Allsvenskan Fantasy 2026 Round 18 Preview

Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18 preview: best buys, captaincy and hidden gems

Round 18 of Allsvenskan Fantasy is a seven-match round. AIK and Mjällby have no fixture, so two full squads are off the board before you start, and the deadline is early: the round opens on Friday 21 August with Sirius v Häcken, so you are picking on Friday evening rather than at the weekend.

The template names — Isak Bjerkebo, Paulos Abraham, Warner Hahn — are already in most squads, and owning them is not what moves your rank. This round is decided in the cheap seats and in one piece of planning: a 4.8m defender on penalty duty, a 6.3m forward almost nobody owns, and getting Djurgården cover in before their Round 19 double. Every number below comes from our model's latest run, which you can cross-check on the Allsvenskan Fantasy player picks page.

Round 18 fixtures: where the points are

Hammarby are the clearest side of the round. They host GAIS with a 65% win probability and 2.19 projected goals, and they are the best team in the league by expected goal difference this season — 2.07 xG per game against 1.05 xGC, a non-penalty xG difference of +1.02. Sirius are next: 2.12 projected goals at home to Häcken, and the only Friday fixture, so their team news lands first.

TeamFixtureWin %Expected goalsClean sheet %
Hammarby[H]GAIS65%2.1939%
GAIS[A]Hammarby14%0.9511%
Sirius[H]Häcken52%2.1224%
Häcken[A]Sirius25%1.4412%
Örgryte[H]Halmstads BK48%1.7329%
Halmstads BK[A]Örgryte27%1.2618%
Brommapojkarna[H]Degerfors46%1.6031%
Degerfors[A]Brommapojkarna27%1.1920%

Örgryte against Halmstad is the shootout: they are the two leakiest defences in the division at 1.86 and 1.95 xGC per game. Target the attackers there, not the clean sheets. Brommapojkarna get the weakest attack in Allsvenskan — Degerfors have managed 0.95 xG per game all season. The one to swerve is Malmö FF - Djurgården on Monday: 38% Djurgården, 36% Malmö, clean-sheet odds of 22% and 21%, and the last kick-off of the round. Full odds for every match sit on the Allsvenskan market probabilities page, and the full calendar is on the Allsvenskan Fantasy schedule.

The planning point: Djurgården double in Round 19

Djurgården and Mjällby meet twice in Round 19 — at Mjällby on 31 August and again in Stockholm on 3 September. That is a genuine double gameweek, and it dominates the six-round picture. Bo Åsulv Hegland (8.2m, Djurgården) projects 11.2 xP for that round, Kristian Lien (9.9m, Djurgården) 10.5, and Jacob Rinne (5.8m, Djurgården) 8.5. Round 18 is where you buy that, because the price of getting in later is a hit.

Best goalkeepers for Round 18

Warner Hahn (6.1m, Hammarby) — 4.8 xP, the top-projected keeper of the round, on a 39% clean-sheet chance against a GAIS side projected under a goal. He has played all 1,530 league minutes this season, so there is no rotation risk to price in, and his run is flat and reliable: 4.8 → 4.3 → 4.7 → 4.6 → 4.5 → 4.2, a decay-weighted six-round score of 16.4.

The budget route has changed. Davor Blazevic (4.3m, Brommapojkarna) is now the projected starter ahead of Leo Cavallius, and at 4.4 xP he is the best value keeper in the game — 1.02 points per million against the weakest attack in the league. Hampus Gustafsson (4.5m, Örgryte) at 4.3 xP is the cheapest way into a 29% clean sheet, but his programme falls off a cliff afterwards (3.6, 3.5, 3.4), so treat him as a one-round pick.

Check the team-news picture on predicted lineups before you commit to a cheap keeper — this is exactly the position where a job change costs you a week.

Best defenders for Round 18

Simon Gefvert (4.8m, Västerås SK) is the standout and he is owned by 3% of managers. He tops every defender in the round at 5.1 xP, which is 1.06 points per million — the best figure at any price in any position. Two things drive it: Västerås are at home to Kalmar in a near coin-flip (36% v 37%), and the model has him on the side's spot-kicks with an 88% share. A sub-5.0m defender with penalty duty is a rare edge; you can verify the assignment on the Allsvenskan penalty takers page. He has played 1,528 minutes in 17 games, so he starts.

Hampus Skoglund (6.6m, Hammarby) at 4.9 xP is the safe premium: the best clean-sheet fixture of the round at 39%, and he has been an ever-present at 1,414 minutes. Oscar Krusnell (6.9m, Sirius) at 4.8 xP is the attacking alternative — 2.56 xA from defence this season, and the strongest defensive run of the group at a weighted 16.8 across six rounds.

For the cheap slot, Christoffer Styffe (4.6m, Örgryte) at 4.7 xP and Mikael Dyrestam (4.4m, Örgryte) at 4.5 xP both read 1.02 points per million against Halmstad. Both are one-round buys and you should say so out loud when you make the trade: Örgryte's next three rounds carry win probabilities of 18%, 13% and 12%, so plan the exit before you plan the entry. If you want the cheap defence to last, Simon Strand (4.3m, Brommapojkarna) at 4.3 xP and 1.00 points per million is the more durable version of the same idea.

A pairing worth considering: Blazevic plus Strand doubles up on the same 31% Brommapojkarna clean sheet for 8.6m combined. Correlated stacks are worth it when the fixture is this soft — just don't add a third body from a club purely for the correlation.

Best midfielders for Round 18

Isak Bjerkebo (9.6m, Sirius) is the highest-projected player in the round at 6.9 xP and it is not close. He has 13 goals and 5 assists in 17 league games from 9.03 xG and 5.50 xA — 0.87 xGI per 90, the best figure of any regular in the division — and the form has not cooled: 4 goals and 2 assists in his last six starts at 0.78 xGI per 90. He takes Sirius' penalties at a 93% share and his run does not dip: 6.9 → 6.9 → 6.8 → 7.5 → 7.7 → 5.4. That is a weighted 25.0 over six rounds, the highest score in the game.

Montader Madjed (8.9m, Hammarby) at 5.6 xP is the second-best midfielder in the round and is owned by under 8%. He is on Hammarby's penalties in Nahir Besara's absence at a 49% share, he has 3 goals in his last six starts at 0.57 xGI per 90, and he sits in the round's best team fixture. His weighted six-round score of 18.6 beats the far more expensive Victor Lind.

Bo Åsulv Hegland (8.2m, Djurgården) at 5.2 xP is the horizon buy rather than the round buy — the Malmö away game is a coin flip, but the Round 19 double takes him to 11.2 and his weighted 24.4 is second only to Bjerkebo. He has 6 goals and 10 assists this season at 0.77 xGI per 90. Sead Haksabanovic (10.0m, Malmö FF) at 5.1 xP is the same fixture from the other side, with 4.59 xA on the season.

Budget midfield: Tobias Sana (6.1m, Örgryte) at 4.8 xP is on Örgryte's penalties at a 93% share against the leakiest defence in the league — again, a one-round pick. Marcus Lindberg (5.7m, Sirius) at 4.7 xP is the more durable cheap option and holds a weighted 15.9. If you are planning ahead rather than for Friday, Simen Hestnes (5.5m, Häcken) is worth noting: he is at essentially 0% ownership and 4.4 xP this week is unremarkable at Sirius, but Häcken host Västerås next and his weighted six-round score of 17.8 is the best of any midfielder under 6.0m. Buy him next round, not this one.

Best forwards for Round 18

Odera Adindu (6.3m, Sirius) is the pick of the round and the biggest differential in the game: 6.7 xP, second-highest of any player, at 0.5% ownership. His season totals hide him because he was a substitute until midsummer — 508 minutes across 17 appearances — but he has started throughout the recent run and produced 2.32 xA on the season at 0.56 xGI per 90. He is projected 73 minutes with a 91% start factor in the highest-scoring home fixture of the round, and his run holds up: 6.7 → 5.7 → 5.4 → 5.7 → 5.7 → 4.1, a weighted 20.9. At 1.06 points per million he is also the joint-best value pick in the game.

Paulos Abraham (10.5m, Hammarby) at 5.4 xP is the premium and the template forward at 37% ownership. He is fine — the fixture is the best in the round — but he is not where you gain ground. Kristian Lien (9.9m, Djurgården) at 4.9 xP is the better buy if you are looking past Friday: 10 goals from 6.98 xG this season, Djurgården's penalty taker at a 93% share, and 10.5 xP waiting in the Round 19 double for a weighted 23.0.

Cheaper: Noah Christoffersson (6.2m, Örgryte) at 4.5 xP has 8 goals from 5.38 xG and 6 in his last six starts at 0.63 xGI per 90 — the best cheap striker form in the league, into the softest defence in it. Charlie Rosenqvist (5.5m, Kalmar FF) at 4.3 xP is the more stable budget forward if you would rather not churn.

Captaincy for Round 18

RankPlayerPriceFixturexPOwnership
1Isak Bjerkebo (MID)9.6m[H]Häcken6.968%
2Odera Adindu (FWD)6.3m[H]Häcken6.70.5%
3Montader Madjed (MID)8.9m[H]GAIS5.68%
4Paulos Abraham (FWD)10.5m[H]GAIS5.437%
5Victor Lind (MID)10.6m[H]GAIS5.321%

Captain Bjerkebo. He is the highest projection in the round, he takes the penalties, and Sirius have the second-highest projected goal total. At 68% ownership the armband on him is the protective choice rather than the aggressive one, which is exactly right in a seven-match round where the downside of being different is large.

If you want the aggressive version, Adindu is the same fixture at almost no ownership and only 0.2 xP behind — a genuine rank-mover if Sirius score two or three. Madjed is the third option and the safest of the Hammarby trio, since he is on the penalties while Besara is out.

Captaincy is a plan, not a one-week pick. If you are building toward Round 19, note that the best armband next week is Hegland at 11.2 xP in the Djurgården double — which is another argument for making the Djurgården transfer now.

Who to sell before Round 18

Best Loan Rangers team for Round 18

Loan Rangers is Allsvenskan Fantasy's Free Hit: unlimited transfers for a single round. Round 18 is not the ideal week to burn it — seven matches and two blank clubs cap the ceiling, and Round 19's Djurgården double is the more natural target. If you are playing it anyway, this is the highest-projected legal squad inside the 101.7m budget and the three-per-club limit. It lines up 3-5-2 and totals 59.2 xP before the armband, 66.1 with Bjerkebo captained.

PosPlayerTeamPricexP
GKDavor BlazevicBrommapojkarna4.3m4.4
DEFSimon GefvertVästerås SK4.8m5.1
DEFOscar KrusnellSirius6.9m4.8
DEFChristoffer StyffeÖrgryte4.6m4.7
MIDIsak Bjerkebo (C)Sirius9.6m6.9
MIDMontader MadjedHammarby8.9m5.6
MIDVictor LindHammarby10.6m5.3
MIDBo Åsulv HeglandDjurgården8.2m5.2
MIDSead HaksabanovicMalmö FF10.0m5.1
FWDOdera AdinduSirius6.3m6.7
FWDPaulos AbrahamHammarby10.5m5.4

That eleven costs 84.7m, leaving 17.0m for the four bench slots — on a Loan Rangers round the bench is insurance, not scoring, so spend as little as the squad rules allow. For the exact optimum against live prices and your own settings, run the solver on the optimal teams for Allsvenskan Fantasy page, and read the Allsvenskan chip strategy tool before committing a chip you only get once.

Where to check the numbers yourself

Every figure in this preview comes from our projection model and updates as new lineups and odds arrive. The player picks page carries the full round-by-round table, player data has the underlying xG and xA, and my team lets you plan transfers against your own squad. More rounds are in the Allsvenskan Fantasy preview hub — including the Round 17 preview — and our fantasy football guides cover the scoring and strategy basics.

FAQ

Who should I captain in Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18?

Isak Bjerkebo (9.6m, Sirius). He leads the round at 6.9 xP, takes Sirius' penalties at a 93% share, and Sirius have the second-highest projected goal total of any team at home to Häcken. He has 13 goals and 5 assists in 17 league games at 0.87 xGI per 90, the best rate of any regular in the division. Odera Adindu (6.3m) at 6.7 xP is the differential armband from the same fixture, and Montader Madjed (8.9m) at 5.6 xP is the third option.

Which teams blank in Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18?

AIK and Mjällby have no fixture in Round 18 — it is a seven-match round. AIK are the sale: their next two rounds bring Hammarby at home (30% win) and Malmö away (28%). Mjällby are worth benching rather than selling, because they play twice in Round 19 and twice again in Round 21.

What are the best budget picks for Round 18?

Simon Gefvert (4.8m, Västerås SK) is the best value in the game at 5.1 xP — 1.06 points per million, helped by penalty duty at an 88% share. Davor Blazevic (4.3m, Brommapojkarna) is the new projected keeper there at 4.4 xP and 1.02 points per million, and Christoffer Styffe (4.6m, Örgryte) reads 1.02 against the leakiest defence in the league. Simon Strand (4.3m, Brommapojkarna) at 1.00 is the most durable of the group.

Who are the best differentials for Allsvenskan Fantasy Round 18?

Odera Adindu (6.3m, Sirius) is the standout — second in the round at 6.7 xP with 0.5% ownership, because his season totals hide the fact that he only became a starter at midsummer and has produced 2.32 xA at 0.56 xGI per 90. Montader Madjed (8.9m, Hammarby) at 5.6 xP and under 8% ownership is the other one: he inherits the penalties while Nahir Besara is out, in the best team fixture of the round.

Should I use my Loan Rangers chip in Round 18?

Probably not. Loan Rangers gives unlimited transfers for one round, and a seven-match round with two blank clubs caps what the chip can return. Round 19 is the better target, because Djurgården and Mjällby play each other twice that week. If you are playing it in Round 18 anyway, the highest-projected legal squad within the 101.7m budget is listed above and totals 66.1 xP with Bjerkebo captained.

This preview was written by TheFantasyTool AI - verified by Nicolai @ TheFantasyTool