Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12: best buys and captains

Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12 preview: captain picks, best buys and differentials

Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12 opens on Friday 6 November with Willem II hosting PEC Zwolle, and the deadline is 19:55 UTC that evening. The transfer you make this week is a bet on the next three Gameweeks, not on one. PSV start the best run in the Eredivisie, AZ start the best defensive run, and Feyenoord's run ends in a home game against Ajax. The real question is how to cover all three without spending a transfer on a player who is only good for one week.

Every number below comes from our model's predicted points (xP) for this round and the two after it. The full table is on the Fantasy Voetball player picks page, and the Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 11 preview covers the round just played.

Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12 fixtures: whose next three Gameweeks are worth owning

PSV have the clear best program: [A]CAM → [A]NEC → [H]GAE adds up to 8.49 expected goals over three Gameweeks, more than 1.6 ahead of anyone else. It starts with the most lopsided game of the week. PSV are 74% favourites at Cambuur with 3.03 expected goals and a 31% clean-sheet chance, all three the best numbers in Gameweek 12. The trip to NEC is the tougher middle leg, but two very good fixtures out of three make a clean buy.

Feyenoord come second on attack with [A]HEE → [H]EXC → [H]AJX (6.88 xG). Two home games follow a trip to Heerenveen, so their attackers are a buy you hold, not a rotation. AZ have the best defensive run in the game: [H]GRO → [A]SPA → [A]ZWO adds up to 0.91 expected clean sheets, the highest total of any team, and opens with a 64% win chance at home to Groningen.

Twente are the team with a weak week inside a good run. [H]AJX is the big game of the round, FC Twente - Ajax, and Twente are only 41% to win it. But [H]WII → [A]NEC follows, and their 6.19 xG over three Gameweeks is fourth best. Ajax have the opposite profile: [A]TWE → [H]HAA → [A]FEY puts their one easy game between two hard ones.

The table shows the eleven best three-Gameweek runs plus Willem II, sorted by 3-round xG. 3-round CS is expected clean sheets across the three games.

All 18 clubs play once in Gameweek 12, and every team has three fixtures across Gameweeks 12-14, so there are no blanks to plan around. Willem II have the weakest three-Gameweek run in the league at 3.60 xG. Groningen are the team to be patient with: a 17% win chance at AZ this week, but home games against Heerenveen and Willem II follow. Kick-off times and the full fixture list are on the Fantasy Voetball schedule, and the odds behind these numbers are on the market probabilities page.

Best Fantasy Voetball goalkeepers for Gameweek 12

Ronald Koeman (4.8m, TEL) is the best goalkeeper this round and over the next three: 3.7 → 4.6 → 3.8, 12.1 xP across [A]SIT → [H]ZWO → [A]EXC. He is already in 46.1% of squads, so he protects your rank more than he gains you any. He is also Telstar's penalty taker, which is where his small extra goal threat comes from. He has the best points per million of any keeper over the six-Gameweek horizon.

The Gameweek 12 ranking and the three-Gameweek ranking disagree here. Matej Kovar (5.4m, PSV) shares the second-best score this week (3.5) behind PSV's 31% clean-sheet chance at Cambuur, but he drops to 3.2 at NEC and ends on 10.5 over [A]CAM → [A]NEC → [H]GAE. Jari De Busser (5.0m, AZ) matches his 3.5 this week and holds up better, 3.5 → 3.5 → 3.7 over [H]GRO → [A]SPA → [A]ZWO, which is the best defensive run in the game. If you are buying a goalkeeper to keep, buy De Busser rather than Kovar.

The differential is Tjark Ernst (5.4m, FEY) at 3.4% ownership: 3.3 → 4.0 → 3.4 over [A]HEE → [H]EXC → [H]AJX, 10.7 in total, tied with De Busser. The home game against Excelsior is his best week.

Best Fantasy Voetball defenders for Gameweek 12

Sergino Dest (7.1m, PSV) is the top defender both this week and over three Gameweeks: 5.0 → 4.0 → 5.1, 14.1 xP over [A]CAM → [A]NEC → [H]GAE. He adds attacking returns to PSV's clean-sheet chances, and the PSV run is the one to own. Mauro Junior (7.0m, PSV) is the alternative from the same back line, at 4.7 → 4.0 → 4.8 (13.5). Pair either one with Kovar only if you want PSV's clean sheets covered twice. On his own merit De Busser is still the better keeper.

The best-value defender in the game is Abdelnor Soualhia (4.5m, TEL). He projects 4.0 → 5.7 → 3.9 over [A]SIT → [H]ZWO → [A]EXC, 13.6 xP in total. Only Dest scores more over the three Gameweeks, and Soualhia costs 2.6m less. His 0.20 expected goals this week are the most of any defender, and over the six-Gameweek horizon he gives the most points per million of any defender by a wide margin. Only 2.7% of managers own him. This is the hidden gem of the round, and the home game against PEC Zwolle in Gameweek 13 (5.7) is why you buy him now, before that game.

