Allsvenskan Fantasy 2026 Round 18 Preview
Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18 preview: best buys, captain picks and hidden gems
Round 18 of Allsvenskan Fantasy is a seven-match round with an early deadline. AIK and Mjällby have no fixture, and the round opens on Friday 21 August with Sirius v Häcken, so you are picking on Friday afternoon rather than at the weekend. Every number below comes from the latest model run, which you can cross-check any time on the Allsvenskan Fantasy player picks page.
Owning Isak Bjerkebo, Paulos Abraham and Warner Hahn is not what moves your rank — most squads already have them. This round is decided lower down the price list, and by one piece of forward planning: getting Djurgården cover in before their Round 19 double.
What has changed since the last update
- Odera Adindu (6.3m, Sirius) has dropped from the round's second-best projection to 4.4 xP. He is still in the model's Sirius XI at 76 projected minutes, but his form has cooled — 0.37 xGI per 90 across his last six appearances against 0.56 for the season — and his six-round weighted score is now 12.2. A fine cheap forward, no longer a standout.
- Simen Hestnes (5.5m, Häcken) is not in the model's Häcken XI. He projects 1.2 xP and a weighted 8.2 over six rounds. If he was on your watchlist, take him off it.
- Marcus Lindberg (5.7m, Sirius) has moved up to 5.1 xP and a weighted 17.4 — now the best sub-6.0m midfielder in the game.
- Mikkel Ladefoged (6.5m, Västerås SK) is no longer selectable and projects 0.0 in every remaining round, despite 13% ownership. He was also Västerås' listed penalty taker, which is why the spot-kick share has moved to a defender — see below.
- Sirius and Häcken carry no rotation discount. Their Friday fixture is the one game in the round where the model treats team news as known, so those projected minutes are hard starter-or-not numbers rather than probabilities. Confirm on predicted lineups before the deadline.
Round 18 fixtures: where the points are
Hammarby are the clearest side of the round. They host GAIS with a 66% win probability and 2.24 projected goals, and they are the best team in Allsvenskan by expected goal difference this season — 2.07 xG per game against 1.05 conceded, a non-penalty xG difference of +1.02. Sirius are next at 2.08 projected goals, and they carry the second-best figure in the league at +0.95.
| Team | Fixture | Win % | Expected goals | Clean sheet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammarby | [H]GAIS | 66% | 2.24 | 39% |
| GAIS | [A]Hammarby | 14% | 0.94 | 11% |
| Sirius | [H]Häcken | 53% | 2.08 | 26% |
| Häcken | [A]Sirius | 24% | 1.36 | 13% |
| Örgryte | [H]Halmstads BK | 48% | 1.74 | 29% |
| Halmstads BK | [A]Örgryte | 27% | 1.25 | 18% |
| Brommapojkarna | [H]Degerfors | 46% | 1.55 | 32% |
| Degerfors | [A]Brommapojkarna | 27% | 1.16 | 21% |
Örgryte against Halmstad is the shootout: they own the two leakiest defences in the division at 1.86 and 1.95 xG conceded per game. Target the attackers there, not the clean sheets. Brommapojkarna get the weakest attack in the league — Degerfors have managed 0.95 xG per game across 17 matches and scored just 17 goals — which makes them the clean-sheet play of the round.
Three fixtures are close to coin flips and are best avoided as the reason for a transfer: Malmö FF - Djurgården on Monday (36% v 39%), IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg (37% v 36%) and Västerås SK - Kalmar FF (36% v 37%). Full odds for every match sit on the Allsvenskan market probabilities page, and the whole calendar is on the Allsvenskan Fantasy schedule.
The planning point: the Djurgården double in Round 19
Djurgården and Mjällby meet twice in Round 19 — at Mjällby on 31 August and again in Stockholm on 3 September. That double dominates the six-round picture. Bo Åsulv Hegland (8.2m, Djurgården) projects 11.0 xP for that round, Kristian Lien (9.9m, Djurgården) 9.7, Jacob Rinne (5.8m, Djurgården) 8.6 and Patric Åslund (6.6m, Djurgården) 7.8. Round 18 is when you buy it, because getting in later costs a hit.
Look one step further and there is a second double: AIK and Mjällby both play twice in Round 21 — AIK host Västerås on 12 September and Mjällby on 16 September, with Mjällby also travelling to Häcken on 11 September. That is why the two blank clubs this week are not treated the same way in the sell section below.
Best goalkeepers for Round 18
Warner Hahn (6.1m, Hammarby) — 4.8 xP, the top keeper of the round, on a 39% clean-sheet chance against a GAIS side projected under a goal. He has played every league minute this season, so there is no rotation risk to price in, and his run is flat and reliable: 4.8 → 4.3 → 4.7 → 4.6 → 4.5 → 4.2, a decay-weighted six-round score of 16.4.
Davor Blazevic (4.3m, Brommapojkarna) at 4.5 xP is the cheapest route into the round's second-best clean-sheet fixture and the best points-per-million in the position at 1.05. The caveat is real: he has one start all season, so check the team news before you commit.
The better long-term budget keeper is Viktor Andersson (4.8m, IFK Göteborg), owned by under 1%. His 4.3 xP this week is unremarkable, but his weighted six-round score of 15.9 beats Blazevic's 15.1 at almost the same price, and Göteborg's programme improves sharply — they host Örgryte in Round 19 at 59% and Halmstad in Round 21 at 58% with a 43% clean-sheet chance.
If you are buying for the double instead, Jacob Rinne (5.8m, Djurgården) is the best goalkeeper in the game over the horizon at a weighted 18.5, purely on the strength of that 8.6 in Round 19.
Best defenders for Round 18
Simon Gefvert (4.8m, Västerås SK) tops the position at 5.1 xP and is owned by 3% of managers. That is 1.06 points per million, the best figure at any price in any position this week. The driver is spot-kicks: with Ladefoged out of the game the model gives Gefvert an 82% share of Västerås' penalties, and a sub-5.0m defender on penalty duty is a rare edge. You can check the assignment on the Allsvenskan penalty takers page. He has started all 17 league games for 1,528 minutes, so he plays. Note the fixture is a coin flip, so this is a one-round buy — his next three rounds read 3.3, 3.7 and 3.4.
Two defenders share 5.0 xP at the premium end. Hampus Skoglund (6.7m, Hammarby) has the best clean-sheet fixture of the round at 38% and has 1,414 minutes across all 17 league games. Oscar Krusnell (6.9m, Sirius) is the better hold: 2.56 xA from defence this season and a weighted 17.7 across six rounds, the highest of any defender in the game.
The value pick of the position is Tobias Anker (5.2m, Sirius) at 4.7 xP. His weighted 17.1 is second only to Krusnell, and at 5.2m that is 3.29 weighted points per million — the best ratio of any defender. Henrik Castegren (4.9m, Sirius) at 4.3 xP and a weighted 15.5 is the cheaper version of the same idea. Sirius have the most stable defensive programme in the league from here.
For a pure one-week punt on the shootout, Christoffer Styffe (4.6m, Örgryte) at 4.7 xP and Mikael Dyrestam (4.4m, Örgryte) at 4.5 xP both read above 1.02 points per million. Plan the exit before the entry: Örgryte's next three rounds carry win probabilities of 18%, 13% and 12%.
A pairing worth considering is Blazevic plus Oliver Zandén (5.0m, Brommapojkarna) at 4.4 xP — 9.3m combined, doubling up on the same 32% clean sheet against the league's weakest attack. Correlated stacks are worth it when the fixture is this soft, but never add a third body from a club purely for the correlation.
Best midfielders for Round 18
Isak Bjerkebo (9.6m, Sirius) is the highest projection in the round at 6.8 xP and it is not close. He has 13 goals and 5 assists in 17 league games from 9.03 xG and 5.50 xA — 0.87 xGI per 90, the best rate of any regular in the division — and the form has not cooled: 4 goals and 2 assists in his last six at 0.78 xGI per 90. He takes Sirius' penalties at a 93% share and his run barely dips: 6.8 → 7.0 → 6.9 → 7.5 → 7.6 → 5.3. That is a weighted 24.9, the highest score in the game.
Montader Madjed (8.9m, Hammarby) at 5.6 xP is the second-best midfielder of the round and is owned by under 8%. He has inherited Hammarby's penalties in Nahir Besara's absence at a 58% share, he has 3 goals in his last six starts at 0.57 xGI per 90, and he sits in the round's best team fixture. His weighted 18.2 beats the far more expensive Victor Lind.
That said, Victor Lind (10.6m, Hammarby) at 5.4 xP has the best recent form of any Hammarby player: 2 goals and 5 assists in his last six at 0.83 xGI per 90, against a season rate of 0.63. If you want the premium version of the same fixture, it is him.
Bo Åsulv Hegland (8.2m, Djurgården) at 5.1 xP is the horizon buy rather than the round buy. The Malmö away game is a coin flip, but the Round 19 double takes him to 11.0 and his weighted 23.9 is second only to Bjerkebo. He has 6 goals and 10 assists this season at 0.77 xGI per 90.
Budget midfield is where this round is won. Marcus Lindberg (5.7m, Sirius) is projected the full 90 minutes with no rotation discount, and at 5.1 xP and a weighted 17.4 he is the best midfielder in the game under 6.0m — 3.05 weighted points per million. Melker Heier (4.8m, Sirius) at 4.1 xP is the cheaper Sirius route. For one week only, Tobias Sana (6.1m, Örgryte) at 4.9 xP takes Örgryte's penalties at a 93% share against the leakiest defence in the league.
Two low-ownership penalty takers are worth a look: Oliver Berg (7.3m, Brommapojkarna) at 4.7 xP with a 94% spot-kick share and under 2% ownership, and Arbër Zeneli (7.9m, Elfsborg) at 4.4 xP with a 76% share and 1% ownership. Both carry ceiling their ownership does not reflect.
Best forwards for Round 18
Paulos Abraham (10.5m, Hammarby) at 5.3 xP leads the position and, unusually for a template pick at 38% ownership, the form argues for keeping him: 5 goals in his last six starts at 0.91 xGI per 90 against a season rate of 0.73, from 9.06 xG in 17 games. In the best team fixture of the round, that is a straightforward hold.
Kristian Lien (9.9m, Djurgården) at 4.5 xP is the better buy if you are looking past Friday: 10 goals from 6.98 xG this season, Djurgården's penalty taker at a 93% share, and 9.7 xP waiting in the Round 19 double for a weighted 21.2 — the best of any forward.
Cheaper: Noah Christoffersson (6.2m, Örgryte) at 4.4 xP has 8 goals from 5.38 xG on the season and 6 in his last six at 0.63 xGI per 90 — the best cheap-striker form in the league, into the softest defence in it. Charlie Rosenqvist (5.6m, Kalmar FF) at 4.1 xP is the steadier budget option if you would rather not churn, and Odera Adindu (6.3m, Sirius) at 4.4 xP is a fair 0.5%-owned punt now that his projection has settled — just not the differential he looked like a week ago.
Captaincy for Round 18
| Rank | Player | Price | Fixture | xP | Ownership |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isak Bjerkebo (MID) | 9.6m | [H]Häcken | 6.8 | 68% |
| 2 | Montader Madjed (MID) | 8.9m | [H]GAIS | 5.6 | 8% |
| 3 | Victor Lind (MID) | 10.6m | [H]GAIS | 5.4 | 22% |
| 4 | Paulos Abraham (FWD) | 10.5m | [H]GAIS | 5.3 | 38% |
| 5 | Bo Åsulv Hegland (MID) | 8.2m | [A]Malmö FF | 5.1 | 51% |
Captain Bjerkebo. He is the highest projection in the round by 1.2 xP, he takes the penalties, and Sirius have the second-highest projected goal total of any team. At 68% ownership the armband on him is the protective choice rather than the aggressive one — which is the right call in a seven-match round where the cost of being different is high.
The differential version is Madjed: 5.6 xP in the round's best team fixture at under 8% ownership, with the penalties while Besara is out. Lind is the third option and has the hottest recent form of the three. There is no case for going outside this group.
Captaincy is a plan, not a one-week pick. The best armband in Round 19 is Hegland at 11.0 xP in the Djurgården double — another argument for making that transfer now rather than next week.
Who to sell before Round 18
Five widely-owned players are no longer selectable in the game and project 0.0 from here. If any are still in your squad they are dead weight: Robbie Ure (8.9m, Sirius, 35% owned), Rasmus Forsell (4.0m, Degerfors, 23%), Elliot Stroud (10.7m, Mjällby, 16%), Zadok Yohanna (6.4m, AIK, 16%) and Mikkel Ladefoged (6.5m, Västerås SK, 13%).
- Nahir Besara (13.3m, Hammarby) — still the most urgent active sale. He is 34% owned, the most expensive asset in the league, and projects 22 minutes and 1.8 xP. His next three rounds read 1.7, 3.1, 3.3, for a weighted 8.9. That is 13.3m doing nothing in the best fixture of the round.
- Julius Magnusson (5.2m, Elfsborg) — 19% owned, 52 projected minutes and 2.1 xP, weighted 8.0. A new name on this list.
- Victor Eriksson (6.4m, Hammarby) — 20% owned, 17 projected minutes, 0.9 xP. Skoglund is the Hammarby defender to own.
- August Wängberg (5.4m, GAIS) — 17% owned and 2.0 xP away at the strongest attack in the league.
- Jens Stryger Larsen (6.3m, Malmö FF) — 14% owned, 47 projected minutes, 1.9 xP in a coin-flip fixture.
- Tom Pettersson (5.7m, Mjällby) — 12% owned and a weighted 4.7 even with two doubles ahead. He is not in the projected XI.
- AIK assets — sell now, revisit for Round 21. They blank this week, then host Hammarby (30% win) and travel to Malmö (28%). Their Round 21 double is worth planning for though: Kristoffer Nordfeldt projects 9.0 xP that round and Mads Døhr Thychosen 8.6.
- Mjällby assets — bench, do not sell. They blank in Round 18 but play twice in Round 19 and twice again in Round 21. Robin Wallinder (6.0m) holds a weighted 15.9 on 7.7 and 7.9 in those two rounds, and Tony Miettinen (5.5m) a weighted 12.9 at under 3% ownership.
You can check any of these against your own transfer plan on the my team page, and last round's actual returns are on the last gameweek results page.
Best Loan Rangers team for Round 18
Loan Rangers is Allsvenskan Fantasy's one-round unlimited-transfers chip. Round 18 is not the natural week for it — seven matches and two blank clubs cap the ceiling, and Round 19's Djurgården double is the better target. If you are playing it anyway, this is the highest-projected legal squad the optimal-teams solver can build for the round inside its own spending ceiling and the three-per-club limit. It lines up 1-4-5-1 and totals 57.1 xP before the armband, 63.9 with Bjerkebo captained.
| Pos | Player | Team | Price | xP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | Davor Blazevic | Brommapojkarna | 4.3m | 4.5 |
| DEF | Simon Gefvert | Västerås SK | 4.8m | 5.1 |
| DEF | Oscar Krusnell | Sirius | 6.9m | 5.0 |
| DEF | Christoffer Styffe | Örgryte | 4.6m | 4.7 |
| DEF | Mikael Dyrestam | Örgryte | 4.4m | 4.5 |
| MID | Isak Bjerkebo (C) | Sirius | 9.6m | 6.8 |
| MID | Montader Madjed | Hammarby | 8.9m | 5.6 |
| MID | Victor Lind | Hammarby | 10.6m | 5.4 |
| MID | Marcus Lindberg | Sirius | 5.7m | 5.1 |
| MID | Bo Åsulv Hegland | Djurgården | 8.2m | 5.1 |
| FWD | Paulos Abraham | Hammarby | 10.5m | 5.3 |
That eleven costs 78.5m, which leaves plenty for the four bench slots — on a Loan Rangers round the bench is insurance rather than scoring, so spend as little there as the squad rules allow. For the exact optimum against live prices and your own settings, run the solver on the optimal teams for Allsvenskan Fantasy page, and read the Allsvenskan chip strategy tool before committing a chip you only get once.
Where to check the numbers yourself
Every figure in this preview comes from our projection model and updates as new lineups and odds arrive. The player picks page carries the full round-by-round table, and player data has the underlying xG and xA behind the form numbers quoted above. More rounds are in the Allsvenskan Fantasy preview hub — including the Round 17 preview — and our fantasy football guides cover the scoring and strategy basics.
FAQ
Who should I captain in Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18?
Isak Bjerkebo (9.6m, Sirius). He leads the round at 6.8 xP, 1.2 clear of the next player, takes Sirius' penalties at a 93% share, and Sirius have the second-highest projected goal total of any team at home to Häcken. He has 13 goals and 5 assists in 17 league games at 0.87 xGI per 90, the best rate of any regular in the division. Montader Madjed (8.9m) at 5.6 xP is the differential armband at under 8% ownership, and Victor Lind (10.6m) at 5.4 xP is the third option.
Which teams blank in Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18?
AIK and Mjällby have no fixture in Round 18 — it is a seven-match round. Treat them differently: AIK are the sale, because they follow the blank with Hammarby at home (30% win) and Malmö away (28%), though their Round 21 double is worth buying back for. Mjällby are worth benching rather than selling, because they play twice in Round 19 and twice again in Round 21.
What are the best budget picks for Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18?
Simon Gefvert (4.8m, Västerås SK) is the best value in the game at 5.1 xP — 1.06 points per million, helped by an 82% penalty share now that Ladefoged is out of the game. Marcus Lindberg (5.7m, Sirius) at 5.1 xP is the best midfielder under 6.0m over any horizon, with a weighted 17.4 across six rounds. Davor Blazevic (4.3m, Brommapojkarna) at 4.5 xP is the cheapest keeper into a 32% clean sheet, and Tobias Anker (5.2m, Sirius) at 4.7 xP is the best defender per million over the next six rounds.
Who are the best differentials for Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18?
Montader Madjed (8.9m, Hammarby) at 5.6 xP and under 8% ownership is the standout: he has the round's best team fixture and the penalties while Nahir Besara is out. Viktor Andersson (4.8m, IFK Göteborg) at under 1% ownership is the budget differential, with a weighted 15.9 over six rounds from a keeper priced at 4.8m. Oliver Berg (7.3m, Brommapojkarna) at 4.7 xP holds a 94% penalty share at under 2% ownership.
Should I use my Loan Rangers chip in Round 18?
Probably not. Loan Rangers gives unlimited transfers for one round, and a seven-match round with two blank clubs caps what the chip can return. Round 19 is the better target, because Djurgården and Mjällby play each other twice that week and Bo Åsulv Hegland alone projects 11.0 xP. If you are playing it in Round 18 anyway, the highest-projected legal squad the solver can build for the round is listed above and totals 63.9 xP with Bjerkebo captained.
This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool