 32k → 64k at 21.8k per million this round, and the Hull trip in Runde 8 is the reason to own him. Diogo Dalot (3.6m, MUN) ([H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU, 60k → 45k → 49k) is the United defender who starts in his team's best attacking week, at 2.1% ownership.
Here the round and the program disagree: James Tarkowski is a 58k defender this round, but Everton's run takes him to 37k and then 9k at the Emirates. He is a one-round play at best. Fulham's Antonee Robinson is projected for 35 minutes, so the Fulham clean sheets are better bought through Leno.
Runde 6 midfielders
Bukayo Saka (8.7m, ARS) is the top midfielder of Runde 6 at 131k and the best over three: [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE gives him 131k → 117k → 113k, 361k, and Runde 10 (139k) is the highest midfielder projection of the next six rounds. He is on Arsenal's penalty list and only 7.7% own him, which makes him the premium differential.
Bryan Mbeumo (6.9m, MUN) is the cheaper premium on [H]TOT → [A]LEE → [H]BOU: 124k → 94k → 107k for 325k, and at 18.1k per million he is cheaper per point than Saka this round. Bruno Fernandes (7.7m, MUN) is the template version of the same program at 26.4%: 120k → 89k → 103k for 312k.
Cole Palmer (8.1m, CHE) is back in the projected lineup, on 71 minutes against Bournemouth, and that changes the Chelsea picture, though he carries a fitness flag, so confirm him in the predicted lineups before the deadline. [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT gives him 120k → 92k → 110k, 322k over three rounds, and he is on the Chelsea penalty list. The 10.3% who own him should hold. Morgan Rogers (6.1m, CHE) stays the flattest premium program in the game: [H]BOU → [A]EVE → [H]TOT gives him 104k → 91k → 89k, and from Runde 6 to Runde 11 he never drops below 85k. Owners can stop thinking about him. Pedro Neto is the one who loses out to Palmer's return: he falls to 66k this round and 179k over three, so he is no longer the value pick.
Harvey Barnes (4.9m, NEW) is the hidden gem: [A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY gives him 97k → 88k → 75k, 260k over three rounds, the most of any midfielder under 5m, at 6.5% ownership. Newcastle's run turns in Runde 11, where he drops to 30k, so he is a hold for the next four rounds, not the season. Martin Ødegaard (5.5m, ARS) is the mid-priced Arsenal option: 96k → 84k → 83k on [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE, 264k, though the club cap means he usually competes with Saka or Havertz for a slot.
Kevin Schade (3.7m, BRE) is the most-owned player in the game at 43.2%, and the program says keep him: [A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL gives him 78k → 63k → 102k, 244k, and Hull away in Runde 8 is his peak. Joshua King (3.3m, FUL) ([A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV) is the budget pick: 69k → 84k → 66k for 219k at 20.6k per million, and the Hull game in Runde 7 is his best round.
The round and the program disagree on two players. Noni Madueke projects 95k this round on 75 minutes, but he falls to 29k and 27k after it; he is a one-round play, not a buy. Rayan Cherki is the opposite: Rayan Cherki (6.4m, MCI) projects only 77k at Anfield on 69 minutes, but [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL gives him 77k → 126k → 89k, and 126k against Ipswich is the third-highest projection of any player in Runde 7. The 15.9% who own him should hold; anyone buying should wait one round and bring him in for Ipswich.
Runde 6 forwards
Kai Havertz (6.0m, ARS) is the forward to own now and to keep. [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE gives him 172k → 133k → 129k, 434k over three rounds, the most of any player outside Haaland, and Runde 10 brings him back up to 159k. He is on Arsenal's penalty list and at 6.0m he is the best points per million of any player this round (28.6k).
Erling Haaland (15.0m, MCI) is the hold that pays from Runde 7. [A]LIV → [H]IPS → [A]AVL gives him 124k → 223k → 151k, 499k over three rounds, and 223k against Ipswich is the highest projection of any player in any round of the window. Anfield makes Runde 6 his quietest week of the next six, but selling him out of it would mean buying back in for the round he matters most.
Thiago Rodrigues (5.3m, BRE) ([A]AVL → [H]LIV → [A]HUL) is the other premium program: 107k → 89k → 137k, and Hull away in Runde 8 is the second-highest projection of that round. He is on Brentford's penalty list, and his 28.8% owners should keep him.
Gonzalo Garcia (3.6m, FUL) is the forward the program ranking likes best among the cheap options: [A]IPS → [H]HUL → [A]COV gives him 93k → 113k → 86k, 292k over three rounds, at 5.1% ownership. Here the round and the program disagree: Matheus Cunha out-scores him this round (99k to 93k), but Garcia has more over the next three (292k to 256k) at 3.6m against 5.8m. If you are buying one forward and keeping him, buy Garcia.
Yoane Wissa (3.7m, NEW) ([A]COV → [H]AVL → [A]CRY, 90k → 81k → 69k) is a steady penalty-list option at 24.1k per million. Charalampos Kostoulas (3.0m, BHA) is a two-round rotation at 25.7k per million: [A]SUN → [H]CRY → [A]LIV gives him 78k → 94k → 49k, so buy him for Sunderland and Crystal Palace and sell him again before Liverpool away.
Runde 6 captain picks
Kai Havertz (6.0m, ARS) is the Runde 6 captain: 172k at home to Leeds, the highest projection in the game by 41k, in the team with the round's best win probability (67%), and [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE keeps him above 125k in both of the next two rounds. Bukayo Saka is second at 131k on the same Leeds game, and Erling Haaland and Bryan Mbeumo share third on 124k. Cole Palmer (120k) is the alternative for anyone who wants a Chelsea captain against Bournemouth.
Captaincy is a plan across rounds, and the next two are already clear. Runde 7 belongs to Haaland at 223k against Ipswich, 90k more than anyone else, and he leads Runde 8 as well on 151k, with Thiago Rodrigues second on 137k. That is the case for keeping Haaland through a quiet Runde 6: his next two rounds are both captain rounds.
Who to sell before Runde 6
Alexander Isak (7.7m, LIV) is the new sale, and 17.1% still own him. He is projected for 0 minutes against Manchester City and -5k for the round, and [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA only brings him back to 28k and 43k. Why now: he misses this round, and his price funds Garcia (292k over three rounds against his 66k) with change to spare.
Christos Tzolis (4.7m, ARS) is owned by 22.7% and projects -5k in each of Runde 6, 7 and 8, flagged out until 17 October. Why now: Leeds at home is Arsenal's best fixture of the window and he plays none of the next three rounds, so the slot is better spent on an Arsenal player who does, inside the four-player cap.
Joao Pedro (8.1m, CHE, 17.5% owned) is flagged out until 17 October and projected for 20 minutes, so he is on 49k this round and 171k over three. Why now: with Palmer back, Chelsea's best attacking fixture of the window goes through Palmer and Rogers, and his price funds either of them before the run starts.
The same logic covers the non-playing defenders and fringe players. Patrick Dorgu (10.5% owned) projects -5k in each of the next five rounds; Cristhian Mosquera (9.7%) is projected for 13 minutes and Harry Wilson (10.3%) for 18. Why now: in every case the round they miss is one their team is well placed to score in, and none of them plays a meaningful part in the next three.
Dominik Szoboszlai (5.9m, LIV, 11.0% owned) is not a disaster. [H]MCI → [A]BRE → [H]BHA gives him 33k → 50k → 53k, and the Brentford and Brighton games are fine fixtures. But 136k over three rounds is less than half of what Barnes projects at a lower price. Why now: selling before Manchester City skips his weakest week of the window.
Some popular players are sales you can wait on. Everton's Thierno Barry (85k → 64k → 20k), James Tarkowski (58k → 37k → 9k) and Jordan Pickford (67k → 48k → 30k) should all play the Hull game and go before Arsenal away in Runde 8; Tarkowski and Pickford can go a round earlier, before Chelsea arrive. Dominic Calvert-Lewin (11.6% owned) is a hold rather than a sale: 26k at the Emirates is the one bad week, and [A]ARS → [H]MUN → [A]SUN gives him 80k and 79k after it. Liam Delap (73k → 27k → 86k) is the same story, with Arsenal's visit in Runde 7 the dip.
Transfer summary for Runde 6
Out: Alexander Isak, Christos Tzolis, Joao Pedro, Patrick Dorgu and any defender who is not projected to start. In: Kai Havertz for the captaincy and the Arsenal run, Gabriel or Ezri Konsa for the clean sheets, Bukayo Saka or Bryan Mbeumo as the premium midfielder, and Gonzalo Garcia and Joshua King as the cheap Fulham program. Keep Erling Haaland and Cole Palmer, and pencil in Gianluigi Donnarumma, Josko Gvardiol or Rayan Cherki for Runde 7. The Premier Manager optimal teams page solves the best squad for any window live, and the Premier Manager market probabilities show the odds behind every fixture. Earlier rounds are collected in the Premier Manager preview hub.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Premier Manager Runde 6?
Kai Havertz is the best captain for Premier Manager Runde 6 at 172k at home to Leeds, the highest projection in the game by 41k. Bukayo Saka is second on 131k, with Erling Haaland and Bryan Mbeumo on 124k. Haaland is the captain for Runde 7 at 223k against Ipswich.
Should I sell Alexander Isak before Premier Manager Runde 6?
Yes. Alexander Isak is projected for 0 minutes against Manchester City and -5k for Runde 6, with only 66k over Runde 6-8. Gonzalo Garcia projects 292k over the same three rounds at less than half the price.
Should I sell Cole Palmer before Premier Manager Runde 6?
No. Cole Palmer is back in the projected lineup at 120k against Bournemouth and 322k over Runde 6-8, the third-best three-round total of any midfielder. Hold him; Joao Pedro is the Chelsea player to sell.
Which Arsenal players should I buy for Premier Manager Runde 6?
Kai Havertz, Bukayo Saka, Gabriel and David Raya are the core of the Arsenal block, with Ezri Konsa as the cheap alternative in defence. Arsenal's [H]LEE → [A]NFO → [H]EVE gives them 1.41 expected clean sheets over three rounds, the best in the game, and the cap is four players per club.
Best differentials for Premier Manager Runde 6?
Gonzalo Garcia (5.1% owned, 292k over three rounds), Harvey Barnes (6.5%, 260k) and Bukayo Saka (7.7%, 361k) are the best low-owned picks over the next three rounds. Bernd Leno at 3.8% is the differential goalkeeper on Fulham's run.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.