Elijah Dijkstra (5.1m, AZ) is the hold-and-forget pick: 4.1 → 4.0 → 4.2 over [H]GRO → [A]SPA → [A]ZWO, a flat 12.3 behind the best clean-sheet run in the game. Givairo Read (7.0m, FEY) gives you Feyenoord's run at the back, 4.3 → 4.9 → 3.9 (13.1) over [A]HEE → [H]EXC → [H]AJX.

Bart van Rooij (6.5m, TWE) is the clearest case where this week and the next three disagree. He projects only 3.3 at home to Ajax, but 5.3 against Willem II in Gameweek 13 and 3.9 at NEC: 12.5 over [H]AJX → [H]WII → [A]NEC, on 88 expected minutes. If you already own him, keep him. If you don't, he is a buy for Gameweek 13 rather than this week. Pascal Mulder (4.4m, ADO Den Haag) projects 3.9 this week and then only 1.5 at Ajax, so he is a one-week pick and not worth a transfer.

Best Fantasy Voetball midfielders for Gameweek 12

Two premiums sit clear of everyone. Guus Til (11.9m, PSV) leads Gameweek 12 at 6.4 and goes 6.4 → 5.8 → 6.2 over [A]CAM → [A]NEC → [H]GAE: 18.4 xP, the most of any player in the game. His 0.49 expected goals at Cambuur are the most of any midfielder. Anis Hadj Moussa (11.2m, FEY) is only 0.1 behind over three Gameweeks: 6.1 → 6.7 → 5.5 over [A]HEE → [H]EXC → [H]AJX, and he is the one who keeps scoring after that (6.0 in Gameweek 15). At 11.3% and 7.8% ownership, both are premium differentials. Owning both gives you a strong captain every week (see below).

Ro-Zangelo Daal (7.4m, AZ) is the value premium: 5.7 → 4.7 → 5.0, 15.4 xP over [H]GRO → [A]SPA → [A]ZWO. Among midfielders only Til and Hadj Moussa score more this week, and both cost about 4m more. Sondre Ørjasæter (6.8m, TWE) is the mirror image of van Rooij. He projects 4.7 → 5.8 → 4.4 over [H]AJX → [H]WII → [A]NEC (14.9), and the Willem II week is his peak. At 9.9% ownership, he is a differential who is fine this week too.

The cheap midfielder to own is Patrick Brouwer (5.9m, TEL): 4.6 → 5.5 → 4.0 over [A]SIT → [H]ZWO → [A]EXC, 14.1 xP on 85 expected minutes. Over three Gameweeks that is more than Julian Brandt or Luciano Valente, both of whom cost more than 2m extra. He gives the best six-Gameweek points per million of any midfielder and is owned by 4.3%. Juho Kilo (5.3m, ADO Den Haag) has a strong Gameweek 12 (4.3) but drops to 2.5 at Ajax, so he is a one-week pick rather than a hold.

The most-owned player in the game, Gjivai Zechiel (8.8m, FEY) at 56.3%, is a comfortable hold at 5.0 → 5.5 → 4.3 over [A]HEE → [H]EXC → [H]AJX. Nobody needs to sell him, but Hadj Moussa, 2.4m more, is the Feyenoord player who gains you rank.

Best Fantasy Voetball forwards for Gameweek 12

The two forward rankings disagree, and the three-Gameweek one should decide your pick. Mexx Meerdink (9.0m, AZ) tops Gameweek 12 at 5.9, and his 0.69 expected goals against Groningen are the most of any player this week. He is AZ's penalty taker. But he goes 5.9 → 4.3 → 4.7 over [H]GRO → [A]SPA → [A]ZWO (14.9). Wout Weghorst (8.4m, TWE) goes 5.4 → 6.1 → 4.5 over [H]AJX → [H]WII → [A]NEC, 16.0 xP and the best three-Gameweek total of any forward, at 0.6m less. If you are buying one forward to keep, buy Weghorst. If you already own Meerdink (38.9% do), keep him, because nothing behind AZ's run makes him a sell.

Milan Zonneveld (6.5m, SPA) is the mid-price option: 4.5 → 3.3 → 3.7 over [A]HAA → [H]AZ → [A]CAM, then 4.4 in Gameweek 15. Sparta's run is average, but 0.49 expected goals at ADO Den Haag puts him level with Til on goal threat this week, for about half the price. Devin Haen (5.5m, Willem II) projects the same 4.5 this week but falls to 2.5 at Twente after that, and Willem II have the worst run in the league, so leave him out.

Thom van Bergen (8.1m, GRO), owned by 38.5%, is a hold even though this week is poor. He projects only 3.4 at AZ, then rises to 4.5 → 5.1 against Heerenveen and Willem II at home: 13.0 over [A]AZ → [H]HEE → [H]WII, the third-best forward total. Selling him now would mean selling just before his good run starts.

Who to captain in Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12

The captain scores double, so the gap between the top options counts twice. Guus Til is the pick: 6.4 xP at Cambuur, the highest in the game, with PSV 74% favourites. Anis Hadj Moussa is a close second at 6.1 at Heerenveen, and Mexx Meerdink is third at 5.9 at home to Groningen. Meerdink is also the safe template choice, since 38.9% of managers own him.

Plan your captain beyond this week. In Gameweek 13 Hadj Moussa is the top captain at 6.7 against Excelsior, with Weghorst next at 6.1 against Willem II. In Gameweek 14 Til tops the list again at 6.2 at home to Go Ahead Eagles. Owning Til and Hadj Moussa together gives you the best captain in each of the next three Gameweeks, which is the real case for spending on both. More on the method in our guide on how to pick your fantasy captain.

Who to sell before Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12

Toluwalase Arokodare (8.8m, AJX) is the clearest sell. He is owned by 28.7% and projects 3.0 → 3.8 → 2.3 over [A]TWE → [H]HAA → [A]FEY, 9.1 in total, on 59 expected minutes. The home game against ADO Den Haag is a good fixture, but it is the only one of the three. Why now: Weghorst costs 0.4m less, out-scores him in each of the next three Gameweeks and finishes 6.9 xP ahead, and 2.4 of that gap comes in Gameweek 12 alone.

Mateo Chavez (5.6m, AZ) is owned by 32.9% but projects only 55 minutes, which leaves him on 3.0 → 2.9 → 3.3 (9.2) even with AZ's [H]GRO → [A]SPA → [A]ZWO, the best clean-sheet run in the game. The fixtures are fine; his minutes are the problem. Why now: AZ's good run starts this week, and Dijkstra gets you the same clean sheets for 0.5m less with 3.1 more xP over three Gameweeks. Make the swap before the run starts, not halfway through it. Jeff Hardeveld (5.3m, Telstar, 14.5% owned) is the same story at 44 expected minutes. Soualhia, from the same team, is the replacement.

Two popular players are sells later, not now. Tjaronn Chery (7.8m, NEC), NEC's penalty taker and owned by 22.9%, has a decent trip to Utrecht this week (4.0). After that he drops to 3.0 and 3.1 against PSV and Twente on [A]UTR → [H]PSV → [H]TWE, so you can keep him one more Gameweek and sell him before Gameweek 13. Søren Tengstedt (7.3m, GAE), owned by 34.1%, goes 4.3 → 5.0 → 2.8 over [A]EXC → [H]SIT → [A]PSV. He is worth keeping for two Gameweeks, and the trip to PSV in Gameweek 14 is the point to move him on.

Best Suikeroom team for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12

Suikeroom gives you unlimited transfers for a single Gameweek with the price limit lifted. If you still have it, the strongest XI for Gameweek 12 alone (3-5-2, maximum three per club) is: Koeman (TEL) in goal; Dest, Mauro Junior (PSV) and Read (FEY) in defence; Til (PSV), Hadj Moussa (FEY), Daal (AZ), Zechiel (FEY) and Ørjasæter (TWE) in midfield; Meerdink (AZ) and Weghorst (TWE) up front. That XI adds up to 56.9 xP before the captain, and Til is the captain. Gameweek 12 has a full fixture list and no team plays twice, so there is no special reason to use the chip this week. Most managers will get more from saving it. The exact solve, bench included, is on the Fantasy Voetball optimal teams page.

Gameweek 12 transfer summary

Buy for the three-Gameweek run: Soualhia (differential, best defensive value), Weghorst (best forward over three Gameweeks), Daal or Patrick Brouwer in midfield, and Til or Hadj Moussa as the premium who covers the captaincy. Sell Arokodare, and Chavez or Hardeveld if minutes are the issue. Keep van Bergen, Meerdink, Chery and Tengstedt for now. Before the deadline, check the Fantasy Voetball predicted lineups, because every pick here depends on the player starting. Our explainer on how predicted lineups are made shows how those minutes are estimated. Earlier rounds are in the Fantasy Voetball preview hub.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12?

Guus Til is the top captain pick with 6.4 xP at Cambuur, where PSV are 74% favourites. Anis Hadj Moussa (6.1 at Heerenveen) and Mexx Meerdink (5.9 at home to Groningen) are the alternatives.

Who are the best Fantasy Voetball differentials for Gameweek 12?

Abdelnor Soualhia (4.5m, 2.7% owned) has 13.6 xP over the next three Gameweeks, second among defenders. Patrick Brouwer (5.9m, 4.3%) and Tjark Ernst (5.4m, 3.4%) are the other low-owned picks with strong runs.

Should I sell Arokodare before Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12?

Yes. Toluwalase Arokodare projects 9.1 xP over Gameweeks 12-14 on 59 expected minutes. Wout Weghorst costs 0.4m less, projects 16.0 over the same three Gameweeks and out-scores him in every one of them.

Which cheap defenders are best for Fantasy Voetball Gameweek 12?

Abdelnor Soualhia (4.5m, Telstar) is the best cheap defender at 4.0 xP this week and 13.6 over three Gameweeks. Elijah Dijkstra (5.1m, AZ) is the steady alternative at 12.3, behind the best clean-sheet run in the game.

Which team has the best Fantasy Voetball fixtures from Gameweek 12?

PSV have the best run, [A]CAM → [A]NEC → [H]GAE, with 8.49 expected goals over three Gameweeks. AZ have the best defensive run at 0.91 expected clean sheets.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI.