Super Manager Efterår 2026 Round 5 Preview

Super Manager round 5 preview: best buys, hidden gems and who to sell

Round 5 of Super Manager is played across Sunday 23 and Monday 24 August, and it is the last single round before the schedule splits open: round 6 is a double round for four clubs. Almost every transfer you make this week should be judged on both fixtures at once.

The obvious names have not changed. Prince Junior, Franculino, Mohamed Elyounoussi and Runar Robinsønn Norheim are on more than a third of all teams in this Superliga managerspil, and owning them keeps you level with the field rather than ahead of it. The ground is gained in the six or seven cheaper slots and in who you sell. That is what this preview is about.

Round 5 fixtures: which teams to target

Two home sides are clear of the rest, and the model rates them almost identically at opposite ends of the pitch.

Brøndby IF - Silkeborg is the round's most lopsided game: Silkeborg project 0.93 expected goals and a 10% clean sheet, the worst pair of numbers on the board. FC Midtjylland - Randers FC is a near-copy at the defensive end, with the same 40% clean sheet available at a lower price point through the Midtjylland back line.

One change worth flagging if you read an earlier version of this preview: AC Horsens no longer own the round's best clean-sheet probability. Their number has come down to 25%, and Lyngby now project the higher win probability in that game, so the cheap Horsens defence is no longer the shortcut it looked like a few days ago. Every figure above is live on the Super Manager market probabilities page, and the full run of games is on the Super Manager schedule.

Round 6 is a double round - buy into it a week early

Four clubs play twice in round 6, and that is where the biggest projections of the next month sit:

• FC København - [H]Sønderjyske (70%) and [H]Nordsjælland (56%). Two home games, comfortably the best double of the four.
• AGF - [A]Randers FC (42%) and [H]FC Midtjylland (50%).
• FC Midtjylland - [A]Silkeborg (48%) and [A]AGF (27%).
• Nordsjælland - [H]Brøndby IF (40%) and [A]FC København (21%).

FC København are the story. They are merely fine this week (45% away at Viborg) and then explode. AGF are the best of both worlds: a strong round 5 fixture and the double, followed by [H]Silkeborg at 65% in round 7. If you only lean one way with your transfers, lean AGF and FC København.

Throughout this preview, "weighted" means a decay-weighted total across rounds 5 to 10 - the current round counts in full and each later round counts progressively less. It tells you at a glance whether a pick is a one-week play or an investment.

Best buys by position in round 5

Goalkeepers

The keeper picture has moved, so check it before you commit. Patrick Pentz (4.8m, Brøndby IF) is the top-projected keeper of the round at 82k, sitting behind that 40% clean sheet against Silkeborg. Elias Olafsson (5.1m, FC Midtjylland) is two points behind at 80k on the same 40% clean sheet, and he is the better hold: the Midtjylland double lifts him to 108k in round 6 for a 264k weighted total.

Value pick: Diego Kochen (2.5m, Lyngby) projects 59k at Horsens - roughly 23k of xP per million, the best rate of any keeper in the game, and his fee is only about 25k. A keeper this cheap pays for a premium midfielder somewhere else.

The forward-looking pick: Runar Alex Runarsson (4.0m, FC København). He is 60k this week and 146k in the round 6 double, for a 299k weighted total - the highest of any keeper in Super Manager. He is on 0.4% of teams. The best forward programme in the position combined with effectively zero ownership is as close to a free differential as goalkeeper gets. Mads Hedenstad Christiansen (4.5m, AGF) is the equivalent pick at 68k behind a 34% clean sheet, also barely owned, and he carries into the AGF double.

Confirm who is actually between the posts on the Super Manager predicted lineups page before the deadline - this is the position where that check matters most this week.

Defenders

Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.0m, Nordsjælland) is the outstanding defender of the round at 115k, half as much again as the next-best. He projects a full 90 minutes with 0.26 expected goals and 0.24 expected assists of his own, which is attacking-midfielder involvement from a defender, and at 29k of xP per million he is also one of the best value picks in the game at any price. He is on 37% of teams, so he is template rather than an edge - but leaving him out is a punt, not a plan. His trajectory: 115k → 124k → 65k, weighted 343k.

Differential: Martin Erlic (4.6m, FC Midtjylland) at 77k on a 37% clean sheet, owned by under 3%. He is the cheapest way into the round's joint-best defensive fixture that nobody else has, and he holds up at 85k in the round 6 double. Rasmus Kristensen (5.1m) and Mads Bech (5.3m) give you the same fixture at 72k and 70k, but you pay more for it.

Budget pick: Jacob Andersen (3.0m, AGF) - 64k at 21k per million, on under 2% of teams, 84 projected minutes, and he carries straight into the AGF double at 63k. The best cheap defender in the game this week. Renzo Tytens (2.2m, Lyngby) is the cheapest genuine starter worth owning at 53k and 25k per million, with a fee under 25k.

If you want a Brøndby block for the Silkeborg game, the model has four of them within 2k of each other, so buy on price: Jordi Vanlerberghe (3.3m) at 70k is the pick, ahead of Oliver Villadsen (3.8m) and Mats Köhlert (3.8m) on 72k and Luis Binks (4.3m) on 72k. Keep the cap of four players per club in mind if you are stacking, and remember every one of them drops to the low 30ks in round 6 when Brøndby travel to Nordsjælland. That is a one-round buy, and at these prices the roughly 35k fee is covered by a single clean sheet.

Round 6 play: Felix Beijmo (4.7m, FC København) - 58k now, 152k in the double, 300k weighted. The best forward-looking defender in the game, and the same argument as Runarsson: buy this week, collect next week.

Midfielders

The deepest position of the round, and it contains the single highest projection in the game.

Prince Junior (5.1m, Nordsjælland) projects 143k, more than any other player in round 5. He is nailed for 90 minutes, takes every Nordsjælland penalty on the model's numbers, and carries 0.50 expected goals plus 0.23 expected assists at Sønderjyske. At 28k per million he is not just the biggest projection but one of the better value ones. He is on 38% of teams, so this is a "do not be without him" pick.

Premium: Mohamed Elyounoussi (8.0m, FC København) is the highest weighted player in the game at 520k, with 260k in the round 6 double alone. At 109k this week he is also third-best for the round on its own. He is the most-owned player in Super Manager at 39%.

Premium differential: Dario Osorio (6.7m, FC Midtjylland) at 108k on only 10% ownership - 0.30 expected goals and 0.25 expected assists against Randers, with a 38% clean sheet behind him, and 131k in the round 6 double for a 335k weighted total. Kristian Arnstad (6.8m, AGF) is the other one at 105k and 9% ownership; he takes AGF's penalties on a 93% share, which is what separates him from similarly priced options. You can check spot-kick duty across the league on the Super Manager penalty takers page.

Value picks, and this is where round 5 is actually won:

• Lamine Sadio (3.1m, Nordsjælland) - 102k at 33k per million, 9% owned, 302k weighted. The best combination of price, this-round output and staying power in the game.
• James Bogere (2.5m, AGF) - 90k at a bench-filler price, which is 36k of xP per million, the best rate of any player in Super Manager this round. He is on 5% of teams and carries through the AGF double. The caveat is real: his 80 projected minutes come off a 0.66 starter factor, so check the lineups before you buy.
• Nicklas Røjkjær (4.3m, Nordsjælland) - 93k on 88 nailed minutes and 5% ownership. The safest of the three, and 92k again in the double.
• Mads Frøkjær-Jensen (4.5m, Brøndby IF) - 95k with 0.22 expected goals and 0.26 expected assists against Silkeborg. A one-round Brøndby play; he falls to 56k in round 6.
• Simon Colyn (2.7m, Lyngby) - 68k at 25k per million and under 1% ownership, 85 projected minutes.

Forwards

Franculino (9.7m, FC Midtjylland) projects 141k this week and 555k weighted, the highest in the game, with 245k waiting in the round 6 double. He carries 0.55 expected goals against Randers and a 70% penalty share. He is the most expensive player in Super Manager and on 35% of teams; the case for him is the next three rounds, not just this one.

The best-value big score: Filip Bundgaard (4.1m, Brøndby IF) at 120k and 29k per million, with 0.45 expected goals against that 10%-clean-sheet Silkeborg defence and a 97% share of Brøndby's penalties. He is on 9% of teams. One honest warning: he projects 62 minutes off a 0.50 starter factor, so this is the pick with the widest range of outcomes in the preview. If he starts he is the best points-per-million play of the round; if he does not, you have spent a 41k fee on a cameo. Check the lineups.

The safe premium: Tobias Bech (7.5m, AGF) - 114k, 84 projected minutes at a 0.99 starter factor, 0.43 expected goals at home to OB, and only 8% owned. He is the highest-projected forward in the game who is also nailed, and he runs 114k → 110k → 75k through the AGF double for a 316k weighted total. If you want Bundgaard's ceiling without Bundgaard's rotation risk, this is the trade.

Youssoufa Moukoko (8.1m, FC København) is 87k now and 244k in the double, but his 0.53 starter factor is a genuine question with Viktor Dadason and Andreas Cornelius both in the frame. If you want FC København's round 6 without that risk, Elyounoussi or Runarsson are the cleaner routes.

Budget forwards:

• Isak Snaer Thorvaldsson (3.5m, Lyngby) - 74k at 21k per million, 76 minutes at a 0.99 starter factor, an 85% penalty share, and under 1% ownership. The best genuinely nailed cheap forward in the game.
• Oskar Fenger (2.7m, Brøndby IF) - 84k and 31k per million, the second-best rate in the round. Same rotation caveat as Bundgaard (40 projected minutes, 0.50 starter factor), and he falls away after round 6, so treat him as a one-round buy at a 27k fee.
• Adrian Justinussen (2.7m, AC Horsens) - 59k at 22k per million on a 68% penalty share, 3% owned.

Hidden gems: the low-ownership picks that decide your round

Everyone will own two or three of Prince Junior, Franculino, Elyounoussi and Norheim. The table below is where the gap actually opens: all six are on under 10% of teams.

Two more worth naming. Callum McCowatt (5.3m, Silkeborg) is on 5% of teams and projects only 48k into the Brøndby trip - but then 89k, 55k, 99k, 94k and 110k, for a 273k weighted total. He is a buy-early-and-hold pick, not a round 5 play. Charly Horneman (3.6m, Viborg) is the same idea one price bracket down: 59k now, then 81k and 86k, 260k weighted, on 4% ownership. Compare any of them against the full field on the Super Manager player picks page, or dig into the underlying minutes and expected goals on the Super Manager player data page.

The players to build round 5 around

Super Manager has no captain, so there is no doubling up - the way you express confidence here is simply owning the biggest projections and getting the cheap slots right around them. Ranked by projected points for this round alone:

1. Prince Junior (5.1m, Nordsjælland) - 143k. Penalties, 90 minutes, and the highest projection in the game.
2. Franculino (9.7m, FC Midtjylland) - 141k. The highest floor in the game, at the highest price, with the double still to come.
3. Filip Bundgaard (4.1m, Brøndby IF) - 120k. The best price-to-projection ratio of the top five, with a start to confirm.
4. Runar Robinsønn Norheim (4.0m, Nordsjælland) - 115k. The only defender anywhere near this range.
5. Tobias Bech (7.5m, AGF) - 114k. Nailed, on the double, and on 8% of teams.

Elyounoussi at 109k, Osorio at 108k and Arnstad at 105k are next, and all three have a stronger round 6 than anyone above them except Franculino. If you would rather let the model assemble the whole side at current prices, the Super Manager optimal teams solver does exactly that, live.

Who to sell before the round 5 deadline

• Alexander Lind (6.0m, Nordsjælland) - the urgent one. He projects zero minutes and a negative return in round 5, and it does not improve in round 6. He is still on 12% of teams. There is no fixture argument to weigh here; he is simply not playing.
• Jann-Fiete Arp (6.0m, OB) - the same problem this week at 6% ownership: zero projected minutes, in the round's worst attacking fixture. He does return to 32k and 35k in rounds 6 and 7, so this is a sell-now-revisit-later rather than a permanent one.
• Friday Etim (5.3m, FC Midtjylland) - on 30% of teams and projecting 55k off 39 minutes and a 0.32 starter factor. That is roughly 10k per million, the worst value of any widely owned player in the game. Julius Emefile does the same job at 3.3m for 63k if you want the Midtjylland rotation ticket cheaper.
• Noah Ganaus (5.7m, OB) - 26% owned, 54k, under 10k per million. OB travel to AGF with 1.09 expected goals and a 15% clean sheet, and their rounds 6 and 7 are no better.
• Kasper Kiilerich (3.3m, Viborg) - 22% owned and only 42k, with a 17% clean sheet at home to FC København. Kochen at 2.5m projects more for less. If you would rather not pay the fee twice, note that Kiilerich does improve to 63k and 67k in rounds 6 and 7.

One to watch rather than sell: Olti Hyseni (4.1m, Brøndby IF) is the game's third-most-owned player at 38%, but the model has him at 42 minutes off a 0.50 starter factor, so his 76k depends heavily on the team sheet. If he is not in the XI, Frøkjær-Jensen or Max Ejdum (3.8m, 78k) are the same fixture with more certain minutes.

Transfer summary

If you make three transfers this week, the highest-expectation shape is: sell the zero-minute players first (Lind, Arp), replace one popular underperformer (Etim or Ganaus) with a cheap high-rate midfielder (Sadio or Bogere), and take one early position in the round 6 double - Runarsson in goal at 0.4% ownership is the cheapest way to do it, Beijmo or Elyounoussi the more direct. Keep the four-per-club cap in mind if you are stacking Brøndby or Nordsjælland.

More rounds and more analysis in the Super Manager preview hub, including the round 4 preview and the season opener. New to holdet.dk managerspil? Start with our guide to the holdet.dk football manager games, or browse all of our fantasy football guides.

FAQ

Who are the best buys in Super Manager round 5?

Prince Junior (5.1m, Nordsjælland) leads the round at 143k on penalties and 90 projected minutes, with Franculino (9.7m, FC Midtjylland) at 141k and Tobias Bech (7.5m, AGF) at 114k as the two premium alternatives. At the cheap end, Lamine Sadio (3.1m) at 102k and James Bogere (2.5m) at 90k are the two highest points-per-million plays in the game, at 33k and 36k of xP per million respectively.

Is there a captain in Super Manager, and who should I build round 5 around?

No - Super Manager has no captaincy multiplier, so no player scores double. The equivalent decision is which big projections you own outright. For round 5 that is Prince Junior at 143k and Franculino at 141k, with Filip Bundgaard (4.1m) at 120k the cheapest route to a top-three projection if you can confirm he starts.

Which players are the best differentials for Super Manager round 5?

James Bogere (2.5m, AGF, 5% owned) at 90k and 36k per million is the standout, followed by Lamine Sadio (3.1m, 9%) at 102k and Nicklas Røjkjær (4.3m, 5%) at 93k. In defence, Martin Erlic (4.6m, FC Midtjylland) is on under 3% of teams and projects 77k behind a 37% clean sheet. The most extreme is Runar Alex Runarsson (4.0m, FC København) at 0.4% ownership, whose 299k weighted total is the best of any keeper in the game.

Should I buy FC København players now for the round 6 double?

Yes, and buying a week early is the cheaper way to do it. FC København play both round 6 games at home, against Sønderjyske (70% win probability) and Nordsjælland (56%), and their round 5 trip to Viborg at 45% is good enough that you are not paying much to be early. Elyounoussi projects 260k in the double, Moukoko 244k, Beijmo 152k and Runarsson 146k. The one caution is Moukoko's 0.53 starter factor - check the predicted lineups before committing there.

Who should I sell before the Super Manager round 5 deadline?

Alexander Lind (6.0m, Nordsjælland) first - he projects zero minutes and a negative return yet remains on 12% of teams. Jann-Fiete Arp (6.0m, OB) is the same case at 6% ownership. After that, Friday Etim (5.3m, 30% owned, 55k off 39 minutes) and Noah Ganaus (5.7m, 26% owned, 54k) are the two most-owned players whose value per million is worst in the game right now.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool