Super Manager Efterår 2026 Round 5 Preview

Super Manager round 5 preview: best buys, hidden gems and who to sell

Round 5 of Super Manager is played across Sunday 23 and Monday 24 August, and it is the last single round before the schedule splits open: round 6 is a double round for four clubs. Almost every transfer you make this week should be judged on both fixtures at once.

The obvious names have not changed. Prince Junior, Franculino, Mohamed Elyounoussi and Runar Robinsønn Norheim are on more than a third of all teams in this Superliga managerspil, and owning them keeps you level with the field rather than ahead of it. The ground is gained in the six or seven cheaper slots and in who you sell – and on that front the model has moved a long way in the last few days. Three of the cheap picks that looked strongest a week ago have lost their place in the XI, and one player who looked like a sell no longer is. That is what this preview is about.

Round 5 fixtures: which teams to target

Two home sides are clear of the rest, and the model rates them almost identically at opposite ends of the pitch.

Brøndby IF - Silkeborg is the round's most lopsided game. Silkeborg project 0.93 expected goals and a 10% clean sheet, the worst pair of numbers on the board, and the underlying data agrees emphatically: since July 2025 they have managed just 1.19 expected goals per game while conceding 1.87, an expected-goal difference of −0.68 that is the worst in the league, with only 4 clean sheets in 37 matches and 76 goals conceded.

FC Midtjylland - Randers FC is a near-copy at the defensive end, with the same 40% clean sheet available at a lower price through the Midtjylland back line. Randers have scored just 36 goals in 37 games, the weakest attack in the division, while Midtjylland have kept 22 clean sheets in 58 and concede 1.23 expected goals per game.

One genuine fixture upgrade since the schedule firmed up: Nordsjælland's trip to Sønderjyske now reads 54% and 2.06 expected goals, and it is the only round 5 game where the starting elevens are already known to the model. That removes the rotation guesswork from every Nordsjælland pick below. Sønderjyske concede 1.69 expected goals per game and carry a −0.33 expected-goal difference, so this is a fixture to attack rather than to defend. Every figure above is live on the Super Manager market probabilities page, and the full run of games is on the Super Manager schedule.

Round 6 is a double round - buy into it a week early

Four clubs play twice in round 6, and that is where the biggest projections of the next month sit:

• FC København – [H]Sønderjyske (71% win) then [H]Nordsjælland (56%). Both at home, and the softer of the two is the strongest single fixture any club has in the next five rounds.
• FC Midtjylland – [A]Silkeborg then [A]AGF. Two away trips, but Silkeborg's defence is the league's worst.
• AGF – [H]FC Midtjylland then [A]Randers FC.
• Nordsjælland – [H]Brøndby IF then [A]FC København.

FC København are the cleanest of the four. Their round 5 trip to Viborg at 44% is good enough that you are not sacrificing much to be early, and their double is two home games. The practical point: a 4.7m defender costs 47k to bring in, so buying the round 6 double now rather than next week is close to free, and it saves you competing for the same players once everybody else has spotted it. Remember the cap of four players from any one club when you build the block.

Best buys by position in round 5

Goalkeepers

The split here is between one round and the horizon, and it is stark.

For round 5 alone, Patrick Pentz (4.8m, Brøndby IF) at 81k and Elias Olafsson (5.1m, FC Midtjylland) at 80k are the two best picks, sitting behind the round's two 40% clean sheets. Olafsson is the more owned of the pair at 24% and holds up better afterwards, with 109k to follow in the round 6 double.

For anything longer than a week, Runar Alex Runarsson (4.0m, FC København) is the standout and remains almost unowned at 0.5%. His round 5 return of 60k is ordinary, but his trajectory is 60k → 147k → 66k → 84k, a weighted score of 300k that is the best of any keeper in the game, and he is 1.1m cheaper than Olafsson. Jesper Hansen (5.0m, AGF, 2.2% owned) is the same idea one tier up, at 67k now and 125k in AGF's double for a 296k weighted total.

The cheap route is Diego Kochen (2.5m, Lyngby) at 60k. He is the joint-best round 5 return of any keeper under 4.1m and costs 25k to bring in, which is the sort of transfer that pays for itself in one match.

Defenders

Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.0m, Nordsjælland) is the best defender in the game and the numbers are not close: 119k in round 5, 116k in the round 6 double, and a 330k weighted total. He is confirmed in the starting eleven for Sønderjyske, so his 90 projected minutes carry no rotation risk this week. What makes him unusual is that he scores: 8 goals and 8.33 expected goals from 39 appearances, an expected goal involvement of 0.42 per 90 that would be respectable from a midfielder. At 38% ownership he is not a differential, but at 4.0m he is not a luxury either.

The best value in the position is the FC København double-round trio. Felix Beijmo (4.7m, 15.7% owned) projects 56k this week and then 148k in round 6, a 288k weighted total, and he is the attacking one of the group – 6.14 expected assists across 40 appearances. Gabriel Pereira (4.2m, 3.8%) at 118k in the double and Junnosuke Suzuki (4.2m, 8.5%) at 116k are the cheaper, lower-owned versions of the same bet.

The budget pick is Magnus Jensen (3.2m, FC Midtjylland, 9.4% owned). He projects 70k behind that 40% clean sheet, which is 22.2k per million, and unlike most cheap defenders he holds his value into round 6 at 80k for a 205k weighted total. His fee is 32k. If you want the same fixture with more security, Mads Bech (5.3m) carries the highest clean-sheet projection of any defender in the round at 39% and returns 74k, and Martin Erlic (4.6m) is on under 3% of teams at 71k.

Midfielders

Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.0m, FC København) is the most valuable outfield asset in the game over the next month. His round 5 trip to Viborg is worth 124k, and then 297k arrives in the round 6 double – the single largest round projection any player in this game has. His weighted total of 574k is 172k clear of the next midfielder. The case is not just fixtures: 15 goals and 13 assists in 56 appearances, 14.05 expected goals alongside 12.14 expected assists, is genuinely two-way production at 0.56 expected goal involvement per 90, and he holds a 0.67 share of FC København's penalties with Youssoufa Moukoko no longer starting. At 41% ownership he is the closest thing this game has to an essential player.

Prince Junior (5.1m, Nordsjælland) is the best single-round pick at 133k and is confirmed to start. He takes Nordsjælland's penalties with an 0.87 share, and 9 goals and 6 assists in 39 appearances back it up. His program softens after round 6, so treat him as a two-round hold rather than a season-long one.

Kristian Arnstad (6.8m, AGF, 9.2% owned) is the best mid-price option on the horizon: 98k now, 160k in AGF's double, 114k after that, for a 402k weighted total, and he takes AGF's penalties. Twelve goals and 12.94 expected goals from 44 appearances is real output from midfield. At 9% ownership he is a differential in a way that Elyounoussi and Prince Junior are not. Dario Osorio (6.7m, FC Midtjylland, 10.1%) is the alternative at 108k and 340k weighted, with 12 assists to his name.

Two cheaper Nordsjælland midfielders are worth more than their price. Nicklas Røjkjær (4.3m, 5.2% owned) projects 96k as a confirmed starter for a 256k weighted total, and Hjalte Rasmussen (2.6m, 6.3%) returns 78k – 30.2k per million, the best rate of any midfielder in the game, for a 26k fee.

The budget pick with staying power is Sebastian Colyn (2.7m, Lyngby), on 0.9% of teams. He projects 76k at Horsens and 223k weighted, which is 83.7k per million across the horizon, the best figure of any midfielder in the game. His trajectory even climbs again to 68k in round 8.

Forwards

Franculino (9.7m, FC Midtjylland) is the top projection of round 5 at 144k, at home to the league's weakest attack, and he follows it with 198k in the double for a 457k weighted total. He is also the most reliable finisher in the division: 23 goals from 15.66 expected goals in 59 appearances, an expected goal involvement of 0.72 per 90, and an 0.81 share of Midtjylland's penalties. He is the most expensive player in the game and, at 36% ownership, one of the few premiums whose price is straightforwardly justified.

Oskar Fenger (2.7m, Brøndby IF) is the best value pick in the entire game this week. He projects 111k against Silkeborg – 40.9k per million, and 89.0k per million on the weighted horizon, both the highest figures at any position – and he costs 27k to bring in. The caveat is real: his starter factor is 0.80 for 51 projected minutes, so he is not nailed, and his 144 career minutes are too few to read much into. Check the Super Manager predicted lineups page before the deadline; if he is out, Mads Frøkjær-Jensen (4.5m) at 100k is the Brøndby pick with the higher floor.

Tobias Bech (7.5m, AGF, 8.1% owned) is the double-round forward play at 74k now, 130k in the double and 322k weighted, with 13 goals in 40 appearances. His 0.69 starter factor is the one thing to watch.

The value picks are all cheap and all lightly owned. Charly Horneman (3.6m, Viborg, 3.8%) projects only 57k this week but his trajectory rises – 57k → 77k → 80k → 70k for 239k weighted – and his 0.61 expected goal involvement per 90 is the third best of any forward in this game. Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan (3.2m, AC Horsens, 2.0%) returns 72k with 11 goals to his name, and Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson (3.5m, Lyngby, 0.9%) projects 74k and takes Lyngby's penalties. Note that both Horsens and Lyngby have very short recent histories at this level, so their team-level numbers carry more uncertainty than the rest.

Hidden gems: the low-ownership picks that decide your round

This is where the round 5 picture has changed most, and if you acted on an earlier version of this preview it is the section to re-read. Three cheap picks that projected strongly a week ago have lost their place in the AGF and Nordsjælland elevens and should no longer be bought: their starter factors have fallen to 0.23, 0.00 and 0.24 respectively, and their round 5 projections with them. The replacements below all have a projected starting role right now.

Colyn and Runarsson are the two extremes. Colyn is a 2.7m midfielder nobody owns with the best value rate of any midfielder in the game; Runarsson is a 4.0m keeper on one team in two hundred whose round 6 alone is worth 147k. Neither will be popular next week once the double round arrives, which is exactly the argument for buying them now. You can rank all of these against each other on the Super Manager player picks page, and dig into the underlying minutes and expected-goal numbers on the Super Manager player data page.

Captain pick and the players to build round 5 around

Super Manager has a captain (kaptajn) and he scores double, so the top of this list is also the armband decision. Ranked by round 5 projection:

1. Franculino (9.7m, FC Midtjylland) – 144k. Best fixture, best finisher, penalties. 457k weighted.
2. Prince Junior (5.1m, Nordsjælland) – 133k. Confirmed to start, penalties, and the cheapest of the top three.
3. Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.0m, FC København) – 124k this week, but 574k weighted. If you can only hold one premium for the next month, hold this one.
4. Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.0m, Nordsjælland) – 119k from defence at a defender's price.
5. Oskar Fenger (2.7m, Brøndby IF) – 111k, subject to that 0.80 starter factor.

Osorio (108k), Mads Frøkjær-Jensen (100k), Olti Hyseni (99k), Arnstad (98k) and Røjkjær (96k) round out the top ten. For a full legal eleven optimised against these numbers and the four-per-club cap, the Super Manager optimal teams solver works it out live.

Who to sell before the round 5 deadline

The sell list is led by players who are still widely owned but no longer starting.

• Friday Etim (5.3m, FC Midtjylland, 30.1% owned) – the clearest sell in the game. He projects 15k off 12 minutes with a 0.15 starter factor and a 62k weighted total, the worst of any player at his price. Owning a 5.3m substitute in the round's best fixture is the most expensive mistake available this week.
• Youssoufa Moukoko (8.1m, FC København, 22.0% owned) – his starter factor has fallen to 0.22 for 30 projected minutes, and he returns just 30k in round 5. His per-90 output is the best in the league at 0.73 expected goal involvement, but that is worth nothing from the bench, and at 8.1m he is the worst value premium in the game. If you want FC København's double round, Elyounoussi and Beijmo are the ways in.
• Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen (2.3m, Viborg, 23.7% owned) – 30k against FC København and a 139k weighted total. Cheap, but there are better cheap defenders.
• Kasper Kiilerich (3.3m, Viborg, 20.5% owned) – 43k, the weakest round 5 return of any widely owned keeper, with Viborg projected to a 17% clean sheet.
• Jann-Fiete Arp (6.0m, OB) and Alexander Lind (6.0m, Nordsjælland) – both on a 0.00 starter factor. Arp actually projects a negative return this round. Neither should be in a squad.
• Patrick Mortensen (6.1m, Brøndby IF, 12.3% owned) – 0.17 starter factor, 29 minutes, 154k weighted. He is in the best fixture of the round and it still does not help.

One correction worth making explicitly: Noah Ganaus (5.7m, OB, 22.0% owned) is no longer a sell. His projection has recovered to 61k with a 254k weighted total and a rising program – 61k → 86k → 62k → 68k – so despite the trip to AGF he is fine to keep.

A separate group should be sold after this round rather than before it. Olti Hyseni (39.9% owned), Mikael Køhlert (15.2%) and Oliver Villadsen (15.1%) are all excellent round 5 picks in the Silkeborg fixture and then fall off a cliff, from 99k to 52k, 79k to 38k and 71k to 34k respectively, as Brøndby travel to Nordsjælland. Juho Laehteenmaeki (25.7% owned) follows the same shape at 79k then 65k then 32k. Hold them this week, plan to move them next.

Transfer summary

Buy for round 5 and beyond: Elyounoussi, Runarsson, Beijmo (the FC København double-round block – three from a club, one under the four-player cap), Arnstad, Colyn, Norheim.

Buy for round 5 specifically: Fenger (27k fee, subject to lineups), Pentz or Olafsson in goal, Magnus Jensen at the back, Hjalte Rasmussen in midfield. All are cheap enough that selling again next week costs very little.

Sell now: Etim, Moukoko, Arp, Lind, Mortensen, Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen, Kiilerich.

Hold this week, sell next: Hyseni, Køhlert, Villadsen, Laehteenmaeki.

More rounds and more games are covered in the Super Manager preview hub – including the round 4 preview and the season opener. Penalty duties for every club are listed on the Super Manager penalty takers page. New to this format? Start with our guide to the holdet.dk football manager games or browse all our fantasy football guides.

FAQ

Who are the best buys in Super Manager round 5?

Franculino (9.7m, FC Midtjylland) tops the round at 144k at home to the league's weakest attack, followed by Prince Junior (5.1m, Nordsjælland) at 133k and Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.0m, FC København) at 124k. Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.0m) is the best defender at 119k, and Oskar Fenger (2.7m, Brøndby IF) is the best value pick in the game at 111k for 40.9k per million.

Who should I captain in Super Manager round 5?

Franculino (9.7m, FC Midtjylland). Super Manager has a captain and he scores double, so the armband follows the highest projection of the round – 144k at home to the league's weakest attack, with penalties. Prince Junior (5.1m, Nordsjælland) at 133k is the cheaper alternative and Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.0m, FC København) at 124k the third option. Elyounoussi is the one to prioritise if you are looking past this week: his 574k weighted total over six rounds is 172k clear of any other midfielder, driven by a 297k round 6 double.

Which players are the best differentials for Super Manager round 5?

Sebastian Colyn (2.7m, Lyngby, 0.9% owned) is the standout at 76k and 83.7k per million on the weighted horizon, the best rate of any midfielder in the game. Runar Alex Runarsson (4.0m, FC København) is on just 0.5% of teams and his 300k weighted total is the best of any keeper. Also worth noting are Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan (3.2m, 2.0% owned) at 72k, Charly Horneman (3.6m, 3.8%) whose projection rises to 80k by round 7, and Kristian Arnstad (6.8m, 9.2%) at 402k weighted. Note that three cheap picks that looked strong a week ago – in the AGF and Nordsjælland squads – have since dropped out of their starting elevens and should be avoided.

Should I buy FC København players now for the round 6 double?

Yes, and buying a week early is the cheaper way to do it. FC København play both round 6 games at home, against Sønderjyske (71% win probability) and Nordsjælland (56%), and their round 5 trip to Viborg at 44% is good enough that you are not paying much to be early. Elyounoussi projects 297k across the double, Runarsson 147k, Beijmo 148k and Robert 176k. Avoid Moukoko despite the fixtures – his starter factor is down to 0.22. Remember you can hold a maximum of four players from any one club.

Who should I sell before the Super Manager round 5 deadline?

Friday Etim (5.3m, FC Midtjylland) first: he is on 30.1% of teams and projects 15k off a 0.15 starter factor, the worst value of any player at his price. Youssoufa Moukoko (8.1m, 22.0% owned) is next at 30k with a 0.22 starter factor. Jann-Fiete Arp and Alexander Lind (both 6.0m) project zero minutes, with Arp on a negative return. Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen (23.7% owned) and Kasper Kiilerich (20.5%) are the two most-owned Viborg assets and both project poorly against FC København. Noah Ganaus, a sell candidate a week ago, has recovered and can be kept.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool